⚠️🇺🇸 Bank of America (BofA) warns of "excessive calm" in the markets, predicting a potential surge in volatility. According to BofA/EPFR, U.S. equity funds have seen a $14.2 billion outflow over the past three weeks, marking the largest withdrawal since January 2026. Rising Treasury yields, oil prices exceeding $100, and record diesel prices, combined with investor complacency and a lack of decisive action from authorities, are creating conditions for heightened volatility.

🚫🛢 A deficit of oil is expected to worsen in 2026 due to a slow recovery of supplies from the Middle East, according to the International Energy Agency (IEA).

🌍 BRICS nations are the major purchasers of Russian fertilizers, according to Alexander Gilgenberg, the CEO of PhosAgro.

🚀 The CEO of Coinbase has stated that a price target of $400,000 for Bitcoin (BTC) is a realistic goal. As the cryptocurrency market evolves, such projections continue to spark discussions among investors and enthusiasts alike. For more insights, visit Coinbase.

💥🇷🇺VK continues to focus on reducing its debt burden, according to the company. Over the past 18 months, VK's net debt has decreased by more than three times. As of the end of the first half of 2026, the net debt/EBITDA ratio stood at 2.3x, reflecting the company's financial stability. VK aims to maintain the net debt/EBITDA ratio in the medium term within the range of 2-3x.

⚠️🛢 No official confirmation has been received from Saudi Arabia regarding the damage to the oil pipeline "East-West" yet.

🇷🇺🇮🇳 Putin and Modi held a meeting at the BRICS summit.

⚠️🇩🇪 The number of bankruptcies in Germany reached its highest level since 2013 in the first half of the year, with nearly 13,000 companies filing for bankruptcy, according to the Federal Statistical Office.

🚨 Ahead

The Central Bank of Russia is set to announce its interest rate at 13:30 Moscow time. A press conference will follow at 15:00. The consensus among analysts suggests that the rate will remain unchanged at 14%, although a potential decrease of 0.25% is also on the table.

⚠️🇷🇺 The Expert RA has downgraded the credit rating of PJSC "MGKL" to the level of ruB, with a stable outlook. For more details on PJSC "MGKL's" position regarding specific points in the rating release by Expert RA, visit here.

🔥🇷🇺 The Central Bank of Russia has maintained its interest rate at 14%, in line with expectations. Recent months have seen a significant increase in price pressures, with inflation projected to rise to 5-6% annually. According to the Bank of Russia's baseline scenario, inflation is expected to reach 6.0-7.0% by 2026, returning to 4.0% in 2027 and stabilizing at the target rate thereafter. For more details, visit the official release.

🐻 As the stock market remains bearish, opportunities for significant growth seem limited. Roman Bakhtyrev, a knight of Alfa Bank, outlines three strategies to profit even in a down market. Watch the video and vote on your preferred approach: 🔥 - betting on declines, ❤️ - reliable stocks, or 👍 - gold, floaters, and the money market.

⬆️ Logistics restrictions in the Azov-Black Sea basin and shipping issues in the Strait of Hormuz could significantly increase global wheat prices in the latter half of the current agricultural season (January-June 2027), forecasts Vladimir Petrichenko, CEO of ProZerno. Global wheat prices in the second half of the 2026/27 season could exceed $330/ton according to experts.

⬆️🛢🇺🇸 Diesel prices have surged past the significant $6 mark in major U.S. media headlines today, marking a considerable setback for Trump ahead of the Congressional midterm elections. Action is required, or he might need to explain that the rise in fuel prices is a "small price" for the mission to disarm Iran.

🛢 The International Energy Agency (IEA) has revised its oil market forecast, reducing the global demand prediction for 2026 by 2.5 million barrels per day to 102.45 million barrels. This anticipated decline mirrors oil crises from the 1970s and the economic shocks of 2008 and 2020. In August, global oil supply fell by 1.6 million barrels per day to 100.1 million, affected by tanker attacks in the Strait of Hormuz and the Red Sea.

🇷🇺 Aeroflot Group's passenger traffic for the first eight months of 2026 dropped by 0.1%, totaling 37.4 million people, according to a report. The passenger flow in August declined by 1.3% year-on-year amid flight restrictions.

⚠️ U.S. bond yields near psychological 5% mark. Societe Generale warns that a 10-year U.S. bond yield of 5.5% is a threshold where stocks start feeling pressure.

🇺🇸 U.S. lawmakers are considering the implementation of "AI emergency stop buttons" to address scenarios where artificial intelligence systems might become uncontrollable.

🛢 Yemeni Houthis have taken full control of the Bab-el-Mandeb Strait, reports AFP/TASNIM.

⚠️ Saudi Arabia's vital East-West oil pipeline, bypassing the Strait of Hormuz, allegedly suffered damage. On September 10, the Ansarullah movement, led by Houthi forces, reportedly launched a successful attack on the pipeline. This key conduit transports crude oil from Abqaiq to Yanbu on the Red Sea coast. Official confirmation of the incident is yet to be released.

📉 Oil prices fell by 3%, entering the zone of historical interventions by Trump and IEA countries.