📌Strategic Questions for the Arab Observer

✌Can a sustainable peace truly emerge in the region while the West conditions it on stripping Tehran entirely of its nuclear and deterrence leverage?

✌Is the 24-hour deadline a genuine diplomatic breakthrough, or merely a Western media maneuver designed to later blame Tehran for the collapse of negotiations?

🤔If the Axis of Resistance accepts a cessation of hostilities across all fronts, will it have consolidated a strategic victory — or granted Washington and Tel Aviv the opportunity to regroup and recover?

#Geopolitics #USIranWar #StraitOfHormuz #AxisOfResistance #AlMuraqeb

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🔴 Trump claims a US-Iran “peace memorandum” is close to finalization with regional mediation, stressing: The Strait of Hormuz will be opened

🤔 U.S. President Donald Trump claimed on his "Truth Social" platform that a peace memorandum between the United States and Iran is now very close to being signed.

📄 Trump explained that he held phone calls with the leaders of Saudi Arabia, the UAE, Qatar, Pakistan, Turkey, Egypt, Jordan, and Bahrain, as well as Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu, as part of discussions on the final details of the agreement.

❗️ Trump added that the Strait of Hormuz "will be opened" once the final arrangements of the memorandum are completed.

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🔴Baghaei Comments with a Historical Narrative:

"In Roman mind, Rome was the undisputed center of the world. Yet the Iranians shattered this illusion. When Marcus Julius Philippus (Philip the Arab) marched east against Persia, the campaign did not result in a Roman victory; instead, it ended in peace established on Sasanian terms—the emperor had to come to terms!"

🔘 Yet, instead of confronting Trump’s narrative with decisive answers, the Axis of Resistance's public—which is enduring the harshest conditions to defend its security and independence—is left defenseless against the American media onslaught. Meanwhile, the Foreign Ministry spokesperson responds, as usual, with obscure historical references that neither explain the reality of what is happening nor reveal the true cost of this "deal."

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🔴 Hours ago, and directly addressed to those optimistic about a deal: Trump reassures Israel

🎙 In an interview with Israel's Channel 12—which preceded his latest tweets—Donald Trump commented on the circulating reports about an imminent deal with Tehran, stating:

"If the deal is not good for Israel, I will not sign it."

🔽 In an aggressive tone aimed at dispelling Tel Aviv's concerns, Trump added that no agreement would go through without fully securing Israel's interests and addressing the nuclear file, presenting Tehran with two stark options:

"Either we reach a deal, or I will destroy them forever."

🤔 These statements prove that Trump can never be trusted.

#Trump #Netanyahu #Iran

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🔴The Office of Ayatollah Khamenei Re-publishes an Excerpt from His Previous Message:

🔻 U.S. Bases in the Region Must Be Closed

🗒 We share land or maritime borders with fifteen neighboring countries, and we have always desired, and continue to desire, warm and constructive relations with all of them. However, the enemy has established bases in some of these countries to secure its dominance over the region... I advise them to close those bases as soon as possible.

✍️ Excerpt from His Eminence's Message | March 11, 2026

#Mojtaba_Khamenei #Iran #USA

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🔴 Behind the Ink: Did Trump Corner Tehran, or is the "Hormuz Card" Far from Over?


🗂The preliminary Memorandum of Understanding (MOU) announced by US President Donald Trump marks a critical juncture following the war that erupted on February 28, 2026. Pakistan-mediated talks have culminated in a 60-day framework, but a sober geopolitical analysis reveals a striking imbalance in the immediate concessions.


✍️The Analytical & Critical Breakdown


👌At first glance, Washington appears to have secured its primary objective without firing a subsequent shot: the full reopening of the Strait of Hormuz. By eliminating transit fees entirely, the US circumvented the $2,000 to $3,000 fee per vessel previously floated, protecting the passage of 20% of global oil supplies.

✌More critically, Washington has committed zero upfront capital—no unfrozen assets or direct financial transfers will flow to Tehran immediately. Instead, Trump is executing a strict "relief for performance" strategy. 

🌕For Iran, the gains are entirely conditional. While the US promised naval blockade relief and temporary sanctions waivers to allow the free sale of Iranian oil, these are temporary privileges tethered to a ticking clock. Tehran has exactly 60 days to negotiate highly sensitive nuclear rollbacks—including the suspension of uranium enrichment and the reduction of its highly enriched stockpiles.

