RM Check (240m): Extreme Move Confirmed [TEST]
ETHUSDC | 2026-06-25 20:12 UTC | cal_sigma13
Original signal: MARKET_EXPANSION/extreme
Main checked range:
±1.00% / 120m: predicted no-touch 4.5%, observed: touched
Within first 120m: broke. By 240m: broke.
Range broke after 20m
Largest move from signal price: +0.00% / -1.67%
Closed at -0.86% (1564.56)
Price broke out of the checked range over the horizon — the extreme move prediction was confirmed.
ETHUSDC | 2026-06-25 20:12 UTC | cal_sigma13
Original signal: MARKET_EXPANSION/extreme
Main checked range:
±1.00% / 120m: predicted no-touch 4.5%, observed: touched
Within first 120m: broke. By 240m: broke.
Range broke after 20m
Largest move from signal price: +0.00% / -1.67%
Closed at -0.86% (1564.56)
Price broke out of the checked range over the horizon — the extreme move prediction was confirmed.
RM Check (240m): Extreme Move Did Not Materialize [TEST]
ETHUSDC | 2026-06-25 21:50 UTC | cal_sigma13
Original signal: MARKET_EXPANSION/extreme
Main checked range:
±1.00% / 120m: predicted no-touch 2.2%, observed: held
Within first 120m: held. By 240m: held.
Largest move from signal price: +0.63% / -0.91%
Closed at +0.41% (1572.40)
Price held inside the checked range over the horizon — the extreme move prediction did NOT materialise.
ETHUSDC | 2026-06-25 21:50 UTC | cal_sigma13
Original signal: MARKET_EXPANSION/extreme
Main checked range:
±1.00% / 120m: predicted no-touch 2.2%, observed: held
Within first 120m: held. By 240m: held.
Largest move from signal price: +0.63% / -0.91%
Closed at +0.41% (1572.40)
Price held inside the checked range over the horizon — the extreme move prediction did NOT materialise.
RM Check: Extreme Move Did Not Materialize [TEST]
ETHUSDC | 2026-06-25 22:02 UTC | cal_sigma13
Original signal: MARKET_EXPANSION/extreme
Main checked range:
±1.00% / 120m: predicted no-touch 1.1%, observed: held
Largest move from signal price: +0.97% / -0.74%
Closed at +0.86% (1578.94)
Price held inside the checked range over the horizon — the extreme move prediction did NOT materialise.
ETHUSDC | 2026-06-25 22:02 UTC | cal_sigma13
Original signal: MARKET_EXPANSION/extreme
Main checked range:
±1.00% / 120m: predicted no-touch 1.1%, observed: held
Largest move from signal price: +0.97% / -0.74%
Closed at +0.86% (1578.94)
Price held inside the checked range over the horizon — the extreme move prediction did NOT materialise.
RM Check: Extreme Move Confirmed [TEST]
ETHUSDC | 2026-06-25 22:06 UTC | cal_sigma13
Original signal: MARKET_EXPANSION/extreme
Main checked range:
±1.00% / 120m: predicted no-touch 1.0%, observed: touched
Range broke after 111m
Largest move from signal price: +1.05% / -0.69%
Closed at +0.78% (1576.94)
Price broke out of the checked range over the horizon — the extreme move prediction was confirmed.
ETHUSDC | 2026-06-25 22:06 UTC | cal_sigma13
Original signal: MARKET_EXPANSION/extreme
Main checked range:
±1.00% / 120m: predicted no-touch 1.0%, observed: touched
Range broke after 111m
Largest move from signal price: +1.05% / -0.69%
Closed at +0.78% (1576.94)
Price broke out of the checked range over the horizon — the extreme move prediction was confirmed.
RM Check (240m): Extreme Move Confirmed [TEST]
ETHUSDC | 2026-06-26 00:02 UTC | cal_sigma13
Original signal: MARKET_EXPANSION/extreme
Main checked range:
±1.00% / 120m: predicted no-touch 1.1%, observed: touched
Within first 120m: held. By 240m: broke.
