In terms of liquidity zones, two key levels β $93K and $98K β are currently holding equally large liquidity, suggesting the possibility of a liquidity sweep in both directions.
However, CVD Spot and Aggregated CVD, two key flow indicators, are showing bearish signals.
Open Interest (OI) is on the rise, indicating that this upward move is largely driven by perpetuals (perps).
Looking at Firecharts, whale-related order activity shows that selling occurred on May 3rd.
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π2β€1
FED maintains interest rates at 4.25% β 4.5%, marking the third consecutive meeting (since January) without a rate change.
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π11β€4
~ June 1 : $ETH - SEC's Deadline for Grayscale's ETF Staking
June 2 : US - Fed Powell Speaks
June 2 : $EDGEN - Binance Alpha
June 2 : Bithumb - $WEMIX Delisting
June 2 : FTX - Repayment (Excluding the U.S)
~June 2 : Upbit - Deadline for $XEM $STMX Delisting Review
June 3 : KR - Presidential Election
June 3 : $BDXN - Binance Alpha/ Perp Listing
June 4 : US - Tariffs on Steel/Aluminum 25% β 50%
June 4 : US - Beige Book
June 4 : Upbit - $EOS β $A Rebranding
June 5 : US - Initial Jobless Claims
June 5 : $TAIKO - $49M Unlock (69.5% of Circ)
June 6 : US - Nonfarm Payrolls
June 6 : US - Unemployment Rate
June 8 : Sahara AI - Buidlpad Token Sale (KYC)
June 9 : SEC - Round Table on DeFi
June 9~13 : APPL - Apple WWDC 2025
June 9 : Plasma - $XPL Token Sale Deposit Start
June 9 : $GALA - Node Staking
June 9 : Skate - TGE
June 10 : U.S. House of Representatives - Markup of Crypto Market Structure Bill
June 11 : US - CPI
June 12 : US - PPI
June 12 : $SNS - TGE/Airdrop
June 14 : $TRUMP - Trump's Birthday
June 15 : $DOGE - SEC's Deadline for Bitwise ETF
June 15 : $WEMIX - Buyback Starts
June 16 : JP - BoJ Interest Rate Decision
June 15~17 : G7 Summit
June 17 : Nansen - Point Program
June 17 : $ZK - $41M Unlock (20.9% of Circ)
June 18 : US - FOMC
June 18 : US - Fed Powell Speaks
June 18 : $SOPH - Sophon Farm Phase1
June 20 : US - Quadruple Witching Day
June 20 : $ZRO - $57.8M Unlock (23% of Circ)
June 20 : $LISTA - $7.2M Unlock (19% of Circ)
June 26 : Coinbase - $MOBILE $RNDR $RBN $SYN Delisting
June 26 : $BLAST - $29M Unlock (35.8% of Circ)
~June 30 : US - 25% Tariffs on Phonemaker (Apple, Samsung)
June 30 : Bithumb - $ASM Delisting
π TBD in June
$BLUM - TGE
$ENA - Converge Chain
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π4β€1
This will negatively impact DEX-related projects on $SOL such as $JUP, $JTO, and others.
Liquidity is already weak, and now itβs going to become even more fragmented.
For now, stay away from tech coins in the $SOL ecosystem, guys.
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π7β€3
In summary: This is a week of widespread unlocks across multiple projects. The market is already in the red β and if it drops more... well, weβre kind of used to it by now.
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π2
$ARB β The voting for Arbitrumβs proposal to launch the DeFi Renaissance Incentive Program will conclude on June 20.
$AERO β Millions of users will soon be able to trade Base tokens via Aerodrome directly from the Coinbase app.
$SOL β The SEC has requested Solana ETF issuers to submit amended S-1 filings this week.
$HUMA β A proposal to activate staking rewards for Huma Finance is expected to go live this month.
$S β Sonicβs Season 2 Airdrop campaign begins on June 18.
$BTC β The next FOMC interest rate decision will be announced on June 18.
$STRK β Starknet Staking v2 is set to launch this week.
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π2
Despite pressure from Trump, the Fed remains firm, keeping rates at 4.25β4.5% following the June 18 meeting.
πΉ Inflation has not cooled enough, and 2025 GDP growth is projected at only 1.4%, so no rush to ease policy.
πΉ Two rate cuts are expected this year β with lighter expectations for 2026 and 2027.
πΉ Chairman Powell cautions that recent inflation data only reflects the past, and the Fed will remain cautious.
β Highlights:
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π3β€2
π° Top News
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π2
In last night's testimony, Fed Chair Jerome Powell affirmed that interest rates will remain unchanged due to the risk of inflation resurgingβpartly driven by the new tariffs.
Powell stated that the Fed is ready to adjust its policies if the labor market weakens, although the U.S. economy is currently stable with no signs of recession.
