RM Check: Calm Window Held [TEST]
ETHUSDC | 2026-07-11 13:32 UTC | cal_sigma13
Original signal: Market Calm (strong)
Main checked range:
±1.00% / 240m: predicted no-touch 79.6%, observed: held
Largest move from signal price: +0.17% / -0.26%
Closed at +0.17% (1800.58)
Price held inside the checked range over the horizon — the calm window held as forecast.
ETHUSDC | 2026-07-11 13:32 UTC | cal_sigma13
Original signal: Market Calm (strong)
Main checked range:
±1.00% / 240m: predicted no-touch 79.6%, observed: held
Largest move from signal price: +0.17% / -0.26%
Closed at +0.17% (1800.58)
Price held inside the checked range over the horizon — the calm window held as forecast.
🔹 RM Signal: Range Pressure [TEST]
ETHUSDC | 2026-07-13 04:33 UTC | cal_sigma13
Working ranges are becoming a bit harder to hold than usual.
Not yet at anomaly levels, but worth noting if you rely on
range/grid/LP-style positions for ETHUSDC.
Main range:
Price now: 1781.98
Checked range: 1764.16 - 1799.80
Range: ±1.00% / 120m
Key deviations:
±1.00% / 120m: softer hold than its 1y norm
Meaning:
Range-bound conditions are softening. Useful context, not
an alarm. RM does not predict direction.
Note: RM is a conservative risk estimate; actual frequencies: /stats.
Cooldown: 240m
ETHUSDC | 2026-07-13 04:33 UTC | cal_sigma13
Working ranges are becoming a bit harder to hold than usual.
Not yet at anomaly levels, but worth noting if you rely on
range/grid/LP-style positions for ETHUSDC.
Main range:
Price now: 1781.98
Checked range: 1764.16 - 1799.80
Range: ±1.00% / 120m
Key deviations:
±1.00% / 120m: softer hold than its 1y norm
Meaning:
Range-bound conditions are softening. Useful context, not
an alarm. RM does not predict direction.
Note: RM is a conservative risk estimate; actual frequencies: /stats.
Cooldown: 240m
RM Check: Range Pressure Eased [TEST]
ETHUSDC | 2026-07-13 06:33 UTC | cal_sigma13
Original signal: Market Expansion (soft)
Main checked range:
±1.00% / 120m: observed: held
Largest move from signal price: +0.18% / -0.53%
Closed at -0.37% (1775.45)
The market stayed inside the checked range.
The earlier range-pressure signal did not materialize during
this monitored window.
ETHUSDC | 2026-07-13 06:33 UTC | cal_sigma13
Original signal: Market Expansion (soft)
Main checked range:
±1.00% / 120m: observed: held
Largest move from signal price: +0.18% / -0.53%
Closed at -0.37% (1775.45)
The market stayed inside the checked range.
The earlier range-pressure signal did not materialize during
this monitored window.
🔹 RM Signal: Market Calm [TEST]
ETHUSDC | 2026-07-14 10:16 UTC | cal_sigma13
Market is in a quieter-than-usual zone. The model sees a
somewhat higher chance that ETHUSDC stays inside its narrow
ranges over the next few hours — not yet at unusual levels.
Hold estimate: historically, with similar RM readings, ETHUSDC stayed inside ±0.50% / 120m over 120 min in ~30-40% of cases.
1y normal base 1.0% - about 36x more likely than usual.
Main range:
Price now: 1787.41
Checked range: 1778.47 - 1796.35
Range: ±0.50% / 120m
Key deviations:
±0.50% / 120m: hold far more likely than its 1y norm
Meaning:
Volatility is on the calmer side. Range/grid/LP-style setups
may find this context useful, but the state is not unusual
on a 1-year scale. RM does not predict direction.
Cooldown: 240m
Historical frequencies from bot audit (cal_2026-07-06_fable61d, 61d). See /stats.
