⚠️ Fear and Greed — Your Two Worst Enemies!

Every trader faces them — not on the chart, but in the mirror. Fear and greed are not emotions. They are behavioral forces that quietly rewrite your trading plan mid-session.

🟠 Fear makes you exit too early. You see a red candle and think “What if I lose everything?”
🟠 Greed keeps you in too long. You're in profit, but whisper to yourself “Just a bit more…”

These emotions pretend to protect you — but in reality, they sabotage your trades. They make you overreact, second-guess, and break your own system.

Emotional discipline is the foundation of any serious trading strategy. You can have the best indicators, the cleanest setup — but if you panic at every dip or chase every pump, your edge is gone.

❓ So what do you do?

✔️ Build emotional checkpoints into your system. Before entering or exiting a trade, ask: “Is this part of my plan — or am I reacting emotionalldetachment." Treat each trade like a statistical event — not a personal victory or failure.

✔️ Fear and greed won’t vanish — but you can neutralize them. Turn your emotions into data — and your edge becomes psychological as y?”
✔️ Use journaling — not just for trades, but for tracking emotional states. Over time, you’ll spot patterns and triggers.
✔️ Practice "planned well as technical.

💰 Signs of Liquidity Returning to Financial Markets

🔵 In 2019, the Federal Reserve launched an expansionary policy and began expanding its balance sheet, injecting liquidity into the economy and triggering strong market rallies.

🔵 Since the end of Quantitative Tightening (QT) in December 2025, the Fed has added roughly $160 billion in liquidity to the financial system so far.

🔵 Rising liquidity in the banking system means higher bank reserves, which typically supports stronger capital flows into stock markets and digital assets.

Historical data suggests periods like this generally have a positive impact on equities and cryptocurrencies.

❗️🇺🇸 Latest Truth Social Post From President Trump

🚨U.S. President Trump threatened that Tuesday will be “Power Plant Day, and Bridge Day, all wrapped up in one, in Iran. There will be nothing like it!!!”

He demanded Iran open the Strait of Hormuz, saying:

🚢 “Open the Fuckin’ Strait, you crazy bastards, or you’ll be living in Hell – JUST WATCH! Praise be to Allah.”

Gold🔽 Oil🔼

🇨🇳 China Bond Market Shift

📈 Government bond yields may rise from historical lows.

🔴 Drivers: Easing deflation and reduced expectations for monetary easing.

⭕️ The 10-year yield (~1.8%) could reach 2% or higher.

⭕️ The 5-year to 30-year yield spread has widened to a four-year high.

➡️Analysis: Rising yields may attract capital from stocks but support the yuan.

🔤🔤🔤🔤❗️

😁 Donald Trump threatens Iran power plants, while ceasefire talks emerge; Iran demands compensation and keeps targeting Gulf energy.

❌ Markets are closed today in China and Hong Kong (Qingming Festival) and in Germany, the UK, France, and Australia (Easter Monday).

🛢 US oil prices surge above $114/barrel as US market futures officially reopen after the 3-day weekend.

🛢 OPEC+ approved a small output hike (symbolic) but warns war damage could hit supply for months/years, keeping oil volatile.

💬 International Monetary Fund warns tokenized finance could speed up market crises, as blockchain trading removes delays but amplifies shocks.

🇯🇵 Japan's 10-year government bond yield rises to the highest in 28 years.

📆 CALENDAR FOR TODAY - 06.04.2026

🇺🇸 ISM Services PMI – 17:00 GMT+3

💣🪖Rising geopolitical tensions

🚨 Iran rejected proposal to open Strait of Hormuz in exchange for temporary ceasefire, according to Wall Street Journal report.

🇺🇸 President Trump to hold a press conference with the Military on Monday at 1PM ET.

🇮🇷 Senior Iranian official: Tehran will not reopen the Strait of Hormuz in exchange for a 'temporary ceasefire.'

