◇ RM Update: Expansion Easing [TEST]
ETHUSDC | 2026-06-29 22:34 UTC | cal_sigma13
Price now: 1613.30
Main range: ±1.00% / 120m
No-touch recovered to 29.0%, back near 1y normal 38.0% · ratio 0.76
Range pressure easing. Monitoring continues.
RM does not predict direction. Exit = touching either boundary.
ETHUSDC | 2026-06-29 22:34 UTC | cal_sigma13
Price now: 1613.30
Main range: ±1.00% / 120m
No-touch recovered to 29.0%, back near 1y normal 38.0% · ratio 0.76
Range pressure easing. Monitoring continues.
RM does not predict direction. Exit = touching either boundary.
🔹 RM Signal: Range Pressure [TEST]
ETHUSDC | 2026-06-29 22:35 UTC | cal_sigma13
Working ranges are becoming a bit harder to hold than usual.
Not yet at anomaly levels, but worth noting if you rely on
range/grid/LP-style positions for ETHUSDC.
Main range:
Price now: 1613.10
Checked range: 1580.84 - 1645.36
Range: ±2.00% / 360m
Key deviations:
±2.00% / 360m: now 36.6%, 1y normal 49.0%
Meaning:
Range-bound conditions are softening. Useful context, not
an alarm. RM does not predict direction.
Cooldown: 240m
ETHUSDC | 2026-06-29 22:35 UTC | cal_sigma13
Working ranges are becoming a bit harder to hold than usual.
Not yet at anomaly levels, but worth noting if you rely on
range/grid/LP-style positions for ETHUSDC.
Main range:
Price now: 1613.10
Checked range: 1580.84 - 1645.36
Range: ±2.00% / 360m
Key deviations:
±2.00% / 360m: now 36.6%, 1y normal 49.0%
Meaning:
Range-bound conditions are softening. Useful context, not
an alarm. RM does not predict direction.
Cooldown: 240m
RM Check: Range Pressure Materialized [TEST]
ETHUSDC | 2026-06-30 04:36 UTC | cal_sigma13
Original signal: MARKET_EXPANSION/soft
Main checked range:
±2.00% / 360m: RM no-touch estimate 36.6%, observed: touched
Range broke after 331m
Largest move from signal price: +0.06% / -2.24%
Closed at -1.55% (1588.14)
The checked range was broken during the monitored window.
This supports the earlier range-pressure signal: realised movement
was less stable than usual.
ETHUSDC | 2026-06-30 04:36 UTC | cal_sigma13
Original signal: MARKET_EXPANSION/soft
Main checked range:
±2.00% / 360m: RM no-touch estimate 36.6%, observed: touched
Range broke after 331m
Largest move from signal price: +0.06% / -2.24%
Closed at -1.55% (1588.14)
The checked range was broken during the monitored window.
This supports the earlier range-pressure signal: realised movement
was less stable than usual.
🔹 RM Signal: Range Pressure [TEST]
ETHUSDC | 2026-06-30 18:23 UTC | cal_sigma13
Working ranges are becoming a bit harder to hold than usual.
Not yet at anomaly levels, but worth noting if you rely on
range/grid/LP-style positions for ETHUSDC.
Main range:
Price now: 1574.65
Checked range: 1558.90 - 1590.40
Range: ±1.00% / 120m
Key deviations:
±1.00% / 120m: now 28.5%, 1y normal 38.0%
Meaning:
Range-bound conditions are softening. Useful context, not
an alarm. RM does not predict direction.
Cooldown: 240m
ETHUSDC | 2026-06-30 18:23 UTC | cal_sigma13
Working ranges are becoming a bit harder to hold than usual.
Not yet at anomaly levels, but worth noting if you rely on
range/grid/LP-style positions for ETHUSDC.
Main range:
Price now: 1574.65
Checked range: 1558.90 - 1590.40
Range: ±1.00% / 120m
Key deviations:
±1.00% / 120m: now 28.5%, 1y normal 38.0%
Meaning:
Range-bound conditions are softening. Useful context, not
an alarm. RM does not predict direction.
Cooldown: 240m
RM Check: Range Pressure Eased [TEST]
ETHUSDC | 2026-06-30 20:23 UTC | cal_sigma13
Original signal: MARKET_EXPANSION/soft
Main checked range:
±1.00% / 120m: RM no-touch estimate 28.5%, observed: held
Largest move from signal price: +0.38% / -0.27%
Closed at +0.01% (1574.87)
The market stayed inside the checked range.
