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Analysis, Research, Intelligence and Comments with focus on former USSR, Greater Middle East and Southern Asia

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Comment: That doesn't look like a skirmish at the border, rather it appears to be a full blown armed conflict (a.k.a. war)...

Translation:
«Sputnik Kyrgyzstan, [19/09/2022 05:36]

This is what the bridge on the Ak-Suu River looks like now, which the Tajik military blew up on September 16.

Through this bridge there was a delivery of medicines, food and other necessary goods for the population.

Photo: Ministry of Transport of the Kyrgyz Republic
@Sputnik_Kyrgyzstan»

Media: -
Source: https://t.me/sputnik_kyrgyzstan/52872
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Tags: #Kyrgyzstan #Tajikistan
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HM the Queen lying-in-state finished this morning at 06:30 BDST
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For the last time 'God save our gracious Queen...'.
Translation:
«Sputnik Kyrgyzstan, [20/09/2022 05:27]

The heads of the State Security Committee of Kyrgyzstan and Tajikistan signed a protocol on the settlement of the armed conflict in the border territories of the Kyrgyz Republic and the Republic of Tajikistan, the State Security Committee of the Kyrgyz Republic reports.

The document provides:

Complete cessation of hostilities;
withdrawal of troops and military equipment to places of permanent deployment;
joint inspection of border posts and commandant's offices;
Investigation of the armed clashes that took place on September 14 and 16.

It was noted that the joint work of the parties to restore peace and stability in the border area as soon as possible continues.

@Sputnik_Kyrgyzstan»

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Source: https://t.me/sputnik_kyrgyzstan/52922
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Tags: #Kyrgyzstan #Tajikistan
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Translation:
«360 tv, [24/09/2022 05:01]

Alexander Vucic celebrated the end of his visit to the UN with Russian borscht

Vucic added that the Serbian delegation was happy to support this choice and fortified themselves with borscht before returning to Belgrade.»

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Source: https://t.me/tv360/93838
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Tags: #Serbija #UNO
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Some dubious Twitter accounts have started to push the 'Military Coup in China, Xi Jinping arrested, 6000 flights canceled' narrative and somesuch wild claims.
I haven't seen any serious source that would substantiate such claims.
Translation:
«Sputnik Kyrgyzstan, [26/09/2022 08:33]

Details about the "reserve company", the formation of which was proposed by Sadyr Zhaparov:

▪️The President instructed the Minister of Defense to mobilize citizens who spread fakes about the fact that Kyrgyzstan allegedly gave land to Tajikistan

▪️They are invited to issue weapons and send them to Batken to serve at outposts with the military until the end of the delimitation and demarcation of the border

▪️Zhaparov suggests that they observe everything with their own eyes and point to the land being given away, if so

▪️The President addressed those who suspect that the neighbors will take possession of the Kyrgyz lands: both sides know every meter of land very well. Our local residents and the border guard will never give up a single meter of land

@Sputnik_Kyrgyzstan»

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Neat. There will be a jump in cost of health insurance in Switzerland of up to 10% next year.
According to Swiss mass media, the reasons are the following:
«innovation
“A second reason is medical innovation. Switzerland wants research and innovation in the medical field. It's not available for free."

Consequences of Corona
«Covid-19 has left its mark. In the form of Long Covid, but also in public mental health. This is also reflected in higher healthcare costs.”

hospital planning
“We have to ask ourselves whether significantly fewer hospitals would not be enough. However, two factors must be taken into account here: Health care is a market that operates almost exclusively in Switzerland. With every hospital closure, we destroy jobs. And the population often resists the plans.”

Wrong incentives
“Services that are not absolutely necessary are paid for. This tempts service providers to charge for too many services. Clear rules would help here."

Short-sighted politics
«In the last ten years, no significant reform in the Swiss healthcare system has come through. The cost containment package 1 has been completely watered down. The same threatens now with the second package, the savings effect of which is completely unclear. At the federal level, people often shoot from the hip instead of implementing sustainable reforms and making the actors involved right from the start.”»

After COVID-19 they are indeed proposing to close even more hospitals, so they have even less beds in a crisis situation?
Why can't we have a more intelligent media?

https://www.20min.ch/story/das-sind-die-gruende-fuer-die-explosion-der-krankenkassen-praemien-327022235390
The Swiss government has discovered the usage of 'emergency laws', which completely do away with legal guarantees and judicial reviews - and trash fundamental rights even more.

«On Monday evening, the National Council [the larger chamber of parliament] decided to partially overturn the normal legal procedures for the expansion of the Grimsel reservoir, which has been blocked for years. In an urgent federal law, the council is largely giving carte blanche to a rapid 23 meter increase in the dam wall.»

https://www.tagesanzeiger.ch/albert-roestis-coup-fuer-die-grimsel-staumauer-370404035226
Meanwhile in the EU, some are starting to wake up to the reality. However, they are not yet asking, why their laws allow such things in the first place, and who wrote them and why:

«The CDU chairman Friedrich Merz spoke of "social tourism" in connection with refugees from Ukraine. "We are now experiencing social tourism from these refugees - to Germany, back to Ukraine, to Germany, back to Ukraine," said Merz in an interview with "Bild TV".