🌕Furthermore, the inclusion of Lebanon in this ceasefire framework raises deep skepticism. Historically, regional actors have observed how Western-brokered agreements fail to bind Israeli military action. The separate Lebanon-Israel track established after the April ceasefires has seen repeated Israeli infractions. Placing Lebanese sovereignty as a sub-clause in a broad US-Iran maritime agreement offers no structural guarantees for Beirut or the Axis of Resistance.

🔰The Axis of Resistance Perspective

🔻From the perspective of the Axis, the MOU reads uncomfortably close to the Western containment playbooks of the past. Tehran’s decision to effectively give up its most potent geopolitical leverage—the closure of the Strait of Hormuz—in exchange for mere negotiating time is viewed by critics as highly asymmetric. While Iranian state media and agencies like Fars try to frame the deal as retaining local maritime management, the physical reality is that the blockade is lifting without permanent sanctions removal.


📌Questions for Our Readers:


1⃣ If the closure of the Strait of Hormuz was Tehran's "nuclear equivalent" of deterrence, why surrender it for a fragile 60-day sanctions waiver? 

2⃣ Given Tel Aviv's systematic history of ignoring US-brokered truces, can a paper agreement genuinely protect Lebanon, or is it a calculated maneuver to isolate regional fronts one by one?

3⃣ Did the diplomatic channels in Islamabad deliver a strategic pause for the Axis, or did Donald Trump just get exactly what he wanted for free?

#Geopolitics #StraitOfHormuz #Iran #LebanonCeasefire #Trump #AxisOfResistance #AlMuraqeb

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🔴Member of the Iranian negotiating delegation, Seyed Mohammad Marandi:

"The New York Times report regarding the agreement is full of fake news. Iran's regional allies are included in the agreement, and there is no nuclear commitment within its text."

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🔴Deal Leaks #1: The Naqoura Exclusion

🎙US President Donald Trump has dropped a political bombshell by announcing that "Naqoura in southern Lebanon is not included in the agreement between us and Iran" (within the draft of the May 2026 understanding brokered by the Pakistani mediator).

❓ Why is Trump focusing on "Naqoura"?

Excluding this strategic coastal point means directly targeting:

🤔 Offshore Gas Wealth: Naqoura is ground zero for the maritime border, directly overlooking Lebanon's gas blocks and vital energy fields in the Mediterranean (such as Block 9 and the Qana field).

🤔 The UN Peacekeeping Headquarters (UNIFIL), which grants the area significant security and diplomatic weight.

🤔 The primary anchor point for all land and maritime demarcation negotiations.

🔰 Awaiting the Iranian Response

🔻We watch and wait to see how the Iranian negotiating party will react or respond to this critical exclusion.


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🔴War and assassinations are coming, whether an agreement is reached or not


✍️ Amir-Hossein Sabeti / Member of the Iranian Parliament

👌 Conflicting news and suspicions regarding the negotiations are circulating. As usual, the negotiating team's officials—from Araqchi to Qalibaf—remain completely silent, leaving American media the opportunity to monopolize the "first narrative." It seems our officials still view the public as untrustworthy to be informed about the inner workings of these matters.

⚪️ In any case, whether there is an agreement or not:

1⃣ The war on the military field will continue. The enemy's goal is our destruction, not negotiation and crisis resolution. Let us not forget that the previous two wars broke out from the middle of the negotiation table. It is not unlikely this time either, that at the height of seemingly positive news about the talks, we will be blindsided by the sudden launch of enemy attacks. This is especially true since the core of the enemy's assessments centers on the necessity of "assassinating the opponents of Iran's surrender" at all levels—with the Leader of the Revolution as the prime target, followed by military commanders, and then anti-American politicians.

2⃣ America will not fulfill any commitment it makes. Therefore, anyone who still rejoices at the possibility of signing an agreement is delusional, living in another world, and wants to test this dead end for the hundredth time.

3⃣ If there is an agreement, we will weigh it against the red lines set by the Leader. If the agreement aligns with those criteria, we will support the negotiators. If it does not, we will handle them differently and expose them to the public.

