💬 @Monkeycourse.com posted
in 【每週強勢板塊雷達】 核心交易部署 (14.Sep.2026) —-SamLam

📌 前言與風險提示
本週板塊排名僅反映當前市場資金的聚焦程度與相對強度（RS），我再判斷屬於那一個級別。 
⚠️ 交易紀律提醒： 
排名靠前絕不等同於「即時買入訊號」。強勢股若處於技術伸延過多的狀態，盲目追高風險極大。請務必結合*大盤RS強度、個股當前圖表形態（如：是否回測均線支持、有無出現 Buyable Gap Up 機會）*進行綜合資金管理。 
⚠️我對業績前的操作原則為： 
業績好壞由市場解讀無法推測。除非你有5%以上利潤軟墊，否則並不建議持貨過業績。業績前建議賣出至少1/3本金，降低成本價，以免被重創。 
🚫Stop loss指引： 


止損一般不超過5%，同時佔總本金不超過0.5%，不可在虧錢本金上向下加注。 


position trade的話，需要定時上移止損，操作順序為：上移止損至成本價（確保不會由盈轉虧）➡️ 上移止損至下一個 Support Edge ➡️ 如此類推 


...

💬 @Monkeycourse.com posted
in J Law 即時突發訊息 (update: 14Sep2026)--MYT

14 Sep 2026 (Update: 20:06 GMT+8) 
再一次被市場愚弄，我不會抱怨，這正正是part of the game。 
上周我先是用SOXS去對沖硬件股的好倉，之後轉為看空，周五被short squeeze後，淡倉止損，轉為多頭立場。 
周末，Dario Amodei 公開發布「AI減速倡議」，言論獲得Elon Musk及OpenAI的Sam Altman支持，只是一句 “I agee with you.”，今天硬件股再遭拋售。 
與此同時，軟件類別受惠「AI減速倡議」而盤前普遍上升，OKTA CRWD DDOG NOW等升幅尤其明顯。 
這也是為何我在這去一兩周強調分散持有不同板塊、減低每筆交易的RISK BUDGET、並建議持有一定的現金比例的原因。 
回到實際操作上，我認為軟件股的重要性明顯提高了，所以我會繼續持有，並看看今天開盤後有沒有一些短暫的拉回給我加...

💬 @Monkeycourse.com posted
in J Law 即時突發訊息 (update: 14-Sep2026)--MYT

J Law 即時突發訊息 (update: 14Sep2026)–MYT

💬 @Monkeycourse.com posted
in 14 Sep 2026 | J Law’s Market Note–JLA

**[Don’t Complain. Just Admit When You’re Wrong.]
The market has wrong-footed me again. I’m not complaining. This is part of the game. 
Last week, I initially used SOXS to hedge my long positions in hardware stocks. I then turned bearish, only to get caught in Friday’s short squeeze. I stopped out of my bearish position and switched back to a bullish stance. 
Over the weekend, Dario Amodei publicl...

💬 @Monkeycourse.com posted
in Daily Market Update: Weakness is increasing**[Julian Komar]

**[Julian Komar] 
Market Indicators 📈
The Market Trend Model stays yellow for the Nasdaq and S&P 500 and red for the Russell 2000. We have net lows, fewer stocks above the MA200, and a 1.6% down gap today. Clear rules protect you from bad markets. Stay defensive and protect capital. 
[image] 
Stock Price Action 📊
There are still individual stocks showing relative strength, but many names are down ...

💬 @Monkeycourse.com posted
in Software Rotation-September 14, 2026--The Swing Report

Given we have been consolidating for four straight months, with the Fed Wednesday combined with recent frustrating trade, I think its reasonable to wait for the Fed. Money rotated into software today, specifically cyber, but I was not involved in any of those names. NET was the setup that triggered from the watchlist and its off to a good start. CRWD OKTA ZS RBRK etc all had large up days and will...

💬 @Monkeycourse.com posted
in Chartpattern Report– Monday, September 14, 2026

[image]



   Monday, September 14, 2026           A huge gap down in technology stocks today after Anthropic's CEO called for a   slowdown in AI development and government oversight, and chip and AI names   absolutely plunged on the news. But cybersecurity and software stocks   quickly took the baton and started to run higher like my selection Okta Inc   (OKTA), which now has $29 in gains from my...

