#BTC #BTCUSD
Halving forecast-discussion becomes common again as usual in bear markets, if we look at historical data, max excursion from 200Ma:
-in 2015 was 65% ,would mean a dip to 14-15k range
-for 2018 51% (actual price)
-about 4-8 months bottom/accumulation structure
If we were to see a V-bottom structure it would be wise, put some limits orders in all your favorite crypto on Cex.
Halving forecast-discussion becomes common again as usual in bear markets, if we look at historical data, max excursion from 200Ma:
-in 2015 was 65% ,would mean a dip to 14-15k range
-for 2018 51% (actual price)
-about 4-8 months bottom/accumulation structure
If we were to see a V-bottom structure it would be wise, put some limits orders in all your favorite crypto on Cex.
#Bitcoin
considering 4 july date as market usually with very low volume and liquidity, especially being on monday, so a long weekend, we could see dip until that date and then buy pressure after.
Already this capitulation under 20k is without strenght looking at rsi and volume. Divergences are created when retail users are selling small amounts, after whales already have dip, the same happen at the top (remember the big divergence from april to may 2021?) ... I expect some buy pressure on mid july
considering 4 july date as market usually with very low volume and liquidity, especially being on monday, so a long weekend, we could see dip until that date and then buy pressure after.
Already this capitulation under 20k is without strenght looking at rsi and volume. Divergences are created when retail users are selling small amounts, after whales already have dip, the same happen at the top (remember the big divergence from april to may 2021?) ... I expect some buy pressure on mid july
We could see something like this
18.500
21.500
16.500
21.000
33.000
18.500
21.500
16.500
21.000
33.000
the party is already over, time to go down again imo.
Don't think we'll see bullrun again soon, most funds are mostly liquid now or their allocations are in bonds or some currencies like $CAD , $AUD , $ZAR or emerging exporting countries like Indonesia/South america.
We had long and bullrun and strong returns on the back of robust economic growth and risk appetite due to accommodative monetary policies.
We are currently in the advanced stages of the economic cycle, called recession or valley, there will be great opportunities for accumulation in the next two years, now it's all about preserving capital, taking advantage of some market relief opportunities.
In this period of uncertainty, I am focusing on investing only in solid crypto businesses / companies that can hold up better right now, favoring higher quality exposures that can see substantial bounce in the coming weeks and where i can see a good price.
As history teaches in these moments it is better to privilege less cyclical and higher quality assets, resilient to the dynamics of advanced phases of the cycle as we are now.
To be clear, remember $bnb, $link from 2018 to 2020 for example
Don't think we'll see bullrun again soon, most funds are mostly liquid now or their allocations are in bonds or some currencies like $CAD , $AUD , $ZAR or emerging exporting countries like Indonesia/South america.
We had long and bullrun and strong returns on the back of robust economic growth and risk appetite due to accommodative monetary policies.
We are currently in the advanced stages of the economic cycle, called recession or valley, there will be great opportunities for accumulation in the next two years, now it's all about preserving capital, taking advantage of some market relief opportunities.
In this period of uncertainty, I am focusing on investing only in solid crypto businesses / companies that can hold up better right now, favoring higher quality exposures that can see substantial bounce in the coming weeks and where i can see a good price.
As history teaches in these moments it is better to privilege less cyclical and higher quality assets, resilient to the dynamics of advanced phases of the cycle as we are now.
To be clear, remember $bnb, $link from 2018 to 2020 for example
If you want to understand the difference between the Japanese and the rest of the world and how they have been able to keep inflation at 2%.
https://twitter.com/criptopaul/status/1540569740220973056?s=21&t=hT9KTpnjsu89O4nDx6VGsA
https://twitter.com/criptopaul/status/1540569740220973056?s=21&t=hT9KTpnjsu89O4nDx6VGsA
Twitter
#BOJ
The singular case of japan.
As we know Japan are the piooners of the QE, and are famous for their resilience.
There are currently academic conferences to study the fact that their inflation is at 2%, but it is so simple in theory to see.
The singular case of japan.
As we know Japan are the piooners of the QE, and are famous for their resilience.
There are currently academic conferences to study the fact that their inflation is at 2%, but it is so simple in theory to see.
$avax outperforming $eth 40%+ from this tweet.
But people were probably too focused on looking at eth and thinking about eth 2.0
https://twitter.com/criptopaul/status/1536970179204333568?s=21&t=hT9KTpnjsu89O4nDx6VGsA
But people were probably too focused on looking at eth and thinking about eth 2.0
https://twitter.com/criptopaul/status/1536970179204333568?s=21&t=hT9KTpnjsu89O4nDx6VGsA
-Left chart, comparision with Nov 2018 at 4100$
After that we saw full bottom at 3100.
Theorically if we go to 16.500 with this low volume we will see a bullish divergence on daily chart as the end of 2018 and start of 2019.
After that we saw full bottom at 3100.
Theorically if we go to 16.500 with this low volume we will see a bullish divergence on daily chart as the end of 2018 and start of 2019.
1/2
$usdt #Tether processed more then 20bln of withdraw from $luna collapse without a problem, like fud before @Tether_to has won a motion from New york supreme court on 2019.
Rather worried about all those hundreds of cex with shadows on regulations and incompetence in their budget management, with pyramid schemes on lending practices, they will disappear without us realizing it ... there is a long list possible
$usdt #Tether processed more then 20bln of withdraw from $luna collapse without a problem, like fud before @Tether_to has won a motion from New york supreme court on 2019.
Rather worried about all those hundreds of cex with shadows on regulations and incompetence in their budget management, with pyramid schemes on lending practices, they will disappear without us realizing it ... there is a long list possible
$doge #DogecoinToTheMoon
Imagine this dip as an opportunity for another 100x in 3 years.
$doge at 10$ would mean 1.5trillion mcap for example.
With #btc at 100k would mean 2trillion.
So It wouldn't be that crazy considering if web69 will be based on $doge
Don't take me like a crazy but if you think crypto is the future you have to see long term and compare actual ''big tech'' values with those of the crypto market and you will understand that this year will be your last opportunity
Imagine this dip as an opportunity for another 100x in 3 years.
$doge at 10$ would mean 1.5trillion mcap for example.
With #btc at 100k would mean 2trillion.
So It wouldn't be that crazy considering if web69 will be based on $doge
Don't take me like a crazy but if you think crypto is the future you have to see long term and compare actual ''big tech'' values with those of the crypto market and you will understand that this year will be your last opportunity
Noodles 2025 Market Intelligence Event
We could see something like this 18.500 21.500 16.500 21.000 33.000
18.500✅
21.500✅
16.500
21.000
33.000
21.500✅
16.500
21.000
33.000
Noodles 2025 Market Intelligence Event
https://twitter.com/criptopaul/status/1542457187775258624?s=21&t=zy5kDLUiupZUalDmJ6x8Ug
Don't be discouraged if we will still see some blood after this huge bounce, as we are building a long bottom structure that will go in a period of expansion, this may just be a physiological bounce.