Range broke after 120m
Largest move from signal price: +1.00% / -0.74%
Closed at -0.01% (1565.21)
Price broke out of the checked range over the horizon — the extreme move prediction was confirmed.
ETHUSDC | 2026-06-26 00:02 UTC | cal_sigma13
Original signal: MARKET_EXPANSION/extreme
Main checked range:
±1.00% / 120m: predicted no-touch 1.1%, observed: touched
Within first 120m: held. By 240m: broke.
Range broke after 120m
Largest move from signal price: +1.00% / -0.74%
Closed at -0.01% (1565.21)
Price broke out of the checked range over the horizon — the extreme move prediction was confirmed.
RM Check (240m): Extreme Move Confirmed [TEST]
ETHUSDC | 2026-06-26 00:06 UTC | cal_sigma13
Original signal: MARKET_EXPANSION/extreme
Main checked range:
±1.00% / 120m: predicted no-touch 1.0%, observed: touched
Within first 120m: broke. By 240m: broke.
Range broke after 111m
Largest move from signal price: +1.05% / -0.69%
Closed at +0.18% (1567.56)
Price broke out of the checked range over the horizon — the extreme move prediction was confirmed.
ETHUSDC | 2026-06-26 00:06 UTC | cal_sigma13
Original signal: MARKET_EXPANSION/extreme
Main checked range:
±1.00% / 120m: predicted no-touch 1.0%, observed: touched
Within first 120m: broke. By 240m: broke.
Range broke after 111m
Largest move from signal price: +1.05% / -0.69%
Closed at +0.18% (1567.56)
Price broke out of the checked range over the horizon — the extreme move prediction was confirmed.
◇ RM Update: Expansion Easing [TEST]
ETHUSDC | 2026-06-26 02:03 UTC | cal_sigma13
Price now: 1557.87
Main range: ±1.00% / 120m
No-touch recovered to 29.0%, back near 1y normal 38.0% · ratio 0.76
Range pressure easing. Monitoring continues.
RM does not predict direction. Exit = touching either boundary.
ETHUSDC | 2026-06-26 02:03 UTC | cal_sigma13
Price now: 1557.87
Main range: ±1.00% / 120m
No-touch recovered to 29.0%, back near 1y normal 38.0% · ratio 0.76
Range pressure easing. Monitoring continues.
RM does not predict direction. Exit = touching either boundary.
🟣 RM Signal: Range Breakout Risk [TEST]
ETHUSDC | 2026-06-26 02:04 UTC | cal_sigma13
Working ranges are weakening. The model sees a higher-than-usual chance that ETHUSDC leaves its normal range over the monitored horizons.
Main range:
Price now: 1558.00
Checked range: 1526.84 - 1589.16
Range: ±2.00% / 240m
Key deviations:
±2.00% / 240m: now 33.5%, 1y normal 67.7%
Meaning:
Range-bound conditions are deteriorating. Be careful with fresh
range entries and review risk on existing range/grid/LP-style
positions. RM does not predict direction.
Cooldown: 60m
ETHUSDC | 2026-06-26 02:04 UTC | cal_sigma13
Working ranges are weakening. The model sees a higher-than-usual chance that ETHUSDC leaves its normal range over the monitored horizons.
Main range:
Price now: 1558.00
Checked range: 1526.84 - 1589.16
Range: ±2.00% / 240m
Key deviations:
±2.00% / 240m: now 33.5%, 1y normal 67.7%
Meaning:
Range-bound conditions are deteriorating. Be careful with fresh
range entries and review risk on existing range/grid/LP-style
positions. RM does not predict direction.
Cooldown: 60m
RM Check: Expansion Confirmed [TEST]
ETHUSDC | 2026-06-26 06:04 UTC | cal_sigma13
Original signal: MARKET_EXPANSION/strong
Main checked range:
±2.00% / 240m: predicted no-touch 33.5%, observed: touched
Range broke after 8m
Largest move from signal price: +0.21% / -3.13%
Closed at -0.79% (1545.62)
Price broke out of the checked range over the horizon — the expansion prediction was confirmed.
