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🔻 "In-depth geopolitical analyses from the heart of the Resistance Axis to global conflict zones."
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🔴The Washington Pilgrimage: Why Ali al-Zaidi’s July Visit is About Subjugation, Not Sovereignty


💬The announcement that Iraq's newly minted Prime Minister, Ali al-Zaidi, will fly to Washington in the second half of July 2026 is being framed by government spokesperson Haider al-Aboudi as a mission for "economic cooperation." Baghdad wants the world to believe this trip is an ambitious pursuit of energy and infrastructure investment, driven by shared mutual interests. 


👍But anyone who understands the structural mechanics of modern Iraq knows this "economic" cover story is a mirage. Al-Zaidi is not flying to Washington as an equal economic partner; he is being summoned to receive his marching orders.


🔘The Petrodollar Noose


🌕To understand why this visit is happening now, one must look at the calendar and the bank accounts. The US-led international coalition is scheduled to complete its final drawdown by the end of September 2026. Simultaneously, the US Federal Reserve continues to hold the ultimate kill switch over Iraq’s sovereignty: the Federal Reserve Bank of New York, where all of Iraq’s oil revenues are deposited before being drip-fed back to Baghdad in dollars. 

🌕Washington does not need a formal military occupation when it can spark an overnight currency collapse by restricting cash flows to the Central Bank of Iraq under the guise of anti-money laundering compliance.

🌕This economic chokehold is being explicitly leveraged to dictate Iraq’s internal security and foreign policy. The Trump administration has made its conditions brutally clear:

1⃣ The Disarmament of Factions:

👌The complete neutralization and disarmament of the Popular Mobilization Forces (PMF) and armed factions by the end-of-September deadline. 

2⃣ Severing the Resistance Axis:

🙌Halting all logistical, financial, and political synergy between Baghdad and the Axis of Resistance, specifically cutting off the strategic depth linking Tehran to Damascus, Lebanon, and Yemen.


🔘The Shadow of the "Maliki Dilemma"


🌕Al-Zaidi's very rise to power in May 2026 is a testament to how compromised Iraqi sovereignty remains. The Coordination Framework’s initial choice for Prime Minister earlier this year was Nouri al-Maliki. However, a swift and aggressive threat from the Trump administration—promising to completely cut off financial aid and choke Iraq's access to its own oil funds—forced the coalition to withdraw Maliki's nomination. 

🌕This modern reenactment of the "Maliki Dilemma" proved that Washington still holds a veto over who sits in the Republican Palace in Baghdad. Al-Zaidi, a corporate banker and political newcomer, was selected precisely because he was seen as a compromise figure who could navigate this financial blackmail. Yet, arriving in Washington with key cabinet posts like Defense and Interior still vacant due to internal political gridlock, al-Zaidi stands exposed. He enters the Oval Office not from a position of strength, but as a leader holding an incomplete government, backed into a corner by US dictates. 


🔘The US-Iran Backchannel & The Regional Stakes


👍This mid-July visit cannot be separated from the delicate, high-stakes negotiations currently taking place behind closed doors between Washington and Tehran. Historically, Iraq has been forced to serve as both the boxing ring and the mailbox for US-Iran tensions.

👍Washington is using al-Zaidi as a tool to pressure Iran's regional architecture. By threatening to starve Baghdad of dollars, the US is attempting to force Tehran into making concessions on its regional influence, particularly regarding its allies in Lebanon and Yemen.

👍Conversely, if regional escalations spike—such as the recent drone strikes near Erbil or direct US-Iran maritime frictions—the space for diplomatic maneuvering shrinks to zero. Al-Zaidi risks finding himself signing agreements in Washington that are entirely unenforceable back home, leading to an explosive domestic backlash from the very factions he is being told to dismantle.

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🔴Update on the total toll of the aggression


💬The Health Emergency Operations Center of the Ministry of Public Health issued a statement announcing that the cumulative total toll of the aggression from March 2 until June 13 has become as follows:

🤔3,756 martyrs and 11,632 wounded

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🔴Secret Negotiation Channels: The Parallel Messaging Campaign Between Hezbollah and Washington Across Four Capitals


🔘"Asas Media" website reported, quoting local and regional sources, that "intensive activity based on the exchange of messages between Hezbollah and the United States of America is no longer limited to a single mediator. Instead, it is being engineered through four main parallel channels, most of which operate out of the spotlight:


🌕 The Islamabad Channel:

🙌Managed by Hezbollah's representative in Iran, Mr. Abdullah Safieddine—brother of the former Executive Council Chief, Mr. Hashem Safieddine, and maternal cousin of the late Secretary-General, Mr. Hassan Nasrallah. He exchanges messages via the Pakistanis with the team of the US Special Envoy to Iran, Steven Witkoff.


