🔹 RM Signal: Market Calm [TEST]
ETHUSDC | 2026-07-04 13:29 UTC | cal_sigma13
Market is in a quieter-than-usual zone. The model sees a
somewhat higher chance that ETHUSDC stays inside its narrow
ranges over the next few hours — not yet at unusual levels.
Main range:
Price now: 1765.90
Checked range: 1748.24 - 1783.56
Range: ±1.00% / 240m
Key deviations:
±1.00% / 240m: now 54.0%, 1y normal 10.3%
±0.50% / 120m: now 30.0%, 1y normal 1.0%
Meaning:
Volatility is on the calmer side. Range/grid/LP-style setups
may find this context useful, but the state is not unusual
on a 1-year scale. RM does not predict direction.
Cooldown: 240m
ETHUSDC | 2026-07-04 13:29 UTC | cal_sigma13
Market is in a quieter-than-usual zone. The model sees a
somewhat higher chance that ETHUSDC stays inside its narrow
ranges over the next few hours — not yet at unusual levels.
Main range:
Price now: 1765.90
Checked range: 1748.24 - 1783.56
Range: ±1.00% / 240m
Key deviations:
±1.00% / 240m: now 54.0%, 1y normal 10.3%
±0.50% / 120m: now 30.0%, 1y normal 1.0%
Meaning:
Volatility is on the calmer side. Range/grid/LP-style setups
may find this context useful, but the state is not unusual
on a 1-year scale. RM does not predict direction.
Cooldown: 240m
RM Check: Calm Phase Broken [TEST]
ETHUSDC | 2026-07-04 17:29 UTC | cal_sigma13
Original signal: DEEP_COMPRESSION/soft
Main checked range:
±1.00% / 240m: RM no-touch estimate 54.0%, observed: touched
Range broke after 99m
Largest move from signal price: +1.79% / -0.33%
Closed at +1.10% (1785.39)
The checked range was broken during the monitored window.
The earlier calm-phase signal did not hold for this range.
ETHUSDC | 2026-07-04 17:29 UTC | cal_sigma13
Original signal: DEEP_COMPRESSION/soft
Main checked range:
±1.00% / 240m: RM no-touch estimate 54.0%, observed: touched
Range broke after 99m
Largest move from signal price: +1.79% / -0.33%
Closed at +1.10% (1785.39)
The checked range was broken during the monitored window.
The earlier calm-phase signal did not hold for this range.
🔹 RM Signal: Market Calm [TEST]
ETHUSDC | 2026-07-05 09:22 UTC | cal_sigma13
Market is in a quieter-than-usual zone. The model sees a
somewhat higher chance that ETHUSDC stays inside its narrow
ranges over the next few hours — not yet at unusual levels.
Main range:
Price now: 1763.27
Checked range: 1754.45 - 1772.09
Range: ±0.50% / 120m
Key deviations:
±0.50% / 120m: now 26.7%, 1y normal 1.0%
Meaning:
Volatility is on the calmer side. Range/grid/LP-style setups
may find this context useful, but the state is not unusual
on a 1-year scale. RM does not predict direction.
Cooldown: 240m
ETHUSDC | 2026-07-05 09:22 UTC | cal_sigma13
Market is in a quieter-than-usual zone. The model sees a
somewhat higher chance that ETHUSDC stays inside its narrow
ranges over the next few hours — not yet at unusual levels.
Main range:
Price now: 1763.27
Checked range: 1754.45 - 1772.09
Range: ±0.50% / 120m
Key deviations:
±0.50% / 120m: now 26.7%, 1y normal 1.0%
Meaning:
Volatility is on the calmer side. Range/grid/LP-style setups
may find this context useful, but the state is not unusual
on a 1-year scale. RM does not predict direction.
