🔹 RM Signal: Range Pressure [TEST]
ETHUSDC | 2026-07-02 13:37 UTC | cal_sigma13
Working ranges are becoming a bit harder to hold than usual.
Not yet at anomaly levels, but worth noting if you rely on
range/grid/LP-style positions for ETHUSDC.
Main range:
Price now: 1705.41
Checked range: 1688.36 - 1722.46
Range: ±1.00% / 120m
Key deviations:
±1.00% / 120m: now 27.9%, 1y normal 38.0%
Meaning:
Range-bound conditions are softening. Useful context, not
an alarm. RM does not predict direction.
Cooldown: 240m
ETHUSDC | 2026-07-02 13:37 UTC | cal_sigma13
Working ranges are becoming a bit harder to hold than usual.
Not yet at anomaly levels, but worth noting if you rely on
range/grid/LP-style positions for ETHUSDC.
Main range:
Price now: 1705.41
Checked range: 1688.36 - 1722.46
Range: ±1.00% / 120m
Key deviations:
±1.00% / 120m: now 27.9%, 1y normal 38.0%
Meaning:
Range-bound conditions are softening. Useful context, not
an alarm. RM does not predict direction.
Cooldown: 240m
🟣 RM Signal: Range Breakout Risk [TEST]
ETHUSDC | 2026-07-02 14:10 UTC | cal_sigma13
Working ranges are weakening. The model sees a higher-than-usual chance that ETHUSDC leaves its normal range over the monitored horizons.
Main range:
Price now: 1707.72
Checked range: 1690.64 - 1724.80
Range: ±1.00% / 120m
Key deviations:
±1.00% / 120m: now 19.0%, 1y normal 38.0%
Meaning:
Range-bound conditions are deteriorating. Be careful with fresh
range entries and review risk on existing range/grid/LP-style
positions. RM does not predict direction.
Cooldown: 60m
ETHUSDC | 2026-07-02 14:10 UTC | cal_sigma13
Working ranges are weakening. The model sees a higher-than-usual chance that ETHUSDC leaves its normal range over the monitored horizons.
Main range:
Price now: 1707.72
Checked range: 1690.64 - 1724.80
Range: ±1.00% / 120m
Key deviations:
±1.00% / 120m: now 19.0%, 1y normal 38.0%
Meaning:
Range-bound conditions are deteriorating. Be careful with fresh
range entries and review risk on existing range/grid/LP-style
positions. RM does not predict direction.
Cooldown: 60m
⚡ RM Signal: Extreme Market Move [TEST]
ETHUSDC | 2026-07-02 15:37 UTC | cal_sigma13
Move is outside the 1-year historical extreme band for at least one monitored cell.
Main range:
Price now: 1696.61
Checked range: 1679.64 - 1713.58
Range: ±1.00% / 120m
Key deviations:
±1.00% / 120m: now 9.3%, 1y normal 38.0%
Meaning:
Range-bound conditions are deteriorating. Be careful with fresh
range entries and review risk on existing range/grid/LP-style
positions. RM does not predict direction.
Cooldown: 60m
ETHUSDC | 2026-07-02 15:37 UTC | cal_sigma13
Move is outside the 1-year historical extreme band for at least one monitored cell.
Main range:
Price now: 1696.61
Checked range: 1679.64 - 1713.58
Range: ±1.00% / 120m
Key deviations:
±1.00% / 120m: now 9.3%, 1y normal 38.0%
Meaning:
Range-bound conditions are deteriorating. Be careful with fresh
range entries and review risk on existing range/grid/LP-style
positions. RM does not predict direction.
Cooldown: 60m
RM Check: Range Pressure Materialized [TEST]
ETHUSDC | 2026-07-02 15:37 UTC | cal_sigma13
Original signal: MARKET_EXPANSION/soft
Main checked range:
±1.00% / 120m: RM no-touch estimate 27.9%, observed: touched
Range broke after 34m
Largest move from signal price: +1.01% / -1.12%
Closed at -0.52% (1696.56)
The checked range was broken during the monitored window.
This supports the earlier range-pressure signal: realised movement
was less stable than usual.
ETHUSDC | 2026-07-02 15:37 UTC | cal_sigma13
Original signal: MARKET_EXPANSION/soft
Main checked range:
±1.00% / 120m: RM no-touch estimate 27.9%, observed: touched
Range broke after 34m
Largest move from signal price: +1.01% / -1.12%
Closed at -0.52% (1696.56)
The checked range was broken during the monitored window.
