🔴Occupation aircraft launch a series of violent airstrikes targeting a number of towns in the Tyre district, in addition to airstrikes targeting the city of Nabatiyeh and its surroundings in southern Lebanon.

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🔴 From the 1982 Invasion to Today's War: The Same Faces, the Same Project

🗒Tuesday , 2/6/2026
⚪️By : Imad Khasman

🔘A Continuation of a Historic Plot:

💬The 1982 invasion of Lebanon was not merely a transient military operation against the resistance; it was a comprehensive US-Israeli political and security project designed to reshape Lebanon's identity and subjugate it, relying on domestic allies who bet on Israeli tanks to seize power.


🔘Domestic Complicity and Failed Bets:

🔫Today, the same mindset resurfaces. Certain Lebanese political factions and figures are attempting to exploit the current war, destruction, and sectarian incitement to impose political realities that the occupation has failed to achieve on the battlefield.


🔘Political Cover for Aggression:

🎙The inciting internal discourse provides a cover for the aggression by blaming the victim (the resistance) instead of condemning the occupier. It treats massacres and devastation as a political opportunity to alter the domestic balance of power through foreign reliance.


🔘The Illusion of Breaking the Resistance:

✌Betting on crushing the resistance and its popular base through killing, displacement, and siege is an illusion. Communities fighting an existential battle for dignity cannot be defeated by force; rather, excessive brutality only fuels further resilience and confrontation.


🔘Threatening Civil Peace:

🌕Internal incitement and exploiting Lebanese blood threaten the country's fragile civil peace. Attempts at revenge and forced exclusion will never build a viable state or produce stability, as nations cannot be constructed on the ruins of hatred and reliance on foreign occupation.

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🔴Lebanon: Operational Situation Brief


🤔 Summary of Aggressions from Midnight until Now:


⚠️ Enemy warplanes launched airstrikes targeting the towns of:

🌕Al-Mansouri
🌕As-Sultaniyah
🌕Tibnin
🌕Hadatha
🌕Kafarsir
🌕 Sir al-Gharbiyah
🌕 Yater
🌕 Al-Ghandouriyah


🛫 An enemy drone also carried out a strike targeting:

● Toul


🔥Enemy artillery targeted:

👍Tibnin
👍 Majdal Selm
👍 As-Sultaniyah
👍 Srifa
👍 The area located between Srifa and Shhour
👍Ali al-Tahir Heights
👍 An-Nabatiyah al-Fawqa
👍 Shukin
👍Kfar Tibnit
👍As-Sama'iyah

⚠️An enemy controlled-detonation/demolition was also recorded in:

✌Dibbin


🔰AlMuraqeb’s Military Comment:


💬The target distribution reveals a dual-layer operational pattern:


🔢 Deep Tactical Interdiction & Sustainment Disruption:

🤔The heavy concentration of airstrikes and artillery across the Nabatiyah governorate (Toul, Shukin, Kfar Tibnit, Sir al-Gharbiyah, Kafarsir) and the central sectors (Tibnin, As-Sultaniyah) points to a systematic campaign to sever lines of communication and logistics. By targeting these secondary hubs, the adversary aims to isolate forward defensive positions closer to the Blue Line.


🔢 Forward Demolition & Buffer Stabilization:

🤔The recorded detonation in Dibbin indicates active, ground-level engineering operations.

🌕This aligns with a clearing strategy aimed at dismantling defensive infrastructure and tunnel networks to deny forward staging areas, while the artillery coverage on high ground (Ali al-Tahir Heights) provides overwatch and suppresses counter-battery fire.


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🔴Lebanese Ministry of Health:

🤔3,468 dead and 10,577 injured in the Israeli war from March 2 to June 2

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🔴 The Zionist army desecrates a new church in the south of Lebanon...

🤔Desecration and violations against churches and Christian icons continue.

🌕Despite these violations, the Lebanese Christian Right still raises slogans of love for Israel and calls to drink beer on the beaches of Jaffa to celebrate Israel's victory!!!

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🔴 Why the "Axios" leaks are a new hoax?


🔁 Once again, the Western media machine deploys a "news bombshell" via the Axios platform and the pen of its Israeli correspondent, Barak Ravid. The leak speaks of a "sharp reprimand" and a profanity-laced shouting match between Donald Trump and Benjamin Netanyahu regarding the escalation in Lebanon!


🔽 But is this dispute real? Or is it a repeated scenario designed to mislead the opposing front and engineer strategic calculations?


✍️ Engineering the minds of negotiators in Beirut and Tehran
💬 The timing of these leaks is malicious and precisely targeted at decision-makers and negotiators in the region.
The subliminal message intended to be planted in the Arab political mind is:
"Step back a little and make concessions in the negotiations, for Trump is reining Netanyahu in and is furious at his madness!"


