目前市場風險胃納：*Risk-On*

Risk-On（有利 Long Side 的市場環境。市場風險胃納偏高的時期，焦點是了解市場敘事及受青睞的產業，尋找強勢板塊 / 股票的買入機會。）
Neutral（較多板塊 / 個股進入盤整的時期，趨勢延續性下降。焦點是辨識板塊輪替，提高風險意識，並等待更清晰的市場方向。）
Risk-Off（不利 Long Side 的市場環境。市場風險胃納偏低的時期，焦點是控制帳戶的下行風險及提高現金水平。）

股市最近的敘事/留意的方向
（1）聯儲局政策路徑逐步清晰，年底仍偏向再加一次息

聯儲局昨晚公布9月份FOMC會議紀要。雖然9月份加息25個基點至3.75%–4.00%的決定獲一致支持，但官員對之後需要加息多少、以及加息速度仍存在一定分歧。部分官員認為目前政策利率只屬輕微限制性，甚至未必已達到足夠限制經濟活動的水平；亦有官員認為，在通脹仍然高於2%目標的...

**[Julian Komar] 
Market Indicators 📈
The Market Trend Model remains green for the Nasdaq and S&P 500, but market breadth is still weak. Almost 200 net lows yesterday, while the number of stocks above the MA200 declined again. The indices are holding up, but most stocks aren’t. 
Stay cautious, keep exposure low, and be extremely selective. 
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Stock Price Action 📊
Not much is working right n...

J Law 即時突發訊息 (update: 9Oct2026) 
幾小時前我在Trader Circle發了一篇帖文 (J Law Stock’s TraderCircle Realtime Alerts即時接收 PM @thetrendfollowing)，指出如果債息回落，但市場仍然表現差勁，就要提高警覺了。結果不僅應驗，而且有更多不尋常的現象出現。先講結論，我已縮減我的曝險規模。 
首先是債息回落並沒有拉升股市。之前一直的反向關係，現在變成了債息雖然下跌，但市場不反彈，這是我在幾小時前提及要注意的警號： 
[image] 
在12:15，TACO導致的拉升，很快就消失。本來大盤及SOXX因TRUMP的發文而反彈： 
”We are having productive discussions with the Islamic Republic of Iran. … while the ...

（1:29PM October 8, 2026    EDT, UTC−4) 
A few hours ago, I posted in [Trader Circle]( J Law Stock Academy English Subsciption With Trader Circle–2-Time U.S. Investing Champion ) that if yields came down and stocks still traded poorly, we needed to be on alert. That warning has now played out, and more unusual behavior has emerged. 
Read passage here: Have Yields Topped Out for Now? 
The takeaway f...

Rotation out of the AI trade today with better action in software and many rate sensitive sectors evident in names such as HD Z RKT. After a great September things were off to a good start but I gave back the traction I had built in October and want to be patient to see what happens with my current holdings as I still have money in the AI trade. Current holdings AMD BE LITE MRVL PLTR TWLO. Lets lo...

J Law 大盤板塊方向部署&圖表教學 (update: 9Oct2026) 
J Law‘s TraderCircle Alerts 即時訊息 Trader Circle Real time Alerts Services 
目前市場風險胃納：*Neutral*

Risk-On（有利 Long Side 的市場環境。市場風險胃納偏高的時期，焦點是了解市場敘事及受青睞的產業，尋找強勢板塊 / 股票的買入機會。）
Neutral（較多板塊 / 個股進入盤整的時期，趨勢延續性下降。焦點是辨識板塊輪替，提高風險意識，並等待更清晰的市場方向。）
Risk-Off（不利 Long Side 的市場環境。市場風險胃納偏低的時期，焦點是控制帳戶的下行風險及提高現金水平。）



Key Study List
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J Law 大盤板塊方向部署&圖表教學 (update: 9Oct2026) 
J Law‘s TraderCircle Alerts 即時訊息 Trader Circle Real time Alerts Services 
目前市場風險胃納：*Neutral*

