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💬 @Monkeycourse.com posted
in Semis Continue to Lead--September 22, 2026-The Swing Report -Oliver Kell

Another monster follow through day with the QQQ just about at all-time highs. Often we tick the highs and then pause/rest but given the two day move I plan to let current positions trade and look to cut laggards before the end of the week to re-allocate to better ideas. Tough to start anything new right here from my perspective. Lets look at the charts. 
QQQ Daily– Another day of strong follow thr...
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💬 @Monkeycourse.com posted
in NDX連漲5日 |如果錯過了上車位置 下一步有咩可以部署? 跟進最新Watchlist 23 Sep 2026 量投領航 Quantum Pioneers on Patreon

NDX連漲5日 |如果錯過了上車位置 下一步有咩可以部署?| 跟進最新Watchlist 23 Sep 2026 
(歡迎1.5-2x速睇片, 如果影片顯示”Loading”,代表影片正在上載中,請於10-15分鐘後再刷新觀看)
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內容擇要:
1/ 跟進市場


NDX 連漲5日去到阻力位,留意買入節奏


油價拉回係good sign,但留意反彈


US10Y 未能大幅回落依然係隱憂


燈號維持黃燈,距離全面牛市還差市寬


有邊兩個指標我會留意?


2/ BTC/ETH跟進
3/ 為何值得關注電子零件主題?


背後的投資邏輯?圖表分析


FPS (重電)


NVT (水冷)


CLS/SANM (800G交換器/AI機櫃代工)


VICR (晶片供電)


ARW/ AVT (主被動元件)


4/ 跟進了Key Resistan...
💬 @Monkeycourse.com posted
in Daily Market Update: Price action improving**[Julian Komar]

**[Julian Komar] 
Market Indicators 📈
The Market Trend Model is green for the S&P 500 and Nasdaq, but red for the Russell 2000. Net lows and stocks above the MA200 improved slightly, but remain far from strong levels. My watchlist and recent buys are giving positive feedback. I’m willing to ramp up exposure as long as these positive signals continue.
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Stock Price Action 📊
Price action amo...
💬 @Monkeycourse.com posted
in 大盤起漲訊號follow through day研究,成功率為何?如何解讀反彈強度Sep 23, 2026--- 春哥springinvest

本文章參考Eric Krull 的The Lifecycle Trade而寫成。 
大盤從修正到有初步轉強跡象時,常見問題是:這究竟只是超賣反彈,還是新一波行情的開始?以及如何判斷市況是否持續好轉?值得投入更多資金?
follow through day 就是能解答這個問題的工具。
你將學到:


什麼是follow through day (FTD)


出現follow throug day後,如何判斷是否失效?


4種 FTD的反彈結果


如何判斷FTD 品質


前 25 天的大數據軌跡:如何早期辨識「Life Changer」?


領先股比FTD更重要


實戰試水溫執行流程


1. 什麼是follow through day (FTD) ?
Follow-Through Day(FTD,跟進日)是一種用來判斷市場在修正後是否可能轉強的技術訊號。雖然它...
💬 @Monkeycourse.com posted
in Resting--September 23, 2026-The Swing Report -Oliver Kell

Pullback/chop day for me is only natural after the 4-5 day move we have had. The names I mentioned last night like AMD ARM INTC ALAB all held up extremely well. Hoping they pause another day or two to give a potential support long. The one trigger from last night was CRWD as Cyber stocks continue to push higher. I was not involved as mostly sat tight today. Due to already having positions I am bei...
💬 @Monkeycourse.com posted
in Market Analysis Leadership Webinar - September 2026 - The Swing Report

Market Analysis Leadership Webinar - September 2026 - The Swing Report
💬 @Monkeycourse.com posted
in September 23, 2026 – Mid-Week Update**[Julian Komar]

**[Julian Komar] 
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💎 Highlighted stocks:
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Symbols to copy: HPE,MXL,ARM,AMD,SNDK,CRWD,SDGR,ABCL,PURR,BMNR
Look at the Daily Market Update posts for more concrete entries.
Link to the highlighted stocks: Highlighted Stocks in FinViz
Link for daily focus watchlist in TradingView: Focus watchlist with Top Trading Ideas
Link to the general watchlist in TradingView: General watchlist...
💬 @Monkeycourse.com posted
in RR Market Commentary & Subscriber Questions September 23rd 2026 The Roppel Report

Market Commentary & Subscriber Questions September 23rd 2026 The Roppel Report
💬 @Monkeycourse.com posted
in An important discussion about taking small losses--Peter L. Brandt

I have long advocated that an approach to market speculation must embrace three things. 

Preserving capital by taking quick and small losses
Adopting rules that allow for profitable trades to grow
Limiting the sizing and risk on each trade to 70 basis points (7/10th of 1% of total nominal capital)

The purpose of this communications is to further unpack item #1 – taking small losses.
Will simply...
💬 @Monkeycourse.com posted
in 24 September 2026 | Midweek Market Brief

Current Market Risk Appetite: *Risk-On*

Risk-On (A market environment favorable for the long side. During periods of strong risk appetite, the focus is on understanding market narratives and favored industries, while looking for buying opportunities in leading sectors/stocks.)
Neutral (A period where more sectors and individual stocks enter consolidation, and trend continuation weakens. The focus...
💬 @Monkeycourse.com posted
in J Law 股市分析(update: 24Sep2026)