Cooldown: 240m
RM Check: Calm Phase Broken [TEST]
ETHUSDC | 2026-07-05 11:22 UTC | cal_sigma13
Original signal: DEEP_COMPRESSION/soft
Main checked range:
±0.50% / 120m: RM no-touch estimate 26.7%, observed: touched
Range broke after 16m
Largest move from signal price: +0.00% / -0.93%
Closed at -0.25% (1758.89)
The checked range was broken during the monitored window.
The earlier calm-phase signal did not hold for this range.
ETHUSDC | 2026-07-05 11:22 UTC | cal_sigma13
Original signal: DEEP_COMPRESSION/soft
Main checked range:
±0.50% / 120m: RM no-touch estimate 26.7%, observed: touched
Range broke after 16m
Largest move from signal price: +0.00% / -0.93%
Closed at -0.25% (1758.89)
The checked range was broken during the monitored window.
The earlier calm-phase signal did not hold for this range.
🔹 RM Signal: Market Calm [TEST]
ETHUSDC | 2026-07-05 13:39 UTC | cal_sigma13
Market is in a quieter-than-usual zone. The model sees a
somewhat higher chance that ETHUSDC stays inside its narrow
ranges over the next few hours — not yet at unusual levels.
Main range:
Price now: 1761.85
Checked range: 1753.04 - 1770.66
Range: ±0.50% / 120m
Key deviations:
±0.50% / 120m: now 25.9%, 1y normal 1.0%
Meaning:
Volatility is on the calmer side. Range/grid/LP-style setups
may find this context useful, but the state is not unusual
on a 1-year scale. RM does not predict direction.
Cooldown: 240m
ETHUSDC | 2026-07-05 13:39 UTC | cal_sigma13
Market is in a quieter-than-usual zone. The model sees a
somewhat higher chance that ETHUSDC stays inside its narrow
ranges over the next few hours — not yet at unusual levels.
Main range:
Price now: 1761.85
Checked range: 1753.04 - 1770.66
Range: ±0.50% / 120m
Key deviations:
±0.50% / 120m: now 25.9%, 1y normal 1.0%
Meaning:
Volatility is on the calmer side. Range/grid/LP-style setups
may find this context useful, but the state is not unusual
on a 1-year scale. RM does not predict direction.
Cooldown: 240m
RM Check: Calm Phase Broken [TEST]
ETHUSDC | 2026-07-05 15:39 UTC | cal_sigma13
Original signal: DEEP_COMPRESSION/soft
Main checked range:
±0.50% / 120m: RM no-touch estimate 25.9%, observed: touched
Range broke after 78m
Largest move from signal price: +1.00% / -0.02%
Closed at +0.60% (1772.41)
The checked range was broken during the monitored window.
The earlier calm-phase signal did not hold for this range.
ETHUSDC | 2026-07-05 15:39 UTC | cal_sigma13
Original signal: DEEP_COMPRESSION/soft
Main checked range:
±0.50% / 120m: RM no-touch estimate 25.9%, observed: touched
Range broke after 78m
Largest move from signal price: +1.00% / -0.02%
Closed at +0.60% (1772.41)
The checked range was broken during the monitored window.
The earlier calm-phase signal did not hold for this range.
🔹 RM Signal: Market Calm [TEST]
ETHUSDC | 2026-07-05 18:25 UTC | cal_sigma13
Market is in a quieter-than-usual zone. The model sees a
somewhat higher chance that ETHUSDC stays inside its narrow
ranges over the next few hours — not yet at unusual levels.
Main range:
Price now: 1777.49
Checked range: 1759.72 - 1795.26
Range: ±1.00% / 240m
Key deviations:
±1.00% / 240m: now 52.8%, 1y normal 10.3%
±1.00% / 360m: now 30.1%, 1y normal 2.8%
Meaning:
Volatility is on the calmer side. Range/grid/LP-style setups
may find this context useful, but the state is not unusual
on a 1-year scale. RM does not predict direction.
Cooldown: 240m
ETHUSDC | 2026-07-05 18:25 UTC | cal_sigma13
Market is in a quieter-than-usual zone. The model sees a
somewhat higher chance that ETHUSDC stays inside its narrow
ranges over the next few hours — not yet at unusual levels.