🔻 This tactic is politically known as the "good cop, bad cop" routine; Netanyahu raises the ceiling of military madness and the destruction of residential complexes, while Trump publicly intervenes through leaks to play the role of savior and pacifier. The ultimate goal is to reap political fruits and impose US-Israeli conditions at the negotiating table.


🗒 A lesson from history: The "Potemkin Peace" plan (Visual Deception)


🤔 To expose the falsehood of this theatrical play, one only needs to return to what The Washington Post published in its analysis of Trump's approach and his specialization in creating so-called "Potemkin peace plans" (sham, temporary agreements manufactured as a shiny facade to deceive public opinion, while the reality behind them is destructive).
At a time when the media previously promoted the existence of a dispute and estrangement between Trump and Netanyahu, The Washington Post analytical article clarified the truth behind Trump's reconciliation plans, stating verbatim in the text:


👌"The plan was not a step toward real peace; it was merely a fig leaf for the ongoing efforts to create 'Greater Israel,' ultimately erasing the Palestinians as a meaningful political entity, and facilitating Israel’s slow-moving conquest of the West Bank."


📌 Do not fall into the trap


📄 Today, the exact same scenario is repeating letter for letter on the Lebanese front. Trump wants to showcase the role of the globally powerful "peacemaker" for electoral and personal calculations. Yet, behind the scenes, Netanyahu cannot move a single step or alter his target bank without a green light and full coordination with Washington.
This alleged media reprimand via Axios is nothing but a political play to buy Netanyahu extra time, and to alleviate international pressure and isolation from the Trump administration. Negotiators in the region must not allow this "theater" to engineer their minds and alter their calculations; the real containment of the occupation is forged by the battlefield and the steadfastness of the negotiator, not by Barak Ravid's fabricated leaks.


#Israel #Iran #Lebanon #Negotiations #Trump #Netanyahu


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🔴 Beirut _ Yesterday

🤔Within the framework of the diplomatic momentum ongoing for over 24 hours, led by the Lebanese government delegation (headed by Nawaf Salam) in Washington, statements by Parliament Speaker Nabih Berri came to provide political and field guarantees for Beirut's red lines, decisively outlining the domestic front's position in three primary points:


🔢Rejecting a Partial Cessation and Mandating a Comprehensive Solution

👍Berri categorically rejected proposals raised two days ago regarding a "partial truce" (such as halting the bombardment of Beirut in exchange for freezing resistance operations). His advisor, Ali Hamdan, confirmed that the steadfast Lebanese demand is a complete and comprehensive Israeli ceasefire (encompassing airstrikes, shelling, land and sea operations, and bulldozing and destruction activities in the South).


🔢 Providing a Public Guarantee on Behalf of the Resistance


🌕Berri took an advanced step by providing a "direct guarantee" of Hezbollah’s immediate and full commitment to the agreement if Tel Aviv adheres to it. Asking, "Who will compel Israel to stop its aggression?", he emphasized that the current obstacle lies in the absence of international guarantees for the Israeli side's commitment, rather than the position of the resistance.


🔢 Decoupling the Lebanese Track from the Iranian File

🌕In a decisive diplomatic signal, Berri stressed that Lebanon needs a ceasefire "whether the agreement is separate from Iran or linked to it." He declared that the priority for the Lebanese domestic front and the resistance is protecting the land and immediately stopping the bleeding of war, without tying the fate of the South to the broader US-Iranian negotiation track.


⚪️What does this mean for the ongoing negotiation mechanism?


🤔Politically, Berri’s positions are considered the "executive complement" to the diplomatic efforts led by Nawaf Salam’s government in Washington. While the government officially negotiates the legal formulations of Resolution 1701, Berri grants these negotiations "legitimate cover and executive power" on the ground by guaranteeing Hezbollah's stance in coordination with Tehran.

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🔴Persian Gulf Developments (00:00–08:40, 3 June 2026)

💬Key Events

1⃣ Iranian missile and drone attacks against U.S.-linked targets in the Gulf

👌Iran’s Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) announced missile and drone strikes against U.S. military facilities associated with the U.S. Fifth Fleet and other installations in the Gulf. Iranian media described the attacks as retaliation for earlier U.S. actions near Qeshm Island and in the Strait of Hormuz.

2⃣ Bahrain and Kuwait activate air defenses

👌Bahraini and Kuwaiti authorities reported intercepting incoming missiles and drones. U.S. Central Command stated that most projectiles were intercepted and that no American personnel were killed in the attacks.