ETHUSDC | 2026-07-14 10:16 UTC | cal_sigma13
Market is in a quieter-than-usual zone. The model sees a
somewhat higher chance that ETHUSDC stays inside its narrow
ranges over the next few hours — not yet at unusual levels.
Hold estimate: historically, with similar RM readings, ETHUSDC stayed inside ±0.50% / 120m over 120 min in ~30-40% of cases.
1y normal base 1.0% - about 36x more likely than usual.
Main range:
Price now: 1787.41
Checked range: 1778.47 - 1796.35
Range: ±0.50% / 120m
Key deviations:
±0.50% / 120m: hold far more likely than its 1y norm
Meaning:
Volatility is on the calmer side. Range/grid/LP-style setups
may find this context useful, but the state is not unusual
on a 1-year scale. RM does not predict direction.
Cooldown: 240m
Historical frequencies from bot audit (cal_2026-07-06_fable61d, 61d). See /stats.
RM Check: Calm Phase Broken [TEST]
ETHUSDC | 2026-07-14 12:16 UTC | cal_sigma13
Original signal: Market Calm (soft)
Main checked range:
±0.50% / 120m: RM no-touch estimate 26.1%, observed: touched
Range broke after 32m
Largest move from signal price: +0.87% / -0.21%
Closed at +0.29% (1792.62)
The checked range was broken during the monitored window.
The earlier calm-phase signal did not hold for this range.
ETHUSDC | 2026-07-14 12:16 UTC | cal_sigma13
Original signal: Market Calm (soft)
Main checked range:
±0.50% / 120m: RM no-touch estimate 26.1%, observed: touched
Range broke after 32m
Largest move from signal price: +0.87% / -0.21%
Closed at +0.29% (1792.62)
The checked range was broken during the monitored window.
The earlier calm-phase signal did not hold for this range.
🔹 RM Signal: Range Pressure [TEST]
ETHUSDC | 2026-07-14 15:35 UTC | cal_sigma13
Working ranges are becoming a bit harder to hold than usual.
Not yet at anomaly levels, but worth noting if you rely on
range/grid/LP-style positions for ETHUSDC.
Main range:
Price now: 1880.69
Checked range: 1861.88 - 1899.50
Range: ±1.00% / 120m
Key deviations:
±1.00% / 120m: softer hold than its 1y norm
Meaning:
Range-bound conditions are softening. Useful context, not
an alarm. RM does not predict direction.
Note: RM is a conservative risk estimate; actual frequencies: /stats.
Cooldown: 240m
ETHUSDC | 2026-07-14 15:35 UTC | cal_sigma13
Working ranges are becoming a bit harder to hold than usual.
Not yet at anomaly levels, but worth noting if you rely on
range/grid/LP-style positions for ETHUSDC.
Main range:
Price now: 1880.69
Checked range: 1861.88 - 1899.50
Range: ±1.00% / 120m
Key deviations:
±1.00% / 120m: softer hold than its 1y norm
Meaning:
Range-bound conditions are softening. Useful context, not
an alarm. RM does not predict direction.
Note: RM is a conservative risk estimate; actual frequencies: /stats.
Cooldown: 240m
RM Check: Range Pressure Materialized [TEST]
ETHUSDC | 2026-07-14 17:35 UTC | cal_sigma13
Original signal: Market Expansion (soft)
Main checked range:
±1.00% / 120m: observed: touched
Range broke after 95m
Largest move from signal price: +0.02% / -1.14%
Closed at -0.79% (1865.82)
The checked range was broken during the monitored window.
This supports the earlier range-pressure signal: realised movement
was less stable than usual.
ETHUSDC | 2026-07-14 17:35 UTC | cal_sigma13
Original signal: Market Expansion (soft)
Main checked range:
±1.00% / 120m: observed: touched
Range broke after 95m
Largest move from signal price: +0.02% / -1.14%
Closed at -0.79% (1865.82)
The checked range was broken during the monitored window.