Main range:
Price now: 1777.49
Checked range: 1759.72 - 1795.26
Range: ±1.00% / 240m
Key deviations:
±1.00% / 240m: now 52.8%, 1y normal 10.3%
±1.00% / 360m: now 30.1%, 1y normal 2.8%
Meaning:
Volatility is on the calmer side. Range/grid/LP-style setups
may find this context useful, but the state is not unusual
on a 1-year scale. RM does not predict direction.
Cooldown: 240m
RM Check: Calm Phase Broken [TEST]
ETHUSDC | 2026-07-05 22:25 UTC | cal_sigma13
Original signal: DEEP_COMPRESSION/soft
Main checked range:
±1.00% / 240m: RM no-touch estimate 52.8%, observed: touched
Range broke after 230m
Largest move from signal price: +1.27% / -0.58%
Closed at +1.07% (1796.46)
The checked range was broken during the monitored window.
The earlier calm-phase signal did not hold for this range.
ETHUSDC | 2026-07-05 22:25 UTC | cal_sigma13
Original signal: DEEP_COMPRESSION/soft
Main checked range:
±1.00% / 240m: RM no-touch estimate 52.8%, observed: touched
Range broke after 230m
Largest move from signal price: +1.27% / -0.58%
Closed at +1.07% (1796.46)
The checked range was broken during the monitored window.
The earlier calm-phase signal did not hold for this range.
🔹 RM Signal: Range Pressure [TEST]
ETHUSDC | 2026-07-06 14:39 UTC | cal_sigma13
Working ranges are becoming a bit harder to hold than usual.
Not yet at anomaly levels, but worth noting if you rely on
range/grid/LP-style positions for ETHUSDC.
Main range:
Price now: 1751.02
Checked range: 1733.51 - 1768.53
Range: ±1.00% / 120m
Key deviations:
±1.00% / 120m: now 28.4%, 1y normal 38.0%
Meaning:
Range-bound conditions are softening. Useful context, not
an alarm. RM does not predict direction.
Cooldown: 240m
ETHUSDC | 2026-07-06 14:39 UTC | cal_sigma13
Working ranges are becoming a bit harder to hold than usual.
Not yet at anomaly levels, but worth noting if you rely on
range/grid/LP-style positions for ETHUSDC.
Main range:
Price now: 1751.02
Checked range: 1733.51 - 1768.53
Range: ±1.00% / 120m
Key deviations:
±1.00% / 120m: now 28.4%, 1y normal 38.0%
Meaning:
Range-bound conditions are softening. Useful context, not
an alarm. RM does not predict direction.
Cooldown: 240m
🟣 RM Signal: Range Breakout Risk [TEST]
ETHUSDC | 2026-07-06 16:02 UTC | cal_sigma13
Working ranges are weakening. The model sees a higher-than-usual chance that ETHUSDC leaves its normal range over the monitored horizons.
Main range:
Price now: 1784.69
Checked range: 1766.84 - 1802.54
Range: ±1.00% / 120m
Key deviations:
±1.00% / 120m: now 19.0%, 1y normal 38.0%
Meaning:
Range-bound conditions are deteriorating. Be careful with fresh
range entries and review risk on existing range/grid/LP-style
positions. RM does not predict direction.
Cooldown: 60m
ETHUSDC | 2026-07-06 16:02 UTC | cal_sigma13
Working ranges are weakening. The model sees a higher-than-usual chance that ETHUSDC leaves its normal range over the monitored horizons.
Main range:
Price now: 1784.69
Checked range: 1766.84 - 1802.54
Range: ±1.00% / 120m
Key deviations:
±1.00% / 120m: now 19.0%, 1y normal 38.0%
Meaning:
Range-bound conditions are deteriorating. Be careful with fresh
range entries and review risk on existing range/grid/LP-style
positions. RM does not predict direction.