3⃣U.S. strikes on Iranian positions on Qeshm Island

👌CENTCOM conducted what it described as “self-defense” strikes against Iranian military infrastructure, including drone and command-and-control facilities on Qeshm Island near the Strait of Hormuz.

4⃣ Continued confrontation around the Strait of Hormuz

👌Reports indicate further incidents involving vessels accused by Washington of violating the U.S.-led maritime blockade. Iran views these actions as attacks on its sovereignty and maritime commerce.

5⃣ Oil prices rise sharply

👌Brent crude approached $97 per barrel while traders priced in the growing risk of disruption to shipping through the Strait of Hormuz, a critical global energy chokepoint.

6⃣ U.S.-Iran negotiations remain stalled

👌Despite reports in recent days that negotiators were close to a memorandum of understanding, the latest military exchanges have increased uncertainty surrounding any breakthrough.


✍️Political Assessment

🌕The most important political development is that the military escalation occurred precisely when Washington and Tehran appeared to be approaching a framework agreement.

🇮🇷 The United States continues to pursue a dual-track strategy:

✌Maintain military pressure.
Keep diplomatic channels open.

👍Iran, meanwhile, appears determined to demonstrate that negotiations cannot proceed under conditions it perceives as coercive pressure.

🤲A critical observation is that Gulf states such as Bahrain and Kuwait increasingly function as forward operating hubs for U.S. military power. From Tehran’s perspective, this reduces their neutrality and exposes them to becoming part of the confrontation. Whether one agrees with Iran’s position or not, this perception is now embedded in Iranian strategic thinking.

🤲The UAE has been more cautious publicly, but remains deeply integrated into the U.S. regional security architecture. Earlier reports suggested Gulf leaders had urged Washington to avoid a broader war with Iran, reflecting concern that their own infrastructure could become targets.


🔰Military Assessment

🔽Militarily, neither side appears to be seeking full-scale war.

🤔The U.S. objective remains:

👍Protection of maritime traffic.
👍Protection of Gulf bases.
👍Preservation of deterrence.

🔻Iran’s objective remains:

🌕Demonstrating that pressure carries costs.
🌕Maintaining deterrence.
🌕Showing it can threaten regional military infrastructure and energy routes if necessary.

🔹The exchanges demonstrate that both sides retain substantial strike capabilities despite months of conflict. However, neither side has crossed into the type of escalation that would suggest preparations for regime-change operations or a major invasion.


🔰 Axis of Resistance Perspective

🙌From the perspective of Iran and allied resistance movements, today’s events reinforce three narratives:

👌The U.S. remains the principal military actor shaping regional security.
Gulf partners hosting U.S. forces are viewed as participants rather than neutral actors.

👋Regional fronts—including Iran, Lebanon, Iraq, and Yemen—are increasingly interconnected politically.

✌Iranian officials have repeatedly linked developments in Lebanon to broader regional understandings, suggesting that instability on one front could affect understandings reached elsewhere.

🔫Impact on U.S.-Iran Negotiations

⚠️Negative Factors

✌Rising domestic pressure on both governments.
✌Greater distrust after direct military exchanges.
✌Increased influence of hardliners on both sides.

✍️Positive Factors

👋Neither side has abandoned diplomacy.
👋Energy-market pressures create incentives for de-escalation.
👋Gulf states generally prefer a negotiated outcome over prolonged conflict.

👌My assessment is that negotiations are weakened but not dead. The current escalation resembles coercive bargaining more than a final collapse of diplomacy.


⚪️Impact on the Lebanon Ceasefire

👍The greatest risk for Lebanon is linkage.

🤔If Iran concludes that negotiations are failing because of continued military pressure from Washington and Israel, pressure could increase across multiple fronts.

🤔Conversely, if negotiations recover, Lebanon could benefit from a broader regional de-escalation package.

🤔Recent reports indicate that Iran has connected developments in Lebanon to wider regional calculations, making the Lebanese ceasefire increasingly dependent on regional diplomacy rather than purely local dynamics.

🤔How Israel Benefits

🌕Israel benefits strategically from prolonged confrontation between Washington and Tehran in several ways:

🔘International attention shifts away from Gaza and Lebanon.
🔘Iranian diplomatic and military resources are diverted toward the Gulf.
🔘Regional normalization efforts become more dependent on U.S. security guarantees.
🔘Pressure grows for continued containment of Iranian influence.

⚪️However, Israel also faces risks. A complete collapse of diplomacy could produce a broader regional conflict involving multiple fronts, increasing uncertainty for all actors. This is why some Israeli and American security officials have historically favored pressure combined with controlled escalation rather than unlimited confrontation.

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