✌The ruling laid the foundation for the formation of the Popular Mobilization Forces (PMF), as tens of thousands of volunteers mobilized to stop ISIS’s advance toward Baghdad.

✌While this mobilization proved decisive in defeating ISIS militarily, it also reshaped Iraq’s geopolitical landscape.

🔘Multiple Security Structures

👌The war produced parallel security institutions that added new complexities to questions of state sovereignty and governance.

🔘Regional Realignment

👌The conflict deepened Iraq’s integration into regional security networks and intensified existing geopolitical rivalries across the Middle East.

🔘Politicization of Memory

👌Twelve years later, Speicher remains a powerful political symbol employed by competing actors, while the actual needs of victims’ families often remain marginalized.


🔘The Endless Question

🌕What does justice mean when thousands lie in mass graves while those who made the decisive decisions remain beyond accountability?

🌕What does accountability mean when grieving mothers still carry faded photographs instead of receiving clear institutional answers?

🌕Can a nation truly heal while the wounds of Speicher continue to be exploited politically and neglected legally?

🤔The tragedy of Camp Speicher is not unique in its suffering. Rather, it represents part of a broader regional pattern of impunity that has characterized many modern Middle Eastern conflicts.

🤔The institutional failures that allowed approximately 1,700 young men to be massacred near Tikrit are the same failures that continue to shield powerful actors from accountability elsewhere.

🤔The mothers of Speicher are still waiting.

🤔Their grief has outlived governments, military campaigns, and political promises.

🤔Across the Middle East, other mothers now join them in the same endless vigil—holding photographs, demanding truth, and asking a question that still echoes unanswered:

If the dead cannot return, who will finally be held responsible for their deaths?

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🔴Pragmatism Over Entanglement: Decoding Al-Sharaa’s Strategic Distance from the Lebanese Theater

🔘Analysis & Geopolitical Critique:

🎙The recent declarations by Syrian President Ahmad al-Sharaa before a delegation from the Damascus countryside represent a calculated exercise in strategic restraint and pragmatic state-building. By explicitly dismissing rumors of a Syrian military entry into Lebanon as "nothing but speculation," Damascus is sending a clear, multi-layered message to both Western capitals and regional actors. 

🗂This comes at a highly sensitive diplomatic juncture. Following the March 2, 2026 escalation between Israel and Hezbollah, and the fragile April 17 ceasefire, Washington has consistently pressured the new Syrian administration to play an active security role in eastern Lebanon to curb supply lines. U.S. President Donald Trump’s recent assertions that Damascus might assist in "regional security efforts" were a direct attempt to draw Syria into a policing role targeting Lebanese factions. Al-Sharaa’s firm stance draws a definitive line:

Syria supports the concept of state sovereignty and the monopoly of arms by the Lebanese Army (LAF), but it will absolutely not act as a military proxy for Western-engineered regional security frameworks. 

👌Damascus understands that any cross-border military movement would instantly revive the historical ghosts of the pre-2005 security era, disrupting its current drive for international legitimacy, reconstruction funds, and sanctions relief. 

✌Furthermore, by deprioritizing the highly politicized file of border demarcation, Al-Sharaa is shifting the focus back to the primary structural burden pulling at both nations: the humanitarian crisis. According to UN and Lebanese institutional data, Lebanon still hosts roughly 1.4 million displaced Syrians (with approximately 716,000 officially registered by UNHCR). Although the recent conflict triggered the cross-border movement of over 418,000 individuals back into Syria between March and June 2026, the sustainable, organized mechanism for repatriation remains the true structural priority for Damascus. For the new Syrian leadership, internal stability, economic recovery, and the logistical challenges of domestic reintegration supersede any premature diplomatic arrangements or foreign military adventures. 