The earlier range-pressure signal did not materialize during
this monitored window.
ETHUSDC | 2026-06-30 20:23 UTC | cal_sigma13
Original signal: MARKET_EXPANSION/soft
Main checked range:
±1.00% / 120m: RM no-touch estimate 28.5%, observed: held
Largest move from signal price: +0.38% / -0.27%
Closed at +0.01% (1574.87)
The market stayed inside the checked range.
The earlier range-pressure signal did not materialize during
this monitored window.
🔹 RM Signal: Range Pressure [TEST]
ETHUSDC | 2026-07-01 17:21 UTC | cal_sigma13
Working ranges are becoming a bit harder to hold than usual.
Not yet at anomaly levels, but worth noting if you rely on
range/grid/LP-style positions for ETHUSDC.
Main range:
Price now: 1618.77
Checked range: 1602.58 - 1634.96
Range: ±1.00% / 120m
Key deviations:
±1.00% / 120m: now 28.3%, 1y normal 38.0%
Meaning:
Range-bound conditions are softening. Useful context, not
an alarm. RM does not predict direction.
Cooldown: 240m
ETHUSDC | 2026-07-01 17:21 UTC | cal_sigma13
Working ranges are becoming a bit harder to hold than usual.
Not yet at anomaly levels, but worth noting if you rely on
range/grid/LP-style positions for ETHUSDC.
Main range:
Price now: 1618.77
Checked range: 1602.58 - 1634.96
Range: ±1.00% / 120m
Key deviations:
±1.00% / 120m: now 28.3%, 1y normal 38.0%
Meaning:
Range-bound conditions are softening. Useful context, not
an alarm. RM does not predict direction.
Cooldown: 240m
RM Check: Range Pressure Eased [TEST]
ETHUSDC | 2026-07-01 19:21 UTC | cal_sigma13
Original signal: MARKET_EXPANSION/soft
Main checked range:
±1.00% / 120m: RM no-touch estimate 28.3%, observed: held
Largest move from signal price: +0.29% / -0.53%
Closed at +0.04% (1619.35)
The market stayed inside the checked range.
The earlier range-pressure signal did not materialize during
this monitored window.
ETHUSDC | 2026-07-01 19:21 UTC | cal_sigma13
Original signal: MARKET_EXPANSION/soft
Main checked range:
±1.00% / 120m: RM no-touch estimate 28.3%, observed: held
Largest move from signal price: +0.29% / -0.53%
Closed at +0.04% (1619.35)
The market stayed inside the checked range.
The earlier range-pressure signal did not materialize during
this monitored window.
🔹 RM Signal: Range Pressure [TEST]
ETHUSDC | 2026-07-01 22:22 UTC | cal_sigma13
Working ranges are becoming a bit harder to hold than usual.
Not yet at anomaly levels, but worth noting if you rely on
range/grid/LP-style positions for ETHUSDC.
Main range:
Price now: 1636.06
Checked range: 1619.70 - 1652.42
Range: ±1.00% / 120m
Key deviations:
±1.00% / 120m: now 28.4%, 1y normal 38.0%
Meaning:
Range-bound conditions are softening. Useful context, not
an alarm. RM does not predict direction.
Cooldown: 240m
ETHUSDC | 2026-07-01 22:22 UTC | cal_sigma13
Working ranges are becoming a bit harder to hold than usual.
Not yet at anomaly levels, but worth noting if you rely on
range/grid/LP-style positions for ETHUSDC.
Main range:
Price now: 1636.06
Checked range: 1619.70 - 1652.42
Range: ±1.00% / 120m
Key deviations:
±1.00% / 120m: now 28.4%, 1y normal 38.0%
Meaning:
Range-bound conditions are softening. Useful context, not
an alarm. RM does not predict direction.
Cooldown: 240m
RM Check: Range Pressure Materialized [TEST]
ETHUSDC | 2026-07-02 00:22 UTC | cal_sigma13
Original signal: MARKET_EXPANSION/soft
Main checked range:
±1.00% / 120m: RM no-touch estimate 28.4%, observed: touched
Range broke after 27m
Largest move from signal price: +0.27% / -2.19%
Closed at -1.97% (1603.87)
The checked range was broken during the monitored window.