🌕 The Doha Channel:


🙌Led by Hezbollah's Head of International Relations, Mr. Ammar al-Moussawi, this channel extends beyond the American side to discuss technical files with multiple regional parties.


🌕 The Ain al-Tineh Channel:

🙌Represented by Speaker of Parliament Nabih Berri alongside the US Ambassador to Lebanon, Michael Issa. Hezbollah intersects organizationally with this channel through former Minister Mohammad Fneish and official Ahmad Mehanna.


🔘Within this complex structure, the role of Mr. Abdullah Safieddine emerges as one of the logistical and diplomatic minds working in the shadows. Safieddine did not leave Iranian territory except on a landmark occasion last April, when he traveled with the official Iranian delegation to the Pakistani capital to meet the US delegation led by Vice President JD Vance.


🔘This movement gains major strategic significance in light of what the regional source revealed to "Asas": Safieddine’s historic trip alongside the Tehran delegation was executed based on advance US guarantees and accompanied by close aerial escort from the Pakistani Air Force. This aerial and security cover reflects the weight that Washington and its allies place on this channel, which represents the mouthpiece of actual decision-making.


🔘Safieddine operates in full and organic coordination with Ammar al-Moussawi, implementing precise and strict directives from Hezbollah's Secretary-General, Sheikh Naim Qassem. At this pivotal stage, Sheikh Qassem insists on respecting the distribution of tasks and leadership responsibilities within the structure, and demands that Safieddine remain in direct and permanent communication with him after each round of message exchanges to brief him on the results immediately."

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🔴Fascist Rhetoric in Tel Aviv: Netanyahu Navigates Between Resistance Fire and Trump's Ultimatums


💬The latest frantic statements issued by Israeli extremist ministers, Itamar Ben-Gvir and Bezalel Smotrich, lay bare the deep military and political quagmire engulfing the Zionist entity. Demanding that "
Beirut must shake

👍 for every drone launched by the Islamic Resistance is not a display of power; rather, it is a glaring admission of the total collapse of the so-called
"Dahiyeh equation"

👍 and the military's failure to dictate terms on the ground in southern Lebanon.
Reading between the lines of this verbal escalation reveals several geopolitical realities:


⚪️Erosion of Israeli Deterrence:

🌕The relentless drone and rocket strikes pinning down northern settlements prove that the Resistance infrastructure remains highly adaptable and intact. It completely disrupts Israel's ambition to unilaterally carve out a secure ten-kilometer "buffer zone" south of the Litani River.


⚪️The Washington Pressure Cooker:

🌕Benjamin Netanyahu is caught in a vice. On one side are his fascist coalition partners demanding total destruction; on the other is a blunt Donald Trump who has made it clear that aggressive escalations jeopardize backchannel US-Iran negotiations and the broader regional architecture. Trump's leaked warnings to Netanyahu underscore that Washington will not allow Israeli electoral theatrics to derail its global diplomatic designs.


⚪️The Electoral Gambling:

🌕For Netanyahu, these statements and the aggressive displacement orders targeting 29 southern towns serve as political currency. He is desperate to project a position of strength to an increasingly displaced and hostile northern Israeli electorate, while simultaneously appeasing the extremists keeping him out of prison.

🌕The staggering human toll of this aggression—3,756 martyrs and 11,632 wounded—is a catastrophic violation of human dignity and international law, characterized by the deliberate targeting of paramedics, mayors, and civil infrastructure.

🌕Yet, history and military science demonstrate that brute destruction cannot substitute for strategic victory. The desperate calls by Smotrich and Ben-Gvir to flatten Beirut are tactical tantrums aimed at masked domestic panic, failing to alter the strategic reality that the Axis of Resistance continues to impose its own terms of engagement on the ground.