🔰The Axis of Resistance Perspective:

🔻From the perspective of the Axis of Resistance, Al-Sharaa’s statements must be read as a refusal to take the bait of a Western-orchestrated regional trap. The continuous American and Israeli pressure on the new Syrian government—aimed at utilizing Damascus to choke or police Lebanese resistance components—is fundamentally neutralized by this stance.

🤔By declaring that Syria’s objective is strictly to "stop the war in Lebanon, not expand or engage in it," Damascus rejects the role of an enforcement agent against regional resistance forces. While the political landscape in Syria has undergone profound shifts since late 2025, the strategic geography remains unchanged. Damascus recognizes that a fragmented, destabilized Lebanon under direct Western or Israeli dictation poses a direct national security threat to Syria’s western flank. Refusing to embroil the under-reconstruction Syrian army in a localized conflict preserves what remains of regional equilibrium and thwarts the dynamic of "divide and rule" that Washington seeks to enforce through economic carrots and sanctions-relief promises


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🔴Prominent Republican Senator Lindsey Graham in a tweet:

▪️"I’m very glad to hear from @POTUS that Iranian media reports about the so-called deal are fake because a bad deal would be a disaster for American national security.

▪️Any deal that allows Iran to continue its enrichment program or provides billions of dollars in sanctions relief without permanent, verifiable dismantling of their nuclear ambitions is a dangerous mistake. We cannot afford to give the regime in Tehran a financial lifeline while they continue to threaten our allies, particularly Israel, and fund terrorism across the region.

▪️Congress must have a say in any final agreement, and we will hold this administration accountable to ensure American interests are protected."

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⭕"Vice Chairman of the National Security Committee in Parliament:

After reviewing the text of the agreement, I must declare that compared to the two previous versions, this agreement is more catastrophic (a greater loss) and the scale of Iran's concessions in it is larger."

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🔘 Anchor: Do you believe that our circumstances in this round of negotiations differ from the two previous phases that led to war or ended in war?

🎙 Araqchi: It is good that you asked this question, I must clarify this matter; look, in the past two wars, it was not the negotiations that led to war... rather, it was the resistance that ended in war!

⚠️ This is the logic of the exact same person whose previous negotiations brought nothing but an absolute disaster that led to war.

📌 It has come to the point where these failed individuals sit in front of the cameras, and instead of taking responsibility, revealing the facts, and clearing the ambiguity surrounding what is happening today behind the scenes of the negotiations, they impudently evade failure and blame the 'resistance'—which was the approach and ideology of the Leader—holding it responsible for the outbreak of war!

#Iran #America #Negotiations #Araqchi

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🔴 JD Vance, Vice President of the United States, in a tweet:

🔹 I see a lot of fake (false) information circulating around a potential agreement to reopen the Strait and end the Iranian nuclear weapons program.

🔹 First, the Iranians will not receive any cash, and no funds will be released simply for signing an agreement or attending a meeting. The structure of this agreement is designed to ensure that the concerns of the United States and its allies are prioritized. If the Islamic Republic of Iran fulfills its obligations, only then will economic benefits flow to them and to the entire region.

🔹 This agreement has the potential to reshape the region and lead it toward a lasting peace.

🔹 I have noticed some strange things in the news reports over the past few hours; first, that the people who said (and rightly so) a month ago that Donald Trump was a historic president are now criticizing an agreement based on unconfirmed media reports.

🔹 Second, that the people who say not a single word coming from the Iranian Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) can be trusted now seem to believe social media posts quoting anonymous sources.

🔹 The President will secure a good result for us, one way or another.

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🔴Gaby Issa, former Lebanese Ambassador to America:


🔽The Lebanese Forces:


✌ Refused the removal of sanctions on Lebanon

✌Exerted pressure to prevent the arming of the Lebanese Army

✌Obstructed the gas extraction/import process

✌ Refused the return of Syrian displaced persons to Syria.


🤔For the widest circulation
🌕So that all Lebanese people know the truth and some do not remain misled by the Forces and their allies.