This supports the earlier range-pressure signal: realised movement
was less stable than usual.
RM Check: Expansion Confirmed [TEST]
ETHUSDC | 2026-07-02 16:10 UTC | cal_sigma13
Original signal: MARKET_EXPANSION/strong
Main checked range:
±1.00% / 120m: predicted no-touch 19.0%, observed: touched
Range broke after 55m
Largest move from signal price: +0.87% / -1.26%
Closed at -0.75% (1694.90)
Price broke out of the checked range over the horizon — the expansion prediction was confirmed.
ETHUSDC | 2026-07-02 16:10 UTC | cal_sigma13
Original signal: MARKET_EXPANSION/strong
Main checked range:
±1.00% / 120m: predicted no-touch 19.0%, observed: touched
Range broke after 55m
Largest move from signal price: +0.87% / -1.26%
Closed at -0.75% (1694.90)
Price broke out of the checked range over the horizon — the expansion prediction was confirmed.
RM Check: Extreme Move Did Not Materialize [TEST]
ETHUSDC | 2026-07-02 17:37 UTC | cal_sigma13
Original signal: MARKET_EXPANSION/extreme
Main checked range:
±1.00% / 120m: predicted no-touch 9.3%, observed: held
Largest move from signal price: +0.41% / -0.71%
Closed at -0.20% (1693.23)
Price held inside the checked range over the horizon — the extreme move prediction did NOT materialise.
ETHUSDC | 2026-07-02 17:37 UTC | cal_sigma13
Original signal: MARKET_EXPANSION/extreme
Main checked range:
±1.00% / 120m: predicted no-touch 9.3%, observed: held
Largest move from signal price: +0.41% / -0.71%
Closed at -0.20% (1693.23)
Price held inside the checked range over the horizon — the extreme move prediction did NOT materialise.
RM Check (240m): Extreme Move Did Not Materialize [TEST]
ETHUSDC | 2026-07-02 19:37 UTC | cal_sigma13
Original signal: MARKET_EXPANSION/extreme
Main checked range:
±1.00% / 120m: predicted no-touch 9.3%, observed: held
Within first 120m: held. By 240m: held.
Largest move from signal price: +0.50% / -0.71%
Closed at -0.04% (1695.86)
Price held inside the checked range over the horizon — the extreme move prediction did NOT materialise.
ETHUSDC | 2026-07-02 19:37 UTC | cal_sigma13
Original signal: MARKET_EXPANSION/extreme
Main checked range:
±1.00% / 120m: predicted no-touch 9.3%, observed: held
Within first 120m: held. By 240m: held.
Largest move from signal price: +0.50% / -0.71%
Closed at -0.04% (1695.86)
Price held inside the checked range over the horizon — the extreme move prediction did NOT materialise.
◇ RM Update: Expansion Easing [TEST]
ETHUSDC | 2026-07-02 21:49 UTC | cal_sigma13
Price now: 1695.76
Main range: ±1.00% / 120m
No-touch recovered to 28.7%, back near 1y normal 38.0% · ratio 0.75
Range pressure easing. Monitoring continues.
RM does not predict direction. Exit = touching either boundary.
ETHUSDC | 2026-07-02 21:49 UTC | cal_sigma13
Price now: 1695.76
Main range: ±1.00% / 120m
No-touch recovered to 28.7%, back near 1y normal 38.0% · ratio 0.75
Range pressure easing. Monitoring continues.
RM does not predict direction. Exit = touching either boundary.
🔹 RM Signal: Market Calm [TEST]
ETHUSDC | 2026-07-04 09:29 UTC | cal_sigma13
Market is in a quieter-than-usual zone. The model sees a
somewhat higher chance that ETHUSDC stays inside its narrow
ranges over the next few hours — not yet at unusual levels.
Main range:
Price now: 1757.31
Checked range: 1748.52 - 1766.10
Range: ±0.50% / 120m
Key deviations:
±0.50% / 120m: now 26.1%, 1y normal 1.0%
Meaning:
Volatility is on the calmer side. Range/grid/LP-style setups
may find this context useful, but the state is not unusual
on a 1-year scale. RM does not predict direction.
Cooldown: 240m
ETHUSDC | 2026-07-04 09:29 UTC | cal_sigma13
Market is in a quieter-than-usual zone. The model sees a
somewhat higher chance that ETHUSDC stays inside its narrow
ranges over the next few hours — not yet at unusual levels.