This supports the earlier range-pressure signal: realised movement
was less stable than usual.
ETHUSDC | 2026-07-02 00:22 UTC | cal_sigma13
Original signal: MARKET_EXPANSION/soft
Main checked range:
±1.00% / 120m: RM no-touch estimate 28.4%, observed: touched
Range broke after 27m
Largest move from signal price: +0.27% / -2.19%
Closed at -1.97% (1603.87)
The checked range was broken during the monitored window.
This supports the earlier range-pressure signal: realised movement
was less stable than usual.
🔹 RM Signal: Range Pressure [TEST]
ETHUSDC | 2026-07-02 13:37 UTC | cal_sigma13
Working ranges are becoming a bit harder to hold than usual.
Not yet at anomaly levels, but worth noting if you rely on
range/grid/LP-style positions for ETHUSDC.
Main range:
Price now: 1705.41
Checked range: 1688.36 - 1722.46
Range: ±1.00% / 120m
Key deviations:
±1.00% / 120m: now 27.9%, 1y normal 38.0%
Meaning:
Range-bound conditions are softening. Useful context, not
an alarm. RM does not predict direction.
Cooldown: 240m
ETHUSDC | 2026-07-02 13:37 UTC | cal_sigma13
Working ranges are becoming a bit harder to hold than usual.
Not yet at anomaly levels, but worth noting if you rely on
range/grid/LP-style positions for ETHUSDC.
Main range:
Price now: 1705.41
Checked range: 1688.36 - 1722.46
Range: ±1.00% / 120m
Key deviations:
±1.00% / 120m: now 27.9%, 1y normal 38.0%
Meaning:
Range-bound conditions are softening. Useful context, not
an alarm. RM does not predict direction.
Cooldown: 240m
🟣 RM Signal: Range Breakout Risk [TEST]
ETHUSDC | 2026-07-02 14:10 UTC | cal_sigma13
Working ranges are weakening. The model sees a higher-than-usual chance that ETHUSDC leaves its normal range over the monitored horizons.
Main range:
Price now: 1707.72
Checked range: 1690.64 - 1724.80
Range: ±1.00% / 120m
Key deviations:
±1.00% / 120m: now 19.0%, 1y normal 38.0%
Meaning:
Range-bound conditions are deteriorating. Be careful with fresh
range entries and review risk on existing range/grid/LP-style
positions. RM does not predict direction.
Cooldown: 60m
ETHUSDC | 2026-07-02 14:10 UTC | cal_sigma13
Working ranges are weakening. The model sees a higher-than-usual chance that ETHUSDC leaves its normal range over the monitored horizons.
Main range:
Price now: 1707.72
Checked range: 1690.64 - 1724.80
Range: ±1.00% / 120m
Key deviations:
±1.00% / 120m: now 19.0%, 1y normal 38.0%
Meaning:
Range-bound conditions are deteriorating. Be careful with fresh
range entries and review risk on existing range/grid/LP-style
positions. RM does not predict direction.
Cooldown: 60m
⚡ RM Signal: Extreme Market Move [TEST]
ETHUSDC | 2026-07-02 15:37 UTC | cal_sigma13
Move is outside the 1-year historical extreme band for at least one monitored cell.
Main range:
Price now: 1696.61
Checked range: 1679.64 - 1713.58
Range: ±1.00% / 120m
Key deviations:
±1.00% / 120m: now 9.3%, 1y normal 38.0%
Meaning:
Range-bound conditions are deteriorating. Be careful with fresh
range entries and review risk on existing range/grid/LP-style
positions. RM does not predict direction.
Cooldown: 60m
ETHUSDC | 2026-07-02 15:37 UTC | cal_sigma13
Move is outside the 1-year historical extreme band for at least one monitored cell.
Main range:
Price now: 1696.61
Checked range: 1679.64 - 1713.58
Range: ±1.00% / 120m
Key deviations:
±1.00% / 120m: now 9.3%, 1y normal 38.0%
Meaning:
Range-bound conditions are deteriorating. Be careful with fresh
range entries and review risk on existing range/grid/LP-style
positions. RM does not predict direction.
Cooldown: 60m
RM Check: Range Pressure Materialized [TEST]
ETHUSDC | 2026-07-02 15:37 UTC | cal_sigma13
Original signal: MARKET_EXPANSION/soft
Main checked range:
±1.00% / 120m: RM no-touch estimate 27.9%, observed: touched
Range broke after 34m
Largest move from signal price: +1.01% / -1.12%
Closed at -0.52% (1696.56)
The checked range was broken during the monitored window.
