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⚠️🇷🇺 The consensus forecast from Vedomosti indicates that the Central Bank of Russia will maintain its interest rate at 14.25% in July.

🇷🇺 The Russian ruble is expected to receive support this week from tax payments, with Brent crude oil prices exceeding $90 today.

⚠️🇧🇷🇺🇸 Brazil is preparing a "tough" response to new tariffs imposed by Trump, according to sources. The country is also moving away from issuing bonds in US dollars this year, opting instead for bonds in yuan. This shift reflects Brazil's changing economic strategy amid ongoing trade tensions. For more details, visit RTRS and BBG.

⚠️🇮🇷 Former President Donald Trump is focused on making Iran accountable for violations of the Memorandum and ongoing attacks in the Strait of Hormuz. He aims to hold Iran responsible for the deaths of American soldiers. Destructive U.S. strikes against Iran will persist until Trump decides otherwise. Meanwhile, negotiations between the U.S. and Iran continue, according to an American official, as reported by Axios.

🚀 On August 4, SpaceX announced its financial results for the second quarter of 2026. The report highlights the company's ongoing growth and achievements in the aerospace sector. For more details, visit SpaceX's official website.

🚀 Since late June, wallets holding between 100 to 1,000 BTC have been actively selling, while those with balances of 1,001 to 10,000 BTC have been making significant purchases, according to data from CryptoQuant.

⚠️🇺🇸🇨🇦 Trump has announced a 50% tariff on certain Canadian goods due to alleged trade discrimination. The tariffs will take effect 30 days after the signing of the executive order. Key imported items such as energy resources, potash, fish, essential minerals, and products subject to specific industry tariffs, including automobiles and metals, will be exempted. For further details, visit this link.

🇺🇸🇷🇺 The head of the FBI, Kesh Patel, is planning to visit Russia in October, according to POLITICO.

⚠️🌎 The risk indicator for a potential global conflict from Goldman Sachs has been rapidly increasing since 2021, reaching its highest level since the 1960s.

📬 Today's Calendar — July 21, 2026

New Zealand will release its consumer inflation CPI data for Q2 2026 at 01:45 Moscow time. The UK will report its unemployment figures for May at 09:00 Moscow time. The Eurozone and Germany will present the ZEW Economic Sentiment for July at 12:00 Moscow time. The US will announce ADP Employment data at 15:15 Moscow time. Russia's consumer inflation expectations will also be reviewed. Additionally, the US will report API oil inventories at 23:30 Moscow time.

The State Duma will consider a cryptocurrency bill in its second and third readings.

Earnings reports include Novartis at 08:00 Moscow time, and General Motors, Hasbro, 3M, Halliburton, Ally Financial, Northrop Grumman, Charles Schwab, and Interactive Brokers at various times throughout the day.

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🌎 The current exchange rates are as follows: USDCNY stands at 6.76, while USDTRUB is at 81.9.

⚠️🇮🇷 The United States has launched airstrikes against Iran for the tenth consecutive night, while Iran retaliates by targeting U.S. assets in the region. Mediators have presented a new proposal for a 10-day ceasefire to both the U.S. and Iran. The Trump administration is currently reviewing this offer. — AXIOS

🌎 Politico reports that the G20 summit in 2027 will be held in Manchester.

🚫 China is contemplating tightening export controls on AI models and AI chips, according to the Financial Times. The potential measures aim to regulate the export of advanced technologies more strictly, reflecting growing concerns over national security and technological competition. For further details, visit the original article here: FT.

🚨 New Zealand's Consumer Price Index (CPI) for Q2 2026 shows a notable rise in inflation. The quarter-on-quarter increase is recorded at +1.5%, surpassing expectations of +1.4% and up from the previous +0.9%. Year-on-year, inflation stands at +4.1%, exceeding the anticipated +4% and significantly higher than the earlier figure of +3.1%. This marks a considerable acceleration in inflation rates in New Zealand for the second quarter.

💥🇷🇺 The IMOEX index is experiencing an unusual rise during the morning session. Some stocks have already hit their upper limits.

🚨🇺🇸 A federal court has paused the $110 billion merger between Paramount and Warner Bros. The lawsuit claims the merger would "destroy competition" in Hollywood. The current restraining order is in effect for 14 days, with a hearing set for August 3 on a motion for a preliminary injunction that could halt the deal for the duration of the legal proceedings.

💥✴️ Spot inflows into BTC ETF rose again yesterday, marking the fifth consecutive trading day of increases, according to SoSoValue. BTC is currently trading at the upper boundary of a very "tight" two-week consolidation.

💥 Former President Donald Trump has agreed to an ethics provision in the crypto market structure bill known as the CLARITY Act, removing the last major hurdle for a Senate vote. Many market participants believe that once the CLARITY Act is fully enacted, institutional demand for cryptocurrencies will surge, potentially driving the market bullishly in the long term. Bitwise recently reported that some of their large institutional clients are awaiting the approval of the CLARITY Act to enter the crypto space.