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🔴Al-Fayadh’s Speech: Balancing Deterrence and Preserving the Arms of the Resistance


💬The Chairman of the Popular Mobilization Forces (PMF), Falih al-Fayadh, delivered these pivotal statements in mid-June 2026, marking the anniversary of the sacred "Defensive Jihad" Fatwa and the founding of the PMF. This address comes at a highly critical juncture for Iraq and the Axis of Resistance. It coincides with intense political pressure to disarm and integrate armed factions into the Ministry of Defense under the banner of "state monopoly over weapons"—a priority pushed firmly by the new Prime Minister, Ali al-Zaidi, ahead of his upcoming diplomatic mission to Washington. 


⚪️Reading Between the Lines: What is His True Message?


🌕Al-Fayadh’s true message is far from total capitulation or unilateral disarmament. Instead, it is a calculated strategy of "Smart Institutionalization to Safeguard Strategic Assets." By emphasizing that the PMF is an official force under the command of the Commander-in-Chief and an indispensable pillar of stability, he constructs a constitutional shield around the organization.


⚪️Artillery and Ammunition Remain Intact:

🌕Al-Fayadh is sending a clear signal that the PMF’s heavy armor, artillery, and specialized rocketry are national defense assets, not illicit contraband. They serve as a vital deterrent against both Zionist-American aggression and any resurgence of terrorism.


⚪️Integration Over Dissolution:

🌕His message reframes the disarmament debate. By submitting personnel records and equipment logs to government committees, the PMF is not liquidating itself; it is cementing its legal, state-backed legitimacy, ensuring its long-term survival against foreign-driven elimination efforts.


⚪️Factional Dynamics:

⚪️Who Complied and Who Holds the Line?
👌The Iraqi security arena has witnessed a tactical divergence in how various factions interface with Prime Minister Al-Zaidi's disarmament committee:


🔢 The Tactically Compliant & Integrated Factions:


🔘Saraya al-Salam (The Sadrist Movement):

🤲Formally initiated the handover of lower-value weapons in Samarra, announcing their structural separation from political movements to fully merge into state security apparatuses.


🔘Asaib Ahl al-Haq and Kataib al-Imam Ali:

🤲Agreed to form joint state committees to catalog weapons, leveraging compliance to lock in their political legitimacy and protect their deep institutional influence within the government.


🔘Current Position:

🤲They seek to anchor their power from within the state structure, recognizing that institutionalizing their presence provides legal immunity against American targeting.


🔢 The Hardline Factions (Unyielding Resistance):

🔘Kataib Hezbollah and Harakat Hezbollah al-Nujaba:

Have firmly and unequivocally rejected disarmament, declaring the "weapons of the resistance as sacred." They refuse to surrender elite capabilities, drone technology, advanced rocketry, and independent intelligence networks while regional threats and US footprints persist. 

⚪️Current Position:

👍Retaining autonomous command structures to maintain regional deterrence and safeguard the strategic depth of the Axis of Resistance.
Impact on Ali Al-Zaidi’s US Trip and Tom Barrack’s Response


⚪️These internal dynamics will directly shape upcoming diplomatic engagements:


⚪️Ali Al-Zaidi’s Washington Visit (July):

👍Al-Zaidi will travel to Washington with an agenda centered on economic development and regional stability. To deflect severe US financial and banking sanctions, he will present the compliance of Saraya al-Salam and the procedural cooperation of Asaib Ahl al-Haq as substantial progress in reining in armed groups. 


⚪️The Response of US Envoy Tom Barrack:

👍As the Trump administration’s envoy overseeing both Iraq and Syria, Barrack is focused on stabilizing the region and managing the scheduled wind-down of the anti-ISIS mission by September 2026.
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🌕 Barrack will read between the lines of Al-Fayadh's speech and recognize that Baghdad lacks both the political will and tactical capacity to forcibly disarm core resistance factions like Kataib Hezbollah.

🌕Consequently, Washington will likely accept Al-Zaidi’s partial integration measures as sufficient short-term political cover, while keeping the threat of localized strikes and economic sanctions active should drone or rocket capabilities be deployed against Western interests.


🌕Ultimately, this geopolitical maneuvering proves that the PMF—forged in the blood and sacrifices of martyrs like Abu Mahdi al-Muhandis and General Qassem Soleimani—is an irreversible reality embedded in Iraq's defense doctrine, remaining a vital shield against foreign hegemony.