ETHUSDC | 2026-06-26 06:04 UTC | cal_sigma13
Original signal: MARKET_EXPANSION/strong
Main checked range:
±2.00% / 240m: predicted no-touch 33.5%, observed: touched
Range broke after 8m
Largest move from signal price: +0.21% / -3.13%
Closed at -0.79% (1545.62)
Price broke out of the checked range over the horizon — the expansion prediction was confirmed.
⚡ RM Signal: Extreme Market Move [TEST]
ETHUSDC | 2026-06-26 06:48 UTC | cal_sigma13
Move is outside the 1-year historical extreme band for at least one monitored cell.
Main range:
Price now: 1567.68
Checked range: 1552.00 - 1583.36
Range: ±1.00% / 120m
Key deviations:
±1.00% / 120m: now 9.4%, 1y normal 38.0%
Meaning:
Range-bound conditions are deteriorating. Be careful with fresh
range entries and review risk on existing range/grid/LP-style
positions. RM does not predict direction.
Cooldown: 60m
ETHUSDC | 2026-06-26 06:48 UTC | cal_sigma13
Move is outside the 1-year historical extreme band for at least one monitored cell.
Main range:
Price now: 1567.68
Checked range: 1552.00 - 1583.36
Range: ±1.00% / 120m
Key deviations:
±1.00% / 120m: now 9.4%, 1y normal 38.0%
Meaning:
Range-bound conditions are deteriorating. Be careful with fresh
range entries and review risk on existing range/grid/LP-style
positions. RM does not predict direction.
Cooldown: 60m
RM Check: Extreme Move Confirmed [TEST]
ETHUSDC | 2026-06-26 08:48 UTC | cal_sigma13
Original signal: MARKET_EXPANSION/extreme
Main checked range:
±1.00% / 120m: predicted no-touch 9.4%, observed: touched
Range broke after 50m
Largest move from signal price: +1.02% / -0.24%
Closed at -0.19% (1564.73)
Price broke out of the checked range over the horizon — the extreme move prediction was confirmed.
ETHUSDC | 2026-06-26 08:48 UTC | cal_sigma13
Original signal: MARKET_EXPANSION/extreme
Main checked range:
±1.00% / 120m: predicted no-touch 9.4%, observed: touched
Range broke after 50m
Largest move from signal price: +1.02% / -0.24%
Closed at -0.19% (1564.73)
Price broke out of the checked range over the horizon — the extreme move prediction was confirmed.
RM Check (240m): Extreme Move Confirmed [TEST]
ETHUSDC | 2026-06-26 10:48 UTC | cal_sigma13
Original signal: MARKET_EXPANSION/extreme
Main checked range:
±1.00% / 120m: predicted no-touch 9.4%, observed: touched
Within first 120m: broke. By 240m: broke.
Range broke after 50m
Largest move from signal price: +1.02% / -1.62%
Closed at -1.44% (1545.18)
Price broke out of the checked range over the horizon — the extreme move prediction was confirmed.
ETHUSDC | 2026-06-26 10:48 UTC | cal_sigma13
Original signal: MARKET_EXPANSION/extreme
Main checked range:
±1.00% / 120m: predicted no-touch 9.4%, observed: touched
Within first 120m: broke. By 240m: broke.
Range broke after 50m
Largest move from signal price: +1.02% / -1.62%
Closed at -1.44% (1545.18)
Price broke out of the checked range over the horizon — the extreme move prediction was confirmed.
⚡⚡ RM Update: Extreme Expansion Deepening [TEST]
ETHUSDC | 2026-06-26 15:25 UTC | cal_sigma13
Price now: 1578.38
Main range: ±1.00% / 120m
No-touch dropped 9.4% → 4.6% (1y normal 38.0%) · ratio 0.12
Chance of touching either boundary: ~95.4%
RM does not predict direction. Exit = touching either boundary.
ETHUSDC | 2026-06-26 15:25 UTC | cal_sigma13
Price now: 1578.38
Main range: ±1.00% / 120m
No-touch dropped 9.4% → 4.6% (1y normal 38.0%) · ratio 0.12
Chance of touching either boundary: ~95.4%
RM does not predict direction. Exit = touching either boundary.