💬 @Monkeycourse.com posted
in 市況突發 -15.Sep.2026--Sam Lam 投資筆記

在choppy市況下，跟車太貼未必是好事。昨晚軟硬再次輪替，所有硬件股繼續被強力沽售，即使看起來有Low cheat setup的都一樣被拋售。在搖搖板走勢下，軟件再次得到升勢。 
我承認我在最近的板塊走勢混亂不堪情況下做錯了一些決定，當時在硬件走勢未清晰情況下仍然嘗試買入，或許我更應該更堅持對軟件走勢的看法。 

Security板塊重新走強
雖然我討厭搖搖板走勢，但不得不承認軟件仍然是一浪高過一浪走勢，而非硬件Stage 4走勢。昨晚軟件股明顯好轉，除了一些過往position trade的股票外，BUG亦重新回到我們之前的賣出點。 
[image] 
雖然RSI背離是我作為之前的賣出依據，但背離不代表一直會下跌，也有可能在股價重新消化後打破背離珈鎖。以2025年的SNDK作例子，它在背離情況下經歷數個月的調整後再次突破上行。我認為價格優先一切，如果cyber security走勢最終...

💬 @Monkeycourse.com posted
in J Law 每周直播 (Live Coaching Session)15 Sep 2026--MYT

[J Law 每周直播 (Live Coaching Session)15 Sep 2026]

💬 @Monkeycourse.com posted
in J Law 每周直播 (Live Coaching Session)15 Sep 2026 中文字幕--MYT

J Law 每周直播 (Live Coaching Session)15 Sep 2026

📧 Stockbee blog: Market Monitor Snap Shot

Read Online

💬 @Monkeycourse.com posted
in 15 September 2026 | Market Remains Neutral Ahead of FOMC as the AI Narrative Enters a Period of Sharp Divergence--JLA

Current Market Risk Appetite: Neutral

Risk-On (A market environment favorable for the long side. During periods of strong risk appetite, the focus is on understanding market narratives and favored industries, while looking for buying opportunities in leading sectors/stocks.)
Neutral (A period when more sectors and individual stocks enter consolidation and trend continuation becomes less consisten...

💬 @Monkeycourse.com posted
in Daily Market Update: Staying Defensive**[Julian Komar]

**[Julian Komar] 
Market Indicators 📈
The Market Trend Model remains yellow for the Nasdaq and S&P 500 and red for the Russell 2000. Net lows and fewer stocks above the MA200 show no real improvement despite yesterday’s intraday rally. I remain defensive, protect capital, and wait for better market conditions. 
[image] 
Stock Price Action 📊
Yesterday showed another rotation between leading groups....

💬 @Monkeycourse.com posted
in J Law 即時突發訊息 (update: 15Sep2026)--MYT

不正常
BTC ETH 在CLARITY 法案審議的 cloture 程序關卡投票前遭大幅拋售，這種情況下我認為市場已知道些什麼。Polymarket 賭盤「今年內成法」的概率由約 31% 回落至 19%。在目前偏risk-off市況下，我的風險容忍度很低，我已賣出所有與加密貨幣相關的股票。 
ETH 兩度向上假突破，再快速跌穿支持： 
[image] 
BTC向下突破：[image] 
CRCL向下突破：[image] 
15 Sep 2026 (Update: 23:00 GMT+8)

💬 @Monkeycourse.com posted
in Fed On Deck--September 15, 2026--The Swing Report

Lots of relative strength in various names but inconsistent action and most charts are still “coming together” so I am pretty much watching charts that have more to prove. The Fed is tomorrow and there is a 95% chance they raise rates. I think the market would react negatively if they didn’t raise rates but we will see what happens. The day after the Fed is often the more sustaining move so Thursd...

💬 @Monkeycourse.com posted
in New Trade Lab with Richard Moglen Report - Sep 16, 2026—Trade Lab

New Trade Lab with Richard Moglen Report - Sep 16, 2026 
https://monkeycourse.com/store/trade-lab.html
Market Vulnerable Before the Fed
Market Trend Status 
Trend: 1 of 4 UP 
✗ 10 EMA✗ 21 EMA✗ 50 SMA✓ 200 SMA 
Market Action
Some week action from indexes ahead of the Fed meeting. We’ll see how we respond to that event. Expect large swings. 
Be ready for anything. 
QQQ
Vulnerable. Below Mas 
[QQQ|920xauto] 
IWM
Trending down 
[IWM|920xauto] 
I...