🇵🇰 The Pakistani army chief was in contact overnight with U.S. and Iranian officials; the proposal includes an immediate ceasefire and reopening the Strait of Hormuz, followed by direct talks in Pakistan for a broader agreement within 15–20 days.

🚢 Bloomberg: Two LNG tankers from Qatar are heading to the Strait of Hormuz—their departure would be the first exports outside the region since the war began.

📱 MondFx 🌐 MondFx 📱 MondFx 📱 MondFx 📱 MondFx 📱 MondFx 📱 MondFx 📱 MondFx 📱 MondFx

🇹🇷 Turkey has sold 6 years worth of accumulated gold in 3 weeks: Erdogan has dumped a shocking 120 tons of gold (almost $20BN) since the war started, and 70 tons last week.

⁉️ It's amazing gold is not much lower, and begs the question: who is buying all the gold Turkey is selling?

🏦 While the world is distracted by the Iran war, private credit is blowing up

🔘 BlackRock limits withdrawals
🔵 Blue Owl has restricted withdrawals
🔴 Morgan Stanley limits withdrawals

This is a ~$2T market...

With an expected surge in inflation due to supply disruption, expect this situation to worsen.

💵 U.S. M2 Hits an All-Time Record of $22.7 Trillion!

The money supply (M2) in the United States has reached $22.7 trillion, setting a new record. This growth indicates increased liquidity in the U.S. financial system, which could create additional inflationary pressure.

🟢 Important Note: An increase in M2 typically has a direct impact on financial markets and asset prices. Higher liquidity can create new trading opportunities in the forex market and global assets.

📉 Liquidity: A Likely Reason for Gold’s Fall

🧱 Gold’s recent price drop stems from investors needing liquidity due to losses in other portfolio areas.

🟡A broad equity selloff forces institutions to sell gold to raise cash.

❤️ Trader’s Psychology

You can master all the charts, setups, and fundamentals, but if you don’t manage your emotions, your account won’t survive long.

💣 FOMO (Fear of Missing Out):
You see the price pumping and jump in blindly.
Ten minutes later... you're down 15% and have no idea what went wrong.

💰 Greed:
You’re already in profit, but you want more.
You skip taking profits and add to the position, and suddenly the market turns against you.
What could’ve been a win becomes a painful lesson.

😬 Revenge Trading:
After a loss, you feel the urge to "win it back."
But that usually leads to a second, third, and even bigger loss.
Trading isn’t a casino — chaos gets punished.

😡 Emotional Decisions:
You’re mad at the market. Mad at yourself.
Then, you enter a random trade, no stop-loss, full size.
That’s not a strategy. That’s a meltdown.

❓ So what should you do?
✅ Stick to your trading plan;
✅ Feel emotional? Don't enter the trade!
✅ Keep a trading journal — log emotions + outcomes;
✅ Remember: The market owes you nothing.

🔠🔠🔠🔠

😐 Donald Trump is demanding Iran reopen the Strait of Hormuz, where ~20% of global oil (~17–20M barrels/day) flows, risking major price spikes and trade disruption.

🧱 Gold steadied near $4,650 Tuesday on Trump’s infrastructure threats against Iran.

💵Dollar index topped 100 as Trump’s deadline for Iran approached.

📉 Platinum held below $2000 near three month lows amid Middle East war.

💸Yen weakened toward 160 per dollar, hitting July 2024 intervention levels.

💵 Berkshire Hathaway holds $373B cash—enough to buy ~480 S&P 500 firms—signaling capital surplus and scarce big deals.

🪙 Goldman Sachs is leveraging its $15.7B private credit fund and stable institutional capital to capitalize on retail investor outflows, aiming to expand market share as competitors face liquidity pressure.

🤖 OpenAI, Anthropic, and Google are coordinating to curb model copying in China, aiming to protect billions in AI R&D and maintain competitive advantage in a rapidly growing trillion-dollar market.