Risk-On（有利 Long Side 的市場環境。市場風險胃納偏高的時期，焦點是了解市場敘事及受青睞的產業，尋找強勢板塊 / 股票的買入機會。）
Neutral（較多板塊 / 個股進入盤整的時期，趨勢延續性下降。焦點是辨識板塊輪替，提高風險意識，並等待更清晰的市場方向。）
Risk-Off（不利 Long Side 的市場環境。市場風險胃納偏低的時期，焦點是控制帳戶的下行風險及提高現金水平。）



Key Study List
[image][image]

**[Julian Komar] 
ℹ I am on vacation from 10th October to 24th October. You will get the same reports, but live chat activity and support can be limited. 
Market Indicators 📈
The Market Trend Model remains green for the Nasdaq and S&P 500, but red for the Russell 2000. Net lows remain elevated, despite a slight improvement in stocks above the MA200. 
Yesterday’s price action was very weak. It’s un...

**[Julian Komar] 
ℹ I am on vacation from 10th October to 24th October. You will get the same reports, but live chat activity and support can be limited. 
[image] 
🎯 High-Potential Stocks for Next Week
[image] 
Here are the ticker symbols: DELL,TENB,TEAM,RNG,GRAL. I will keep you up-to-date in the daily preparation posts. 
Click here to see the list in Finviz. 
Click here to see the daily focus li...

**[Julian Komar] 
ℹ I am on vacation from 10th October to 24th October. You will get the same reports, but live chat activity and support can be limited. 
Market Indicators 📈
The Market Trend Model is green for the NASDAQ and S&P 500. Friday showed strong price action in software and biotech, with improving net lows and stocks above the MA200. The Russell 2000 could bounce. 
A window of opportunit...

I am looking for an expansion in breath after reviewing the charts. NAMO is setup to cross the 0 line and NASI is in a position where, if it can go on a long signal (cross the 8 day), it could be a solid turn. A few days above the 0 line on NAMO would cause that to happen. Lots of different sectors that have not done much for a while are in positions to make turns. Software continues to lead and i...

Key Points

This week, AI infrastructure shifted from “broad-based strength” to a more selective mode.
Software / agentic AI remains relatively strong for now.
Aside from MRNA, which continues to show strength, many biotech stocks have recently pulled back from their highs. After a strong rally, the sector appears to be entering a short- to medium-term consolidation phase.
The core of portfolio ma...

Key Points

Several warning signs have emerged, but I have not turned outright bearish. For now, my overall market stance is neutral, and I am keeping my guard up.
I have reduced overall exposure in response to these warning signs while preserving cash and buying power ahead of earnings season.
Leadership in AI Hardware and Infrastructure has weakened, prompting me to shift my view of the sector f...

10 11 2026 Weekly Video - Videos Weekly Videos - Champion Team Trading

A turbulent week for stocks last week, though interest rates finally pulled   back late in the week and eased some of the pressure on the market. That did   little for AI and chip stocks, which sold down hard on OpenAI’s $20 billion   revenue shortfall, but plenty of other stocks moved up nicely. Moderna (MRNA)   blasted into new highs and now has a $76 gain from the first buy area.   Meanwhil...

We saw positive action in a few sectors but those sectors were staples, utilities, financials, healthcare, and energy. Not the sectors that typically drive big gains for me. I took multiple stops in some other positions had been in for weeks in LITE BE. TWLO MRVL AMD are on the verge of being stopped. The memory stocks looks more and more like the ARKK 2021 scenario I showed a few weeks ago. I hav...

Oct 2026 MPA videos Update

**[Julian Komar] 
Market Indicators 📈
The Market Trend Model is green for the NASDAQ and S&P 500, but red for the Russell 2000. Net lows and stocks above the MA200 are slowly improving. However, price action remains choppy, with no follow-through after Friday’s strong gains in some stocks. 
Stay cautious, be extremely selective, and protect capital. 
[image] 
Stock Price Action 📊
I still see no hi...

J Law 每周直播 (Live Coaching Session)13 Oct 2026

J Law 每周直播 (Live Coaching Session)13 Oct 2026中文字幕