*Simran farms: TP 150-200*
Poultry industry doing exceedingly well as evident from Q4 of Venky which has reported NP of 107 Cs Vs Loss of 97 Cr. Means Simran should also report blockbuster Q4. Due to rising demand for non-veg and expanding QSRs, poultry industry and company like SIMRAN has bright prospects
โ Glance at Venkyโs Q4FY21 (YoY comparison as QoQ not suitable for seasonal products):
*Q4FY21* *Q4FY20*
Revenue 941 661
EBITDA 111๐ (118)
PBT 107๐ฅ (97)
โ Looking at above, Simran farms Q4 EPS can be easily โน20-25 (as there should be tax write back as well due to carry forward losses)
Thus, *FY20EEPS: โน70-75*๐ฅ๐ฅ
*Share trading at just 1.5 PE*๐ฎ๐ฎ
โ Lifetime high volume: 110,000 shares traded on 10th May at upper circuit. This shows superb numbers coming
Poultry industry doing exceedingly well as evident from Q4 of Venky which has reported NP of 107 Cs Vs Loss of 97 Cr. Means Simran should also report blockbuster Q4. Due to rising demand for non-veg and expanding QSRs, poultry industry and company like SIMRAN has bright prospects
โ Glance at Venkyโs Q4FY21 (YoY comparison as QoQ not suitable for seasonal products):
*Q4FY21* *Q4FY20*
Revenue 941 661
EBITDA 111๐ (118)
PBT 107๐ฅ (97)
โ Looking at above, Simran farms Q4 EPS can be easily โน20-25 (as there should be tax write back as well due to carry forward losses)
Thus, *FY20EEPS: โน70-75*๐ฅ๐ฅ
*Share trading at just 1.5 PE*๐ฎ๐ฎ
โ Lifetime high volume: 110,000 shares traded on 10th May at upper circuit. This shows superb numbers coming
KESORAM INDUSTRIES: TP 150
After demerger of Tyre biz, KESORAM industries has 7.25 million ton cement capacity. Subsequent to demerger, GS has taken over entire debt under a structured deal infusing additional funds which has enabled KESORAM to achieve higher production in Q4
Q4FY21~ Company has reported revenue of 806 Cr and NP Rs 71 Cr ( before one off). EBITDA whopping 137 Cr
FY22 can report EBITDA of 500 Cr
HoS There is a possibility of KESORAM getting merged with Ultratech after 12-15 months from now ( when stock price crosses 150)
After demerger of Tyre biz, KESORAM industries has 7.25 million ton cement capacity. Subsequent to demerger, GS has taken over entire debt under a structured deal infusing additional funds which has enabled KESORAM to achieve higher production in Q4
Q4FY21~ Company has reported revenue of 806 Cr and NP Rs 71 Cr ( before one off). EBITDA whopping 137 Cr
FY22 can report EBITDA of 500 Cr
HoS There is a possibility of KESORAM getting merged with Ultratech after 12-15 months from now ( when stock price crosses 150)
Natraj proteins Ltd: MOST UNDERVALUED. HIGH CONVCTION
Target: 90
โ Edible Oil prices have touched All Time High. If oil prices don't decline, Natraj Proteins can be even 200 in 2 years
Play out the edible oil theme with this potential mulitbagger
Stock can easily triple from here, just look at the fundamentals๐
Book value: 86 (Tdg just @0.38 book)
*Market cap just 12 Cr๐ต as against Q3 sales of 46Cr (FY22E sales: 180Cr)*
Q3FY21 EPS: โน6.9๐ฅ๐ฅ๐ฅ
With edible oil prices up further in Q4 and rising demand, we estimate Q4 EPS of โน8-10
FY22EEPS: โน25
Considering the above factors, company can easily have market cap of โน40-50 cr (As against currently โน12 cr)
Target: 90
โ Edible Oil prices have touched All Time High. If oil prices don't decline, Natraj Proteins can be even 200 in 2 years
Play out the edible oil theme with this potential mulitbagger
Stock can easily triple from here, just look at the fundamentals๐
Book value: 86 (Tdg just @0.38 book)
*Market cap just 12 Cr๐ต as against Q3 sales of 46Cr (FY22E sales: 180Cr)*
Q3FY21 EPS: โน6.9๐ฅ๐ฅ๐ฅ
With edible oil prices up further in Q4 and rising demand, we estimate Q4 EPS of โน8-10
FY22EEPS: โน25
Considering the above factors, company can easily have market cap of โน40-50 cr (As against currently โน12 cr)
GM jsk stock in news drl, apollohos,zensar,lnt, balkrishan ins, Bombay Burma,chevlot,jsk,vimta,texrailsaintgob,kesoram,federalbk,shreecem,Hindalco,rossari,jayantagro,welsupn entp. Negative stocks Justdial Nifty range 14650-14880.