Main range:
Price now: 1757.31
Checked range: 1748.52 - 1766.10
Range: ±0.50% / 120m
Key deviations:
±0.50% / 120m: now 26.1%, 1y normal 1.0%
Meaning:
Volatility is on the calmer side. Range/grid/LP-style setups
may find this context useful, but the state is not unusual
on a 1-year scale. RM does not predict direction.
Cooldown: 240m
RM Check: Calm Phase Held [TEST]
ETHUSDC | 2026-07-04 11:29 UTC | cal_sigma13
Original signal: DEEP_COMPRESSION/soft
Main checked range:
±0.50% / 120m: RM no-touch estimate 26.1%, observed: held
Largest move from signal price: +0.11% / -0.26%
Closed at -0.09% (1755.69)
The market stayed inside the checked range.
This supports the earlier calm-phase signal: realised movement
was limited during the monitored window.
ETHUSDC | 2026-07-04 11:29 UTC | cal_sigma13
Original signal: DEEP_COMPRESSION/soft
Main checked range:
±0.50% / 120m: RM no-touch estimate 26.1%, observed: held
Largest move from signal price: +0.11% / -0.26%
Closed at -0.09% (1755.69)
The market stayed inside the checked range.
This supports the earlier calm-phase signal: realised movement
was limited during the monitored window.
🔹 RM Signal: Market Calm [TEST]
ETHUSDC | 2026-07-04 13:29 UTC | cal_sigma13
Market is in a quieter-than-usual zone. The model sees a
somewhat higher chance that ETHUSDC stays inside its narrow
ranges over the next few hours — not yet at unusual levels.
Main range:
Price now: 1765.90
Checked range: 1748.24 - 1783.56
Range: ±1.00% / 240m
Key deviations:
±1.00% / 240m: now 54.0%, 1y normal 10.3%
±0.50% / 120m: now 30.0%, 1y normal 1.0%
Meaning:
Volatility is on the calmer side. Range/grid/LP-style setups
may find this context useful, but the state is not unusual
on a 1-year scale. RM does not predict direction.
Cooldown: 240m
ETHUSDC | 2026-07-04 13:29 UTC | cal_sigma13
Market is in a quieter-than-usual zone. The model sees a
somewhat higher chance that ETHUSDC stays inside its narrow
ranges over the next few hours — not yet at unusual levels.
Main range:
Price now: 1765.90
Checked range: 1748.24 - 1783.56
Range: ±1.00% / 240m
Key deviations:
±1.00% / 240m: now 54.0%, 1y normal 10.3%
±0.50% / 120m: now 30.0%, 1y normal 1.0%
Meaning:
Volatility is on the calmer side. Range/grid/LP-style setups
may find this context useful, but the state is not unusual
on a 1-year scale. RM does not predict direction.
Cooldown: 240m
RM Check: Calm Phase Broken [TEST]
ETHUSDC | 2026-07-04 17:29 UTC | cal_sigma13
Original signal: DEEP_COMPRESSION/soft
Main checked range:
±1.00% / 240m: RM no-touch estimate 54.0%, observed: touched
Range broke after 99m
Largest move from signal price: +1.79% / -0.33%
Closed at +1.10% (1785.39)
The checked range was broken during the monitored window.
The earlier calm-phase signal did not hold for this range.
ETHUSDC | 2026-07-04 17:29 UTC | cal_sigma13
Original signal: DEEP_COMPRESSION/soft
Main checked range:
±1.00% / 240m: RM no-touch estimate 54.0%, observed: touched
Range broke after 99m
Largest move from signal price: +1.79% / -0.33%
Closed at +1.10% (1785.39)
The checked range was broken during the monitored window.
The earlier calm-phase signal did not hold for this range.
🔹 RM Signal: Market Calm [TEST]
ETHUSDC | 2026-07-05 09:22 UTC | cal_sigma13
Market is in a quieter-than-usual zone. The model sees a
somewhat higher chance that ETHUSDC stays inside its narrow
ranges over the next few hours — not yet at unusual levels.
Main range:
Price now: 1763.27
Checked range: 1754.45 - 1772.09
Range: ±0.50% / 120m
Key deviations:
±0.50% / 120m: now 26.7%, 1y normal 1.0%
Meaning:
Volatility is on the calmer side. Range/grid/LP-style setups
may find this context useful, but the state is not unusual
on a 1-year scale. RM does not predict direction.
