💬 @Monkeycourse.com posted
in J Law 每周直播 (Live Coaching Session)15 Sep 2026 中文字幕--MYT
in J Law 每周直播 (Live Coaching Session)15 Sep 2026 中文字幕--MYT
J Law 每周直播 (Live Coaching Session)15 Sep 2026
💬 @Monkeycourse.com posted
in 15 September 2026 | Market Remains Neutral Ahead of FOMC as the AI Narrative Enters a Period of Sharp Divergence--JLA
in 15 September 2026 | Market Remains Neutral Ahead of FOMC as the AI Narrative Enters a Period of Sharp Divergence--JLA
Current Market Risk Appetite: Neutral
Risk-On (A market environment favorable for the long side. During periods of strong risk appetite, the focus is on understanding market narratives and favored industries, while looking for buying opportunities in leading sectors/stocks.)
Neutral (A period when more sectors and individual stocks enter consolidation and trend continuation becomes less consisten...
💬 @Monkeycourse.com posted
in Daily Market Update: Staying Defensive**[Julian Komar]
in Daily Market Update: Staying Defensive**[Julian Komar]
**[Julian Komar]
Market Indicators 📈
The Market Trend Model remains yellow for the Nasdaq and S&P 500 and red for the Russell 2000. Net lows and fewer stocks above the MA200 show no real improvement despite yesterday’s intraday rally. I remain defensive, protect capital, and wait for better market conditions.
[image]
Stock Price Action 📊
Yesterday showed another rotation between leading groups....
💬 @Monkeycourse.com posted
in J Law 即時突發訊息 (update: 15Sep2026)--MYT
in J Law 即時突發訊息 (update: 15Sep2026)--MYT
不正常
BTC ETH 在CLARITY 法案審議的 cloture 程序關卡投票前遭大幅拋售,這種情況下我認為市場已知道些什麼。Polymarket 賭盤「今年內成法」的概率由約 31% 回落至 19%。在目前偏risk-off市況下,我的風險容忍度很低,我已賣出所有與加密貨幣相關的股票。
ETH 兩度向上假突破,再快速跌穿支持:
[image]
BTC向下突破:[image]
CRCL向下突破:[image]
15 Sep 2026 (Update: 23:00 GMT+8)
💬 @Monkeycourse.com posted
in Fed On Deck--September 15, 2026--The Swing Report
in Fed On Deck--September 15, 2026--The Swing Report
Lots of relative strength in various names but inconsistent action and most charts are still “coming together” so I am pretty much watching charts that have more to prove. The Fed is tomorrow and there is a 95% chance they raise rates. I think the market would react negatively if they didn’t raise rates but we will see what happens. The day after the Fed is often the more sustaining move so Thursd...
💬 @Monkeycourse.com posted
in New Trade Lab with Richard Moglen Report - Sep 16, 2026—Trade Lab
in New Trade Lab with Richard Moglen Report - Sep 16, 2026—Trade Lab
New Trade Lab with Richard Moglen Report - Sep 16, 2026
https://monkeycourse.com/store/trade-lab.html
Market Vulnerable Before the Fed
Market Trend Status
Trend: 1 of 4 UP
✗ 10 EMA✗ 21 EMA✗ 50 SMA✓ 200 SMA
Market Action
Some week action from indexes ahead of the Fed meeting. We’ll see how we respond to that event. Expect large swings.
Be ready for anything.
QQQ
Vulnerable. Below Mas
[QQQ|920xauto]
IWM
Trending down
[IWM|920xauto]
I...
💬 @Monkeycourse.com posted
in FOMC在即丨VIX正在Setup?丨16-Sep-2026--Trend Investor 趨勢交易
in FOMC在即丨VIX正在Setup?丨16-Sep-2026--Trend Investor 趨勢交易
FOMC在即丨VIX正在Setup?丨16-Sep-2026–Trend Investor 趨勢交易
https://monkeycourse.com/store/tim.html
盤後回顧
QQQ昨日再度回跌,回吐了早前低開高走的漲幅,並且再一次收在多重均線之下
週線圖暫時看到收在10週線之下,不過真正方向有機會在FOMC後才出現
債息維持在高位未見回跌
美元重返均線之上迎接FOMC
油價仍然維持在相對高位
石油相關的XLE昨日出現反彈回補了大陰燭
部分股票在突破表現上有改善,例如昨日提到的TEM突破漲超10%,不過升勢能否持續仍有待觀察
大部分的股票昨日表現一般,熱度圖會看到市寛仍然比較弱
不過市場能在短時間內好轉,特別是如果能夠出現強力催化劑的時候
現階段比較有影響力的有機會是FOMC及議息會議,到底最終會推倒大市還是幫助大市是關鍵
目前市場預期92.4%的機率加息
我正留意的是過去這段時間的調整,是否已經price in了這個...