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🔴Ghobeiry Under Fire: Israeli Airstrike Targets Hezbollah Headquarters Amid Reports of an Assassination Attempt

⚠️ Israeli occupation aircraft launched an airstrike targeting the Ghobeiry area in the southern suburb of Beirut (Dahiyeh), striking a headquarters belonging to Hezbollah.

🤔While the occupation military's media initially claimed that the attack focused on striking "infrastructure" rather than being an assassination operation, Israeli sources later revealed that the true target of the raid was an attempt to track and assassinate the Head of the Liaison Unit (official of the liaison unit) in Hezbollah.

🤔This contradiction in Israeli statements has raised questions about the occupation's deliberate intent to initially describe the attack as targeting infrastructure for camouflage, even though the nature and indicators of the shelling pointed toward a specific assassination operation from the very first moment

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🔴The Israeli occupation army publishes a video clip documenting the moment of the recent airstrike that targeted the Ghobeiry area in the southern suburb of Beirut.

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🔴The Salon Farce of Beirut: Tanks Flee While "Sovereignty" Statements Flourish!


✍️I write these words with the taste of ash in my mouth and the relentless thud of Zionist artillery echoing across Nabatiyeh and Tebnine. As a journalist who has spent months dodging shellfire, pulling children from under the rubble, and burying neighbors, I no longer have the luxury of diplomatic language or professional detachment.

👌Today's reality has transcended the borders of farce. The Israeli army radio proudly broadcasts the retreat of Lebanese Army vehicles and the evacuation of their positions to clear the path for invading Israeli armor. The internet is flooded with humiliating footage of abandoned outposts left behind to be desecrated by enemy forces. Yet, at this exact, agonizing moment, the self-proclaimed "sovereignty" choir steps out of their air-conditioned Beirut salons. Led by President Joseph Aoun and Prime Minister Nawaf Salam—cheered on by right-wing extremist cheerleaders—they have the absolute audacity to lecture us about "disarming the Resistance" and handing the South over to official state forces!

What state forces? What army are we supposed to trust with the lives of our daughters and mothers? An army that packs up and retreats the moment an Israeli tank cranks its engine? Is this Joseph Aoun’s master strategic plan? To abandon the people of the South to the whims of Zionist butchers? This is the most toxic joke in Lebanese history: they demand the surrender of the only weapon preventing the Zionists from invading their own bedrooms in Achrafieh and Yarzeh, while their "official" armored vehicles turn their tail and run at the first sight of danger.

🌕While the theoretical "defenders of the homeland" are busy retreating, out there in the scorching valleys and bleeding hills, the young men of Hezbollah are clinging to the soil. They face the invaders with bare chests and unwavering faith. These fighters, slandered as "militias" by the rotting political feudalists in Beirut, are the solitary shield preventing Southern villages from being erased and turned into Zionist settlements. If it weren't for the pure blood currently being spilled in the alleyways of Nabatiyeh, Israeli soldiers would be drinking coffee in the government palace today, laughing at Nawaf Salam and Joseph Aoun.

🌕Enough with the deceit, and enough selling us the illusion of empty sovereignty. When the shells rain down, we are not saved by presidential press releases or prime ministerial speeches; we are saved by the rockets of the Resistance and the courage of its men. You don't want an army to protect the nation; you want a nation stripped of its dignity, broken, and kneeling beneath the boots of the invaders. But the South, baptized in the blood of its martyrs, will never kneel. The weapons will remain in the hands of the men who actually know the value of this land, and your pathetic political theater can go straight to hell.

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🔴 U.S. President Donald Trump on Truth Social:

🔘"This morning’s attack on Beirut should not have happened, particularly on a special day when we are so close to a Peace Deal with Iran. Israel has the right to defend itself against threats, but the attack it was responding to was very small and meaningless, nobody was hurt, injured, or killed, and should not disrupt this important process. We are very close to a Deal that will bring peace to the region, including to Lebanon, and all sides should stand down. There should be no more attacks by Israel anywhere in Lebanon, but there should also be no more attacks by any other party, including Hezbollah, against Israel. This could be the beginning of a long and beautiful peace — Let's not blow it!"

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🔴 Between the “Trump Show” and the Reality of “Ben Gurion”: A Transparent Exchange of Roles

👍 What is unfolding between Washington and Tel Aviv in their public dispute over the strikes on Beirut is nothing more than a “political farce” and a transparent distribution of roles designed to throw dust in the eyes of negotiators and advisers.