GM jsk stock in news drl, apollohos,zensar,lnt, balkrishan ins, Bombay Burma,chevlot,jsk,vimta,texrailsaintgob,kesoram,federalbk,shreecem,Hindalco,rossari,jayantagro,welsupn entp. Negative stocks Justdial Nifty range 14650-14880.
SAGARSOFT (India) Ltd: CMP: โน118
TP: Rs 140/175
โก๏ธSagar Cement group co
Post preferential issue, stock can spurt like Ashapura Minechem (70 to 170)
โ Declared โน2.5 dividend
โ Q4 EBITDA โน2.81cr vs โน1.34cr YoY
โ Q4 PAT โน1.40cr va โน0.40cr YoY
โ FY21 EPS โน9.62 vs FY20EPS of โน4.21
โ Acquisiton of 100% stake in US based company: IT CATS LLC. The company provides the following technology related services:
โข Seb solutions
โข Mobile solutions
โข Analytics
โข Consulting
โ With this acquisition, company on path of expansion. Revenue to be 3x
โ Prefential allotment of equity shares/ convertible warrants to promoter ( Stake increase Big Positive)
TP: Rs 140/175
โก๏ธSagar Cement group co
Post preferential issue, stock can spurt like Ashapura Minechem (70 to 170)
โ Declared โน2.5 dividend
โ Q4 EBITDA โน2.81cr vs โน1.34cr YoY
โ Q4 PAT โน1.40cr va โน0.40cr YoY
โ FY21 EPS โน9.62 vs FY20EPS of โน4.21
โ Acquisiton of 100% stake in US based company: IT CATS LLC. The company provides the following technology related services:
โข Seb solutions
โข Mobile solutions
โข Analytics
โข Consulting
โ With this acquisition, company on path of expansion. Revenue to be 3x
โ Prefential allotment of equity shares/ convertible warrants to promoter ( Stake increase Big Positive)
*Aditya Birla Capital Ltd. - C* | *CMP* Rs. 121 | *M Cap* Rs. 29297 Cr |
*Result has improved*
โก๏ธQ4 PAT up by 162% YoY. Once Birla Sun Life IPO hits market, AB Capital TP Rs 160
_Segment Revenue_
NBFC revenue came at Rs. 1379.4 Cr vs YoY Rs. 1502.3 Cr, QoQ Rs. 1333.2 Cr
Life insurance revenue came at Rs. 3244.3 Cr vs YoY Rs. 2539.4 Cr, QoQ Rs. 2824.8 Cr
Asset Management revenue came at Rs. 331.4 Cr vs YoY Rs. 277.5 Cr, QoQ Rs. 321.1 Cr
General insurance Broking revenue came at Rs. 164.6 Cr vs YoY Rs. 114.9 Cr, QoQ Rs. 185.3 Cr
Money Broking revenue came at Rs. 49.4 Cr vs YoY Rs. 45.7 Cr, QoQ Rs. 49.2 Cr
Health insurance revenue came at Rs. 424.7 Cr vs YoY Rs. 296 Cr, QoQ Rs. 287.5 Cr
Other Financial Services revenue came at Rs. 30 Cr vs YoY Rs. 31.5 Cr, QoQ Rs. 36 Cr
Total Income came at Rs. 5929.2 Cr vs YoY Rs. 5138.1 Cr, QoQ Rs. 5362.8 Cr
PBT came at Rs. 500.4 Cr vs YoY Rs. 138.6 Cr, QoQ Rs. 401.1 Cr
PAT came at Rs. 375.2 Cr vs YoY Rs. 143.7 Cr, QoQ Rs. 288.7 Cr
AMC AUM's came at Rs. 262875 Cr vs YoY Rs. 245677.6 Cr, QoQ Rs. 255458 Cr
AMC market share declined slightly to 9.2% from QoQ 9.35%
Individual Life Insurance market share was constant QoQ at 4.5%