🔻 Controlling the Strait of Hormuz, refusing to negotiate over the nuclear dossier, extracting reparations from the enemy, lifting sanctions, and releasing frozen assets... all constitute a major part of the red lines that must be adhered to in any agreement.

📣 Mr. Araqchi and Mr. Qalibaf! The choice is in your hands: either unite the nation by maintaining the Leader’s red lines, or—God forbid—cause societal fracture and division by violating them, paving the way for a new sedition in the country.


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🔴The Illusion of "Dignity" Under Fire: Pezeshkian’s Rhetoric vs. Trump’s Dictates


💬As a dynamic preliminary agreement brokered by Islamabad begins to emerge following the devastating regional strikes of February 2026, Iranian President Masoud Pezeshkian has shifted into a defensive rhetorical stance. Speaking via state media (IRNA) on May 24, 2026, Pezeshkian declared that Tehran is

"ready to reassure the world"

👌that it is not seeking nuclear weapons, while defensively asserting that the Iranian negotiating team

"will not compromise when it comes to the honor and dignity of our country." 

🤔From a critical geopolitical and Axis of Resistance perspective, these statements do not signal strength; they reveal an alarming asymmetrical weakness.

⚪️The Analytical Breakdown

✍️While Donald Trump took to social media to aggressively declare that a deal—which includes lifting the April 13 U.S. naval blockade of Iranian ports and clearing mines from the Strait of Hormuz—is "

largely negotiated,

🔹 " Pezeshkian chose to offer pre-emptive concessions to the "international community."


🔹The Nuclear Disparity:

👍Iran currently holds over 400 kilograms of highly enriched uranium. Instead of utilizing this massive strategic leverage to dictate terms, the Iranian presidency is offering appeasement.


⚪️The "Dignity" Trap:

🌕Pledging not to compromise on "honor" is an empty political slogan when the adversary is operating from a doctrine of maximum military pressure. Washington has made it clear that a 60-day truce is merely a window to force Iran into absolute zero-enrichment.


📌Critical Questions for the Resistance Public


1⃣ Does "reassuring the world" mean capitulating to the exact same Western matrix that tore up the 2015 JCPOA and launched the devastating strikes of February 28?


2⃣ How can a state defend its "dignity" when its executive branch treats strategic nuclear leverage as an item to be bargained away in exchange for a temporary lifting of a siege?


3⃣ By rushing to justify its peaceful intentions while American strike options remain openly on the table, is the Iranian presidency inadvertently inviting further aggression?

#Iran #Geopolitics #AxisOfResistance #NuclearNegotiations #Pezeshkian #Trump2026 #StraitOfHormuz #AlMuraqeb

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🔴 Trump reposts Iranian President Pezeshkian’s statement on nuclear weapons.

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🔴 Summary of Islamic Resistance Operations (Saturday, May 23, 2026)

🌟 In defense of Lebanon and its people, and in response to the Israeli enemy’s violations of the ceasefire and its attacks on civilians, the Islamic Resistance carried out 12 military operations, detailed as follows:

🔻Air Defense:
✅ Intercepted an Israeli "Heron 1" drone in the skies over the Beqaa region with a surface-to-air missile, forcing it to retreat.

🔻 Iron Dome Platforms:
✅ Targeted two Iron Dome platforms at the Branit barracks.
✅ Targeted two Iron Dome platforms at the Ramim (Hunin) barracks.
🤔 (All carried out using Ababil loitering munitions, achieving confirmed hits)

🔻 Military and Engineering Vehicles:
✅ Targeted a military vehicle at the Ras al-Naqoura site *(seen burning)*.
✅ Targeted a command vehicle at the Jal al-Allam site *(resulting in its destruction by fire, along with two nearby vehicles)*.
✅ Targeted an engineering vehicle in the city of Bint Jbeil.
🤔 (All carried out using Ababil loitering munitions)

🔻 Troop Concentrations:
✅ Targeted a gathering of enemy soldiers at the riverbed on the outskirts of Deir Seryan *(with artillery shells)*.
✅ Targeted a gathering of enemy soldiers in the Iskandarouna area of Al-Bayyadah *(with an Ababil loitering munition, achieving a confirmed hit)*.

