Market Demon
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Makroekonomi Global & Geopolitik

An Eye For The Market
Since 2016
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๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ Supply chain stress reached its highest level in 2023, as revealed by data from the New York Federal Reserve.

The index increased to 0.68, up from 0.54, indicating rising supply chain pressures. While this is above normal levels, it remains significantly lower than the 2021 peak of 4.49 during the pandemic.
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๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ถ Eksport minyak Iraq berisiko kerana bergantung kuat kepada Strait of Hormuz

Eksport minyak Iraq kini berada dalam keadaan berisiko kerana negara itu sangat bergantung kepada Strait of Hormuz. Iraq berkata mereka boleh memulihkan semula eksport minyak kepada sekitar 3.4 juta tong sehari dalam tempoh seminggu jika laluan perkapalan di Strait of Hormuz dibuka semula.

Namun begitu, setakat ini masih belum ada jaminan keselamatan yang benar-benar kukuh. Dalam masa yang sama, serangan dron ke atas medan minyak di selatan Iraq, termasuk Rumaila, telah mengganggu pengeluaran dengan ketara.

Antara lokasi yang terjejas ialah tapak yang digunakan oleh Schlumberger dan Baker Hughes. Secara keseluruhan, keadaan ini menunjukkan Iraq masih sangat terdedah kepada risiko bekalan dan eksport selagi laluan utama itu belum benar-benar stabil.
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๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ Iran hantar โ€œ10-point responseโ€ kepada pelan US untuk tamatkan perang

Iran dilaporkan telah menghantar โ€œ10-point responseโ€ kepada pelan US bagi menamatkan perang. Menurut laporan, cadangan balas Iran itu merangkumi usaha untuk menamatkan konflik serantau dan mewujudkan protokol bagi laluan selamat melalui Strait of Hormuz.

Seorang pegawai kanan US menyifatkan respons Iran itu sebagai โ€œmaximalistโ€ dan mengakui masih belum pasti sama ada cadangan tersebut benar-benar boleh membantu membuka jalan ke arah penyelesaian diplomatik.
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Market Demon
Exclusive: US-Iran Negotiations
๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ Trump: Tuesday Iran deadline is 'final deadline'
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๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ Trump: Tuesday Iran deadline is 'final deadline'
Trump: The Iranian people, when they don't hear bombs go off, they're upset. They want to hear bombs, because they want to be free.
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Trump's message to Americans who do not support the Iran War: "They're foolish."
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Market Demon
Trump: The Iranian people, when they don't hear bombs go off, they're upset. They want to hear bombs, because they want to be free.
Trump: The Iranian people will fight back as soon as they know they're not going to be shot and as soon as they can get weapons.
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๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ฑ Netanyahu: We destroyed today the largest petrochemical factory in Iran.
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Market Demon
Trump's message to Americans who do not support the Iran War: "They're foolish."
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Trump on Iran: "If I had my choice, what would I like to do? Take the oil! Because it's there for the taking, there's not a thing they can do about it. Unfortunately, the American people would like to see us come home."
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๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ Trump: Tuesday Iran deadline is 'final deadline'
๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ Trump is highly unlikely to extend the deadline.
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๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท Iran has finally opened the Strait of Hormuz, allowing a French container ship to pass through after being stuck in the Gulf for over a month.

This vessel is among a select few Western ships that have been approved to cross the strait, while over 1,000 other ships remain waiting. The crossings are tightly controlled and monitored by the IRGC.
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President Trump on Iran:

"The entire country could be taken out in one night, and that night might be tomorrow night."
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Market Demon
President Trump on Iran: "The entire country could be taken out in one night, and that night might be tomorrow night."
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Trump on Iran:

"They're very good bullshit artists. That's why for 47 years they've been bullshitting other presidents."
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Market Demon
Trump on Iran: "They're very good bullshit artists. That's why for 47 years they've been bullshitting other presidents."
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Trump:

"All I want to see is, I want to have a safe world, and you're not going to have a safe world. Israel will be gone, the Middle East will be gone, and then they're coming for Europe."
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Market Demon
Trump: "All I want to see is, I want to have a safe world, and you're not going to have a safe world. Israel will be gone, the Middle East will be gone, and then they're coming for Europe."
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Trump says that his frustrations with NATO "all began with, if you want to know the truth, Greenland. We want Greenland. They don't want to give it to us, and I said, 'bye bye!'"
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Market Demon
Trump says that his frustrations with NATO "all began with, if you want to know the truth, Greenland. We want Greenland. They don't want to give it to us, and I said, 'bye bye!'"
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Trump disses "paper tiger" NATO, says they went "out of their way not to help" with the Iran war and that South Korea, Australia and Japan also didn't help.
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Jumlah dagangan emas kini mengatasi kebanyakan aset kewangan utama dunia

Pada tahun 2025, purata jumlah dagangan harian emas mencecah kira-kira $361 bilion sehari, hampir tiga kali ganda lebih tinggi berbanding sekitar $134 bilion sehari yang dicatatkan pada tahun 2021.

Jumlah dagangan emas di pasaran OTC dan exchange masing-masing melonjak kepada sekitar $180 bilion dan $174 bilion sehari, manakala ETF pula menyumbang sekitar $7 bilion dalam jumlah dagangan harian.

Lebih menarik, jumlah dagangan emas kini secara rasmi telah mengatasi Treasury Bills yang mencatat sekitar $186 bilion, pasangan mata wang EUR/GBP sekitar $169 bilion, dan Dow Jones Industrial Average sekitar $100 bilion.

Sebagai perbandingan, gabungan jumlah dagangan bagi tiga saham US yang paling aktif didagangkan iaitu Apple (AAPL), Nvidia (NVDA), dan Tesla (TSLA) hanya sekitar $26 bilion sehari pada tahun 2025.

Secara keseluruhan, aktiviti dagangan emas kini sedang berkembang pada kadar yang luar biasa pantas.
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Market Demon
President Trump considers charging tolls for ships passing through the Strait of Hormuz.
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Trump claims he said Bin Laden shouldโ€™ve been taken out a year before 9/11.
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๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฆ Saudi Arabia has increased the price of its primary oil grade exports to Asia to a โ€˜record high premiumโ€™, as reported by Bloomberg.
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