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🔴Israeli Violations and Aggression Against Lebanon (June 13, 2026)


👍From 12:00 AM until the morning hours of today, June 13, 2026, the Israeli enemy continued its intense escalation across Lebanon, focusing heavy fire on the south and the Western Beqaa.


⚪️Airstrikes:

👍Intense aerial bombardments targeted the southern towns of Kafartibnin, Kfar Jouz, Majdal Zoun, Al-Mansouri, Abba, Deir Qanoun Al-Nahr, and Toura.


⚪️Deep Strikes:

👍The aggression expanded toward the Western Beqaa, hitting Sahmar, Zelaya, Yohmor, and Labaia, in addition to the outskirts of Al-Qatrani in the Jezzine district.


⚪️Artillery and Demolitions:

🌕Heavy artillery shelling blanketed the surroundings of the Ali Taher hills overlooking Nabatieh, accompanied by large-scale engineering and demolition activities conducted by enemy forces along the border axis.

⚪️Tactical Breakdown: The Battle for Kafartibnin


🌕The strategic area of Kafartibnin and the nearby Zaffata axis (situated between Kafartibnin and the Khardali River) are currently witnessing a critical ground confrontation. From a military standpoint, the enemy is attempting a dangerous push toward the outskirts of Nabatieh Al-Fawqa to secure a foothold overlooking the region.


⚪️The Enemy's Objective:

🌕The Israeli military is deploying high-density armored movements and intensive combat engineering tools to clear pathways, aiming to sever communication lines between Nabatieh and its eastern outskirts.


⚪️The Defensive Strategy:

🌕Resistance fighters are leveraging the rugged topography and pre-prepared defensive lines to blunt this advance. Specialized anti-armor units and field artillery groups have locked down the Zaffata axis, turning the open corridors into absolute kill zones.


⚪️Tactical Engagement:

🌕The Islamic Resistance has fiercely engaged the advancing armored columns using short-range artillery, heavy mortar barrages, and direct-fire weapons. Simultaneously, guided-missile squads are hunting enemy supply vehicles and engineering units trying to establish forward logistics points, successfully halting their momentum and preventing the enemy from stabilizing its positions on the approaches to Nabatieh Al-Fawqa.

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🔴Youssef Reggi’s Diplomacy of Illusion: Marketing the Western Narrative and Isolating the Lebanese Foreign Ministry from the Realities of the Field



🎙The recent statements made by the Minister of Foreign Affairs and Emigrants, Youssef Reggi, to the French newspaper Le Figaro (June 13, 2026) reflect the deep chasm between official diplomatic rhetoric and the actual equations of power on the ground. Reggi’s claim that the resistance is "militarily defeated" yet controls the "deep state" does not merely represent a misreading of the strategic landscape; it places the Lebanese Foreign Ministry in a position of compliance with intense Western-American pressures pushing for direct negotiations that serve the interests of the Israeli occupation.



✍️Analytical and Critical Reading from the Axis of Resistance Perspective


🌕Minister Reggi’s attempt to depict the resistance’s weaponry as a "rebellion," while ignoring that it is the primary pillar of deterrence against Israeli ambitions, reveals a desire to invoke foreign leverage to achieve domestic balances that the state is incapable of enforcing. Reggi is betting on Washington's negotiations, forgetting that Lebanon’s diplomatic strength has historically stemmed from the strength of its field.


🌕In a related context, the response from the Iranian Embassy in Beirut came to put an end to Minister Reggi’s short-sighted bets and assessments regarding the Axis. Via the "X" platform, the embassy recalled political realism, pointing to the continuous popular crowds for over 100 days across the Iranian geography—which spans 1,648,195 square kilometers—in solidarity with the regime, confirming that betting on the fall or retreat of the resistance's allies is a bet on a mirage. The Iranian Embassy also requested that the minister not misunderstand Iran.


🌕In our view, the embassy erred when it addressed the minister using the logic of the defender. It is well known that this minister harbors open hatred toward the people of the South, the Shia community, and Iran in particular, due to his long history with the Lebanese Forces.


