To continue the theory of #BTC cycles:
For a long time I've been asked what the next top will be for #BTCUSDT .
As we have seen, cycles repeat themselves for certain reasons, but one can predict the next ATH, events can change the history itself, but let's try to see it from the numbers side:
Analyzing the past 4 year cycles one fact emerges, each ATH was 6.5x lower than the past, while mid cycle, i.e. from the bottom to the previous ATH was 4x about.
We just know price of Btc was 1$ on 2011, 0.3$ on Mt.Gox , so lets do some approssimative math
2011 bottom to 2013 ATH is 6x then ,
2015 bottom to 2017 ATH and its 6x then
2019 bottom to 2021 ATH
So if 2019 bottom to 2021 ATH might be 6x then 2023 bottom to 2025 ATH , we might see 75-80k ATH for 2025.
-The price of mid-range , 2years, (from bottom to the end of Halving year) is decreasing by 25%
-The past ATH retest happens constantly at the end of the halving year, therefore at the end of 2024 we should see Btc price around 60k
-Every mid cycle top (2015-2019-2023) happened in July.
For a long time I've been asked what the next top will be for #BTCUSDT .
As we have seen, cycles repeat themselves for certain reasons, but one can predict the next ATH, events can change the history itself, but let's try to see it from the numbers side:
Analyzing the past 4 year cycles one fact emerges, each ATH was 6.5x lower than the past, while mid cycle, i.e. from the bottom to the previous ATH was 4x about.
We just know price of Btc was 1$ on 2011, 0.3$ on Mt.Gox , so lets do some approssimative math
2011 bottom to 2013 ATH is 6x then ,
2015 bottom to 2017 ATH and its 6x then
2019 bottom to 2021 ATH
So if 2019 bottom to 2021 ATH might be 6x then 2023 bottom to 2025 ATH , we might see 75-80k ATH for 2025.
-The price of mid-range , 2years, (from bottom to the end of Halving year) is decreasing by 25%
-The past ATH retest happens constantly at the end of the halving year, therefore at the end of 2024 we should see Btc price around 60k
-Every mid cycle top (2015-2019-2023) happened in July.
The thread where I predicted entire 2023 in the 3 posts.
When we reached 2000+ and 30k+ on Btc I started to say that there will be no further ATH from there and we would face a bad second half.
Now as you know, I will be progressively more and more bullish until the end of the year, we are preparing for the next bull market with many positive catalysts.
I hope my advice has been useful to you.
https://x.com/criptopaul/status/1608829097228238853?s=46&t=pgcBgkV7YJcnGceRIIeVaQ
When we reached 2000+ and 30k+ on Btc I started to say that there will be no further ATH from there and we would face a bad second half.
Now as you know, I will be progressively more and more bullish until the end of the year, we are preparing for the next bull market with many positive catalysts.
I hope my advice has been useful to you.
https://x.com/criptopaul/status/1608829097228238853?s=46&t=pgcBgkV7YJcnGceRIIeVaQ
X (formerly Twitter)
Noodles on X
1/3
Based on my experience if crypto market will have a bounce will be big, we are in the bloodiest phase of 2022, and now 2 months without any bounce, as always for any big uphill there is a big downhill as the opposite..
Based on my experience if crypto market will have a bounce will be big, we are in the bloodiest phase of 2022, and now 2 months without any bounce, as always for any big uphill there is a big downhill as the opposite..
Which of these dates will the next bull market start?
In other words, when the ETFs are approved, the start will be decreed.
My opinion?
Another delay on October, bottom on December, where all the smart investors will buy heavily in anticipation of the obvious approval on January.
But I could be wrong, I am not a legal expert, but it could be the correct Bull market roadmap
In other words, when the ETFs are approved, the start will be decreed.
My opinion?
Another delay on October, bottom on December, where all the smart investors will buy heavily in anticipation of the obvious approval on January.
But I could be wrong, I am not a legal expert, but it could be the correct Bull market roadmap
Noodles 2025 Market Intelligence Event
If it looks like the same chart at first glance, try looking closer. #ETH #SOL #ETHUSD #SOLUSDT
After releasing some posts in the previous days and why it was a good time, I decided to buy additional 10,000 $SOL during that evening, the fud was enough for me, 2 hours later a tweet from VB appeared and caused a big bounce.
Psyop!
@RemindMeOfThis in 2 years
Psyop!
