NuMe Analysis
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πŸ‘¨β€πŸ’» We do on-chain research and updates on #Crypto, including analysis, explanations, and unusual on-chain alerts.

πŸ’ŽFor paid/cross promotion: @nofacerrr
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πŸ†• Investor enthusiasm is starting to return β€” a positive signal for the market.

πŸ“ˆ $BTC Futures Open Interest has surged from $36.2B to $38.6B today, an increase of $2.4B in just 36 hours.

This marks the highest OI level since late March, indicating a strong uptick in derivative positioning.

At the same time, $BTC Spot Volume has skyrocketed from $2.9B to $8.0B, nearly tripling in less than 36 hours.

🧐 @NumeAnalysis
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🚨 BTC at $94K – Trump to Host Dinner for Top 20 $TRUMP Holders

President Donald Trump is planning a private dinner event with the top 220 holders of the $TRUMP memecoin, a token named after him.

In his latest statement, Trump confirmed there will be no changes to the proposed 145% tariff on Chinese goods, though he admitted the figure is quite high.

Regarding the Fed, Trump said he has not yet spoken to Chairman Jerome Powell, but may do so soon as he believes interest rates are being kept too high.

Meanwhile, SEC Chairman Paul Atkins has emphasized that establishing a clear regulatory framework for digital assets is a top priority.

πŸ“ˆ Market Overview:
🟒 $BTC: $93K
🟒 $ETH: $1,788
🟒 Total Market Cap: $3.01 trillion
🟒 24H Liquidations: $353 million (Shorts account for 54%)
🟒 Fear & Greed Index: Slight drop from 72 to 63

πŸ†• General News:
🟒 SOL Strategies secured a $500 million convertible loan to increase its $SOL holdings.
🟒 Floki partners with Rice Robotics, a SoftBank-backed company, to tokenize AI data.
🟒 Ubisoft, the creator of the Assassin’s Creed franchise, has teamed up with Immutable to bring Might and Magic to blockchain gaming.
🟒 Bitcoin has surpassed Google to become the 5th largest asset by market cap globally.
🟒 21Shares has filed to launch a $SUI token ETF in Delaware.
🟒 The SEC has filed charges against the founder of PGI Global for allegedly defrauding investors of $198 million in crypto and forex schemes.

πŸš€ Product Launches:
🟒 PayPal announced a 3.7% yield for U.S. users holding PYUSD, effective this summer.
🟒 Scroll, an Ethereum Layer 2 solution, rolled out the Euclid upgrade to boost speed and network security.

πŸ’Έ Fundraising Highlights:
🟒 Symbiotic raised $29 million in a Series A round led by Pantera Capital.
🟒 Mask Network successfully secured $5 million in strategic funding from DWF Labs.
🟒 Inflowpay, a blockchain services startup, raised $1.1 million in a Pre-Seed round.

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🚨 Binance will delist and cease trading for all spot trading pairs of the following tokens on May 2, 2025:

🟒 Alpaca Finance (ALPACA)
🟒 PlayDapp (PDA)
🟒 Viberate (VIB)
🟒 Wing Finance (WING)

If you’re holding these tokens, please proactively manage your open orders and related assets before the above date to avoid any impact.
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🚨 One of the most notable macro signals right now is China’s M2 money supply, which has just reached 326.13 trillion yuan (~$44.89 trillion USD).

This figure is more than double that of the United States, whose current M2 stands at $21.67 trillion USD. This could potentially trigger global liquidity expansion.

Historically, when China significantly increases its money supply to stimulate the economyβ€”as it did in 2016 and 2020β€”it tends to set off a chain reaction. Central banks around the world, particularly in the U.S. and EU, often follow suit.

What usually follows is a broad rise in asset pricesβ€”stocks, commodities, gold, and #BTC.

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πŸ“Alpha Points on Binance – New Points System for TGE & Airdrop Hunting

Binance has just introduced Alpha Points – a new points system to evaluate user activity within the Binance Alpha and Binance Wallet ecosystem.

This score will determine whether you can participate in special events like TGE (Token Generation Event) or receive Alpha Token airdrops in the future.

