⚡⚡ RM Update: Extreme Expansion Deepening [TEST]
ETHUSDC | 2026-06-25 16:12 UTC | cal_sigma13
Price now: 1578.10
Main range: ±1.00% / 120m
No-touch dropped 9.4% → 4.5% (1y normal 38.0%) · ratio 0.12
Chance of touching either boundary: ~95.5%
RM does not predict direction. Exit = touching either boundary.
ETHUSDC | 2026-06-25 16:12 UTC | cal_sigma13
Price now: 1578.10
Main range: ±1.00% / 120m
No-touch dropped 9.4% → 4.5% (1y normal 38.0%) · ratio 0.12
Chance of touching either boundary: ~95.5%
RM does not predict direction. Exit = touching either boundary.
RM Check: Expansion Confirmed [TEST]
ETHUSDC | 2026-06-25 16:26 UTC | cal_sigma13
Original signal: MARKET_EXPANSION/strong
Main checked range:
±1.00% / 120m: predicted no-touch 18.8%, observed: touched
Range broke after 6m
Largest move from signal price: +1.77% / -1.36%
Closed at +0.62% (1572.67)
Price broke out of the checked range over the horizon — the expansion prediction was confirmed.
ETHUSDC | 2026-06-25 16:26 UTC | cal_sigma13
Original signal: MARKET_EXPANSION/strong
Main checked range:
±1.00% / 120m: predicted no-touch 18.8%, observed: touched
Range broke after 6m
Largest move from signal price: +1.77% / -1.36%
Closed at +0.62% (1572.67)
Price broke out of the checked range over the horizon — the expansion prediction was confirmed.
RM Check: Extreme Move Confirmed [TEST]
ETHUSDC | 2026-06-25 17:18 UTC | cal_sigma13
Original signal: MARKET_EXPANSION/extreme
Main checked range:
±1.00% / 120m: predicted no-touch 9.4%, observed: touched
Range broke after 17m
Largest move from signal price: +2.40% / +0.00%
Closed at +1.34% (1568.75)
Price broke out of the checked range over the horizon — the extreme move prediction was confirmed.
ETHUSDC | 2026-06-25 17:18 UTC | cal_sigma13
Original signal: MARKET_EXPANSION/extreme
Main checked range:
±1.00% / 120m: predicted no-touch 9.4%, observed: touched
Range broke after 17m
Largest move from signal price: +2.40% / +0.00%
Closed at +1.34% (1568.75)
Price broke out of the checked range over the horizon — the extreme move prediction was confirmed.
⚡⚡ RM Update: Extreme Expansion Deepening [TEST]
ETHUSDC | 2026-06-25 17:50 UTC | cal_sigma13
Price now: 1565.99
Main range: ±1.00% / 120m
No-touch dropped 4.5% → 2.2% (1y normal 38.0%) · ratio 0.06
Chance of touching either boundary: ~97.8%
RM does not predict direction. Exit = touching either boundary.
ETHUSDC | 2026-06-25 17:50 UTC | cal_sigma13
Price now: 1565.99
Main range: ±1.00% / 120m
No-touch dropped 4.5% → 2.2% (1y normal 38.0%) · ratio 0.06
Chance of touching either boundary: ~97.8%
RM does not predict direction. Exit = touching either boundary.
RM Check: Extreme Move Confirmed [TEST]
ETHUSDC | 2026-06-25 18:12 UTC | cal_sigma13
Original signal: MARKET_EXPANSION/extreme
Main checked range:
±1.00% / 120m: predicted no-touch 4.5%, observed: touched
Range broke after 20m
Largest move from signal price: +0.00% / -1.49%
Closed at -0.73% (1566.52)
Price broke out of the checked range over the horizon — the extreme move prediction was confirmed.
ETHUSDC | 2026-06-25 18:12 UTC | cal_sigma13
Original signal: MARKET_EXPANSION/extreme
Main checked range:
±1.00% / 120m: predicted no-touch 4.5%, observed: touched
Range broke after 20m
Largest move from signal price: +0.00% / -1.49%
Closed at -0.73% (1566.52)
Price broke out of the checked range over the horizon — the extreme move prediction was confirmed.
RM Check (240m): Extreme Move Confirmed [TEST]
ETHUSDC | 2026-06-25 19:18 UTC | cal_sigma13
Original signal: MARKET_EXPANSION/extreme
Main checked range:
±1.00% / 120m: predicted no-touch 9.4%, observed: touched
Within first 120m: broke. By 240m: broke.
Range broke after 17m
Largest move from signal price: +2.40% / +0.00%
Closed at +0.52% (1556.16)
Price broke out of the checked range over the horizon — the extreme move prediction was confirmed.