📌Questions Addressed to the Readers:


👌When the Foreign Minister of Lebanon speaks through French media platforms in a language that mirrors the rhetoric of Washington and Tel Aviv, does he truly represent the interests and national security of the Lebanese people, or is he paving the way to impose defeatist dictates under the guise of "the constitution and the law"?


👌If the resistance is "militarily defeated" as Reggi claims, why is the United States panting after complex and direct foreign negotiation arrangements to change the reality on the border?


👌Can a veteran diplomatic minister claim to care for sovereignty while downplaying the danger of internal clash, attempting to strip away the elements of strength that protect Lebanon’s wealth and borders?


#Lebanon #Youssef_Reggi #LeFigaro #Axis_of_Resistance #Beirut #Tehran #Foreign_Policy #observer_5


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🔴Paper Peace vs. Fire on the Ground: The Gaps Exploited by Washington's New MoU Gamble


👍The synchronized announcements from Washington, Islamabad, and Tehran regarding an imminent, U.S.-led Memorandum of Understanding (MoU) signal a frantic attempt to freeze a regional conflagration that hard power failed to resolve. U.S. President Donald Trump’s declaration of a weekend breakthrough in Europe—coupled with Pakistani Prime Minister Shehbaz Sharif’s confirmation of an agreed-upon text—aims to establish a 60-day interim window to address deeply complex issues: the unfreezing of up to $24 billion in Iranian assets, international sanctions relief, and long-term uranium enrichment caps. 


✍️The Geopolitical Reality

💬However, a critical look at the geopolitical map on June 13, 2026, reveals that this proposed diplomatic de-escalation operates entirely detached from the active theaters of war. While diplomats talk in Islamabad, the kinetic reality remains unyielding:


🔘The Strait of Hormuz:

🌕Despite the optimistic political framework, U.S. Central Command reported downing multiple Iranian one-way attack drones targeting commercial shipping lines early Saturday morning. This vital economic artery—responsible for 20% of global energy flows—remains an active zone of naval friction, rendering Western declarations of an "immediate reopening" highly premature. 


🔘The Lebanon and Gaza Fronts:

👍Demonstrating the systemic fragility of a U.S.-brokered truce, the Israeli military today issued urgent evacuation orders for 20 southern Lebanese localities, including the regional hub of Nabatieh, immediately followed by heavy airstrikes on Rihan and Sujud. The continued loss of life on the ground in both Lebanon and Gaza underscores a stark disconnect: Washington is attempting to market a grand bargain while permitting its primary regional ally to violently alter the parameters on the ground before any implementation begins. 

👍The continued loss of life on the ground in both Lebanon and Gaza underscores a stark disconnect: Washington is attempting to market a grand bargain while permitting its primary regional ally to violently alter the parameters on the ground before any implementation begins. 


🔘Questions for Our Readers:

🤲If the Axis of Resistance is facing terminal pressure as Western media maintains, why is Washington relying on high-level delegations—led by Vice President JD Vance and Jared Kushner—to secure a negotiated exit ramp?

🤲Can a 60-day interim MoU genuinely hold when Israel continues to launch preemptive strikes in southern Lebanon and Gaza during the exact hours the deal is being finalized?

🤲Does a temporary halt to hostilities serve long-term regional sovereignty, or is it a strategic pause designed to relieve global oil pressures while leaving the fundamental causes of the conflict unaddressed?


#USA #Iran #Lebanon #StraitOfHormuz #AxisOfResistance #Diplomacy #Geopolitics #observer_5

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🔴The Judicial Entrapment of Baghdad: Whose Sovereignty Writes Iraq's Counter-Terrorism Mandate?