This supports the earlier range-pressure signal: realised movement
was less stable than usual.
ETHUSDC | 2026-07-02 15:37 UTC | cal_sigma13
Original signal: MARKET_EXPANSION/soft
Main checked range:
±1.00% / 120m: RM no-touch estimate 27.9%, observed: touched
Range broke after 34m
Largest move from signal price: +1.01% / -1.12%
Closed at -0.52% (1696.56)
The checked range was broken during the monitored window.
This supports the earlier range-pressure signal: realised movement
was less stable than usual.
RM Check: Expansion Confirmed [TEST]
ETHUSDC | 2026-07-02 16:10 UTC | cal_sigma13
Original signal: MARKET_EXPANSION/strong
Main checked range:
±1.00% / 120m: predicted no-touch 19.0%, observed: touched
Range broke after 55m
Largest move from signal price: +0.87% / -1.26%
Closed at -0.75% (1694.90)
Price broke out of the checked range over the horizon — the expansion prediction was confirmed.
ETHUSDC | 2026-07-02 16:10 UTC | cal_sigma13
Original signal: MARKET_EXPANSION/strong
Main checked range:
±1.00% / 120m: predicted no-touch 19.0%, observed: touched
Range broke after 55m
Largest move from signal price: +0.87% / -1.26%
Closed at -0.75% (1694.90)
Price broke out of the checked range over the horizon — the expansion prediction was confirmed.
RM Check: Extreme Move Did Not Materialize [TEST]
ETHUSDC | 2026-07-02 17:37 UTC | cal_sigma13
Original signal: MARKET_EXPANSION/extreme
Main checked range:
±1.00% / 120m: predicted no-touch 9.3%, observed: held
Largest move from signal price: +0.41% / -0.71%
Closed at -0.20% (1693.23)
Price held inside the checked range over the horizon — the extreme move prediction did NOT materialise.
ETHUSDC | 2026-07-02 17:37 UTC | cal_sigma13
Original signal: MARKET_EXPANSION/extreme
Main checked range:
±1.00% / 120m: predicted no-touch 9.3%, observed: held
Largest move from signal price: +0.41% / -0.71%
Closed at -0.20% (1693.23)
Price held inside the checked range over the horizon — the extreme move prediction did NOT materialise.
RM Check (240m): Extreme Move Did Not Materialize [TEST]
ETHUSDC | 2026-07-02 19:37 UTC | cal_sigma13
Original signal: MARKET_EXPANSION/extreme
Main checked range:
±1.00% / 120m: predicted no-touch 9.3%, observed: held
Within first 120m: held. By 240m: held.
Largest move from signal price: +0.50% / -0.71%
Closed at -0.04% (1695.86)
Price held inside the checked range over the horizon — the extreme move prediction did NOT materialise.
ETHUSDC | 2026-07-02 19:37 UTC | cal_sigma13
Original signal: MARKET_EXPANSION/extreme
Main checked range:
±1.00% / 120m: predicted no-touch 9.3%, observed: held
Within first 120m: held. By 240m: held.
Largest move from signal price: +0.50% / -0.71%
Closed at -0.04% (1695.86)
Price held inside the checked range over the horizon — the extreme move prediction did NOT materialise.
◇ RM Update: Expansion Easing [TEST]
ETHUSDC | 2026-07-02 21:49 UTC | cal_sigma13
Price now: 1695.76
Main range: ±1.00% / 120m
No-touch recovered to 28.7%, back near 1y normal 38.0% · ratio 0.75
Range pressure easing. Monitoring continues.
RM does not predict direction. Exit = touching either boundary.
ETHUSDC | 2026-07-02 21:49 UTC | cal_sigma13
Price now: 1695.76
Main range: ±1.00% / 120m
No-touch recovered to 28.7%, back near 1y normal 38.0% · ratio 0.75
Range pressure easing. Monitoring continues.
RM does not predict direction. Exit = touching either boundary.
🔹 RM Signal: Market Calm [TEST]
ETHUSDC | 2026-07-04 09:29 UTC | cal_sigma13
Market is in a quieter-than-usual zone. The model sees a
somewhat higher chance that ETHUSDC stays inside its narrow
ranges over the next few hours — not yet at unusual levels.