πŸ” How to Check Your Alpha Points:
🟒 Open the Binance app, go to β€œMore” β†’ β€œInformation” β†’ β€œAlpha Points” to view your current points and detailed calculation method.

πŸ’‘ What Are Alpha Points?
It’s Binance’s way of tracking your interaction and contribution within their ecosystem. Each day, points are calculated based on two factors:
🟒 Your total asset balance (including both Binance Wallet and non-custodial wallets)
🟒 The amount you’ve spent purchasing Alpha Tokens

πŸ“Š Point Calculation Details:

1️⃣ Based on Asset Balance:
🟒 $100 to under $1,000: 1 point
🟒 $1,000 to under $10,000: 2 points
🟒$10,000 to under $100,000: 3 points
🟒Over $100,000: 4 points

2️⃣ Based on Alpha Token Purchases:
🟒 First $2: 1 point
🟒 Double the amount, gain 1 more point (Example: $4 = 2 points, $8 = 3 points, $16 = 4 points, … up to $512 = 9 points max)
🟒Your total Alpha Points are the sum of points accumulated over the last 15 days, updated daily.

Essentially, this is how Binance filters out genuinely β€œactive” users to prioritize benefits during token launches or airdrops.
If you want to β€œsecure a spot,” I think you should start accumulating points early – as this mechanism might become stricter over time.

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🚨 Top 10 leading chains with TVL growth exceeding $10 million over the past 7 days.

Among them, $SUI has seen the strongest recovery, thanks to its HST capturing capital inflow.

Based on admin’s perspective, $S and $INJ deserve to be added to your watchlist.

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🚨 Supply Mapping of $BTC shows strong activity in April from the First Buyers group:

πŸ”Ί RSI maintained > 50 throughout the month

πŸ”Ί Last week it reached 100

πŸ”Ί Today it’s still high at 80

This indicates rising FOMO and new capital flowing into the market, even as #BTC has already heated up.

🧐 @NumeAnalysis
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🚨 IMPORTANT ECONOMIC EVENTS THIS WEEK

While everyone might be gearing up for the holiday spirit, don't forget there are some key economic events happening this week too!
The results from these events will directly impact the Fed’s upcoming interest rate decision at the May 8th FOMC meeting β€” which means they could affect our portfolios πŸ₯Ή

πŸ—“ April 29 – JOLTs Job Openings

πŸ—“ April 30 – Big Day
πŸ”΄ Core PCE Price Index
πŸ”΄ Q1 GDP Growth Rate
πŸ”΄ Personal Income & Spending

πŸ—“ May 2 – Non-Farm Payrolls & U6 Unemployment
πŸ”΄ Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP)
πŸ”΄ Unemployment Rate

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🚨 $HYPE is currently the most undervalued exchange token. πŸš€

Hyperliquid just recorded the highest trading fees across the entire crypto market over the past 24 hours.

At this pace, they are on track to generate an annual revenue of around $600 million.

And 97% of that revenue will be used to buy back $HYPE.

🧐 @NumeAnalysis
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🚨 Token Unlocks This Week [April 27 – May 3] – Watch Out for Hidden Waves!

πŸ”΄ Optimism: $25M unlocking on April 30 and $11.3M on May 1
πŸ”΄ Sui Foundation: $207M unlocking on May 2
πŸ”΄ Official Trump token: daily unlocks – and Mr. Trump’s way of "supporting" the price is a private dinner with the top 220 Trump holders
πŸ”΄ Celestia: slow and steady – almost daily unlocks creating silent supply pressure

πŸ‘‰ Token unlocks don't always mean a price dump, but this week we have significant unlocks from top trending projects => market sentiment could be easily affected.
πŸ‘‰ If you're holding any of these tokens, keep a close watch to avoid getting caught off guard.

🧐 @NumeAnalysis
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🚨 BLACKROCK IS SO BACK πŸ”₯

While everyone was still chilling over the weekend, BlackRock (IBIT) quietly "scooped up" a massive $970.9 million into its Bitcoin ETF on April 28 β€” basically carrying the entire ETF market:

πŸ”΄ IBIT: +$970.9M
πŸ”΄ ARKB (Ark): -$226.3M
πŸ”΄ GBTC (Grayscale): -$42.7M

This inflow is nearly 2–3 times higher than the combined ETF inflows over the previous two days.
Is BlackRock sending out a hidden signal?