👍While American political rhetoric emerges in the language of reproach and concern for peace, reports and leaks from Ben Gurion Airport reveal a starkly different reality: the airport has effectively become a fully-fledged American military hub. KC-135 aerial refueling aircraft—considered the backbone of air operations against Lebanon—dominate the runways under an American arrangement reportedly extending through the end of 2026.

👍 The real test is not the staged quarrels played out on social media platforms, but what is happening on the ground. If Washington were truly serious about restraining Netanyahu, it would dismantle this direct military partnership and withdraw the aircraft involved in supporting operations over Beirut, rather than relocating Israeli civilian aviation to Cyprus to make room for the machinery of war.

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🔴THE ISLAMABAD ILLUSION: Can a Guard Who Doesn’t Own the Keys Protect the House?

💬As Pakistan’ Prime Minister Shehbaz Sharif proudly declared on Saturday, June 13, 2026, that a US-Iran peace deal was "
closer than ever before,

🌕" the illusion evaporated in less than 24 hours. On Sunday, June 14, 2026, the Israeli war machine tore through the heart of Beirut’s southern suburbs (Dahieh), reducing a municipal facility in Haret Hreik to rubble, assassinating a senior commander of Hezbollah’s Radwan Force, and filling Lebanese hospitals with innocent civilians. 


👍This devastating escalation did more than just break the June 1 ceasefire framework; it exposed the fundamental structural flaw in the current diplomatic theater: the absolute irrelevance of the Pakistani mediator (the self-proclaimed "guarantor" or Al-Damin).

The Analytical Failure of the "Guarantor"
From a hard geopolitical standpoint, Pakistan’s role as an intermediary between Washington and Tehran—orchestrated by Army Chief Field Marshal Asim Munir alongside US Vice President JD Vance and Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi—is built on quicksand.

For an actor to be a true "guarantor," they must possess leverage over all parties involved, or at least the ability to enforce the terms of a Memorandum of Understanding (MOU). Pakistan possesses neither. While Islamabad relays 15-point draft proposals back and forth, it has zero control over Tel Aviv, which acts as the wild card designed to wreck any US-Iran rapprochement that does not serve its regional hegemony.
The Dahieh strike confirms that Israel operates with a green light from Washington to decouple the Lebanese front from the broader Iranian talks. This exposes a strategic trap: Washington plays the diplomat in Islamabad while its strategic proxy acts as the arsonist in Beirut.


🔘The Axis of Resistance Perspective:

👌Words Written in Water
For the Axis of Resistance, history is an unyielding teacher. Veteran negotiators know that American commitments are written in water. From the tearing up of the JCPOA to the flagrant violations of the recent April 8 temporary ceasefire, Washington has a systemic habit of breaking its word.


🔘The question reverberating through Beirut, Damascus, and Tehran today is simple:

👋What is the worth of a Pakistani guarantee if it cannot prevent a Western-backed airstrike on a sovereign Arab capital?
The Resistance views this latest aggression not as an isolated incident, but as a calculated American-Israeli division of labor. While Washington pressures Tehran into an electronic signing of a peace deal to secure economic relief and open the Strait of Hormuz, Israel is deployed to aggressively degrade the Resistance infrastructure under the cynical pretext of "deterrence."
👋The Dahieh bombing forces an immediate calculation. The strategic dilemma is stark:


🔘Will Iran retaliate and hit back?

🤲Ibrahim Rezaei, spokesman for the Iranian Parliament’s National Security Committee, summarized the internal consensus on June 14: "
Even if one wants to reach an agreement, the path to that goes through punishing the Zionist regime."

🤲A failure to respond risks exposing the Axis to further assassinations under the umbrella of flawed diplomacy. 

🔘What role can Pakistan realistically play now?

Islamabad cannot control its own internal economic pressures, let alone dictate terms to Netanyahus’ cabinet or the Pentagon. By acting as a mailbox for US terms, Pakistan risks becoming an unwitting buffer, giving the West the diplomatic cover it needs to buy time while the field is bloodied.


The reality on the ground is clear. Peace cannot be engineered in Islamabad hotels while bombs fall on Beirut.