Cooldown: 240m
ETHUSDC | 2026-07-05 09:22 UTC | cal_sigma13
Market is in a quieter-than-usual zone. The model sees a
somewhat higher chance that ETHUSDC stays inside its narrow
ranges over the next few hours — not yet at unusual levels.
Main range:
Price now: 1763.27
Checked range: 1754.45 - 1772.09
Range: ±0.50% / 120m
Key deviations:
±0.50% / 120m: now 26.7%, 1y normal 1.0%
Meaning:
Volatility is on the calmer side. Range/grid/LP-style setups
may find this context useful, but the state is not unusual
on a 1-year scale. RM does not predict direction.
Cooldown: 240m
RM Check: Calm Phase Broken [TEST]
ETHUSDC | 2026-07-05 11:22 UTC | cal_sigma13
Original signal: DEEP_COMPRESSION/soft
Main checked range:
±0.50% / 120m: RM no-touch estimate 26.7%, observed: touched
Range broke after 16m
Largest move from signal price: +0.00% / -0.93%
Closed at -0.25% (1758.89)
The checked range was broken during the monitored window.
The earlier calm-phase signal did not hold for this range.
ETHUSDC | 2026-07-05 11:22 UTC | cal_sigma13
Original signal: DEEP_COMPRESSION/soft
Main checked range:
±0.50% / 120m: RM no-touch estimate 26.7%, observed: touched
Range broke after 16m
Largest move from signal price: +0.00% / -0.93%
Closed at -0.25% (1758.89)
The checked range was broken during the monitored window.
The earlier calm-phase signal did not hold for this range.
🔹 RM Signal: Market Calm [TEST]
ETHUSDC | 2026-07-05 13:39 UTC | cal_sigma13
Market is in a quieter-than-usual zone. The model sees a
somewhat higher chance that ETHUSDC stays inside its narrow
ranges over the next few hours — not yet at unusual levels.
Main range:
Price now: 1761.85
Checked range: 1753.04 - 1770.66
Range: ±0.50% / 120m
Key deviations:
±0.50% / 120m: now 25.9%, 1y normal 1.0%
Meaning:
Volatility is on the calmer side. Range/grid/LP-style setups
may find this context useful, but the state is not unusual
on a 1-year scale. RM does not predict direction.
Cooldown: 240m
ETHUSDC | 2026-07-05 13:39 UTC | cal_sigma13
Market is in a quieter-than-usual zone. The model sees a
somewhat higher chance that ETHUSDC stays inside its narrow
ranges over the next few hours — not yet at unusual levels.
Main range:
Price now: 1761.85
Checked range: 1753.04 - 1770.66
Range: ±0.50% / 120m
Key deviations:
±0.50% / 120m: now 25.9%, 1y normal 1.0%
Meaning:
Volatility is on the calmer side. Range/grid/LP-style setups
may find this context useful, but the state is not unusual
on a 1-year scale. RM does not predict direction.
Cooldown: 240m
RM Check: Calm Phase Broken [TEST]
ETHUSDC | 2026-07-05 15:39 UTC | cal_sigma13
Original signal: DEEP_COMPRESSION/soft
Main checked range:
±0.50% / 120m: RM no-touch estimate 25.9%, observed: touched
Range broke after 78m
Largest move from signal price: +1.00% / -0.02%
Closed at +0.60% (1772.41)
The checked range was broken during the monitored window.
The earlier calm-phase signal did not hold for this range.
ETHUSDC | 2026-07-05 15:39 UTC | cal_sigma13
Original signal: DEEP_COMPRESSION/soft
Main checked range:
±0.50% / 120m: RM no-touch estimate 25.9%, observed: touched
Range broke after 78m
Largest move from signal price: +1.00% / -0.02%
Closed at +0.60% (1772.41)
The checked range was broken during the monitored window.
The earlier calm-phase signal did not hold for this range.
🔹 RM Signal: Market Calm [TEST]
ETHUSDC | 2026-07-05 18:25 UTC | cal_sigma13
Market is in a quieter-than-usual zone. The model sees a
somewhat higher chance that ETHUSDC stays inside its narrow
ranges over the next few hours — not yet at unusual levels.
