Despite pressure from Trump, the Fed remains firm, keeping rates at 4.25β4.5% following the June 18 meeting.
πΉ Inflation has not cooled enough, and 2025 GDP growth is projected at only 1.4%, so no rush to ease policy.
πΉ Two rate cuts are expected this year β with lighter expectations for 2026 and 2027.
πΉ Chairman Powell cautions that recent inflation data only reflects the past, and the Fed will remain cautious.
β Highlights:
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π° Top News
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In last night's testimony, Fed Chair Jerome Powell affirmed that interest rates will remain unchanged due to the risk of inflation resurgingβpartly driven by the new tariffs.
Powell stated that the Fed is ready to adjust its policies if the labor market weakens, although the U.S. economy is currently stable with no signs of recession.
π° Top News:
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July 2 : $BTC $ETH $XRP $SOL $ADA - Grayscale ETF Approval Deadline
July 2 : KR - Review of KRW Stablecoin Issuance Requirements
July 2 : $ECHO - Binance Alpha
July 3 : US - JOLTS Job Openings
July 3 : US - Unemployment Rate
July 3 : US - Initial Jobless Claims
July 3 : US - Nonfarm Payrolls
July 3 : $ICNT - Binance Alpha/Future
July 3 : Upbit - $XEM $STMX Delisting
July 3 : Bithumb - $STMX Delisting
July 3 : Backpack - Season 2
July 4 : US - Big Beautiful Bill (BBB) Target Deadline
July 4 : $CROSS - Binance Alpha
July 4 ~ : Grok 4 Release
July 6 : $JUP - Jupiter Studio
July 9 : US - Expiration of Reciprocal Tariff Suspension
July 9 : US - FOMC Meeting Minutes
July 11 : US - Federal Budget Balance
July 15 : US - CPI
July 16 : US - PPI
July 16 : US - Beige Book
July 17 : $UXLINK - Expand Strategic Reserve
July 17 : $UXLINK - $11.5M Unlock (9.17% of Circ)
July 18 : $TRUMP - $465M Unlock (25.1% of Circ)
July 21 : US - Tariff Talks with Canada
July 21 : Coinbase - Perpetual Futures in US
July 23 : $APPL $META - Earnings Call
July 25 : $AVAX - VanEck ETF Approval Deadline
July 29 : JP - BoJ Interest Rate Decision
July 29 : $GOOGL $MSFT $TSLA - Earnings Call
July 30 : US - FOMC
~ July 31 : $SOL $XRP - Franklin Templeton ETF Approval Deadline
Pump.fun - $PUMP Token Auction
$ADA - Midnight $NIGHT Airdrop
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Despite recent drama and uncertainty, both the Democratic and Republican parties pushed through the legislation with much stronger support than expected.
Notably, the GENIUS Act is now heading to President Trumpβs desk, potentially becoming the first major crypto law to be officially signed into legislation.
Crypto Week wraps up with a historic milestone: $BTC is back at $120k, and $ETH has surpassed $3.6k.
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How many of these are you holding?
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But is this price drop due to the news really something to worry about?
This event reminds me of when the German government and Mt. Gox sold $BTC around the $50K range.
From my personal perspective, market makers are taking advantage of this news to create fear and shake out retailers β especially at a time when the leading altcoin, #ETH, is showing significant strength.
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A large number of buy orders for $BTC around the 110K, 112K, and 114K price zones were added directly to the order book today, indicating strong demand.
In addition, the short-side liquidity zone around 120K is currently the highest it's been in the past month β and the big players definitely won't ignore it.
Based on the data I have, there's a high probability that the 120K level will be breached in the coming weeks.