🔘The circulated screenshot from the Telegram channel Saeb Khalil's Publications tone in Iraq's post-war judicial landscape:

🔘the President of the Supreme Judicial Council, Judge Dr. Faiq Zidan, signing a Memorandum of Understanding (MoU) on judicial and legal cooperation. Ostensibly designed to enhance counter-terrorism mechanisms and facilitate the exchange of judicial data regarding extremist networks, the bilateral agreement opens a dangerous backdoor for foreign intelligence interference under the guise of institutional capacity building. 


✍️The Analytical and Critical Reality


👍From a critical geopolitical perspective, the core issue with Anglo-Iraqi counter-terrorism pacts lies in the weaponization of the term "terrorism" itself. Historically, the British legal system defines terrorism via broad geopolitical lenses that consistently criminalize legitimate regional resistance forces while shielding Western state actors from accountability.


👍By tying Iraqi criminal and investigation courts to judicial frameworks managed by the UK Foreign, Commonwealth & Development Office (FCDO), Baghdad risks importing a highly politicized, Eurocentric legal standard. Under such a system, the definition of an insurgent or a terrorist is not derived from national defense priorities, but is instead synchronized with the security requirements of Washington, London, and—by extension—Tel Aviv. This compromises local sovereignty and sets a dangerous precedent where state-sanctioned resistance assets could be judicially targeted using foreign-drafted criteria. 


📌Questions for Our Readers:


🌕When the Iraqi judiciary signs a counter-terrorism MoU with a founding architect of the 2003 occupation, which definition of terrorism will govern the cooperation: the Iraqi legal text or the British security mandate?



🌕By aligning data-sharing protocols with London, is Baghdad protecting its national borders, or is it inadvertently delivering operational intelligence to an intelligence apparatus fundamentally hostile to the Axis of Resistance?


🌕If the baseline for defining "extremism" is outsourced to foreign capitals, how long before national defense groups and anti-imperialist factions are classified as outlaws under Iraq's own judicial signature?


#Iraq #UK #FaiqZidan #CounterTerrorism #Sovereignty #Geopolitics #AxisOfResistance #observer_5

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🔴The post by Alon Mizrahi reflects a core geopolitical thesis common within the Axis of Resistance and anti-imperialist frameworks regarding Western diplomacy, particularly concerning the reported U.S.–Iran breakthrough.


🔽His reasoning breaks down into four main analytical drivers:


1⃣ Structural Untrustworthiness of Western Diplomacy

👌Mizrahi's first two points—that the Americans will either not sign or not respect the deal—stem from a long history of diplomatic precedents.

🤲From this perspective, Washington utilizes treaties not as instruments of lasting peace, but as tactical maneuvers to de-escalate pressures when its allies are in a weak position or to "buy time" to regroup militarily. The primary historical baseline for this view is the 2015 JCPOA (Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action), which the U.S. unilaterally abandoned in 2018 despite full Iranian compliance, proving to analysts like Mizrahi that American signatures lack institutional permanence across administrations.


2⃣ The Weaponization of the Global Financial System

🙌His assertion that "Iran will never get its stolen money back" reflects an analysis of how economic hegemony operates. In the logic of global sanctions regimes, frozen assets are rarely fully returned; instead, they are held permanently as geopolitical leverage. Even during temporary thaws, the bureaucratic, legal, and banking hurdles imposed by the U.S. Treasury ensure that total sanctions relief remains an illusion, keeping target states under perpetual economic siege regardless of what is written on paper.


3⃣ Anti-Colonial Theory and Armed Deterrence

🌕Mizrahi’s final point ("Violence is the only way to get rid of colonial infestation") shifts from diplomatic critique to structural anti-colonial theory. This viewpoint argues that Western hegemony and its regional outposts function as colonial systems that only respond to the cost of hard power. Within this framework:

👍 Diplomacy without kinetic leverage is viewed as a form of submission.
Real sovereignty and the extraction of concessions (such as lifting blockades or stopping bombardments) are only achieved when the cost of war becomes unsustainable for the occupying or colonial power.