Main range:
Price now: 1777.49
Checked range: 1759.72 - 1795.26
Range: ±1.00% / 240m
Key deviations:
±1.00% / 240m: now 52.8%, 1y normal 10.3%
±1.00% / 360m: now 30.1%, 1y normal 2.8%
Meaning:
Volatility is on the calmer side. Range/grid/LP-style setups
may find this context useful, but the state is not unusual
on a 1-year scale. RM does not predict direction.
Cooldown: 240m
ETHUSDC | 2026-07-05 18:25 UTC | cal_sigma13
Market is in a quieter-than-usual zone. The model sees a
somewhat higher chance that ETHUSDC stays inside its narrow
ranges over the next few hours — not yet at unusual levels.
Main range:
Price now: 1777.49
Checked range: 1759.72 - 1795.26
Range: ±1.00% / 240m
Key deviations:
±1.00% / 240m: now 52.8%, 1y normal 10.3%
±1.00% / 360m: now 30.1%, 1y normal 2.8%
Meaning:
Volatility is on the calmer side. Range/grid/LP-style setups
may find this context useful, but the state is not unusual
on a 1-year scale. RM does not predict direction.
Cooldown: 240m
RM Check: Calm Phase Broken [TEST]
ETHUSDC | 2026-07-05 22:25 UTC | cal_sigma13
Original signal: DEEP_COMPRESSION/soft
Main checked range:
±1.00% / 240m: RM no-touch estimate 52.8%, observed: touched
Range broke after 230m
Largest move from signal price: +1.27% / -0.58%
Closed at +1.07% (1796.46)
The checked range was broken during the monitored window.
The earlier calm-phase signal did not hold for this range.
ETHUSDC | 2026-07-05 22:25 UTC | cal_sigma13
Original signal: DEEP_COMPRESSION/soft
Main checked range:
±1.00% / 240m: RM no-touch estimate 52.8%, observed: touched
Range broke after 230m
Largest move from signal price: +1.27% / -0.58%
Closed at +1.07% (1796.46)
The checked range was broken during the monitored window.
The earlier calm-phase signal did not hold for this range.
🔹 RM Signal: Range Pressure [TEST]
ETHUSDC | 2026-07-06 14:39 UTC | cal_sigma13
Working ranges are becoming a bit harder to hold than usual.
Not yet at anomaly levels, but worth noting if you rely on
range/grid/LP-style positions for ETHUSDC.
Main range:
Price now: 1751.02
Checked range: 1733.51 - 1768.53
Range: ±1.00% / 120m
Key deviations:
±1.00% / 120m: now 28.4%, 1y normal 38.0%
Meaning:
Range-bound conditions are softening. Useful context, not
an alarm. RM does not predict direction.
Cooldown: 240m
ETHUSDC | 2026-07-06 14:39 UTC | cal_sigma13
Working ranges are becoming a bit harder to hold than usual.
Not yet at anomaly levels, but worth noting if you rely on
range/grid/LP-style positions for ETHUSDC.
Main range:
Price now: 1751.02
Checked range: 1733.51 - 1768.53
Range: ±1.00% / 120m
Key deviations:
±1.00% / 120m: now 28.4%, 1y normal 38.0%
Meaning:
Range-bound conditions are softening. Useful context, not
an alarm. RM does not predict direction.
Cooldown: 240m
🟣 RM Signal: Range Breakout Risk [TEST]
ETHUSDC | 2026-07-06 16:02 UTC | cal_sigma13
Working ranges are weakening. The model sees a higher-than-usual chance that ETHUSDC leaves its normal range over the monitored horizons.
Main range:
Price now: 1784.69
Checked range: 1766.84 - 1802.54
Range: ±1.00% / 120m
Key deviations:
±1.00% / 120m: now 19.0%, 1y normal 38.0%
Meaning:
Range-bound conditions are deteriorating. Be careful with fresh
range entries and review risk on existing range/grid/LP-style
positions. RM does not predict direction.
Cooldown: 60m
ETHUSDC | 2026-07-06 16:02 UTC | cal_sigma13
Working ranges are weakening. The model sees a higher-than-usual chance that ETHUSDC leaves its normal range over the monitored horizons.
Main range:
Price now: 1784.69
Checked range: 1766.84 - 1802.54
Range: ±1.00% / 120m
Key deviations:
±1.00% / 120m: now 19.0%, 1y normal 38.0%
Meaning:
Range-bound conditions are deteriorating. Be careful with fresh
range entries and review risk on existing range/grid/LP-style
positions. RM does not predict direction.
Cooldown: 60m