Cooldown: 60m
RM Check: Range Pressure Materialized [TEST]
ETHUSDC | 2026-07-06 16:39 UTC | cal_sigma13
Original signal: MARKET_EXPANSION/soft
Main checked range:
±1.00% / 120m: RM no-touch estimate 28.4%, observed: touched
Range broke after 61m
Largest move from signal price: +3.01% / -0.43%
Closed at +2.29% (1791.11)
The checked range was broken during the monitored window.
This supports the earlier range-pressure signal: realised movement
was less stable than usual.
ETHUSDC | 2026-07-06 16:39 UTC | cal_sigma13
Original signal: MARKET_EXPANSION/soft
Main checked range:
±1.00% / 120m: RM no-touch estimate 28.4%, observed: touched
Range broke after 61m
Largest move from signal price: +3.01% / -0.43%
Closed at +2.29% (1791.11)
The checked range was broken during the monitored window.
This supports the earlier range-pressure signal: realised movement
was less stable than usual.
RM Check: Expansion Confirmed [TEST]
ETHUSDC | 2026-07-06 18:02 UTC | cal_sigma13
Original signal: MARKET_EXPANSION/strong
Main checked range:
±1.00% / 120m: predicted no-touch 19.0%, observed: touched
Range broke after 16m
Largest move from signal price: +1.07% / -0.09%
Closed at +0.13% (1786.94)
Price broke out of the checked range over the horizon — the expansion prediction was confirmed.
ETHUSDC | 2026-07-06 18:02 UTC | cal_sigma13
Original signal: MARKET_EXPANSION/strong
Main checked range:
±1.00% / 120m: predicted no-touch 19.0%, observed: touched
Range broke after 16m
Largest move from signal price: +1.07% / -0.09%
Closed at +0.13% (1786.94)
Price broke out of the checked range over the horizon — the expansion prediction was confirmed.
🔹 RM Signal: Range Pressure [TEST]
ETHUSDC | 2026-07-07 17:29 UTC | cal_sigma13
Working ranges are becoming a bit harder to hold than usual.
Not yet at anomaly levels, but worth noting if you rely on
range/grid/LP-style positions for ETHUSDC.
Main range:
Price now: 1803.90
Checked range: 1785.86 - 1821.94
Range: ±1.00% / 120m
Key deviations:
±1.00% / 120m: now 28.5%, 1y normal 38.0%
Meaning:
Range-bound conditions are softening. Useful context, not
an alarm. RM does not predict direction.
Cooldown: 240m
ETHUSDC | 2026-07-07 17:29 UTC | cal_sigma13
Working ranges are becoming a bit harder to hold than usual.
Not yet at anomaly levels, but worth noting if you rely on
range/grid/LP-style positions for ETHUSDC.
Main range:
Price now: 1803.90
Checked range: 1785.86 - 1821.94
Range: ±1.00% / 120m
Key deviations:
±1.00% / 120m: now 28.5%, 1y normal 38.0%
Meaning:
Range-bound conditions are softening. Useful context, not
an alarm. RM does not predict direction.
Cooldown: 240m
RM Check: Range Pressure Materialized [TEST]
ETHUSDC | 2026-07-07 19:29 UTC | cal_sigma13
Original signal: MARKET_EXPANSION/soft
Main checked range:
±1.00% / 120m: RM no-touch estimate 28.5%, observed: touched
Range broke after 87m
Largest move from signal price: +0.27% / -1.79%
Closed at -1.20% (1782.23)
The checked range was broken during the monitored window.
This supports the earlier range-pressure signal: realised movement
was less stable than usual.
ETHUSDC | 2026-07-07 19:29 UTC | cal_sigma13
Original signal: MARKET_EXPANSION/soft
Main checked range:
±1.00% / 120m: RM no-touch estimate 28.5%, observed: touched
Range broke after 87m
Largest move from signal price: +0.27% / -1.79%
Closed at -1.20% (1782.23)
The checked range was broken during the monitored window.