🔻 Technical Equipment and Jamming Systems:
✅ Targeted technical equipment at the Jal al-Allam site, resulting in its destruction.
✅ Targeted two "Drone Dome" counter-drone jamming systems at the newly established site in Nimr al-Jamal and the Al-Jardah site.
✅ Targeted a "Drone Dome" counter-drone jamming system in the town of Naqoura.
🤔*(All carried out using Ababil loitering munitions)*

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🔴 Deal Leaks #2: The Uranium "Disposal" Trap

🎙 Leaks reported by CBS reveal that Iran has agreed "in principle" to dispose of its highly-enriched uranium. The proposed deal follows a two-step formula, beginning with the immediate opening of the Strait of Hormuz in exchange for lifting the U.S. blockade, followed by a strict 30-day deadline to negotiate the nuclear file.

❓ Why is this concession engineered as a U.S. trap?
👌Disposing of these materials would strip Iran of its "survival card and strategic deterrent," handing Washington the following advantages:

⚠️ A Zero-Risk Military Strike:
🙌As long as highly-enriched uranium remains in Iranian territory, the U.S. and Israel dread any attack that might trigger Tehran to immediately alter its nuclear doctrine. Removing these materials eliminates this risk, making a future strike against Iran low-cost and free from the threat of a devastating strategic retaliation.

📄 A Repeat of the Libyan and Iraqi Scenarios:
🔫This highly mirrors the 2003 Muammar Gaddafi model, where he shipped his nuclear equipment to the U.S. only to see his country invaded years later, as well as Saddam Hussein’s regime, which was fully verified to be cleared of deterrent weapons before the 2003 invasion of Iraq.

⚠️ Illusory Guarantees and the Congress Hurdle:
👍Any deal with the Trump administration lacks concrete guarantees. The INARA law mandates a congressional review, and with a Congress heavily backed by Netanyahu's supporters, Iran risks surrendering its stockpile "in cash" for American promises "on credit"—promises that can be scrapped with a single stroke of a pen.

❗️ The 30-Day Deadline as a Ticking Time Bomb:
This timeframe is not designed for calm, diplomatic negotiations, but is rather a "critical and high-pressure deadline." Iran will find itself under the constant threat of a renewed blockade or war if it fails to sign off on pre-packaged U.S. demands within a single month—all after it has already surrendered its core leverage.

🔰 Awaiting the Iranian Response
🔻 We await to see how the Iranian negotiator will handle these critical terms, which directly compromise the nation's core national security and vital deterrent architecture.

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🔴The Commander-in-Thief: Trump’s $1.776 Billion Settlement and Audit Immunity


✍️A summary of Matthew Stevenson's analysis of Donald Trump’s controversial $1.776 billion self-settlement:


🔘The Heist:

🌕Trump settled a lawsuit regarding the leak of his tax returns for $1.776 billion (down from an initial $10 billion demand), fabricating a narrative that the funds are intended to compensate victims of the Biden administration's "judicial weaponization." In reality, the settlement serves his personal financial interests.


🔘DOJ Failures:

👍Merrick Garland’s Department of Justice slow-walked key prosecutions regarding the January 6th Capitol riot and the mishandling of classified documents at Mar-a-Lago, allowing Trump to evade accountability before the 2024 election.


🔘The "Swag" Distribution:

🌕Trump will appoint a committee—likely featuring close associates like Jared Kushner and Steve Witkoff—to distribute the settlement funds. Opponents will see nothing, while Trump himself is expected to be rewarded heavily for "emotional anguish."


🔘Total Tax Immunity:

💬As part of the settlement, the DOJ dropped all current tax audits for Trump, his sons, and their businesses. This unconstitutional addendum effectively grants the Trump Organization an ongoing, unchecked tax pardon, turning the U.S. into a haven for illicit financial operations.

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🔴The Man Who Seeks to Rule the World: Trump’s Unchecked Global Overreach


✍️A summary of Lawrence Wittner’s analysis detailing the rapid expansion of Donald Trump’s unilateral foreign policy during his second term:


⚪️Territorial Expansion & The "Donroe Doctrine":

🌕Trump has proposed annexing or controlling multiple nations—including Greenland, Canada, Mexico, Panama, Gaza, Venezuela, and Cuba—while declaring absolute American dominance over the Western Hemisphere.


