📌 How Ramadan could shape the conflict with Iran

Ramadan complicates any U.S. strike on Iran; attacking during the holiest month risks galvanizing Tehran’s proxies and alienating Muslim opinion.

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#Security #China #Diplomacy #Iran #Ramadan #us

📌 The day after the bombs: The strategic void of US intervention in Iran

It seems that in his second presidential term, Donald Trump is still severely suffering from the same problem he had eight years ago; he fundamentally does not understand Iran. Evidently, Trump lacks a clear understanding of Iran’s geopolitical and identity-based complexities, which has now brought him to the brink of one of his most perilous

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#Security

📌 Think a $35B gas deal will thaw Egypt toward Israel? Not so fast

A $35 billion gas deal is signed, but a summit is impossible; Sisi refuses to legitimize Netanyahu after Gaza.

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#Energy #Egypt #Gas #Israel #Summit #Tensions

📌 If they are not human, we do not have to follow the law

By branding targets “narco-terrorists,” the Trump administration justifies extrajudicial killings, dehumanizing victims and stripping them of legal protection.

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#Analysis #Dehumanization #history #Killings #Narco-terrorism #us

📌 Iraq faces first quiet election in decades. Don't let that fool you

Iraq’s election is quiet, but the next prime minister faces monumental challenges: water, U.S. demands, and U.S.-Iran entanglement.

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#Geopolitics #Election #Iran #Iraq #us #Water

📌 Iran's crises raise questions about the regime's fate!

Iran’s regime faces existential crises: economic collapse, regional losses, and the absence of a pivotal figure to manage transition.

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#Analysis #Collapse #Crisis #Economy #Iran #Regime

📌 Why Trump’s war on Iran will fail

Trump’s war on Iran will fail because its demands are designed for rejection; airstrikes cannot erase knowledge or end missile programs.

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#Analysis #Demands #Failure #Iran #Limits #War

📌 Two Iran-Aligned Factions Push Iraq Toward War

Two Iran-aligned Iraqi factions are openly recruiting for war, alarming the Iraqi government; the factions “listen to no one.”

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#Security #Factions #Iran #Iraq #Militias #War

📌 US-Iran tensions: How Trump was dragged into war

Trump is being dragged into a war with Iran, much like Putin was into Ukraine: emboldened by a perceived victory and ignoring military warnings.

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#Security #Iran #Putin #Trump #Ukraine #War

📌 Trump and Iran Are Playing a Game of Chicken

Trump and Iran are playing a game of chicken; neither wants war, but each believes the other will blink.

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#Editor’s_Choice #Policy_Brief #Chicken #Escalation #Iran #Survival #Trump

📌 Can Donald Trump Fight a Regime Change War from the Air?

An air-only regime-change campaign is untested and doubtful; can bombs alone unseat a regime? The Gulf will soon test this.

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#Analysis #Airpower #Iran #RegimeChange #Warden #Wylie

📌 The Stars Are Aligning for Hezbollah’s Disarmament

International momentum for Hezbollah’s disarmament is unprecedented; a historic opportunity to reshape Lebanon is now.

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#Security #Disarmament #Hezbollah #LAF #Lebanon #Opportunity

📌 Once Neutral on the Ukraine War, Arab States Increasingly Favor Moscow

Arab states, once neutral on Ukraine, are increasingly favoring Moscow, disillusioned by Western double standards over Gaza.

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#Geopolitics

📌 South Yemen dialogue: obstacles and opportunity

Saudi Arabia is hosting a South Yemen dialogue after secessionist forces briefly seized key governorates; deep divisions complicate any settlement.

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#Geopolitics #Dialogue #Saudi #South #Unity #yemen

📌 Trump-Netanyahu war aims to entrap Iranians into unconditional submission

On Saturday, as President Donald Trump announced that the United States had launched a major attack on Iran, the Israeli military declared that the joint US-Israeli attack had targeted “dozens of military targets” in Iran. Trump said the operation was intended to devastate Iran’s military, eliminate its nuclear programme and bring about a change in

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#Security #Iran #Israel #Submission #us #War

📌 Decoding America's biblical messaging amid rising tensions

U.S. messaging on the Middle East is split: a political peace plan alongside biblical rhetoric from Ambassador Huckabey about Israel’s “divine right.”

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#Analysis #Bible #Conflict #Israel #Messaging #us

📌 US generals’ warnings complicate Trump’s options ahead of Geneva talks

Trump’s generals warn that a prolonged air campaign against Iran could deplete munitions and risk escalation, complicating defense of regional allies.

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#Security #Generals #Iran #Talks #us #War

📌 Why will Iran’s Foreign Policy not Change even after Raisi’s Death?

Iran’s foreign policy will not change after Raisi’s death; Khamenei has systematically sidelined the Foreign Ministry, centralizing control in his own office.

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#Policy_Brief #Centralization #Eastward #ForeignPolicy #Iran #Khamenei

📌 Navigating Danger: Syrian Refugees in Lebanon Risk Returning

Syrian refugees in Lebanon face a horrific choice: stay in a collapsing environment or return to Syria, where persecution awaits.

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#Security #Danger #Lebanon #Refugees #Return #Syria

📌 Iran considers its response to potential renewed US-Israeli strikes

Iran believes a U.S.-Israeli strike is coming; if attacked, it will widen the war, hitting U.S. bases and Gulf oil.

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#Security

📌 ‘Mess Around and Find Out’: 4 Opinion Writers on the Khamenei Strike

Trump’s decapitation strike killed Khamenei, but regime change is a gamble; power vacuums breed chaos.

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#Analysis #Chaos #Gamble #Iran #Khamenei #Strike