🧐 @NumeAnalysis
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πŸ†•πŸ†•πŸ†• Bitcoin Rebounds to $94.7K: What’s Going On?
According to Glassnode’s The Week On-chain Week 16–2025 report, Bitcoin has made an impressive recovery to $94.7K, fueled by optimism over tariff reductions and a shift in investor sentiment. Here are the key highlights:

1️⃣ Bitcoin Breaks a Key Level
🟒 Bitcoin has reclaimed the Short-Term Holder Cost Basis (STH-CB) at $92.9K β€” a critical threshold that often separates bearish from bullish phases.
🟒 However, this is just a temporary breakout. For a sustained uptrend, the price needs to hold above this level for a longer period.

2️⃣ Notable On-chain Metrics
🟒 The percentage of supply in profit has risen to 87.3%, indicating most Bitcoin holders are in the green β€” though still below the 90% threshold often associated with market euphoria.
🟒 The short-term holder (STH) profit/loss ratio has reached 1.0, meaning many recent buyers are breaking even, which could lead to selling pressure.
🟒 Realized profits have spiked, primarily due to short-term holders taking profits.
🟒 The STH-SOPR (Spent Output Profit Ratio) has exceeded 1.0 for the first time since February β€” a positive sign that short-term investors are selling at a profit.

3️⃣ Derivatives Market: Leverage and Caution
🟒 Open interest in futures contracts has jumped 15.6%, indicating increased leverage and potential for heightened volatility.
🟒 Funding rates are in the negative (-0.023%), signaling that many traders are shorting the market and betting on a price drop. If prices continue rising, a short squeeze could occur.

4️⃣ Strong Institutional Demand
🟒 U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs recorded a record $1.54 billion in inflows in a single day, highlighting strong institutional interest.
🟒 Compared to Ethereum, Bitcoin clearly dominates ETF inflows β€” explaining ETH’s relative underperformance during this rally.

πŸ” Conclusion
Bitcoin’s price surge reflects macro-level optimism and strong short-term investor activity. However, profit-taking and cautious sentiment in the derivatives market remain key risks. Institutional inflows are a major bullish catalyst, but holding key support levels will be essential to sustaining the rally.

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⚠️ We can clearly see that new retail investors are quite a luxury this season.

The search volume for β€œBitcoin” on Google remains at long-term lows, even though $BTC is hovering near its all-time high.

This cycle is completely different from 2017 and 2021.

Most of the buying pressure for $BTC is coming from ETF institutions β€” and of course, they’re not swapping into altcoins.

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πŸ‘€ It’s still far too early to say that #SOL is done for.

Solana DeFi continues to grow rapidly.

Stablecoin supply on the network has surged 400% over the past 365 days.

Meanwhile, SOL staking TVL has also reached a new all-time high.

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πŸ—“ 2025 Crypto May Calendar

May 1 : US - Initial Jobless Claims
May 1 : US - Fed's Balance Sheet
May 1 : JP - BoJ Interest Rate Decision
May 1 : $WLD - Live Update with Sam Altman
May 2 : US - Unemployment Rate
May 2 : US - Nonfarm Payrolls
May 1 ~ May 2 : $SUI - Sui Basecamp
May 2 : $PENDLE - Fee Structure Update

May 5 : $HYPE - New Fee/Stakigng Tiers System
May 6 : $BERA - End of BOYCO
May 6 : House Financial Services Committee - Hearing on Digital Assets
May 7 : US - FOMC
May 7 : $ETH - Pectra Upgrade
May 7 : Exchanges - Suspension of ETH-Based Deposits and Withdrawals
May 8 : US - Initial Jobless Claims
May 8 ~ May 11 : RU - Temporary Ceasefire in the Russia-Ukraine War
May 8 : JP - BOJ's March MPM Minutes
May 8 : Upbit - $HPO Delisting for Rebranding
~May 8 : $ZK - Big Announcement
May 9 : Coinbase - $BTC $ETH Futures for US