💬 @Monkeycourse.com posted
in FOMC在即丨VIX正在Setup?丨16-Sep-2026--Trend Investor 趨勢交易

FOMC在即丨VIX正在Setup?丨16-Sep-2026–Trend Investor 趨勢交易 
https://monkeycourse.com/store/tim.html
盤後回顧 

QQQ昨日再度回跌，回吐了早前低開高走的漲幅，並且再一次收在多重均線之下 
週線圖暫時看到收在10週線之下，不過真正方向有機會在FOMC後才出現 
債息維持在高位未見回跌 
美元重返均線之上迎接FOMC 
油價仍然維持在相對高位 
石油相關的XLE昨日出現反彈回補了大陰燭 
部分股票在突破表現上有改善，例如昨日提到的TEM突破漲超10%，不過升勢能否持續仍有待觀察 
大部分的股票昨日表現一般，熱度圖會看到市寛仍然比較弱 
不過市場能在短時間內好轉，特別是如果能夠出現強力催化劑的時候 
現階段比較有影響力的有機會是FOMC及議息會議，到底最終會推倒大市還是幫助大市是關鍵 
目前市場預期92.4%的機率加息 
我正留意的是過去這段時間的調整，是否已經price in了這個...

💬 @Monkeycourse.com posted
in 敬畏市場，學習忍耐，沒有短期主線，並不代表沒有出路--Sam Lam 投資筆記 Investment Radar PRO

美股三大指數連續走弱，十年期美債孳息率一度升穿 5%，創下 2007 年以來高位；布蘭特原油站穩 108 美元附近，中東局勢未解；IWM已經跌破支持位置。主線輪動加快，卻很難形成可持續的賺錢效應。 
加上9 月本就是美股歷史上偏弱的月份，再疊加聯儲議息、歐日央行同週決策，屬於寧可先減倉，等政策落地的環境。 
現在出現令人沮喪的盤面：不是沒有上漲的個股，而是缺少買了就能安穩拿著的板塊共識。能源漲，是因為油價；個別半導體反彈，是超賣修正；防守板塊又被高孳息率拖累。 
短線交易者會覺得處處是陷阱，中線投資者會覺得處處缺催化。這正是 risk-off 的本質——不是沒有機會，而是機會的勝率與賠率同時變差。 

敬畏市場，學習忍耐
在這種環境裡，最貴的錯誤往往不是看錯方向，而是不肯承認 現在不是表現的時候。 
市場已經用價格告訴你：它不接受高槓桿、不接受擁擠交易、不接受把尚未兌現的故事當確定現金流。 ...

💬 @Monkeycourse.com posted
in Daily Market Update: Weakness keeps spreading**[Julian Komar]

**[Julian Komar] 
Market Indicators 📈
The Market Trend Model remains yellow for the Nasdaq and S&P 500 and red for the Russell 2000. Net lows persist, while stocks above the MA200 dropped below 50%. This remains a weak, sideways market where I have zero interest in trading. 
Stay in cash and wait for a strong market environment. 
[image] 
Stock Price Action 📊
There are still pockets of strength, e...

💬 @Monkeycourse.com posted
in Fed Day--September 16, 2026--The Swing Report

The Fed raised interest rates 25 bps as we were expecting and hoping for. The market sold off pretty good but QQQ held the 700.07 gap fill so far. Most names have stayed pretty well intact but have also not gone anywhere. The day after the Fed is usually the more important day to pay attention. The QQQ is at an absolutely pivotal spot as it could lose or hold the 20 Week into the end of the week. ...

💬 @Monkeycourse.com posted
in September 16, 2026 – Mid-Week Update**[Julian Komar]

**[Julian Komar] 
[image] 
💎 Highlighted stocks:
[image] 
Symbols to copy: DELL,BE,AMD,CRWD,NET,OKTA,MRNA 
Look at the Daily Market Update posts for more concrete entries. 
Link to the highlighted stocks: Highlighted Stocks in FinViz 
Link for daily focus watchlist in TradingView: Focus watchlist with Top Trading Ideas 
Link to the general watchlist in TradingView: General watchlist with all stock...