✌Therefore, he views the ongoing kinetic actions in the Strait of Hormuz, Lebanon, and Gaza not as obstacles to a deal, but as the only actual guarantees of regional leverage.


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🔴 The Islamic Republic of Iran 🇮🇷

✌Member of the Assembly of Experts, Ayatollah Araki:

Success in confronting America is only possible through the path of strength.

We hope that our political officials will act one hundred percent and completely within the framework set by the Supreme Leader (may his sublime shadow endure).

If even a hair’s breadth of the laws, frameworks, or red lines specified by the Supreme Leader is crossed, it is considered contrary to Islamic law (Sharia) and is not permitted.

🔘Furthermore in the news :

👍Araki considered attacking American interests wherever they are and confronting those who serve American power to be Wajib (a religious obligation).


🙌Ayatollah Mohsen Araki, a member of presiding board of Iran’s Assembly of Experts made the remark in a message on Thursday, which is as follows:

“In such a situation where the hegemony of Zionism and America is collapsing, the arrogance of America has begun a conspiracy to disarm the zealous Mujahideen in Iraq and Lebanon, in order to first weaken the resistance forces and then, by breaking the spirit of dignity and independence of the peoples of the region, pave the way for full-scale colonial domination over all these lands, I declare the following:

⚪️First:

👌Any action that leads to weakening the spirit of resistance among the nations of the region is forbidden from the religious point of view.
Undoubtedly, disarming the resistance forces is the same as weakening the resistance and helping the arrogant and warlike infidels, especially the Zionist-American arrogance.


⚪️Second:

👌It is obligatory on the free people of the region not to remain silent in the face of the uprising of the Zionist-American enemy; Especially after this enemy aggressively attacked the greatest Islamic power and religious figure, the Leader of the nation and the great martyr Imam Seyed Ali Khamenei (may God be pleased with him).
‌

⚪️Third:

👌The enemy, namely America, is a Harbi infidel (an infidel that is against Islam and declares war on Islam) and jihad against it with all his might is obligatory upon every free believer who believes in the laws of Islam. Attacking American interests wherever they are and confronting those who serve American power is a religious obligation for anyone who has the ability to do so.

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🔴Based on the latest diplomatic and internal dynamics, the Iranian Ministry of Foreign Affairs adjusted the timing—clarifying that the signing of the agreement in principle with Washington "

will not be tomorrow, but we do not rule it out happening in the coming days"

👍due to a combination of intense domestic pushback and ongoing tactical maneuvers on the ground.


🔘The primary reasons for this shift include:


🔢 Hardline Internal Pushback (The Assembly of Experts' Red Lines)


🌕The announcement of an imminent deal triggered immediate resistance from Iran's powerful religious and political institutions. As stated by Ayatollah Mohsen Araki of the Assembly of Experts, any deviation from the strict frameworks and red lines set by the Supreme Leader is deemed "contrary to Islamic law." By publicly warning political officials to act 100% within these boundaries and calling for confrontation against American interests, the hardline establishment forced negotiators to slow down to prove they are not rushing into a compromised agreement under Western pressure.


🔢Continued Escalation in the Field vs. The 60-Day Interim Window


🌕The proposed 60-day timeline to finalize complex matters—such as international sanctions relief and the unfreezing of $24 billion in Iranian assets—requires a stable baseline. However, active combat continues across major fronts:


⚪️Strait of Hormuz:

🌕Ongoing naval friction and drone downings mean the tactical leverage Iran holds over global shipping lines cannot be surrendered prematurely.


⚪️Lebanon and Gaza Fronts:

🌕Continued heavy bombardments and evacuation orders in southern Lebanon mean the Axis of Resistance must ensure its security parameters are firmly locked into the final text before any official signing ceremony occurs.