This supports the earlier range-pressure signal: realised movement
was less stable than usual.
🔹 RM Signal: Range Pressure [TEST]
ETHUSDC | 2026-07-07 22:33 UTC | cal_sigma13
Working ranges are becoming a bit harder to hold than usual.
Not yet at anomaly levels, but worth noting if you rely on
range/grid/LP-style positions for ETHUSDC.
Main range:
Price now: 1773.13
Checked range: 1755.40 - 1790.86
Range: ±1.00% / 120m
Key deviations:
±1.00% / 120m: now 28.3%, 1y normal 38.0%
Meaning:
Range-bound conditions are softening. Useful context, not
an alarm. RM does not predict direction.
Cooldown: 240m
ETHUSDC | 2026-07-07 22:33 UTC | cal_sigma13
Working ranges are becoming a bit harder to hold than usual.
Not yet at anomaly levels, but worth noting if you rely on
range/grid/LP-style positions for ETHUSDC.
Main range:
Price now: 1773.13
Checked range: 1755.40 - 1790.86
Range: ±1.00% / 120m
Key deviations:
±1.00% / 120m: now 28.3%, 1y normal 38.0%
Meaning:
Range-bound conditions are softening. Useful context, not
an alarm. RM does not predict direction.
Cooldown: 240m
RM Check: Range Pressure Eased [TEST]
ETHUSDC | 2026-07-08 00:33 UTC | cal_sigma13
Original signal: MARKET_EXPANSION/soft
Main checked range:
±1.00% / 120m: RM no-touch estimate 28.3%, observed: held
Largest move from signal price: +0.42% / -0.36%
Closed at +0.22% (1777.11)
The market stayed inside the checked range.
The earlier range-pressure signal did not materialize during
this monitored window.
ETHUSDC | 2026-07-08 00:33 UTC | cal_sigma13
Original signal: MARKET_EXPANSION/soft
Main checked range:
±1.00% / 120m: RM no-touch estimate 28.3%, observed: held
Largest move from signal price: +0.42% / -0.36%
Closed at +0.22% (1777.11)
The market stayed inside the checked range.
The earlier range-pressure signal did not materialize during
this monitored window.
🔹 RM Signal: Market Calm [TEST]
ETHUSDC | 2026-07-10 23:31 UTC | cal_sigma13
Market is in a quieter-than-usual zone. The model sees a
somewhat higher chance that ETHUSDC stays inside its narrow
ranges over the next few hours — not yet at unusual levels.
Hold estimate: historically, with similar RM readings, ETHUSDC stayed inside ±0.50% / 120m over 120 min in ~30-40% of cases.
1y normal base 1.0% - about 36x more likely than usual.
Main range:
Price now: 1794.33
Checked range: 1785.36 - 1803.30
Range: ±0.50% / 120m
Key deviations:
±0.50% / 120m: hold far more likely than its 1y norm
Meaning:
Volatility is on the calmer side. Range/grid/LP-style setups
may find this context useful, but the state is not unusual
on a 1-year scale. RM does not predict direction.
Cooldown: 240m
Historical frequencies from bot audit (cal_2026-07-06_fable61d, 61d). See /stats.
ETHUSDC | 2026-07-10 23:31 UTC | cal_sigma13
Market is in a quieter-than-usual zone. The model sees a
somewhat higher chance that ETHUSDC stays inside its narrow
ranges over the next few hours — not yet at unusual levels.
Hold estimate: historically, with similar RM readings, ETHUSDC stayed inside ±0.50% / 120m over 120 min in ~30-40% of cases.
1y normal base 1.0% - about 36x more likely than usual.
Main range:
Price now: 1794.33
Checked range: 1785.36 - 1803.30
Range: ±0.50% / 120m
Key deviations:
±0.50% / 120m: hold far more likely than its 1y norm
Meaning:
Volatility is on the calmer side. Range/grid/LP-style setups
may find this context useful, but the state is not unusual
on a 1-year scale. RM does not predict direction.