📆 CALENDAR FOR TODAY - 07.04.2026
🇺🇸 Durable Goods Orders m/m – 15:30 GMT+3

📱 MondFx 🌐 MondFx 📱 MondFx 📱 MondFx 📱 MondFx 📱 MondFx 📱 MondFx 📱 MondFx 📱 MondFx

💣🪖Rising geopolitical tensions

🇮🇷 Tehran has rejected any temporary ceasefire with the U.S.

💣 Multiple heavy U.S./Israeli airstrikes reported in Iran's strategic Kharg Island, where 90% of Iran’s oil is handled!

🇮🇱 Israel warns Iranian civilians to stay away from all trains and railway lines.

🚨 IRGC Warning to the U.S. and Regional Countries: “From this moment, our restraint is over."

🇺🇸 President Trump might delay his Tuesday 8 PM ET deadline on Iran “if he sees a deal is coming together,” per Axios.

This would mark the 5th time President Trump has delayed his ultimatum.

🛢 WTI Crude Hits $117 Amid Short-Term Oil Shortages

WTI crude oil has surged to $117.27, approaching the highest levels since the regional tensions began. The jump reflects market fears of a prolonged disruption in the Strait of Hormuz, while stock markets still price the conflict as short-term.

📊 Looking at the full oil curve:

July WTI: $91.90 (+$1.66)
December WTI: $75.24 (+$1.38)

Returning near $75 could reduce the economic shock of $117, though prices remain above pre-war levels (~$60).

💡Key insights:
If energy infrastructure is targeted, shortages could persist for months.
Uncertainty remains over Iran’s ability to enforce a Hormuz blockade, with outcomes tied to U.S. actions.

⚠️ Worst-case scenario: a long multi-year land conflict with a 90-million-strong nation entrenched in mountainous terrain, potentially disrupting global energy markets for an extended period.

🔠🔠🔠🔠

🇺🇸 A US-Iran ceasefire under Donald Trump sent oil down and lifted stocks (US500 futures up ~1–2%), cutting risk premiums across ~$100T global markets.

💰Bitcoin jumped ~4.9% to $72.7K (3-week high) on the US-Iran ceasefire, while Ether surged ~7.4% to $2.27K, signaling renewed risk appetite.

🪙 Pimco is considering a ~$14B debt deal with Oracle to finance a Michigan data center tied to OpenAI, underscoring surging capital demand for AI infrastructure.

⌨️ Anthropic is giving Apple and Amazon early access to its Mythos model via Project Glasswing, aiming to stress-test AI risks and protect multibillion-dollar digital infrastructure.

📆 CALENDAR FOR TODAY - 08.04.2026
🇨🇦 FOMC Meeting Minutes – 21:00 GMT+3

🚨CEASEFIRE SHOCK ROCKS MARKETS

President Trump announced a two-week US-Iran ceasefire brokered by Pakistan 90 minutes before his 8 PM ET strike deadline. Markets reacted immediately:

🛢 OIL — Historic Plunge
WTI: ~$94/bbl (−16% overnight); Brent: ~$92/bbl (−15% overnight).
Largest single-day drop since 1991. Brent remains above pre-war levels (~$73). Strait of Hormuz reopening is a deal condition; full supply normalization may take months.

🥇 GOLD — Rising on Dollar Weakness
Gold hit a three-week high (~$4,814/oz) as the dollar weakened. Silver rallied +4.6%.

📈 EQUITIES — Risk-On Surge
S&P 500 futures +2.5%; Dow futures +~1,000 points; Nasdaq 100 futures +3%. Asian & European markets set to open higher.

💱 FOREX
• USD: Under pressure as safe-haven demand fades.
• EUR/USD: Holding ~1.1550; Middle East calm supports EUR.
• USD/JPY: Near 160.00; rate differential remains key driver.

⚠️ WATCH OUT: Ceasefire is conditional on Iran reopening the Strait of Hormuz. Two weeks may be insufficient for supply normalization. Volatility remains elevated.

