And just like that, both the S&P and the Nasdaq are now RED on the day lol

Wow, the wild ride continues.

🗓 Less than an hour before Mapping the Market kicks off...

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Let's talk about where this market is, a review of the weekend trade and the sneaky Bitcoin idea, a watchlist for this week and more.

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Market just dumped another full 1%... This is the world we live in right now.

I think what is very interesting is the sectors leading the downside...

Let's talk about it in a few minutes: https://tuccitrades.com/mappingthemarket

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Selling pressure kicked back in overnight after a brief pause immediately post market.

Lately, we’ve seen pretty dramatic snap backs throughout the day with the downside pressure winning out so it’ll be interesting to see if we get a move back up at some point mid day regardless of whether we finish negative again.

I’m going to be watching the sectors closely today to see if there’s any rotation today or just more liquidity coming out across the board.

We’re going to open up below some key levels today with plenty of room for deeper correction to the downside. And CLEARLY things look bearish…

BUTTTTT

These testing ranges have gotten wider and wider, so just be careful out there getting too directional.

We’ve seen lots of “clear breaks” snap back the other direction over this last 160 days of sideways movement, so I’m pretty hesitant to jump on one side even when there’s as much negative momentum as we have right now.

What I’m doing:

- covered calls on the sticks I own with good IV
- pair trades
- mechanical strategies — just keep swinging the bat
- more mid sector focused stocks like staples, health, and financials vs the highly speculative ORR theoretically risk off stocks (both have so much flip side exposure right now)
- playing gold

Hope this helps.

Also if you’re dealing with drawdown like I am right now, check out last Fridays session where I addressed the challenges of drawdown very honestly and directly.

You can watch it free here https://www.youtube.com/live/7IoU3DySFFc?si=zZq5k5tyrTrVUQkl

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Crazy to see the Nasdaq drop 50 points in 10 trading days.

One of the quickest drops we’ve ever seen of that depth.

I wish I had more insight for you or something actionable, but I think we just need to stick to the plan and give this market time to flush out the chaos before jumping in.

The last thing you want to do in a dump like this is make the damage worse.

Have I mentioned this market is insane?

Did I mention don’t get too committed to the downside even when it’s this ugly?

How INSANE is it that the overnight options hit another winner on a day where the SPY was down -2%?!!!? 🔥

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Small pop for the pre marker today after one of the wildest days I’ve ever seen yesterday…

I don’t think any intraday move means a whole lot, but I’m still waiting for that ONE consistent day that builds from opening to closing bell in the same direction.

Who knows, maybe today could be that day! (I doubt it)

I’m very curious to see if financials and energy bounce back today or if there’s a rotation into other sectors (I’m still long XLC and XLP).

Is it even worth me chiming in here to mention how wild this market is at this point? 🤣

Great pop today and another winner on Overnight Options. Great job folks!

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Well, what do you know...

Another large, volatile move in the opposite direction of the previous day.

I hope everyone is getting used to this by now...

I will be honest, even when I predicted in November that we'd have the most volatile market we've seen this decade in 2025, I still didn't expect 2 and 3 percent swings in the broad indexes on a daily basis. This has truly been wild.


What I think is especially interesting lately is where the downside is coming from...

Initially it looked like a move away from risk. Bitcoin fell 20% and tech crumbled. Nvidia beat earnings and went down. Etc.

But even with this chaos, tech is only down 3% this week. I say "only" because energy which would typically be the sector benefiting from a tech crunch is down over 6% this week!

I am going to look for bullish energy and financial plays going into next week to see if we continue getting these big sector flips.

Nothing is easy or obvious in this market, but I think the most consistent trend we are seeing in 2025 is quick rotations in the sectors (outside of tech which has been consistently hit).

Apple is such a good stock :)