Cooldown: 240m
Historical frequencies from bot audit (cal_2026-07-06_fable61d, 61d). See /stats.
RM Check: Calm Phase Held [TEST]
ETHUSDC | 2026-07-11 01:31 UTC | cal_sigma13
Original signal: Market Calm (soft)
Main checked range:
±0.50% / 120m: RM no-touch estimate 26.4%, observed: held
Largest move from signal price: +0.18% / -0.33%
Closed at -0.00% (1794.28)
The market stayed inside the checked range.
This supports the earlier calm-phase signal: realised movement
was limited during the monitored window.
ETHUSDC | 2026-07-11 01:31 UTC | cal_sigma13
Original signal: Market Calm (soft)
Main checked range:
±0.50% / 120m: RM no-touch estimate 26.4%, observed: held
Largest move from signal price: +0.18% / -0.33%
Closed at -0.00% (1794.28)
The market stayed inside the checked range.
This supports the earlier calm-phase signal: realised movement
was limited during the monitored window.
🔵 RM Signal: Unusual Market Calm [TEST]
ETHUSDC | 2026-07-11 09:32 UTC | cal_sigma13
Market is unusually calm.
The model sees a much higher-than-usual chance that ETHUSDC
stays inside narrow ranges over the next few hours.
Hold forecast: historically, with similar RM readings, ETHUSDC stayed inside ±1.00% / 240m over 240 min in ~70-80% of cases.
1y normal base 10.3% - about 7.7x more likely than usual.
Main range:
Price now: 1797.60
Checked range: 1779.62 - 1815.58
Range: ±1.00% / 240m
Key deviations:
±1.00% / 240m: hold far more likely than its 1y norm
±0.50% / 120m: hold far more likely than its 1y norm
±0.50% / 240m: hold far more likely than its 1y norm
Meaning:
Volatility is unusually low. This can be useful context for
range/grid/LP-style setups, but calm periods can also end
abruptly with a sharp move. RM does not predict direction.
Cooldown: 90m
Historical frequencies from bot audit (cal_2026-07-06_fable61d, 61d). See /stats.
ETHUSDC | 2026-07-11 09:32 UTC | cal_sigma13
Market is unusually calm.
The model sees a much higher-than-usual chance that ETHUSDC
stays inside narrow ranges over the next few hours.
Hold forecast: historically, with similar RM readings, ETHUSDC stayed inside ±1.00% / 240m over 240 min in ~70-80% of cases.
1y normal base 10.3% - about 7.7x more likely than usual.
Main range:
Price now: 1797.60
Checked range: 1779.62 - 1815.58
Range: ±1.00% / 240m
Key deviations:
±1.00% / 240m: hold far more likely than its 1y norm
±0.50% / 120m: hold far more likely than its 1y norm
±0.50% / 240m: hold far more likely than its 1y norm
Meaning:
Volatility is unusually low. This can be useful context for
range/grid/LP-style setups, but calm periods can also end
abruptly with a sharp move. RM does not predict direction.
Cooldown: 90m
Historical frequencies from bot audit (cal_2026-07-06_fable61d, 61d). See /stats.
RM Check: Calm Window Held [TEST]
ETHUSDC | 2026-07-11 13:32 UTC | cal_sigma13
Original signal: Market Calm (strong)
Main checked range:
±1.00% / 240m: predicted no-touch 79.6%, observed: held
Largest move from signal price: +0.17% / -0.26%
Closed at +0.17% (1800.58)
Price held inside the checked range over the horizon — the calm window held as forecast.
ETHUSDC | 2026-07-11 13:32 UTC | cal_sigma13
Original signal: Market Calm (strong)
Main checked range:
±1.00% / 240m: predicted no-touch 79.6%, observed: held
Largest move from signal price: +0.17% / -0.26%
Closed at +0.17% (1800.58)
Price held inside the checked range over the horizon — the calm window held as forecast.