If even a fraction of what “Penfist” warns of were to manifest, Donald Trump’s already enormously malicious and venal stupidity would be the merest tip of the iceberg. It won’t happen—the backlash even from among the U.S. political and economic elite would be swift and brutal. It would lead to a collapse of the U.S. federal government.
But that we even have this scenario to contemplate illustrates just how unhinged Trump is.
https://dyingempire.org/p/the-longest-undefended-border-in

As if there was any remaining doubt, Binyamin Netanyahu and Donald Trump are losing their war on Iran. And now there is a question: Will the psychotic, psychopathic, and ragingly narcissistic Trump resort to nuclear weapons in a desperate effort to save face?
https://www.theguardian.com/world/2026/mar/27/how-trump-bombed-us-into-worse-position-iran-strategic-failure

CNN’s Reliable Sources newsletter yesterday (April 4) led with news that satellite imagery of Iran is being censored at the request of the U.S. government. All imagery providers, apparently, received the same “request.” The newsletter goes on to quote Josh Rogin saying, “We've had about four weeks of the administration telling us everything's fine, everything's going according to plan. And now everyone can see with their eyes that that's obviously not the case. So now we're back to square one. How do we get out of this?”[1]
It’s a pretty safe bet that if Donald Trump had good news about the Iran war, he’d be trumpeting it on Truth Social rather than inhibiting independent analysis. We can infer, then, that the news is not good. Which, at this point, is no surprise.
But we also won’t know just how bad the news really is. Which is rather strongly to suggest that the U.S. and Israel are getting their butts kicked.
[1] Brian Stelter to Reliable Sources list, “‘Information silence’ as US searches for missing F-15 crew member,” Cable News Network, April 4, 2026, https://www.cnn.com/newsletters/reliable-sources