π° Top News:
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β€4π4
July 2 : $BTC $ETH $XRP $SOL $ADA - Grayscale ETF Approval Deadline
July 2 : KR - Review of KRW Stablecoin Issuance Requirements
July 2 : $ECHO - Binance Alpha
July 3 : US - JOLTS Job Openings
July 3 : US - Unemployment Rate
July 3 : US - Initial Jobless Claims
July 3 : US - Nonfarm Payrolls
July 3 : $ICNT - Binance Alpha/Future
July 3 : Upbit - $XEM $STMX Delisting
July 3 : Bithumb - $STMX Delisting
July 3 : Backpack - Season 2
July 4 : US - Big Beautiful Bill (BBB) Target Deadline
July 4 : $CROSS - Binance Alpha
July 4 ~ : Grok 4 Release
July 6 : $JUP - Jupiter Studio
July 9 : US - Expiration of Reciprocal Tariff Suspension
July 9 : US - FOMC Meeting Minutes
July 11 : US - Federal Budget Balance
July 15 : US - CPI
July 16 : US - PPI
July 16 : US - Beige Book
July 17 : $UXLINK - Expand Strategic Reserve
July 17 : $UXLINK - $11.5M Unlock (9.17% of Circ)
July 18 : $TRUMP - $465M Unlock (25.1% of Circ)
July 21 : US - Tariff Talks with Canada
July 21 : Coinbase - Perpetual Futures in US
July 23 : $APPL $META - Earnings Call
July 25 : $AVAX - VanEck ETF Approval Deadline
July 29 : JP - BoJ Interest Rate Decision
July 29 : $GOOGL $MSFT $TSLA - Earnings Call
July 30 : US - FOMC
~ July 31 : $SOL $XRP - Franklin Templeton ETF Approval Deadline
Pump.fun - $PUMP Token Auction
$ADA - Midnight $NIGHT Airdrop
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β€5π3
Despite recent drama and uncertainty, both the Democratic and Republican parties pushed through the legislation with much stronger support than expected.
Notably, the GENIUS Act is now heading to President Trumpβs desk, potentially becoming the first major crypto law to be officially signed into legislation.
Crypto Week wraps up with a historic milestone: $BTC is back at $120k, and $ETH has surpassed $3.6k.
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β€4π1
How many of these are you holding?
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β€2
But is this price drop due to the news really something to worry about?
This event reminds me of when the German government and Mt. Gox sold $BTC around the $50K range.
From my personal perspective, market makers are taking advantage of this news to create fear and shake out retailers β especially at a time when the leading altcoin, #ETH, is showing significant strength.
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A large number of buy orders for $BTC around the 110K, 112K, and 114K price zones were added directly to the order book today, indicating strong demand.
In addition, the short-side liquidity zone around 120K is currently the highest it's been in the past month β and the big players definitely won't ignore it.
Based on the data I have, there's a high probability that the 120K level will be breached in the coming weeks.
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β€1
August 1 : US - Unemployment Rate
August 1 : US - Nonfarm Payrolls
August 2 : $AIO - Binance Alpha
~August 3 : $ELX - Announcement
August 5 : $TOWNS - Binance Alpha
August 5 : $DRIFT - Fee Model Update
August 6 : $ME - S2 Airdrop
August 7 : US - Reciprocal Tariffs Effective Date
August 7 : US - Initial Jobless Claims
August 7 : $NXPC - Content Update 1
August 8 : RUΒ·UKR - Trump's Proposed Ceasefire Deadline
~Early August : $WLD $ARKM - OpenAI GPT-5
~Early August : $ORCA - Launchpad
August 12 : US - CPI
August 14 : US - PPI
August 15 : SBET - Earnings Call
August 20 : $KAITO - $28.4M Unlock (9.67% of Circ)
August 21~23 : US - Jackson Hole Economic Policy Symposium
August 21 : $NXPC - Content Update 2
~August 21 : $RESOLV - Fee Switch (~10%)
August 21 : UpbitΒ·Bithumb - $STRIKE Delisting
August 25 : $CSPR - Token Launcher
August 27 : NVDA - Earnings Call
August 28 : UpbitΒ·Bithumb - $PUNDIAI Delisting
August 29 : US - Iran Nuclear Deal Deadline (JCPOA)
π TBD in August
$WLFI - TGE (Potential)
Linea - TGE (Potential)
$HYPE - Native $USDC Support
Allora - TGE (Potential)
$JUP - Jupiter Lend
$ZRC - Hyperliquid AI Trading Product
π TBD in August
$WLFI - TGE (Potential)
Linea - TGE (Potential)
$HYPE - Native $USDC Support
Allora - TGE (Potential)
$JUP - Jupiter Lend
$ZRC - Hyperliquid AI Trading Product
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β€1π1π₯1
The $VIX volatility index has dropped by around 45 points since April, reaching approximately 15 β the lowest level since mid-February.
Traditionally, the market tends to experience lower volatility from May to July.
However, starting in August, the $VIX typically rises by about 5 points, or roughly 30%, over the next three months.
History suggests that more turbulence lies ahead.
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β€1π1
π° News
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β€1π1
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β«οΈ $HYPE $ETHFI β EtherFi is set to launch perp trading (perpetual contracts) powered by Hyperliquid.
β«οΈ $S β Voting on Sonicβs proposal to establish Sonic USA as a legal entity and launch the $S ETF will conclude on Aug 31.
β«οΈ $SILO β Silo Financeβs proposal to distribute 50% of revenue in USDC to xSILO holders is expected to pass today.
β«οΈ AI Tokens β NVIDIAβs earnings call is scheduled for Aug 27, which could impact AI-related tokens.
β«οΈ $ANON β Daniele Sesta announced HeyAnon 1.0, the biggest protocol upgrade ever, to be released next week.
β«οΈ $HUMA β 21% of HUMAβs circulating supply from Huma Finance will unlock on Aug 26.
β«οΈ $LINEA β Rumors suggest Lineaβs airdrop eligibility checker tool will go live next week.
β«οΈ Macro event β China is reportedly considering approving a CNY-backed stablecoin this month, according to Reuters.
β«οΈ $BARD β Community sale of BARD (Lombard) is set to kick off next week.
β«οΈ $POL β Polygonβs CEO will host an AMA to unveil a new development roadmap next week.
β«οΈ $RUNE β The next major upgrade of THORChain is scheduled for next week.
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π1