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Bulk Deal as on 08-07-21

Akash Infra Project
+ 1 Lk @ 228.43 Nishant Pitti

Asian Granito
- 1.85 Lk @ 180.73 Shruti Lodha

Gee Ltd
+ 1.25 Lk @ 90.04 Anirudh Mohta

Kelton Tech
- 23.23 Lk @ 63.75 Ankit Kothari

Walchandnagar
- 3.28 Lk @ 73.18 Vistra Itcl Ind Ltd
*Tata Consultancy Services ltd.* | *CMP* Rs. 3257 | *M Cap* Rs. 1204797 Cr | *52 W H/L* 3400/2125
(Nirmal Bang Retail Research)
Order book ($ Bn ) came at $ 8.1 bn vs, QoQ $ 9.2 bn, YoY $ 6.9 bn
*Result is marginally below expectation*
CC Qoq came at 2.4% vs expectation of 3.7%, QoQ 4.2%
Lower growth is in account of impact of COVID in India. Core marke saw revenue growth of 5.2%
Dollar revenue came at $ 6154 Mn,(2.8% QoQ, 21.6% YoY) vs expectation of $ 6217.9 Mn, QoQ $ 5989 Mn, YoY $ 5059 Mn
Net sales came at Rs. 45411 Cr (3.9% QoQ, 18.5% YoY) vs expectation of Rs. 45699.8 Cr, QoQ Rs. 43705 Cr, YoY Rs. 38322 Cr
EBIT came at Rs. 11588 Cr (-1.2% QoQ, 28.1% YoY) vs expectation of Rs. 11751.6 Cr, QoQ Rs. 11734 Cr, YoY Rs. 9048 Cr
EBIT Margin came at 25.5% vs expectation of 25.7%, QoQ 26.8%, YoY 23.6%
Adj. PAT came at Rs. 9008 Cr vs expectation of Rs. 9338.6 Cr, QoQ Rs. 9246 Cr, YoY Rs. 7008 Cr
Quarter EPS is Rs. 24.4
Stock is trading at P/E of 30.5x EPS
*Life Insurance Monthly Update for June 2021*

June 2021 APE - Total Pvt. Players increased by +18% YoY to Rs. 3818 Cr
> Outperformers: Bajaj +56%, ICICI +44%, Max +18%
> Underperformers: SBI +13%, HDFC +5%

YTD (Apr-June 2021) APE - Pvt. Players increased by +27% YoY at Rs. 7954 Cr
> Outperformers: Bajaj +53%, ICICI +48%, Max +36%
> Underperformers: HDFC +26%, SBI +26%


*Bajaj Allianz Life Insurance Co. Ltd. (Bajaj Finserv) June'21 performance*
• APE came at Rs. 262 Cr. vs YoY Rs. 168 Cr. (+56%) and MoM Rs. 137 Cr. (+91%)
• *June. Month* Market Share (pvt player APE) came at 6.9% vs YoY 5.2% and MoM 7.1%
• *YTD* Market Share (pvt player APE) came at 7.1% vs YoY 5.9%

*ICICI Prudential Life Insurance Company. Ltd. June'21 performance*
• APE came at Rs. 452 Cr. vs YoY Rs. 314 Cr. (+44%) and MoM Rs. 257 Cr. (+76%)
• *June. Month* Market Share (pvt player APE) came at 11.8% vs YoY 9.7% and MoM 13.4%
• *YTD* Market Share (pvt player APE) came at 12.3% vs YoY 10.6%

*Max Life Insurance Company. Ltd. June'21 performance*
• APE came at Rs. 420 Cr. vs YoY Rs. 356 Cr. (+18%) and MoM Rs. 184 Cr. (+129%)
• *June. Month* Market Share (pvt player APE) came at 11.0% vs YoY 11.0% and MoM 9.5%
• *YTD* Market Share (pvt player APE) came at 10.6% vs YoY 10.0%