🛢 Heavy Unwinding of Oil Positions

⏺There are still very large numbers of buy positions in Brent crude (around 470 million barrels), and the ratio of buys to sells is very high at 11.7. This is pushing prices downward.

⛽️ Further falls will depend on how much more buyers close their positions. In this environment, additional price drops are mainly driven by position‑selling, not by a big change in the real supply‑and‑demand picture of the oil market.

🕊Ceasefire Hopes in the Gulf Face Test

Uncertainty surrounds the ceasefire as reports suggest Lebanon’s involvement is unclear and Iran may be violating agreements with drone strikes. This volatility trimmed S&P 500 gains to 2% today.

📌 Key updates:
Pakistani PM urges restraint and respect for the two-week ceasefire to let diplomacy take the lead.
Turkey’s Erdogan emphasized to Trump that the ceasefire process must not be sabotaged.
Differences remain between Iran’s 10-point plan and the U.S. view of a “workable” deal.

💡Market takeaway:
While bombs have paused in the Gulf, uncertainty lingers. Hormuz closure remains politically sensitive in the U.S., and gasoline price spikes keep risk sentiment high. Investors should watch Lebanon-related developments closely, though it may not be a firm red line for Iran.

⚠️ Peace talks are fragile, and short-term market reactions may remain volatile.

⚡️ Only 3 days left…

This is your chance to turn your trading skills into real capital worth hundreds of thousands of dollars and secure your place among the world’s best traders.

Thousands of professional traders from around the globe are ready to compete. No personal funds are required, and there’s no financial risk—only your true ability determines your path to success.

💎 Competition prizes surpass previous editions:

🥇 1st place: $5,000 cash + $50,000 funded account
🥈 2nd place: $3,000 cash + $50,000 funded account
🥉 3rd–5th places: $1,000 cash + $50,000 funded account

Additionally, 1,001 other participants will trade with real capital. Imagine being among the winners and experiencing this unique opportunity.

🔴 To activate your competition account, your KYC must be completed by April 13. Otherwise, you’ll miss the chance to compete for these valuable prizes.

📅 Registration deadline: April 10
🏁 Competition starts: April 13

🔗 Register for the MondCup 2026

🔠🔠🔠🔠

⚡️ Goldman Sachs warns Brent could average >$100/bbl in 2026 if the Strait of Hormuz stays shut another month, tightening supply across ~20% of global oil flows.

🇩🇪German industrial output fell −0.3% m/m pre-war, signaling weak momentum in Europe’s largest economy and downside risk to 2026 growth.

👀 Deutsche Bank says China gains as energy volatility rises, leveraging its dominance in clean tech and diversified energy mix to strengthen long-term economic positioning.

☄️Markets cautious on fragile US–Iran ceasefire and Hormuz uncertainty.

🛢 Oil stayed high on supply risks; gold and silver fell as the dollar and yields rose.

🗣Equities grew on risk appetite, led by US tech.

💶💷Euro and pound held firm; yen fell as oil prices recovered.

📆 CALENDAR FOR TODAY - 09.04.2026

🇺🇸 Core PCE Price Index m/m – 15:30 GMT+3
🇺🇸 Final GDP q/q – 15:30 GMT+3

📱 MondFx 🌐 MondFx 📱 MondFx 📱 MondFx 📱 MondFx 📱 MondFx 📱 MondFx 📱 MondFx 📱 MondFx

🛢 Persian Gulf Geopolitical Risk Pushes Oil Higher

💬 Crude prices rebounded after yesterday's drop. Markets distrust normalized energy flows despite the two-week ceasefire. Doubts on ceasefire durability, security threats, and shipping disruptions keep supply risk elevated.

💬 Brent rose to ~$96.7 and WTI to ~$97. These routes carry ~20% of global energy flows; ambiguity supports prices.

🛢 Analysis:
The market trades risk, not reality. Volatility and upside pressure will likely persist until supply flows fully stabilize.