If the "guarantor" cannot guarantee the security of the alliance's vital nodes, the Axis of Resistance will rely on its own equation: the field, the rockets, and the unyielding reality of asymmetric deterrence.


#AlMuraqeb #USIranTalks #DahiehStrike #AxisOfResistance #Geopolitics2026 #PakistanMediation

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🔘The deal with the Islamic Republic of Iran is now complete.
🔘Congratulations to all! I hereby fully authorize the toll free opening of the Strait of Hormuz, and simultanneously herewith, authorize the immediate removal of the United States naval blockade. Ships of the world, start your engines. Let the oil flow!


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🔴 Surprise peace agreement between Washington and Tehran mediated by Pakistan and the Gulf, official secrecy sparks controversy in Iran

📍 Islamabad:


🔘 Despite fierce opposition from a broad segment of the Iranian public and political circles inside the country, and in light of the ongoing violations and crimes of the Israeli occupation army in the region, amid a media blackout and complete official silence from Iranian negotiators, the Prime Minister of Pakistan dropped a major political bombshell by officially announcing that a comprehensive peace agreement has been reached between the United States of America and the Islamic Republic of Iran.


🔘 The Pakistani Prime Minister confirmed in his statement that following intensive rounds of complex negotiations, efforts succeeded in drafting an agreement that mandates an immediate and permanent cessation of military operations across all fronts and axes, including the Lebanese front.


🔘 Regarding procedural details, the statement explained that the Swiss capital will host the official signing ceremony of the agreement next Friday, June 19, noting that the mediating parties will facilitate a series of preparatory meetings and technical discussions this week to finalize the touches ahead of the signing ceremony.


🔘 The Prime Minister of Pakistan expressed his deep gratitude to both Washington and Tehran for their commitment to the diplomatic path, and extended special thanks to the State of Qatar for its pivotal role and mediation efforts, while also praising the significant contributions made by the leadership in the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia and the Republic of Turkey to support this historic agreement.


📌This sudden announcement comes at a time when the Iranian arena is witnessing a state of ferment and anticipation, as widespread fears prevail among social segments, religious elites, and political figures regarding concessions that compromise sovereignty or squander the blood of martyrs, especially given the absence of any transparent clarification from the Iranian government regarding the clauses of this agreement and the future of the region's hotspots.

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🔴 Statement issued by a group of members of the Assembly of Experts and professors of the Islamic Seminary regarding the ongoing negotiations

🔹 In the name of Allah, the Most Gracious, the Most Merciful

🔘 To the noble, steadfast people of Islamic Iran, and the honorable officials of the country:

🔘 As we hear varying news regarding the negotiations and a potential agreement, we deem it our duty, as servants of the nation, to present the following points:

🔢 In accordance with the directives of the Martyr Imam (may Allah's pleasure be upon him), there is no secret or hidden matter when it comes to negotiating with the enemy. Transparency in informing officials in this field is the true embodiment of solidarity with the people.

🔢 The ultimate reference in this matter is the wisdom and directives of the Supreme Leader of the Revolution (may his shadow long endure), as well as the red lines and framework defined by him.

🔢 Any transgression of these red lines is an illegitimate and unacceptable act, and it will be met with the reaction of the nation.

🔢 In light of the repeated hostilities and aggressions of the treacherous enemy—particularly the act of war manifested in the naval blockade, and the aggressions and crimes committed by the Zionist entity in Lebanon—the state of confrontation with the enemy still stands, and the concept of a ceasefire is practically meaningless.

🔢 Considering the enemy's actions, countermeasures—especially responding to the naval blockade—are essential.

🔢 In accordance with the framework set by the Supreme Leader, the following must not be overlooked under any pretext: identifying and punishing the aggressor, obtaining compensation for the crimes and damages inflicted, managing the Strait of Hormuz as an unforfeitable right of the Iranian nation, and refusing to negotiate over the country's inherent right to nuclear energy.

🔢 The people on the ground, who have endured all hardships and blockades, are by no means prepared to compromise their national dignity and historical honor, or to harm the outcomes of the magnificent jihad of the fighters and the pure blood of the martyrs. Therefore, they will not remain silent until the final objective and the designated goals of the regime are achieved, the enemy is completely driven to despair, and the rights of the Iranian nation are restored. They will not tolerate any negligence or complacency in this regard.