🔢Diplomatic Posturing and Managing Expectations


🌕By stating that a signing "will not be tomorrow," Tehran is actively pushing back against the narrative driven by U.S. President Donald Trump that a deal would be easily finalized over the weekend. This minor delay is a classic diplomatic maneuver designed to manage expectations, signal to Washington that Iran is negotiating from a position of strength, and secure final internal consensus before putting pen to paper.

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🔴 U.S. President Donald Trump on Truth Social:

🔘US President Donald Trump shared a post on his social media platform Truth Social, "Barack Hussein Obama's Deal with Iran, the JCPOA, was an easy, beautiful, smooth road to a Nuclear Weapon, which Iran would have had six years ago, and would have used long before now.

🔘My Agreement with Iran is the exact opposite, A WALL TO NO NUCLEAR WEAPON! In fact, they no longer want a Nuclear Weapon, nor will they have one, either through purchase, development, or any other form of procurement. The Deal is scheduled to get signed tomorrow, and immediately after it is signed, the Hormuz Strait is OPEN TO ALL.

🔘Our relationship with Iran is a much different and better one than previous Administrations have had. Unlike Obama’s Hundreds of Billions of Dollars in payments to them, including 1.7 Billion Dollars in green, cold cash, no money will exchange hands. At the appropriate time, when all is calm, we will go in and get the Nuclear Dust, buried deep under the powerful sunken granite mountains, thanks to our beautiful B-2 Bombers and their brilliant pilots, and downblend and destroy it, whether in Iran, or the United States. We look forward to working with Iran, and the entire Middle East, long into the future.

🔘Hopefully, this process will all work out quickly, easily, and smoothly. If it doesn’t, we have the ultimate alternative, hopefully never to be used again! Thank you for your attention to this matter!!!"

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🔴The Washington Pilgrimage: Why Ali al-Zaidi’s July Visit is About Subjugation, Not Sovereignty


💬The announcement that Iraq's newly minted Prime Minister, Ali al-Zaidi, will fly to Washington in the second half of July 2026 is being framed by government spokesperson Haider al-Aboudi as a mission for "economic cooperation." Baghdad wants the world to believe this trip is an ambitious pursuit of energy and infrastructure investment, driven by shared mutual interests. 


👍But anyone who understands the structural mechanics of modern Iraq knows this "economic" cover story is a mirage. Al-Zaidi is not flying to Washington as an equal economic partner; he is being summoned to receive his marching orders.


🔘The Petrodollar Noose


🌕To understand why this visit is happening now, one must look at the calendar and the bank accounts. The US-led international coalition is scheduled to complete its final drawdown by the end of September 2026. Simultaneously, the US Federal Reserve continues to hold the ultimate kill switch over Iraq’s sovereignty: the Federal Reserve Bank of New York, where all of Iraq’s oil revenues are deposited before being drip-fed back to Baghdad in dollars. 

🌕Washington does not need a formal military occupation when it can spark an overnight currency collapse by restricting cash flows to the Central Bank of Iraq under the guise of anti-money laundering compliance.

🌕This economic chokehold is being explicitly leveraged to dictate Iraq’s internal security and foreign policy. The Trump administration has made its conditions brutally clear:

1⃣ The Disarmament of Factions:

👌The complete neutralization and disarmament of the Popular Mobilization Forces (PMF) and armed factions by the end-of-September deadline. 

2⃣ Severing the Resistance Axis:

🙌Halting all logistical, financial, and political synergy between Baghdad and the Axis of Resistance, specifically cutting off the strategic depth linking Tehran to Damascus, Lebanon, and Yemen.


🔘The Shadow of the "Maliki Dilemma"


🌕Al-Zaidi's very rise to power in May 2026 is a testament to how compromised Iraqi sovereignty remains. The Coordination Framework’s initial choice for Prime Minister earlier this year was Nouri al-Maliki. However, a swift and aggressive threat from the Trump administration—promising to completely cut off financial aid and choke Iraq's access to its own oil funds—forced the coalition to withdraw Maliki's nomination. 