RM Check: Extreme Move Did Not Materialize [TEST]
ETHUSDC | 2026-06-26 17:25 UTC | cal_sigma13
Original signal: MARKET_EXPANSION/extreme
Main checked range:
±1.00% / 120m: predicted no-touch 4.6%, observed: held
Largest move from signal price: +0.94% / -0.54%
Closed at +0.19% (1581.45)
Price held inside the checked range over the horizon — the extreme move prediction did NOT materialise.
ETHUSDC | 2026-06-26 17:25 UTC | cal_sigma13
Original signal: MARKET_EXPANSION/extreme
Main checked range:
±1.00% / 120m: predicted no-touch 4.6%, observed: held
Largest move from signal price: +0.94% / -0.54%
Closed at +0.19% (1581.45)
Price held inside the checked range over the horizon — the extreme move prediction did NOT materialise.
RM Check (240m): Extreme Move Did Not Materialize [TEST]
ETHUSDC | 2026-06-26 19:25 UTC | cal_sigma13
Original signal: MARKET_EXPANSION/extreme
Main checked range:
±1.00% / 120m: predicted no-touch 4.6%, observed: held
Within first 120m: held. By 240m: held.
Largest move from signal price: +0.94% / -0.68%
Closed at -0.10% (1576.85)
Price held inside the checked range over the horizon — the extreme move prediction did NOT materialise.
ETHUSDC | 2026-06-26 19:25 UTC | cal_sigma13
Original signal: MARKET_EXPANSION/extreme
Main checked range:
±1.00% / 120m: predicted no-touch 4.6%, observed: held
Within first 120m: held. By 240m: held.
Largest move from signal price: +0.94% / -0.68%
Closed at -0.10% (1576.85)
Price held inside the checked range over the horizon — the extreme move prediction did NOT materialise.
◇ RM Update: Expansion Easing [TEST]
ETHUSDC | 2026-06-26 23:11 UTC | cal_sigma13
Price now: 1575.07
Main range: ±1.00% / 120m
No-touch recovered to 28.7%, back near 1y normal 38.0% · ratio 0.75
Range pressure easing. Monitoring continues.
RM does not predict direction. Exit = touching either boundary.
ETHUSDC | 2026-06-26 23:11 UTC | cal_sigma13
Price now: 1575.07
Main range: ±1.00% / 120m
No-touch recovered to 28.7%, back near 1y normal 38.0% · ratio 0.75
Range pressure easing. Monitoring continues.
RM does not predict direction. Exit = touching either boundary.
🟣 RM Signal: Range Breakout Risk [TEST]
ETHUSDC | 2026-06-26 23:12 UTC | cal_sigma13
Working ranges are weakening. The model sees a higher-than-usual chance that ETHUSDC leaves its normal range over the monitored horizons.
Main range:
Price now: 1575.36
Checked range: 1543.85 - 1606.87
Range: ±2.00% / 360m
Key deviations:
±2.00% / 360m: now 21.1%, 1y normal 49.0%
Meaning:
Range-bound conditions are deteriorating. Be careful with fresh
range entries and review risk on existing range/grid/LP-style
positions. RM does not predict direction.
Cooldown: 60m
ETHUSDC | 2026-06-26 23:12 UTC | cal_sigma13
Working ranges are weakening. The model sees a higher-than-usual chance that ETHUSDC leaves its normal range over the monitored horizons.
Main range:
Price now: 1575.36
Checked range: 1543.85 - 1606.87
Range: ±2.00% / 360m
Key deviations:
±2.00% / 360m: now 21.1%, 1y normal 49.0%
Meaning:
Range-bound conditions are deteriorating. Be careful with fresh
range entries and review risk on existing range/grid/LP-style
positions. RM does not predict direction.
Cooldown: 60m
RM Check: Expansion Did Not Materialize [TEST]
ETHUSDC | 2026-06-27 05:13 UTC | cal_sigma13
Original signal: MARKET_EXPANSION/strong
Main checked range:
±2.00% / 360m: predicted no-touch 21.1%, observed: held
Largest move from signal price: +0.59% / -0.42%
Closed at +0.18% (1578.21)
Price held inside the checked range over the horizon — the expansion prediction did NOT materialise.