May 12 : US - Federal Budget Balance
May 12 : SEC - Virtual Asset TF 3rd Roundtable
~May 12 : $TRUMP - Snapshot Ends
May 13 : US - CPI
May 13 : JP - BOJ's April MPM Summary of Opinions
May 13~5/16 : US - Trump Middle East Visit
May 14~5/16 : Consensus Toronto
May 15 : US - PPI
May 16 : Terraform Labs - Loss Claims Registration Deadline

May 19 : CME - XRP Futures
May 19 ~ May 22 : MSFT - Microsoft Build
May 20 ~ May 21 : GOOGL - Google I/O
May 22 : $TRUMP - Dinner with Trump

~May 26 : US - U.S. Senate to Vote on GENIUS Act
May 30 : FTX - 2nd Repayment

πŸ‘€ TBD in May
US, CN - Trump - Xi Jinping Meeting
TSLA - The Return of Elon Musk
ZIL - Zilliaq 2.0 Mainnet
Mezo - Mainnet

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🚨 Major Drama: MOVEMENT Caught in Secret Deal with Market Maker – $MOVE Gets Delisted

In less than 5 months, a multi-billion-dollar Layer 2 project backed by Binance Labs and even the Trump family is now facing a serious scandal shaking the entire crypto community.

After details about the market-making deal and token dumping behavior were exposed by the media, everything unraveled rapidly:

❌ Coinbase officially delists $MOVE
πŸ”΄ On the evening of May 1, 2025, Coinbase announced it would suspend trading of MOVE starting May 15, citing β€œfailure to meet listing standards.”
πŸ”΄ MOVE was immediately placed into limit-only mode.
πŸ”΄ The token price dropped another 14% following the news, hitting a new all-time low of around $0.18.
While Coinbase didn’t give specifics, CoinDesk confirmed that their investigation played a decisive role in the delisting.

❌ Co-founder Rushi Manche suspended
πŸ”΄ On May 2, 2025, Movement Labs confirmed on X (formerly Twitter) that Rushi Manche had been suspended while an independent investigation by Groom Lake is underway.
πŸ”΄ The suspension came just hours after Coinbase’s announcement, indicating intense internal pressure at Movement.

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🚨 The RSI heatmap for altcoins shows a strong recovery led by meme coins and AI agent projects. πŸ†•

Interestingly, both of these groups share one thing in common β€” they have no VC backing.

The trend of non-VC-funded projects outperforming the rest has continued from last year until now.

I believe this trend will persist for years to come.
Gone are the days when a project’s value was judged by how much money it raised β€” inflated fundraising numbers are now everywhere.

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πŸ†•πŸ†•πŸ†• Market Update – May 3rd
πŸ”΄ Bitcoin ($BTC): $96,600
πŸ”΄ Ethereum ($ETH): $1,830
πŸ”΄ Fear & Greed Index: 65 (slightly down from 67 yesterday)
πŸ”΄ Total Market Cap: $3.11 trillion, down 2.1% over the last 24 hours

βœ”οΈ Top News
🟒 Morgan Stanley is planning to offer crypto trading services to E*Trade clients.
🟒 Kraken reported $472M in revenue for Q1 2025, up 19% YoY, driven by market volatility under Trump and in preparation for its upcoming IPO.
🟒 Kraken is also launching crypto derivatives trading for professional investors in the UK β€” part of its latest expansion efforts.

βœ”οΈ Product Updates
🟒 Strategy aims to raise up to $21 billion in Class A shares via an At-the-Market (ATM) equity offering.
🟒 Sam Altman's Worldcoin officially launches in the U.S., with plans to integrate Visa cards and a pilot program in partnership with Tinder.
🟒 Ethena partners with TON Foundation to bring its USDe and sUSDe stablecoins to the Telegram ecosystem.
🟒 Movement Labs suspends co-founder Rushi Manche following a market-making controversy.

βœ”οΈ Fundraising Highlights
🟒 Dao5 closes its second fund at $222M, targeting a diversified investment strategy.
🟒 Dinari raises $12.7M in a Series A round to expand tokenized stock access for non-U.S. investors.
🟒 aZen secures $1.2M in a seed round and Web3 grants to build DePIN infrastructure for mass-market AI, after onboarding 600,000 users.

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