*SBI Life Insurance Company. Ltd. June'21 performance*
• APE came at Rs. 799 Cr. vs YoY Rs. 704 Cr. (+13%) and MoM Rs. 311 Cr. (+157%)
• *June. Month* Market Share (pvt player APE) came at 20.9% vs YoY 21.8% and MoM 16.1%
• *YTD* Market Share (pvt player APE) came at 19.4% vs YoY 19.5%

*HDFC Life Insurance Company. Ltd. June'21 performance*
• APE came at Rs. 654 Cr. vs YoY Rs. 620 Cr. (+5%) and MoM Rs. 399 Cr. (+64%)
• *June. Month* Market Share (pvt player APE) came at 17.1% vs YoY 19.2% and MoM 20.7%
• *YTD* Market Share (pvt player APE) came at 18.7% vs YoY 18.8%
*JP Morgan: Tata Consultancy Services: 1Q22 first look- Misses across revenues/EPS lead by India/EU, deal wins remain strong*

TCS 1QFY22 print missed Street/JPMe expectations across revenues, margins and EPS. Revenues were 0.3%/0.9% below JPMe/consensus while margins were 10bps below consensus and 30bps below JPMe. Deal wins continued to be strong at US$8.1bn, up 17% YY, but down 12% QQ implying overall environment remains strong. Misses on revenue and margins are likely to weigh on the stock in the near term.

First look at the results*: TCS missed expectations this time with CC revenue miss of 30bps/90bps and EBIT margin miss of 30bps/10bps driving a 3% EPS miss vs. JPMe/consensus. CC QQ revenues was soft for seasonally strong 1Q at 2.4% impacted primarily by a sharp decline in India business (down 14% QQ); ex-India growth was strong at 4.1%. Ebit margins declined 133bps QQ to 25.5% primarily due to wage hikes. Revenue growth was secular across industries, strong in US/UK but saw weakness in India, Europe & APAC (~30% of total). Deal wins continued to remain solid at US$8.1bn, up 17% YY and in-line with last 4 quarter average of US$7.9bn.

Where do we go from here?* While YY growth touched 16% given easy comps, sequential growth was softer than our street-low numbers. Even if this is from three geos (India, EU, APAC) that were slower than the rest (c.4%) these geos form~30% of the business are par for course for a global business like TCS. This is TCS’ first miss in four quarters and should drive 1-2% cut to consensus FY22 revenue and EPS. TCS’s strong signing and strong growth in US/UK reflects a very strong demand environment helped by demand from IT megatrends & cost takeout, in addition to its market success. However, given the stock has been flirting with all-time highs recently, the lack of either margin or growth surprise is likely to drive to drive stock consolidation in the near term. We remain OW on TCS for its cross cycle strengths.

Takeaways for peers*: TCS' exposure to India is higher than peers. We see primary takeaways from its strong deal wins and key verticals (4% QQ) as positive for Infosys, HCL. TechM has higher exposure to non US/UK markets but has lower expectations.

*Headlines from the results:*
*US$ revenues were up 2.8%QQ, 10bps ahead of JPMe but 70bps below consensus
*CC revenue grew 2.4% QQ, 30bps below JPMe/90bps below consensus
*EBIT margin was 25.5% below JPMe (25.8%) and consensus (25.6%) with a 133 bps decline QQ
*PAT was Rs90bn, 3% below JPMe and consensus
Deal wins were strong at $8.1bn (up 17% YY).*

*Details:*
*Geos*: Revenue grew sequentially for all regions except India; The CC QQ growth was led by North America/UK/LatAm/MEA (+4% QQ), dragged by Europe/APAC (up 2% QQ) and India down 14% QQ
*Verticals*: All verticals witnessed a growth QQ. CC QQ growth led by Life Science & Healthcare (+7% QQ), Manufacturing/Technology & Services (+5% QQ), Retail & CPG (+4% QQ), BFSI (+3% QQ), Communications & Media (+2% QQ)
*Jefferies: Tata Consultancy Services: 1QFY22 First Cut: Revenue miss; profits in line*

*Key Takeaway*
TCS' 1QFY22 revenues up 2.4% QoQ in cc terms missed our estimates due to sharp revenue decline in India, however EBIT margins at 25.5%, down 130bps QoQ, and profit of Rs90bn, down 3% QoQ, were in line with estimates. Deal TCV was healthy at US$8.1bn. Attrition rose sequentially and Net additions at 20k were at their highest, which could lead to wage pressures. The company declared dividend of Rs7/share.