目前市場風險胃納:*Risk-On*

Risk-On(有利 Long Side 的市場環境。市場風險胃納偏高的時期,焦點是了解市場敘事及受青睞的產業,尋找強勢板塊 / 股票的買入機會。)
Neutral(較多板塊 / 個股進入盤整的時期,趨勢延續性下降。焦點是辨識板塊輪替,提高風險意識,並等待更清晰的市場方向。)
Risk-Off(不利 Long Side 的市場環境。市場風險胃納偏低的時期,焦點是控制帳戶的下行風險及提高現金水平。)

股市最近的敘事/留意的方向
(1)Meta Muse快速普及,市場開始重新定價Agentic AI的受惠者與受害者

Meta於9月推出個人AI agent Muse,與一般只回答問題的聊天機械人不同,Muse可以直接代替用戶完成購物、預訂旅程、填寫表格等任務,並透過第三方服務完成實際操作。Muse推出後迅速升至美國及加拿大Apple App Store...
💬 @Monkeycourse.com posted
in Daily Market Update: Choppy market, weak breadth**[Julian Komar]

**[Julian Komar] 
Market Indicators 📈
The Market Trend Model stays green for Nasdaq and S&P 500, while Russell 2000 remains red. Breadth is weak with 100+ net lows and a sharp drop in stocks above the MA200. Nasdaq is set to gap down 0.7%.
This still feels like a choppy sideways market. Stay cautious with new positions.
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Stock Price Action 📊
There are still strong leaders, but I’m very s...
💬 @Monkeycourse.com posted
in 目前反彈和4月的牛市最大分別:這波升浪相當集中於能靠AI 賺錢的科技股-量投領航 Quantum Pioneers 24 Sep 2026

目前反彈和4月的牛市最大分別:這波升浪相當集中於能靠AI 賺錢的科技股 
從New High New Low 以及AD line 見到大盤指數升,但參與上漲的股票越來越少,這是非常明顯的背馳。
目前不是整個美股一齊參與的新牛市,債息升溫確實影響IWM 中小型股和DIA 傳統實體經濟股票。
一方面這突顯了市寬的潛在風險,但另一方面亦都突顯了選股能力的重要性🫡
(非投資建議)
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💬 @Monkeycourse.com posted
in Gap Down Supported--September 24, 2026--The Swing Report -Oliver Kell

Market continued to pull back via a large gap down. Things were supported pretty well and we are in a position now with the EMAs starting to come up from underneath and would like to see a strong close to the week. Lets look at the charts. 
QQQ Daily– Bullish counter-attack bar on the gap down. Nice action.
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SPY Daily– Supporting on a test of the EMAs. 775 is still the level to take out.
...
💬 @Monkeycourse.com posted
in 我有一個大膽的想法🤣----quips--量投領航 Quantum Pioneers 25 Sep 2026

我有一個大膽的想法🤣 
最近10年期債息飆升到通道頂
但 What if 債息回落?
這些已經排列緊密、出現Pivot Point的股票會如何?
CPU 概念 - AMD, INTC
NeoCloud - NBIS
AI 伺服器 - HPE
電子零件 - ARW, AVT
網絡硬件 - ANET, ALAB
先進封裝測試 - ASX, AEHR
800G/1.6T 光學晶片- MRVL, MXL
網絡安全 - CRWD, OKTA, NET, PANW
Biotech - MRNA, TEM, TXG, TWST
(非投資建議)
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💬 @Monkeycourse.com posted
in 10天線 vs 當日低點!如何精準設定 Initial Stop,告別看對賺太少、看錯賠大錢?--買入實戰--量投領航 Quantum Pioneers-26 Sep 2026

在動能投資(Momentum Investing)中,設定初始停損(Initial Risk Level 或者有些人稱為 Intial Stop)是生存的底線。動能投資的核心在於捕捉「強者恆強」的趨勢,投資理念是建立在趨勢延續的假設上。 
我們買進正在飆升的資產,預期它會繼續上漲。然而,動能或者上升的趨勢何時扭轉是無法預測的。而且高成長的股票伴隨着高波動,若沒有嚴格的停損機制,一次深度回調就可能吞噬所有利潤。
3屆美國投資大賽冠軍 David Ryan 曾經講過”It is ok to lose, as long as the loss is small”。設定初始停損 (Initial Risk Level) 的理念很純粹:「承認自己會看錯,並在損失擴大前切斷它。」
動能投資者不與市場對抗,一旦股價跌破既定防線,即代表「該資產目前的動能已經扭轉」或「進場時機錯誤」。此時必須立刻執行停...
💬 @Monkeycourse.com posted
in IBKR vs 富途掛單大不同!動能投資必學的 4 種訂單設定與盤前跳空 FAQ 全解–買入實戰–量投領航 Quantum Pioneers-26 Sep 2026

不同的訂單類型(Order Types)在動能投資中扮演著完全不同的戰術角色。 
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看完這篇內容,你將學到動能交易的訂單戰術與風險管理系統:


精準右側進場:學會用 Buy Stop(突破買入) 掛在阻力位上方,只在市場動能確立、真金白銀突破時才追進,絕不盲目摸底。


動態風險回收:學會一進場就用 Sell Stop(初始止損) 控制假突破風險,並隨著股價上漲同步調高觸發價(移動止損),鎖定利潤。


系統理性停利:學會利用 Sell Limit(限價單) 依照 De-risk 規則在狂熱高點分批收割;並在突發極端行情時,用 Market Order(市價單) 追求極速進出場。


盤前跳空 FAQ 全解:當盤前遇到跳空暴跌、或者盤前價格跳過買入點的狀況應該如何處理。


以下會用這個操作例子來深度解析如何運用這四種訂單來執行操作:
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策略模...