ETHUSDC | 2026-06-27 05:13 UTC | cal_sigma13
Original signal: MARKET_EXPANSION/strong
Main checked range:
±2.00% / 360m: predicted no-touch 21.1%, observed: held
Largest move from signal price: +0.59% / -0.42%
Closed at +0.18% (1578.21)
Price held inside the checked range over the horizon — the expansion prediction did NOT materialise.
🔹 RM Signal: Range Pressure [TEST]
ETHUSDC | 2026-06-27 05:19 UTC | cal_sigma13
Working ranges are becoming a bit harder to hold than usual.
Not yet at anomaly levels, but worth noting if you rely on
range/grid/LP-style positions for ETHUSDC.
Main range:
Price now: 1576.74
Checked range: 1545.21 - 1608.27
Range: ±2.00% / 360m
Key deviations:
±2.00% / 360m: now 36.8%, 1y normal 49.0%
Meaning:
Range-bound conditions are softening. Useful context, not
an alarm. RM does not predict direction.
Cooldown: 240m
ETHUSDC | 2026-06-27 05:19 UTC | cal_sigma13
Working ranges are becoming a bit harder to hold than usual.
Not yet at anomaly levels, but worth noting if you rely on
range/grid/LP-style positions for ETHUSDC.
Main range:
Price now: 1576.74
Checked range: 1545.21 - 1608.27
Range: ±2.00% / 360m
Key deviations:
±2.00% / 360m: now 36.8%, 1y normal 49.0%
Meaning:
Range-bound conditions are softening. Useful context, not
an alarm. RM does not predict direction.
Cooldown: 240m
🔹 RM Signal: Market Calm [TEST]
ETHUSDC | 2026-06-27 06:59 UTC | cal_sigma13
Market is in a quieter-than-usual zone. The model sees a
somewhat higher chance that ETHUSDC stays inside its narrow
ranges over the next few hours — not yet at unusual levels.
Main range:
Price now: 1579.82
Checked range: 1571.92 - 1587.72
Range: ±0.50% / 120m
Key deviations:
±0.50% / 120m: now 26.6%, 1y normal 1.0%
Meaning:
Volatility is on the calmer side. Range/grid/LP-style setups
may find this context useful, but the state is not unusual
on a 1-year scale. RM does not predict direction.
Cooldown: 240m
ETHUSDC | 2026-06-27 06:59 UTC | cal_sigma13
Market is in a quieter-than-usual zone. The model sees a
somewhat higher chance that ETHUSDC stays inside its narrow
ranges over the next few hours — not yet at unusual levels.
Main range:
Price now: 1579.82
Checked range: 1571.92 - 1587.72
Range: ±0.50% / 120m
Key deviations:
±0.50% / 120m: now 26.6%, 1y normal 1.0%
Meaning:
Volatility is on the calmer side. Range/grid/LP-style setups
may find this context useful, but the state is not unusual
on a 1-year scale. RM does not predict direction.
Cooldown: 240m
RM Check: Calm Phase Held [TEST]
ETHUSDC | 2026-06-27 08:59 UTC | cal_sigma13
Original signal: DEEP_COMPRESSION/soft
Main checked range:
±0.50% / 120m: RM no-touch estimate 26.6%, observed: held
Largest move from signal price: +0.25% / -0.13%
Closed at +0.10% (1581.46)
The market stayed inside the checked range.
This supports the earlier calm-phase signal: realised movement
was limited during the monitored window.
ETHUSDC | 2026-06-27 08:59 UTC | cal_sigma13
Original signal: DEEP_COMPRESSION/soft
Main checked range:
±0.50% / 120m: RM no-touch estimate 26.6%, observed: held
Largest move from signal price: +0.25% / -0.13%
Closed at +0.10% (1581.46)
The market stayed inside the checked range.
This supports the earlier calm-phase signal: realised movement
was limited during the monitored window.