⚪️Dismantling Alliances & Military Surge:

🔫Facing deep fractures with NATO, Trump proposed a record $1.5 trillion U.S. military budget (a 42% Pentagon increase), alongside an anticipated $200 billion supplement for the war with Iran.


⚪️Nuclear Ambitions:

✍️Nuclear weapons spending has reached $98 billion for a new generation of armaments. Following the lapse of previous treaties, Trump has ordered the resumption of U.S. nuclear testing for the first time since 1992, maintaining sole authority to launch a nuclear strike.


🤔Unilateral Warfare:

📄Bypassing Congress, the administration has executed strikes on Iranian nuclear facilities, bombed Venezuela, blockaded Cuba, and engaged in a joint war with Israel against Iran, displacing 3.2 million people and causing global economic turmoil.


🔘Crippling the United Nations:

✌The U.S. has withdrawn from key UN agencies (WHO, UNHRC, UNRWA, UNESCO) and withheld nearly $4 billion in mandated dues, pushing the UN toward imminent financial collapse.


🔘The "Board of Peace":

👌To bypass international law, Trump established a self-styled "Board of Peace" as a UN alternative. Appointing himself lifetime chair with absolute veto power, membership requires a $1 billion entry fee, consolidating global decision-making into a single, transactional entity.

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🔴Breaking | U.S. Department of State:

We strongly condemn Hezbollah's call to overthrow the democratically elected government.

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🔴The Armed Truce: Have China and Russia Entered an Open Clash with the Western Project in Lebanon?


💬From the moment talk began regarding a potential truce between Washington and Tehran, it appeared as though the world had entered a new phase characterized by de-escalation... yet its true essence is a redistribution of fronts and alliances in preparation for what is far more dangerous.

🔽The current calm does not resemble peace; rather, it resembles an "armed truce" beneath which armies are moving, and during which the upcoming clash lines between the two international blocs are being constructed.

🎙Following Trump’s announcement of the possibility of reaching an agreement with Iran, the Russian response came swiftly via the most violent attack on Ukraine in months. This was a message understood by many as a direct warning to NATO against exploiting any de-escalation in the Middle East to militarily rearrange the Western front.


👍The expanding hypothesis within analytical centers today is that Moscow considers any truce with Iran to be merely a temporary grace period that grants Washington the opportunity to reorganize its forces with NATO, and to establish a military balance that allows for the opening of more than one front simultaneously, from the Gulf to Europe.


🔘For this reason, Russia has begun raising the level of its military and political messages: threats to the Baltic states, nuclear maneuvers with Belarus, and clear warnings that any broader NATO intervention in the Middle East will be met with escalation inside Europe itself.


⚠️As for China, despite its apparent calm, it operates with a similar strategic logic.
Beijing realizes that any American success in resetting the Strait of Hormuz or imposing complete dominance over global energy and trade lines will directly impact its global economic project and its major trade corridors.


🌕Consequently, the Iranian file is no longer viewed by Russia and China as merely the file of a regional ally; rather, it has become part of a larger battle tied to preventing the United States from unilaterally leading the global order.


⚪️It is precisely from this point that Lebanon's position within this conflict has also begun to shift.


🔻The file of Hezbollah is no longer viewed in Moscow and Beijing solely as an Iranian arm in the region, but as part of the architecture of the grand confrontation against the project of American hegemony in the Middle East.

👍In other words, any attempt to weaken Hezbollah or change Lebanese balances by force is no longer read merely as a blow to Iran, but as a step within a broader Western project to reshape the region politically, militarily, and economically in a way that serves American influence and its allies.


🌟 For this reason, the Lebanese front today appears more connected to the international scene than ever before.
At this exact timing came the speech of Sheikh Naim Qassem with unprecedented escalation, when he spoke of the necessity of confronting everyone who "revolves in the Western orbit" and linked the internal battle to the confrontation with Israel itself.

📄These words reflect a growing conviction within the Axis of Resistance that the conflict in Lebanon is no longer confined to the military front with Israel, but has become an open confrontation with an entire political project believed to be working on reshaping Lebanon to fit the new Western vision for the region.