*Revenue miss; profits in line*: TCS' 1QFY22 revenues of US$6.2bn, up 2.4% QoQ incc terms missed our estimates. However, EBIT margins, down 130bps QoQ to 25.5%, and profit of Rs90bn, down 3% QoQ, were in line with our estimates. Sequential margin contraction was on expected lines due to wage hike effective from 1st April 2021. Head count addition remained strong at 20k, reflecting strong demand, but attrition at 8.6% rose too, which, in our view, could lead to wage pressures going forward.

*Broad-based revenue growth and healthy TCV*: Growth was driven by Life Sciences vertical, up 7% QoQ. Recovery in stressed verticals like retail (+4% QoQcc) and manufacturing (+4.8% QoQcc) continued. Among markets, North America (+4% QoQcc) and UK (+3.6% QoQcc) drove growth. However, growth in Continental Europe (+1.5% QoQcc) was soft and India saw a sharp decline of 14% QoQ due to the second wave. Strong traction on deal flow continued with TCS reporting deal TCV of US $8.1bn in 1Q.

*Commentary on growth and margins*: TCS is witnessing greater traction in growth and transformation services driving demand for cloud platform services and application services and analytics. Management highlighted that while growth in core markets was strong at over 4% QoQ, weakness in India led to the revenue miss. While June has seen some improvement and management believes that if this trend continues, 2Q should have a better showing. On margins, management highlighted that discretionary spends have started to pick up, but management remains confident that costs pressures can be managed.

*Payout*: The company declared a Rs7/share dividend. We will have more details post the conference call to be held at 8:00PM IST.
Zomato IPO is one of the most awaited IPO events in this financial year. The IPO will hit Dalal street on 14 July 2021. The company aims for an issue size of ₹9,375.00 Crore through this IPO.
EVENTS TODAY

Q1 RESULTS

DELTA CORP

EX-DATES

Navin Fluorine International
Dividend - Rs 6 Per Share

Dr. Reddy's Laboratories
Dividend - Rs 25 Per Share

KIRLOSKAR PNEUMATIC
Final Dividend - Rs. - 3.5000    

Trent
Dividend - Re 0.60 Per Share

@CNBC_Awaaz
sugar concall with Shree Renuka Sugars on the industry.

Key Takeaways - Systematic Broker Call with Sree Renuka..

Management– 8th July, 2021

Speakers: Ravi Gupta, President and Atul Chaturvedi, Executive Chairman

• Ethanol more important than sugar right now. Ethanol driving sugar sector more than sugar has ever driven sugar sector
• Sugar prices are Rs. 2/per kg approx.. higher in North as compared to Maharashtra
• Agriculture yields went up by 40% and recovery by 200 bps reducing cost of production of sugar due to cane variety C0 238
• India is an efficient sugar processor, due to higher sugarcane prices sugar costs around 20 cents/pound; global prices are less
• World sugar balance sheet is negative since last 3 years similar to what happened in 2008-2011
• Ethanol policy in place – real action is seen on the ground: interest subvention scheme, faster environment clearance
• Freerer movement of molasses and ethanol is allowed within India
• Action on supply chain management:
a) OMCs are increasing tank capacity
b) blending ethanol at oil refineries
c) transporters are investing in tankers
d) railway movement of ethanol
• Profitability in sugar industry shall increase crop care and more investment and innovation in agriculture
• Ethanol advantage – lower sugar production, no price fluctuation; higher liquidity, better returns
• Standalone sugar mills may struggle
• Risk factors to watch out – weather; government policy; investment pace in ethanol industry; growth in liquor consumption
• Economics of ethanol from sugar better than grain-based ethanol; grain based realisation is around Rs. 53-54 per litre
• 20% ethanol blending to save forex of 160 lakh crores + we will get rid of dependence on middle east countries also help us to be a part og global thrust for bio-fuel