💬 @Monkeycourse.com posted
in 敬畏市場,學習忍耐,沒有短期主線,並不代表沒有出路--Sam Lam 投資筆記 Investment Radar PRO
in 敬畏市場,學習忍耐,沒有短期主線,並不代表沒有出路--Sam Lam 投資筆記 Investment Radar PRO
美股三大指數連續走弱,十年期美債孳息率一度升穿 5%,創下 2007 年以來高位;布蘭特原油站穩 108 美元附近,中東局勢未解;IWM已經跌破支持位置。主線輪動加快,卻很難形成可持續的賺錢效應。
加上9 月本就是美股歷史上偏弱的月份,再疊加聯儲議息、歐日央行同週決策,屬於寧可先減倉,等政策落地的環境。
現在出現令人沮喪的盤面:不是沒有上漲的個股,而是缺少買了就能安穩拿著的板塊共識。能源漲,是因為油價;個別半導體反彈,是超賣修正;防守板塊又被高孳息率拖累。
短線交易者會覺得處處是陷阱,中線投資者會覺得處處缺催化。這正是 risk-off 的本質——不是沒有機會,而是機會的勝率與賠率同時變差。
敬畏市場,學習忍耐
在這種環境裡,最貴的錯誤往往不是看錯方向,而是不肯承認 現在不是表現的時候。
市場已經用價格告訴你:它不接受高槓桿、不接受擁擠交易、不接受把尚未兌現的故事當確定現金流。 ...
💬 @Monkeycourse.com posted
in Daily Market Update: Weakness keeps spreading**[Julian Komar]
in Daily Market Update: Weakness keeps spreading**[Julian Komar]
**[Julian Komar]
Market Indicators 📈
The Market Trend Model remains yellow for the Nasdaq and S&P 500 and red for the Russell 2000. Net lows persist, while stocks above the MA200 dropped below 50%. This remains a weak, sideways market where I have zero interest in trading.
Stay in cash and wait for a strong market environment.
[image]
Stock Price Action 📊
There are still pockets of strength, e...
💬 @Monkeycourse.com posted
in Fed Day--September 16, 2026--The Swing Report
in Fed Day--September 16, 2026--The Swing Report
The Fed raised interest rates 25 bps as we were expecting and hoping for. The market sold off pretty good but QQQ held the 700.07 gap fill so far. Most names have stayed pretty well intact but have also not gone anywhere. The day after the Fed is usually the more important day to pay attention. The QQQ is at an absolutely pivotal spot as it could lose or hold the 20 Week into the end of the week. ...
💬 @Monkeycourse.com posted
in September 16, 2026 – Mid-Week Update**[Julian Komar]
in September 16, 2026 – Mid-Week Update**[Julian Komar]
**[Julian Komar]
[image]
💎 Highlighted stocks:
[image]
Symbols to copy: DELL,BE,AMD,CRWD,NET,OKTA,MRNA
Look at the Daily Market Update posts for more concrete entries.
Link to the highlighted stocks: Highlighted Stocks in FinViz
Link for daily focus watchlist in TradingView: Focus watchlist with Top Trading Ideas
Link to the general watchlist in TradingView: General watchlist with all stock...
💬 @Monkeycourse.com posted
in 9 16 2026 CTT Livestream - Videos Livestreams - Champion Team Trading
in 9 16 2026 CTT Livestream - Videos Livestreams - Champion Team Trading
9 16 2026 CTT Livestream - Videos Livestreams - Champion Team Trading
MonkeyCourse.com
💬 @Monkeycourse.com posted
in Chartpattern Report–Wednesday, September 16, 2026
in Chartpattern Report–Wednesday, September 16, 2026
Wednesday, September 16, 2026 The Fed raised rates 25 basis points today as expected and stocks only slipped a little on the news. Then Fed Chairman Warsh took the podium and the market tanked sharply lower as another rate hike now looks likely later this year. I've noted that September is historically the worst month of the year, and the final two weeks are the absolute worst o...