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August 1 : US - Unemployment Rate
August 1 : US - Nonfarm Payrolls
August 2 : $AIO - Binance Alpha
~August 3 : $ELX - Announcement
August 5 : $TOWNS - Binance Alpha
August 5 : $DRIFT - Fee Model Update
August 6 : $ME - S2 Airdrop
August 7 : US - Reciprocal Tariffs Effective Date
August 7 : US - Initial Jobless Claims
August 7 : $NXPC - Content Update 1
August 8 : RUΒ·UKR - Trump's Proposed Ceasefire Deadline
~Early August : $WLD $ARKM - OpenAI GPT-5
~Early August : $ORCA - Launchpad
August 12 : US - CPI
August 14 : US - PPI
August 15 : SBET - Earnings Call
August 20 : $KAITO - $28.4M Unlock (9.67% of Circ)
August 21~23 : US - Jackson Hole Economic Policy Symposium
August 21 : $NXPC - Content Update 2
~August 21 : $RESOLV - Fee Switch (~10%)
August 21 : UpbitΒ·Bithumb - $STRIKE Delisting
August 25 : $CSPR - Token Launcher
August 27 : NVDA - Earnings Call
August 28 : UpbitΒ·Bithumb - $PUNDIAI Delisting
August 29 : US - Iran Nuclear Deal Deadline (JCPOA)
π TBD in August
$WLFI - TGE (Potential)
Linea - TGE (Potential)
$HYPE - Native $USDC Support
Allora - TGE (Potential)
$JUP - Jupiter Lend
$ZRC - Hyperliquid AI Trading Product
π TBD in August
$WLFI - TGE (Potential)
Linea - TGE (Potential)
$HYPE - Native $USDC Support
Allora - TGE (Potential)
$JUP - Jupiter Lend
$ZRC - Hyperliquid AI Trading Product
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The $VIX volatility index has dropped by around 45 points since April, reaching approximately 15 β the lowest level since mid-February.
Traditionally, the market tends to experience lower volatility from May to July.
However, starting in August, the $VIX typically rises by about 5 points, or roughly 30%, over the next three months.
History suggests that more turbulence lies ahead.
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π° News
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β«οΈ $HYPE $ETHFI β EtherFi is set to launch perp trading (perpetual contracts) powered by Hyperliquid.
β«οΈ $S β Voting on Sonicβs proposal to establish Sonic USA as a legal entity and launch the $S ETF will conclude on Aug 31.
β«οΈ $SILO β Silo Financeβs proposal to distribute 50% of revenue in USDC to xSILO holders is expected to pass today.
β«οΈ AI Tokens β NVIDIAβs earnings call is scheduled for Aug 27, which could impact AI-related tokens.
β«οΈ $ANON β Daniele Sesta announced HeyAnon 1.0, the biggest protocol upgrade ever, to be released next week.
β«οΈ $HUMA β 21% of HUMAβs circulating supply from Huma Finance will unlock on Aug 26.
β«οΈ $LINEA β Rumors suggest Lineaβs airdrop eligibility checker tool will go live next week.
β«οΈ Macro event β China is reportedly considering approving a CNY-backed stablecoin this month, according to Reuters.
β«οΈ $BARD β Community sale of BARD (Lombard) is set to kick off next week.
β«οΈ $POL β Polygonβs CEO will host an AMA to unveil a new development roadmap next week.
β«οΈ $RUNE β The next major upgrade of THORChain is scheduled for next week.
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β«οΈ Trading Pairs: WLFI/USDT and WLFI/USDC
β«οΈ Trading Time: 20:00, September 1st (Vietnam time)
Early investor price: $0.015 & $0.05
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On-chain lending has surged in recent months.
With the power of DeFi β margin on margin β opening the valve creates a bubble effect.
The market is holding its breath, waiting for this balloon to burst.
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On the H4 timeframe, the market is still in a bearish structure.
After price touched the OB zone confluenced with the key level of the downtrend (blue), it started to drop again.
However, it is currently being supported by the confluence of OB and key level on the Daily timeframe.
Still prioritizing short setups when price retraces to smaller confluence zones.
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After wallets were frozen by WLFI, Sun posted a lengthy tweet on X addressed to the World Liberty Financials team and the community.
According to Sun, this freezing action was unreasonable. As an early investor, he joined in the same way as everyone else, and all participants deserve fair rights and benefits.
Such measures not only infringe upon the legitimate rights of investors but also risk undermining broader trust in WLFI.
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When the market is quiet, real opportunities for genuine users become much clearer.
Here are 8 highly rated protocols from DefiIgnas for your reference.
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β«οΈ The main driver is seen as the latest U.S. economic data, with the PPI dropping to 2.6%, below expectations β signaling cooling producer inflation and boosting investor confidence.
β«οΈ However, the real spotlight is on the August CPI and Core CPI figures, set to be released at 7:30 PM tonight (Sept 11).
β«οΈ The numbers are expected to come in around 2.9%, slightly higher than last monthβs 2.7%.
β«οΈ This is the most important data of the week as it will directly influence the Fedβs rate decision at the upcoming Sept 17 meeting. Currently, CME data shows the probability of a Fed rate cut has climbed to 92%.
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