@RemindMeOfThis in 2 years
Noodles
For who follow me, knows how i talked about mcap metrics, overvalutation and crypto bubble back in october 2021 and feb 2022. My longterm view on Solana is still bullish like was on this thread https://twitter.com/criptopaul/status/1495388491768860672?s…
I've been waiting for that $10 area for a long time. Most of my buys were between 10 and 11$ , that day I decided to buy additional 10,000 SOL at market price around 8$
Noodles 2025 Market Intelligence Event
As we can see #ethbtc is following a similar structure aswell and that's the main reason i ve always said #btc was going to be a better asset investment and $sol aswell from early January. My view is not changing here, I think we may see a last impulse but…
If you read the first comment on that post, I said this:
''My view is not changing here, I think we may see a last impulse but where altcoin will be weak and then face a fairly long period of bleeding, low volume and final accumulation on the end of the year''
-So we had a last impulse on Btc, but not on Eth
-Altcoins have been weak,
- I expect the last part of the year where ETHBTC will be 0.05 and final altcoin bleeding. based on the math this means Btc gonna outperform ETH for 15% and more, if we have a final dip it means Btc to 23-22k and Eth to 1100-1200
I think we could have good 2-3 weeks here and then get into that phase.
As mentioned, much will depend on the decisions regarding ETFs, we already have some interesting dips on mid caps, but I don't want to rush.
''My view is not changing here, I think we may see a last impulse but where altcoin will be weak and then face a fairly long period of bleeding, low volume and final accumulation on the end of the year''
-So we had a last impulse on Btc, but not on Eth
-Altcoins have been weak,
- I expect the last part of the year where ETHBTC will be 0.05 and final altcoin bleeding. based on the math this means Btc gonna outperform ETH for 15% and more, if we have a final dip it means Btc to 23-22k and Eth to 1100-1200
I think we could have good 2-3 weeks here and then get into that phase.
As mentioned, much will depend on the decisions regarding ETFs, we already have some interesting dips on mid caps, but I don't want to rush.
A 2023 short story.
Now im ready to accumulate again during Q4 . Maybe November will be the best time to do it.
Now im ready to accumulate again during Q4 . Maybe November will be the best time to do it.
#btc #BTCUSD
-40-50k by June/July (after halving) 2024
-80-100k by q4 2025
Another cycles rappresentation, #Bitcoin is programmed for this:
-scarcity over the time,
-increase in production cost
-its value comes from its scarcity.
-Every Ath came the year after halving.
-Every bottom came the end of the year after Ath
-Each echo bubble that preceded halving saw six months of rise and subsequent 6 months of decline.
-During halving years we saw a run up to the previous Lower High from previous Ath
-40-50k by June/July (after halving) 2024
-80-100k by q4 2025
Another cycles rappresentation, #Bitcoin is programmed for this:
-scarcity over the time,
-increase in production cost
-its value comes from its scarcity.
-Every Ath came the year after halving.
-Every bottom came the end of the year after Ath
-Each echo bubble that preceded halving saw six months of rise and subsequent 6 months of decline.
-During halving years we saw a run up to the previous Lower High from previous Ath
Noodles 2025 Market Intelligence Event
A 2023 short story. Now im ready to accumulate again during Q4 . Maybe November will be the best time to do it.
Bottom is not a precise number but a time range.
Many people keep asking me if we will really see Eth to 1100-1200 and #Solana to $15 or lower. I cannot tell you this, I am a spot trader who allocates and plans investments based on macro TA.
-My main 2023 purpose , was to realize profits on first half and preserve them for second half. This is what I really cared about. Selling now and trying a counter trade is silly.
-My main purpose now is slowly scale in stablecoin during dips on favorite altcoins.
If you believe $Sol can go between $200 and $400, $Eth from 7000 to 10,000, it doesn't make much difference if your purchases are at $15-20 or at $1100-1400.
Many people keep asking me if we will really see Eth to 1100-1200 and #Solana to $15 or lower. I cannot tell you this, I am a spot trader who allocates and plans investments based on macro TA.
-My main 2023 purpose , was to realize profits on first half and preserve them for second half. This is what I really cared about. Selling now and trying a counter trade is silly.
-My main purpose now is slowly scale in stablecoin during dips on favorite altcoins.
If you believe $Sol can go between $200 and $400, $Eth from 7000 to 10,000, it doesn't make much difference if your purchases are at $15-20 or at $1100-1400.