🤔 Conversely, Washington and Western nations view the weakening of the Party as an essential component of any regional rearrangement following Gaza and the tension with Iran.
👋Therefore, the most dangerous aspect of what is occurring today is not direct war... but rather the stage that precedes it.
A stage in which the truce turns into a cover for repositioning, and in which governments, fronts, and economies turn into battlegrounds between two massive international projects:
👌A project that wants to solidify Western hegemony...

🔽And another project led by Russia and China that refuses to let the world remain under unipolar leadership.


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🔴The blood of the Hashd purifies the land.. while the politicians' thrones forget the favor!
👍Baghdad | May 25, 2026


🤔Today, the Popular Mobilization Forces (PMF) and loyal crowds held a funeral procession for the body of the mujahid martyr (Sattar Jabbar al-Abadi "Aayed"), a hero of the 6th Brigade. He ascended last night in the Salah al-Din operations sector following a mortar shell explosion during the performance of the sacred duty to preserve Iraq's independence and security.

🔹The ascension of the martyr "Aayed" shines a light once again on the bitter paradox and deep rift between the sacrifices of the loyal in the field and the conspiracies of the politicians.
🔹While the heroes of the Hashd put their lives on the line in the wilderness and valleys to serve as the nation's shield, the affluent politicians in the corridors of Baghdad busy themselves with deals and pressure to weaken this security conscience—completely forgetting that if not for the blood of these martyrs, they would not have thrones to rule from today.
#Iraq #Popular_Mobilization #Limiting_Weapons

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🔴 Dr. Foad Izadi: The crisis between Iran and America has no diplomatic solution, but a military one


👍 International affairs expert Dr. Foad Izadi confirmed that negotiating with Washington is pointless, explaining that Trump does not possess the legal authority to lift sanctions.

💬 Speaking on the digital platform "Jidal", Dr. Izadi stated:

"The crisis between Iran and America cannot be resolved diplomatically, but rather militarily; meaning our defense capabilities must reach a level that deters the enemy's ambitions against us. Lifting sanctions—which is the primary Iranian demand—is not even in Trump's hands; even if he signs an agreement, it requires Congress's approval, which will not happen. America wants to strip us of our cards of strength, and in return, it has nothing tangible to offer us."

#Iran #America #Negotiations #Strait_of_Hormuz

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🔴Trump’s New Middle East Formula: Peace With Iran… in Exchange for Normalization?

“We either get a great deal with Iran, or no deal at all.”

That was Donald Trump’s message after Saturday’s regional talks — but the real headline came next: he openly pressured participating Arab leaders to sign the Abraham Accords.

Why is Washington suddenly linking Iran negotiations to normalization with Israel?

Because the issue is no longer just about Tehran’s nuclear file. It is about redesigning the Middle East itself.

Since the launch of the Abraham Accords in 2020, the UAE, Bahrain, Morocco, and Sudan formally normalized ties with Israel under US sponsorship. But the strategic prize was always larger states: Saudi Arabia, Lebanon, Iraq, Syria, Qatar, Kuwait, Algeria, and Oman.

Trump now appears determined to revive the project as part of a wider anti-Iran regional architecture:

— Integrate Israel economically and militarily into the Arab world

— Create a regional NATO-style security bloc

— Isolate Iran and resistance movements

— Secure trade corridors from India to Europe through the Gulf and Israel

— Reduce China’s and Russia’s influence in West Asia

But which countries are resisting?

Saudi Arabia has slowed normalization after Gaza’s destruction and the deaths of tens of thousands of Palestinians since October 2023.

Lebanon remains officially opposed due to the conflict with Israel and the role of Hezbollah.

Iraq criminalized normalization in 2022 with penalties reaching life imprisonment.

Algeria has repeatedly rejected the accords publicly.

Qatar and Kuwait continue avoiding formal normalization despite indirect coordination with Washington.

From the Axis of Resistance perspective, this is not “peace.” It is a geopolitical restructuring project designed to dismantle the Palestinian cause and transform Israel from a contested entity into the military and economic center of the region.

The critical question:

If normalization truly brings “stability,” why has the region become more militarized, polarized, and volatile since 2020?

And another:


Is Washington seeking peace with Iran — or demanding Iran’s strategic surrender while simultaneously normalizing Israel’s regional supremacy?


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