*Result has improved*
โก๏ธQ4 PAT up by 162% YoY. Once Birla Sun Life IPO hits market, AB Capital TP Rs 160
_Segment Revenue_
NBFC revenue came at Rs. 1379.4 Cr vs YoY Rs. 1502.3 Cr, QoQ Rs. 1333.2 Cr
Life insurance revenue came at Rs. 3244.3 Cr vs YoY Rs. 2539.4 Cr, QoQ Rs. 2824.8 Cr
Asset Management revenue came at Rs. 331.4 Cr vs YoY Rs. 277.5 Cr, QoQ Rs. 321.1 Cr
General insurance Broking revenue came at Rs. 164.6 Cr vs YoY Rs. 114.9 Cr, QoQ Rs. 185.3 Cr
Money Broking revenue came at Rs. 49.4 Cr vs YoY Rs. 45.7 Cr, QoQ Rs. 49.2 Cr
Health insurance revenue came at Rs. 424.7 Cr vs YoY Rs. 296 Cr, QoQ Rs. 287.5 Cr
Other Financial Services revenue came at Rs. 30 Cr vs YoY Rs. 31.5 Cr, QoQ Rs. 36 Cr
Total Income came at Rs. 5929.2 Cr vs YoY Rs. 5138.1 Cr, QoQ Rs. 5362.8 Cr
PBT came at Rs. 500.4 Cr vs YoY Rs. 138.6 Cr, QoQ Rs. 401.1 Cr
PAT came at Rs. 375.2 Cr vs YoY Rs. 143.7 Cr, QoQ Rs. 288.7 Cr
AMC AUM's came at Rs. 262875 Cr vs YoY Rs. 245677.6 Cr, QoQ Rs. 255458 Cr
AMC market share declined slightly to 9.2% from QoQ 9.35%
Individual Life Insurance market share was constant QoQ at 4.5%
NAHAR SPG: Intrinsic Value/Potential
TP: โน 190
๐ Five Lakh Spindles, 12.5 million Garment capacity, 4.5 TPD process house. New plant with same capacity will entail 2700 Cr capex
๐ Sales 2327 Cr, Ebidta 243 Cr EPS Rs 18.22 Cash EPS Rs 41.41 in FY19
๐ Q3FY21Ebidta 64Cr vs 9 Cr Ebidta Loss Q3FY20
๐ Q4FY21E ebidta 85 Cr Vs 15 Cr Ebidta Loss Q4FY20
๐ Although cotton yarn prices currently 30% up, as conservative working even if we take 20% rise,
โ๏ธ FY22E Ebidta 300 Cr PBT 170 Cr PAT 120 Cr. EPS Rs. โน33.5 Cash EPS Rs โน55.9
Possible that Nahar Spinning can surpass it's previous high of 190.
Important: New Spinning mill cost Rs 50000/spindle. Hence, well established big mills like Nahar Spinning will continue to have big advantage of Head start
Personal due diligence advised. TP subject to mkt conditions
TP: โน 190
๐ Five Lakh Spindles, 12.5 million Garment capacity, 4.5 TPD process house. New plant with same capacity will entail 2700 Cr capex
๐ Sales 2327 Cr, Ebidta 243 Cr EPS Rs 18.22 Cash EPS Rs 41.41 in FY19
๐ Q3FY21Ebidta 64Cr vs 9 Cr Ebidta Loss Q3FY20
๐ Q4FY21E ebidta 85 Cr Vs 15 Cr Ebidta Loss Q4FY20
๐ Although cotton yarn prices currently 30% up, as conservative working even if we take 20% rise,
โ๏ธ FY22E Ebidta 300 Cr PBT 170 Cr PAT 120 Cr. EPS Rs. โน33.5 Cash EPS Rs โน55.9
Possible that Nahar Spinning can surpass it's previous high of 190.
Important: New Spinning mill cost Rs 50000/spindle. Hence, well established big mills like Nahar Spinning will continue to have big advantage of Head start
Personal due diligence advised. TP subject to mkt conditions