Main range:
Price now: 1757.31
Checked range: 1748.52 - 1766.10
Range: ±0.50% / 120m
Key deviations:
±0.50% / 120m: now 26.1%, 1y normal 1.0%
Meaning:
Volatility is on the calmer side. Range/grid/LP-style setups
may find this context useful, but the state is not unusual
on a 1-year scale. RM does not predict direction.
Cooldown: 240m
ETHUSDC | 2026-07-04 09:29 UTC | cal_sigma13
Market is in a quieter-than-usual zone. The model sees a
somewhat higher chance that ETHUSDC stays inside its narrow
ranges over the next few hours — not yet at unusual levels.
Main range:
Price now: 1757.31
Checked range: 1748.52 - 1766.10
Range: ±0.50% / 120m
Key deviations:
±0.50% / 120m: now 26.1%, 1y normal 1.0%
Meaning:
Volatility is on the calmer side. Range/grid/LP-style setups
may find this context useful, but the state is not unusual
on a 1-year scale. RM does not predict direction.
Cooldown: 240m
RM Check: Calm Phase Held [TEST]
ETHUSDC | 2026-07-04 11:29 UTC | cal_sigma13
Original signal: DEEP_COMPRESSION/soft
Main checked range:
±0.50% / 120m: RM no-touch estimate 26.1%, observed: held
Largest move from signal price: +0.11% / -0.26%
Closed at -0.09% (1755.69)
The market stayed inside the checked range.
This supports the earlier calm-phase signal: realised movement
was limited during the monitored window.
ETHUSDC | 2026-07-04 11:29 UTC | cal_sigma13
Original signal: DEEP_COMPRESSION/soft
Main checked range:
±0.50% / 120m: RM no-touch estimate 26.1%, observed: held
Largest move from signal price: +0.11% / -0.26%
Closed at -0.09% (1755.69)
The market stayed inside the checked range.
This supports the earlier calm-phase signal: realised movement
was limited during the monitored window.
🔹 RM Signal: Market Calm [TEST]
ETHUSDC | 2026-07-04 13:29 UTC | cal_sigma13
Market is in a quieter-than-usual zone. The model sees a
somewhat higher chance that ETHUSDC stays inside its narrow
ranges over the next few hours — not yet at unusual levels.
Main range:
Price now: 1765.90
Checked range: 1748.24 - 1783.56
Range: ±1.00% / 240m
Key deviations:
±1.00% / 240m: now 54.0%, 1y normal 10.3%
±0.50% / 120m: now 30.0%, 1y normal 1.0%
Meaning:
Volatility is on the calmer side. Range/grid/LP-style setups
may find this context useful, but the state is not unusual
on a 1-year scale. RM does not predict direction.
Cooldown: 240m
ETHUSDC | 2026-07-04 13:29 UTC | cal_sigma13
Market is in a quieter-than-usual zone. The model sees a
somewhat higher chance that ETHUSDC stays inside its narrow
ranges over the next few hours — not yet at unusual levels.
Main range:
Price now: 1765.90
Checked range: 1748.24 - 1783.56
Range: ±1.00% / 240m
Key deviations:
±1.00% / 240m: now 54.0%, 1y normal 10.3%
±0.50% / 120m: now 30.0%, 1y normal 1.0%
Meaning:
Volatility is on the calmer side. Range/grid/LP-style setups
may find this context useful, but the state is not unusual
on a 1-year scale. RM does not predict direction.
Cooldown: 240m
RM Check: Calm Phase Broken [TEST]
ETHUSDC | 2026-07-04 17:29 UTC | cal_sigma13
Original signal: DEEP_COMPRESSION/soft
Main checked range:
±1.00% / 240m: RM no-touch estimate 54.0%, observed: touched
Range broke after 99m
Largest move from signal price: +1.79% / -0.33%
Closed at +1.10% (1785.39)
The checked range was broken during the monitored window.
The earlier calm-phase signal did not hold for this range.
ETHUSDC | 2026-07-04 17:29 UTC | cal_sigma13
Original signal: DEEP_COMPRESSION/soft
Main checked range:
±1.00% / 240m: RM no-touch estimate 54.0%, observed: touched
Range broke after 99m
Largest move from signal price: +1.79% / -0.33%
Closed at +1.10% (1785.39)
The checked range was broken during the monitored window.
The earlier calm-phase signal did not hold for this range.