Macro Caps
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News, analysis and trends shaping global markets.

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🚨 June 2026 CPI – Softer Than Expected (Data out today)

πŸ“‰ Headline CPI
β€’ MoM: -0.4% (biggest drop since Apr 2020)
β€’ YoY: 3.5% (vs ~3.8% expected, down from 4.2%)

πŸ“‰ Core CPI (ex-food/energy)
β€’ MoM: 0.0%
β€’ YoY: 2.6% (down from 2.9%)

πŸ”₯ Main driver: Energy prices plunged -5.7% (gasoline -9.7%)

Markets rallying on lower rate hike odds ahead of July Fed meeting. One cool print helps, but Chair Warsh warns it's not mission accomplished yet.

What’s your read? Pivot or patience? πŸ’­
WARSH: FED WILL REMAIN INDEPENDENT ON MY WATCH... WILL ENSURE MONETARY POLICY IS INDEPENDENT.

Warsh Tells Congress the Fed Has 'No Tolerance' for High Inflation.
πŸ“ˆ $BTC & $ETH reacting to cooler CPI

June inflation 3.5% (beat 3.8% exp) β†’ $BTC blasts past $64K, $ETH eyeing $1900.

Shorts liquidated, rate cut hopes back on. πŸ‚
πŸ“ˆ Stock market popping after ice-cold CPI

June inflation 3.5% (beat 3.8% exp) β†’ $SPYx +0.4%, $NDAQ +0.9%, $DOW steady. Rate-cut odds rising; $300B+ added to equities.

$IBM dragging $DOW but tech sector loving it.
πŸ“° Inflation cooling provides relief despite Middle East volatility

June's Consumer Price Index rose 3.5% year-over-year, coming in softer than the expected 3.8% and cooling significantly from May's 4.2% rate.

This disinflationary data, driven partly by a retreat in energy prices last month, has fueled investor hopes that the Federal Reserve may adopt a less hawkish stance in its upcoming policy meetings.
πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ Fed Chair Kevin Warsh to Congress today: "We want to be in the position where we're not bailing out anybody, including crypto."

$BTC $ETH $USDT
πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ Planned for Friday: House Financial Services Committee holds CLARITY Act hearing July 17.

Bipartisan push for digital asset market clarity heats up as Senate races the clock before summer break.

Big week for crypto!

$BTC $ETH $XRP $SOL
πŸš¨πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ Big moment for crypto regulation:  Fed Chair Kevin Warsh just confirmed the Fed is β€œracing” to meet Saturday’s deadline under the GENIUS Act, the first comprehensive U.S. stablecoin law.

Rules will cover oversight, custody, and banking integration for payment stablecoins.

After a year since signing, clarity is finally coming. This is how digital assets move into the mainstream.

https://x.com/i/status/2077099408790102175
☒️ Lucid $LCID stock just went crazy today: dropped 58% on a bankruptcy rumour, then rocketed back up 94% from the lows when the company denied it. All in minutes on unconfirmed info.

This kind of move screams possible manipulation or insider trading. Regulators need to check who made a fortune today.
BREAKING: Kalshi traders forecast Bitcoin $BTC will crash to $49,000 this year.
πŸ“ˆ BIG MOVE from Wall Street: Morgan Stanley ($9T+ AUM) just updated its S-1 filings for spot Ethereum & Solana ETFs, ultra-low 0.14% fees, staking included, tickers $MSSE & $MSOL locked in.

Institutional capital loading up? $ETH & $SOL about to see fresh inflows?

https://x.com/i/status/2077190494799704417
πŸ‡¨πŸ‡³ JUST IN: Al startup @deepseek_ai is gearing up for a mainland China IPO, targeting a 2027 listing.

@Bloomberg reports it's also in talks to raise new funds at a ~$71B valuation.

The company plans to launch its V4 model this month and is building its own Al chips to cut reliance on outside suppliers.

At this valuation, it would be China's most valuable Al firm heading public.
ETF Momentum is BACK!

πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ US spot ETFs just pulled in serious capital on July 14:

$BTC β†’ +$181M
$ETH β†’ +$58M

Institutions are loading up. Bull run reloading? πŸ‘€
πŸ‡°πŸ‡· Korean stocks are on fire! πŸ”₯

$KOSPI just added ~$275B in value today as tech giants led the charge. SAMSUNG surged 7.7% & $SKHY rocketed 13.1%, one of the strongest sessions this year amid AI chip demand rebound. πŸ“ˆ