🌕This modern reenactment of the "Maliki Dilemma" proved that Washington still holds a veto over who sits in the Republican Palace in Baghdad. Al-Zaidi, a corporate banker and political newcomer, was selected precisely because he was seen as a compromise figure who could navigate this financial blackmail. Yet, arriving in Washington with key cabinet posts like Defense and Interior still vacant due to internal political gridlock, al-Zaidi stands exposed. He enters the Oval Office not from a position of strength, but as a leader holding an incomplete government, backed into a corner by US dictates. 


🔘The US-Iran Backchannel & The Regional Stakes


👍This mid-July visit cannot be separated from the delicate, high-stakes negotiations currently taking place behind closed doors between Washington and Tehran. Historically, Iraq has been forced to serve as both the boxing ring and the mailbox for US-Iran tensions.

👍Washington is using al-Zaidi as a tool to pressure Iran's regional architecture. By threatening to starve Baghdad of dollars, the US is attempting to force Tehran into making concessions on its regional influence, particularly regarding its allies in Lebanon and Yemen.

👍Conversely, if regional escalations spike—such as the recent drone strikes near Erbil or direct US-Iran maritime frictions—the space for diplomatic maneuvering shrinks to zero. Al-Zaidi risks finding himself signing agreements in Washington that are entirely unenforceable back home, leading to an explosive domestic backlash from the very factions he is being told to dismantle.

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🔴Update on the total toll of the aggression


💬The Health Emergency Operations Center of the Ministry of Public Health issued a statement announcing that the cumulative total toll of the aggression from March 2 until June 13 has become as follows:

🤔3,756 martyrs and 11,632 wounded

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🔴Secret Negotiation Channels: The Parallel Messaging Campaign Between Hezbollah and Washington Across Four Capitals


🔘"Asas Media" website reported, quoting local and regional sources, that "intensive activity based on the exchange of messages between Hezbollah and the United States of America is no longer limited to a single mediator. Instead, it is being engineered through four main parallel channels, most of which operate out of the spotlight:


🌕 The Islamabad Channel:

🙌Managed by Hezbollah's representative in Iran, Mr. Abdullah Safieddine—brother of the former Executive Council Chief, Mr. Hashem Safieddine, and maternal cousin of the late Secretary-General, Mr. Hassan Nasrallah. He exchanges messages via the Pakistanis with the team of the US Special Envoy to Iran, Steven Witkoff.


🌕 The Doha Channel:


🙌Led by Hezbollah's Head of International Relations, Mr. Ammar al-Moussawi, this channel extends beyond the American side to discuss technical files with multiple regional parties.


🌕 The Ain al-Tineh Channel:

🙌Represented by Speaker of Parliament Nabih Berri alongside the US Ambassador to Lebanon, Michael Issa. Hezbollah intersects organizationally with this channel through former Minister Mohammad Fneish and official Ahmad Mehanna.


🔘Within this complex structure, the role of Mr. Abdullah Safieddine emerges as one of the logistical and diplomatic minds working in the shadows. Safieddine did not leave Iranian territory except on a landmark occasion last April, when he traveled with the official Iranian delegation to the Pakistani capital to meet the US delegation led by Vice President JD Vance.


🔘This movement gains major strategic significance in light of what the regional source revealed to "Asas": Safieddine’s historic trip alongside the Tehran delegation was executed based on advance US guarantees and accompanied by close aerial escort from the Pakistani Air Force. This aerial and security cover reflects the weight that Washington and its allies place on this channel, which represents the mouthpiece of actual decision-making.


🔘Safieddine operates in full and organic coordination with Ammar al-Moussawi, implementing precise and strict directives from Hezbollah's Secretary-General, Sheikh Naim Qassem. At this pivotal stage, Sheikh Qassem insists on respecting the distribution of tasks and leadership responsibilities within the structure, and demands that Safieddine remain in direct and permanent communication with him after each round of message exchanges to brief him on the results immediately."

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