This supports the earlier range-pressure signal: realised movement
was less stable than usual.
🔹 RM Signal: Soft Range Pressure [TEST]
ETHUSDC | 2026-07-15 17:47 UTC | cal_sigma13
Level: SOFT
Price now: 1,927.56
Checked range: 1,908.28 - 1,946.84
Range / horizon: ±1.00% / 120m
Range strength vs its 1-year norm:
74 out of 100
RM does not predict direction.
Note: RM is a conservative risk estimate; actual frequencies: /stats.
ETHUSDC | 2026-07-15 17:47 UTC | cal_sigma13
Level: SOFT
Price now: 1,927.56
Checked range: 1,908.28 - 1,946.84
Range / horizon: ±1.00% / 120m
Range strength vs its 1-year norm:
74 out of 100
RM does not predict direction.
Note: RM is a conservative risk estimate; actual frequencies: /stats.
lpcex
🔹 RM Signal: Soft Range Pressure [TEST] ETHUSDC | 2026-07-15 17:47 UTC | cal_sigma13 Level: SOFT Price now: 1,927.56 Checked range: 1,908.28 - 1,946.84 Range / horizon: ±1.00% / 120m Range strength vs its 1-year norm: 74 out of 100 RM does not predict…
RM Check: Range Held [TEST]
ETHUSDC | 120m result
Price at signal: 1,927.56
Checked range: 1,908.28 - 1,946.84
No boundary was touched during the window.
Window high: 1,935.00 (+0.39%)
Window low: 1,917.35 (-0.53%)
Window close: 1,924.72 (-0.15%)
Result: the range held.
The earlier SOFT signal did not materialize in this window.
ETHUSDC | 120m result
Price at signal: 1,927.56
Checked range: 1,908.28 - 1,946.84
No boundary was touched during the window.
Window high: 1,935.00 (+0.39%)
Window low: 1,917.35 (-0.53%)
Window close: 1,924.72 (-0.15%)
Result: the range held.
The earlier SOFT signal did not materialize in this window.
🔹 RM Signal: Market Calm [TEST]
ETHUSDC | 2026-07-18 01:20 UTC | cal_sigma13
Level: SOFT
Price now: 1,838.65
Checked range: 1,829.46 - 1,847.84
Range / horizon: ±0.50% / 120m
With similar historical RM readings,
this range held in ~30-40% of cases.
RM does not predict direction.
Historical frequencies from bot audit
(cal_2026-07-06_fable61d, 61d).
ETHUSDC | 2026-07-18 01:20 UTC | cal_sigma13
Level: SOFT
Price now: 1,838.65
Checked range: 1,829.46 - 1,847.84
Range / horizon: ±0.50% / 120m
With similar historical RM readings,
this range held in ~30-40% of cases.
RM does not predict direction.
Historical frequencies from bot audit
(cal_2026-07-06_fable61d, 61d).
lpcex
🔹 RM Signal: Market Calm [TEST] ETHUSDC | 2026-07-18 01:20 UTC | cal_sigma13 Level: SOFT Price now: 1,838.65 Checked range: 1,829.46 - 1,847.84 Range / horizon: ±0.50% / 120m With similar historical RM readings, this range held in ~30-40% of cases. RM…
RM Check: Calm Range Held [TEST]
ETHUSDC | 120m result
Price at signal: 1,838.65
Checked range: 1,829.46 - 1,847.84
No boundary was touched during the window.
Window high: 1,844.99 (+0.34%)
Window low: 1,837.58 (-0.06%)
Window close: 1,842.02 (+0.18%)
Result: the calm range held.
ETHUSDC | 120m result
Price at signal: 1,838.65
Checked range: 1,829.46 - 1,847.84
No boundary was touched during the window.
Window high: 1,844.99 (+0.34%)
Window low: 1,837.58 (-0.06%)
Window close: 1,842.02 (+0.18%)
Result: the calm range held.