💬 @Monkeycourse.com posted
in FOMC加息丨SPX最新市場訊號丨Signal Leader setup review Patreon 上的 Momentum Investor 動能投資者
in FOMC加息丨SPX最新市場訊號丨Signal Leader setup review Patreon 上的 Momentum Investor 動能投資者
FOMC加息丨SPX最新市場訊號丨Signal Leader setup review Patreon 上的 Momentum Investor 動能投資者
0:10 現在最新市場訊號: SPX
2:20 回顧Sep 3, 11& 14 浮現Leaders
14:10 Sep 16市場訊號,目前trading ideas by momentum system:
17:10 Watch List highlight/ 盤中我會如何看opening range tight risk操作
(SPCX SNOW MRVL MRNA…)
【免責聲明】 1.本頻道純屬技術分析及基本面分析教學,僅使用圖表或數據作案例。 2.所有圖表、例子均為過往已發生的走勢,不代表未來走勢。 3.本頻道純屬分享個人的交易日誌,並分享給有興趣的讀者作純粹的教學用途 4.不構成任何買賣建議、目標價、投資意見...
💬 @Monkeycourse.com posted
in Market Commentary & Subscriber Questions September 17th, 2026
in Market Commentary & Subscriber Questions September 17th, 2026
Market Commentary & Subscriber Questions September 17th, 2026
💬 @Monkeycourse.com posted
in 17 September 2026 | Midweek Market Brief--JLA
in 17 September 2026 | Midweek Market Brief--JLA
17 September 2026 | Midweek Market Brief–JLA
Current Market Risk Appetite: *Neutral*
Risk-On (A market environment favorable for the long side. During periods of strong risk appetite, the focus is on understanding market narratives and favored industries, while looking for buying opportunities in leading sectors/stocks.)
Neutral (A period where more sectors and individual stocks enter consolidat...
💬 @Monkeycourse.com posted
in J Law 股市分析(update: 17Sep2026)--MYT
in J Law 股市分析(update: 17Sep2026)--MYT
J Law 股市分析(update: 17Sep2026)–MYT
目前市場風險胃納:*Neutral*
Risk-On(有利 Long Side 的市場環境。市場風險胃納偏高的時期,焦點是了解市場敘事及受青睞的產業,尋找強勢板塊 / 股票的買入機會。)
Neutral(較多板塊 / 個股進入盤整的時期,趨勢延續性下降。焦點是辨識板塊輪替,提高風險意識,並等待更清晰的市場方向。)
Risk-Off(不利 Long Side 的市場環境。市場風險胃納偏低的時期,焦點是控制帳戶的下行風險及提高現金水平。)
股市最近的敘事/留意的方向
(1)FOMC加息25個基點,年底或再加一次
聯儲局昨晚一致通過加息 25個基點,將聯邦基金利率目標區間由3.50%–3.75%提高至 3.75%–4.00%,是今輪重新收緊政策後的首次加息。議息聲明指出,美國經濟活動仍以穩健速度擴張,國內消費保持韌性、資...
💬 @Monkeycourse.com posted
in Daily Market Update: Still No Expansion**[Julian Komar]
in Daily Market Update: Still No Expansion**[Julian Komar]
**[Julian Komar]
Market Indicators 📈
The Market Trend Model is yellow for Nasdaq and red for S&P 500 and Russell 2000. Breadth keeps weakening with fewer stocks above the MA200 and continued net lows.
Today’s 0.9% Nasdaq upgap could easily fade in this sideways market.
Stay extremely cautious. Cash is a position. Wait for exceptional setups.
[image]
Stock Price Action 📊
There is still strengt...
💬 @Monkeycourse.com posted
in [內嵌字幕] IR 會員大盤及股票 本週中期Podcast 17.Sep.2026 -用Risk reward心態買入部署-- Sam Lam 投資筆記
in [內嵌字幕] IR 會員大盤及股票 本週中期Podcast 17.Sep.2026 -用Risk reward心態買入部署-- Sam Lam 投資筆記
[內嵌字幕] IR 會員大盤及股票 本週中期Podcast 17.Sep.2026 -用Risk reward心態買入部署 Patreon 上的 Sam Lam 投資筆記
💬 @Monkeycourse.com posted
in FOMC來襲會否帶崩美股?| 大宗商品Higher for longer 農產品、金價會升?| 會員問題分享 16 Sep 2026 量投領航 Quantum Pioneers
in FOMC來襲會否帶崩美股?| 大宗商品Higher for longer 農產品、金價會升?| 會員問題分享 16 Sep 2026 量投領航 Quantum Pioneers
FOMC來襲會否帶崩美股?| 大宗商品Higher for longer 農產品、金價會升?| 會員問題分享 16 Sep 2026 量投領航 Quantum Pioneers