Macro Caps
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News, analysis and trends shaping global markets.

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๐Ÿšจ๐Ÿ“‰ BREAKING: Michael Burry of โ€œThe Big Shortโ€ fame has updated his positions.Heโ€™s added to shorts in Micron $MU at $933.86, Nvidia $NVDA at $210.28, Semiconductor ETF $SOXX at $535.83, and Caterpillar $CAT at $893.49.

Longs increased in Flutter $FLUT at $100.72, DraftKings $DKNG at $23.07, and Molina $MOH at $197.02. Tesla $TSLA, Palantir $PLTR and QQQ shorts left unchanged as Tesla drops ~24% since late June.

Reinforces scepticism on AI valuations.
The new Fear and Greed Index ๐Ÿ˜…
๐Ÿ“‰ Bitcoin $BTC slips 0.2% as Nansen warns of unconfirmed bottom and possible retest of $52kโ€“$58k zone ahead of key catalysts.

Fed policy decision expected 29โ€“30 July and Strategy $STRC (MicroStrategy) Q2 earnings on 30 July could drive next BTC move.

Trading near $65k, analysts see current bounce as relief rally, not full recovery.
๐Ÿšจ๐Ÿ“‰ JUST IN: Fed rate hike odds for Wednesdayโ€™s meeting have doubled to 36% in just one week (from 16%), per CME FedWatch.

Traders price a real chance of a 25bp rise from the 3.50%-3.75% range held for five straight meetings.

Citadel now flags a possible surprise hike.
๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿšจ BREAKING: The US Federal Reserve has announced no change to its key interest rates following the July 2026 FOMC meeting, maintaining the federal funds rate target range at 3.5% to 3.75%.
๐Ÿšจ๐Ÿ“‰ BofAโ€™s Bull & Bear Indicator just hit 9.6, one of the strongest sell signals this century.

Itโ€™s a contrarian gauge based on flows, positioning and breadth. Anything above 8 has historically flagged extreme bullishness.Out of 17 signals since 2002, global stocks averaged a 2-3% drop over the next couple of months, with some bigger pullbacks.

Markets feel pretty frothy right now.

$MSFT $GOOG $NVDA.NE $SPCX $BTC $ETH
๐Ÿ“ˆ๐Ÿซ Cocoa soared more than 10% today for its 6th biggest gain this century.

The jump came as supply worries flared in West Africa. Heavy rains, disease and El Niรฑo risks are damaging early crops in Ivory Coast and Ghana, and Ghana is already warning of a sharp drop in next seasonโ€™s harvest. Short covering by traders poured more fuel on the rally.
๐Ÿšจ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ BREAKING: The S&P 500 hits a new all-time high of 7,730, extending its sharp rebound from a two-month summer slump. The rally has been driven by strong corporate earnings and hopes of easing Middle East tensions. ๐Ÿ“ˆ

$GOOG $AAPL $MSFT
๐Ÿ—ž BREAKING: Take-Two Interactive $TTWO, the company behind GTA 6, just listed its tokenized shares on Solana, backed by Backpack securities.

You can now buy and sell them 24/7 in any Solana $SOL wallet through Sunrise.
$SPCX holders rn
Next Friday's BOJ rate decision is the ultimate macro wildcard for crypto.

Markets expect a hike to 1.25%. Unlike August 2024, the Yen Carry Trade risk is heavily front-run and priced in. But if Ueda drops a hawkish surprise, expect volatility across risk assets.

Eyes on $BTC. Are you hedged or longing?
Higher Japan rates = stronger Yen = pressure on global liquidity. $BTC historically experiences 20%+ drawdowns during aggressive BOJ tightening cycles. Even if it's "priced in," expect a volatile weekend ahead. Trade safe.
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This is what 21 years of coffee money looks like in the S&P 500.$84,105 vs $0.00. โ˜•๏ธ

Same cash. Different decision.