🔵 RM Signal: Unusual Market Calm [TEST]
ETHUSDC | 2026-07-18 10:03 UTC | cal_sigma13
Level: STRONG
Price now: 1,842.92
Checked range: 1,824.49 - 1,861.35
Range / horizon: ±1.00% / 240m
With similar historical RM readings,
this range held in ~70-80% of cases.
RM does not predict direction.
Historical frequencies from bot audit
(cal_2026-07-06_fable61d, 61d).
ETHUSDC | 2026-07-18 10:03 UTC | cal_sigma13
Level: STRONG
Price now: 1,842.92
Checked range: 1,824.49 - 1,861.35
Range / horizon: ±1.00% / 240m
With similar historical RM readings,
this range held in ~70-80% of cases.
RM does not predict direction.
Historical frequencies from bot audit
(cal_2026-07-06_fable61d, 61d).
⚡ RM Signal: Extreme Market Calm [TEST]
ETHUSDC | 2026-07-18 11:44 UTC | cal_sigma13
Level: EXTREME
Price now: 1,842.51
Checked range: 1,833.30 - 1,851.72
Range / horizon: ±0.50% / 120m
With similar historical RM readings,
this range held in ~40-50% of cases.
RM does not predict direction.
Historical frequencies from bot audit
(cal_2026-07-06_fable61d, 61d).
ETHUSDC | 2026-07-18 11:44 UTC | cal_sigma13
Level: EXTREME
Price now: 1,842.51
Checked range: 1,833.30 - 1,851.72
Range / horizon: ±0.50% / 120m
With similar historical RM readings,
this range held in ~40-50% of cases.
RM does not predict direction.
Historical frequencies from bot audit
(cal_2026-07-06_fable61d, 61d).
lpcex
⚡ RM Signal: Extreme Market Calm [TEST] ETHUSDC | 2026-07-18 11:44 UTC | cal_sigma13 Level: EXTREME Price now: 1,842.51 Checked range: 1,833.30 - 1,851.72 Range / horizon: ±0.50% / 120m With similar historical RM readings, this range held in ~40-50% of…
RM Check: Calm Range Held [TEST]
ETHUSDC | 120m result
Price at signal: 1,842.51
Checked range: 1,833.30 - 1,851.72
No boundary was touched during the window.
Window high: 1,848.63 (+0.33%)
Window low: 1,835.56 (-0.38%)
Window close: 1,839.27 (-0.18%)
Result: the calm range held.
ETHUSDC | 120m result
Price at signal: 1,842.51
Checked range: 1,833.30 - 1,851.72
No boundary was touched during the window.
Window high: 1,848.63 (+0.33%)
Window low: 1,835.56 (-0.38%)
Window close: 1,839.27 (-0.18%)
Result: the calm range held.
lpcex
🔵 RM Signal: Unusual Market Calm [TEST] ETHUSDC | 2026-07-18 10:03 UTC | cal_sigma13 Level: STRONG Price now: 1,842.92 Checked range: 1,824.49 - 1,861.35 Range / horizon: ±1.00% / 240m With similar historical RM readings, this range held in ~70-80% of cases.…
RM Check: Calm Range Held [TEST]
ETHUSDC | 240m result
Price at signal: 1,842.92
Checked range: 1,824.49 - 1,861.35
No boundary was touched during the window.
Window high: 1,848.63 (+0.31%)
Window low: 1,835.56 (-0.40%)
Window close: 1,839.45 (-0.19%)
Result: the calm range held.
ETHUSDC | 240m result
Price at signal: 1,842.92
Checked range: 1,824.49 - 1,861.35
No boundary was touched during the window.
Window high: 1,848.63 (+0.31%)
Window low: 1,835.56 (-0.40%)
Window close: 1,839.45 (-0.19%)
Result: the calm range held.