A larger number of those who fled Ukraine would "take advantage of this system," Merz continued. "We have a problem there, it's getting bigger. We pointed out in the spring that this problem could arise.” The federal government “played deaf,” said Merz.»

https://www.welt.de/politik/ausland/article241263781/Ukraine-News-Merz-wirft-Fluechtlingen-Sozialtourismus-vor.html
West only recognizes the result of referenda if it suits them, and sometimes accepts independence or association to a state entirely without the people of the areas having a say in it. A few examples:

«RIA Novosti, [30/09/2022 09:49]
Western countries often recognize and even welcome referendums and other independence votes that took place against the will of the central authorities. For reference:

▪️ Breakup of Yugoslavia:

• On July 2, 1990, the Slovenian Parliament declared its sovereignty, a referendum on independence was held on December 23, 1990 (88.5% in favor), and on June 25, 1991 Slovenia announced its withdrawal from Yugoslavia

• On May 19, 1991, Croatia held a referendum on secession from Yugoslavia (90% in favor), on June 15, 1991, the Croatian parliament decided to secede from Yugoslavia, in January 1992, the EU countries recognized Croatia's independence

• On September 8, 1991, Macedonia held a referendum on secession from Yugoslavia (74% in favor), on September 17, 1991, the Parliament declared Macedonia an independent state

• On October 15, 1991, the Parliament of Bosnia and Herzegovina adopted a memorandum of sovereignty, on February 29 - March 1, 1992, despite a boycott by local Serbs, a referendum on independence was held (63% in favor)

▪️ Collapse of the USSR:

• On July 28, 1989, the Supreme Council of Latvia declared sovereignty, on March 3, 1991, an "electoral consultation on independence" was held (88% in favor), although it was assumed that its results did not matter

• On March 11, 1990, the Supreme Council of Lithuania declared sovereignty, on February 9, 1991, a vote on independence was held in the form of a poll (90% in favor), the parliament, in violation of international legal practice, approved the results of the poll as the results of a referendum

• On March 30, 1990, the Supreme Council of Estonia declared sovereignty, on March 3, 1991, a vote on independence was held (78% in favor), only "successor citizens" (who had Estonian citizenship before 1940 and their descendants) and people with "green cards" (they were issued to supporters of independence) could participate in it

• As part of the "parade of sovereignties", other republics held referendums on independence, this became possible as a result of gross violation of the Constitution of the USSR and ignoring the results of the All-Union referendum on the preservation of the USSR on March 17, 1991 (76% for the preservation of the USSR as a renewed federation of equal sovereign republics)

• The USSR Law on the procedure for resolving issues related to the withdrawal of republics provided for the right of autonomous republics to decide for themselves whether to remain in the USSR - but in a referendum in Georgia (60% for independence) This requirement was not met for Abkhazia and South Ossetia, Abkhazia held a referendum in 1999 (97.5% for independence from Georgia), South Ossetia in 1992 and 2006 (both times 99.9% for independence), in 2008 Russia recognized the independence of both

▪️ Joining of Texas to the USA:

Texas was part of Mexico until American settlers, with the support of the United States, rebelled and took control of the entire state. In 1836, a convention of "representatives of the people of Texas" proclaimed its separation from Mexico. Texas tried to join the United States, but the White House rejected the idea - however, as Texas was established as an independent country, it changed its mind, annexing it in 1845, because of this, a war with Mexico began, which the United States won (1846-1848).»

Source: https://t.me/rian_ru/179937
Buon fine settimana!

«1 October 2022 - Gazprom informed that it is not able to confirm the gas volumes requested for today, stating that it’s not possible to supply gas through Austria. Therefore, today’s Russian gas supplies to Eni through the Tarvisio entry point will be at zero. Eni will provide updates in case supplies will be restored.»

https://www.eni.com/it-IT/media/approvvigionamento-gas-italia.html
Something to look forward to on Monday?

«ZERGULIO🇷🇺, [02/10/2022 07:54]

There is such a bank as Credit Suisse. The second largest Swiss financial conglomerate after UBS. Founded in 1856, since 2011 it has been one of the globally systemically important banks.

The picture shows a graph of their shares that fell to the floor. And at night, the CEO of Credit Suisse admitted that the bank is going through the most "critical moment" in history, ABC Australia writes. We are talking about possible bankruptcy.

The second picture is an emergency meeting of the US Federal Reserve, scheduled for tomorrow.

Having tried to shoot at the Russian economy, the US and the EU missed, and at the same time they got a good butt in the forehead.»

https://t.me/SergeyKolyasnikov/42934
The premium of Credit Default Swaps, i.e. what it costs do hedge against a possible default of Credit Suisse has spiked lately. The beginning of next week could be interesting...

#CreditSuisse
Seeking Alpha sees both Credit Suisse and Deutsche Bank in deep trouble:
«Credit Suisse (NYSE:CS) is currently trading at 0.23x tangible book. Deutsche Bank (NYSE:DB) is trading at 0.3x tangible book value. These are very distressing valuations for banks, even so for European banks.

CS, however, is in deep trouble due to a steady stream of risk management scandals in its investment»
https://seekingalpha.com/article/4544195-credit-suisse-deutsche-bank-at-distressed-valuations-which-to-avoid
Comment: This video is currently making the rounds in Armenian channels. While it does look authentic, time and place is not verified in any way (yet), says MoD Armenia

Translation:
«THE AKRON ARMENIA 🇦🇲, [02/10/2022 00:51]

THE AZERBAIJANIS SHOT ARMENIAN PRISONERS OF WAR.

SPREAD IT EVERYWHERE!!!

@tsehakron»

Media: -
Source: https://t.me/tsehakron/15868
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Tags: #Armenia #Azerbaijan
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Meanwhile, Munich in Germany is signing 'Kalinka' at the Oktoberfest...
#Munich #Germany #Oktoberfest
Here's Elon Musk admitting that Starlink is supporting Ukraine's military campaign against Russia, and that he sides with Ukraine in this conflict.
The only reason he came up with that proposal is because he realizes that Ukraine's cause is lost, and that it's time to cut losses.
'You've got to know when to fold' em' as per Kenny Rogers...