🔢 While thanking the efforts and services of the honorable officials, they are expected to march in this divine epic behind the leadership and alongside the people, not to falter or hesitate for a single moment in fulfilling and implementing the directives and commands of the Guardian (Makam-e Velayat), and to avoid any retreat before the enemy.

🔢 The nation that believes in the Guardianship of the Islamic Jurist (Velayat-e Faqih), just as in the past, along with its insistence on sacred unity and grand participation in the nightly gatherings, will remain committed at all stages to the orders of the Supreme Leader of the Revolution (may his shadow long endure).

🔘 We ask Almighty Allah for the continued health and glory of the nation's magnificent leadership, and victory for the proud Iranian nation.

🤔 A group of members of the Assembly of Experts and professors of the Islamic Seminary


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🔴The Geneva Illusion vs. The Mud of the South: Why the US-Iran MoU Crashes into the Realities of Kfartibneet


👍The ink is barely dry on the June 14, 2026 Memorandum of Understanding (MoU) brokered in Islamabad between Washington and Tehran, yet its grand promises of a
"permanent ceasefire on all fronts, including Lebanon"

👍 are already being shredded by Israeli artillery tracks in the south. While diplomats prep the tables for the formal signing in Switzerland on June 19, the core question must be asked brutally: What is the strategic worth of an American-signed paper when Netanyahist forces are actively bombing the very territory the agreement claims to protect? 


👍Hours after the Secretariat of Iran's Supreme National Security Council declared an immediate halt to hostilities, Israeli artillery and drone strikes hammered Kfartibneet, leaving multiple civilian casualties. Concurrently, a massive demolition operation rocked the city of Al-Khiam, and sound bombs were dropped over Haris. The message from Tel Aviv is unambiguous and has been openly carried by Yedioth Ahronoth: Netanyahu has explicitly informed Donald Trump that Israel will not withdraw from its self-declared "security zone" in southern Lebanon, regardless of Washington's signatures. 


🔘The Balance Sheet: Washington’s Gambit and Tehran’s Calculus


✍️To evaluate the seriousness of this diplomatic turn, we must analyze the structural gains and losses extracted by both major powers during these multi-month negotiations:


🔘The United States


🌕Gains:

🙌Trump secures a critical geopolitical objective: the "toll-free" reopening of the Strait of Hormuz within 30 days, defusing an energy crisis that threatened global markets. Washington halts a costly, escalatory spiral without committing ground troops, preserving its regional assets from retaliatory strikes. 


🌕Losses:

🙌The US exposes the absolute limits of its leverage over Tel Aviv. By failing to guarantee Israeli compliance on the ground, Washington’s credibility as a regional guarantor is severely undermined. The administration also faces intense domestic and allied blowback for unfreezing billions in assets without obtaining immediate, hard concessions on Iran’s nuclear enrichment caps.


🔘The Islamic Republic of Iran

🌕Gains (On Paper):

👌 Tehran has secured a basket of high-profile promises: the immediate lifting of the naval blockade, the scheduled unfreezing of $24 billion in assets ($12 billion supposedly upfront), and a pledged $300 billion Western-allied reconstruction package. Crucially, the Axis of Resistance successfully kept Iran’s ballistic missile program and regional alliances off the negotiating agenda. However, given Washington's track record of tearing up signed treaties (such as the 2015 JCPOA), these massive economic lifelines remain strictly theoretical—conditional concessions on a piece of paper that have yet to materialize into hard reality while the ground remains volatile.

🌕Losses:

👌By decoupling the implementation of economic relief from an enforceable, verifiable Israeli withdrawal from Lebanon, Tehran risks appearing to prioritize domestic economic relief over the immediate security of its frontline partners. Entering a 60-day negotiation window on its nuclear program while the Lebanese front remains hot places immense tactical strain on the ground.

🔰The Axis of Resistance Perspective: Victory via Steadfastness, Cautious of Treachery

👍From the perspective of the Axis of Resistance, this MoU is not a gesture of American goodwill, but a direct consequence of structural deterrence. Netanyahu’s massive escalation against Beirut was designed to collapse the negotiation framework; instead, it accelerated it. The ultimate reopening of the Strait of Hormuz proved that the economic leverage held by the Resistance could force the White House to bypass Israeli vetoes.

However, the battlefield dictates the politics, not the reverse.
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