ETHUSDC | 2026-06-25 19:18 UTC | cal_sigma13
Original signal: MARKET_EXPANSION/extreme
Main checked range:
±1.00% / 120m: predicted no-touch 9.4%, observed: touched
Within first 120m: broke. By 240m: broke.
Range broke after 17m
Largest move from signal price: +2.40% / +0.00%
Closed at +0.52% (1556.16)
Price broke out of the checked range over the horizon — the extreme move prediction was confirmed.
RM Check: Extreme Move Did Not Materialize [TEST]
ETHUSDC | 2026-06-25 19:50 UTC | cal_sigma13
Original signal: MARKET_EXPANSION/extreme
Main checked range:
±1.00% / 120m: predicted no-touch 2.2%, observed: held
Largest move from signal price: +0.57% / -0.91%
Closed at -0.72% (1554.77)
Price held inside the checked range over the horizon — the extreme move prediction did NOT materialise.
ETHUSDC | 2026-06-25 19:50 UTC | cal_sigma13
Original signal: MARKET_EXPANSION/extreme
Main checked range:
±1.00% / 120m: predicted no-touch 2.2%, observed: held
Largest move from signal price: +0.57% / -0.91%
Closed at -0.72% (1554.77)
Price held inside the checked range over the horizon — the extreme move prediction did NOT materialise.
⚡⚡ RM Update: Extreme Expansion Deepening [TEST]
ETHUSDC | 2026-06-25 20:02 UTC | cal_sigma13
Price now: 1565.41
Main range: ±1.00% / 120m
No-touch dropped 2.2% → 1.1% (1y normal 38.0%) · ratio 0.03
Chance of touching either boundary: ~98.9%
RM does not predict direction. Exit = touching either boundary.
ETHUSDC | 2026-06-25 20:02 UTC | cal_sigma13
Price now: 1565.41
Main range: ±1.00% / 120m
No-touch dropped 2.2% → 1.1% (1y normal 38.0%) · ratio 0.03
Chance of touching either boundary: ~98.9%
RM does not predict direction. Exit = touching either boundary.
⚡⚡⚡ RM Update: Super Extreme Expansion [TEST]
ETHUSDC | 2026-06-25 20:06 UTC | cal_sigma13
Price now: 1564.70
Main range: ±1.00% / 120m
No-touch collapsed to 1.0% (1y normal 38.0%) · ratio 0.03
Chance of touching either boundary: ~99.0%. Range hold near-impossible.
RM does not predict direction. Exit = touching either boundary.
ETHUSDC | 2026-06-25 20:06 UTC | cal_sigma13
Price now: 1564.70
Main range: ±1.00% / 120m
No-touch collapsed to 1.0% (1y normal 38.0%) · ratio 0.03
Chance of touching either boundary: ~99.0%. Range hold near-impossible.
RM does not predict direction. Exit = touching either boundary.
RM Check (240m): Extreme Move Confirmed [TEST]
ETHUSDC | 2026-06-25 20:12 UTC | cal_sigma13
Original signal: MARKET_EXPANSION/extreme
Main checked range:
±1.00% / 120m: predicted no-touch 4.5%, observed: touched
Within first 120m: broke. By 240m: broke.
Range broke after 20m
Largest move from signal price: +0.00% / -1.67%
Closed at -0.86% (1564.56)
Price broke out of the checked range over the horizon — the extreme move prediction was confirmed.
ETHUSDC | 2026-06-25 20:12 UTC | cal_sigma13
Original signal: MARKET_EXPANSION/extreme
Main checked range:
±1.00% / 120m: predicted no-touch 4.5%, observed: touched
Within first 120m: broke. By 240m: broke.
Range broke after 20m
Largest move from signal price: +0.00% / -1.67%
Closed at -0.86% (1564.56)
Price broke out of the checked range over the horizon — the extreme move prediction was confirmed.
RM Check (240m): Extreme Move Did Not Materialize [TEST]
ETHUSDC | 2026-06-25 21:50 UTC | cal_sigma13
Original signal: MARKET_EXPANSION/extreme
Main checked range:
±1.00% / 120m: predicted no-touch 2.2%, observed: held
Within first 120m: held. By 240m: held.
Largest move from signal price: +0.63% / -0.91%
Closed at +0.41% (1572.40)
Price held inside the checked range over the horizon — the extreme move prediction did NOT materialise.
ETHUSDC | 2026-06-25 21:50 UTC | cal_sigma13
Original signal: MARKET_EXPANSION/extreme
Main checked range:
±1.00% / 120m: predicted no-touch 2.2%, observed: held
Within first 120m: held. By 240m: held.
Largest move from signal price: +0.63% / -0.91%
Closed at +0.41% (1572.40)
Price held inside the checked range over the horizon — the extreme move prediction did NOT materialise.
RM Check: Extreme Move Did Not Materialize [TEST]
ETHUSDC | 2026-06-25 22:02 UTC | cal_sigma13
Original signal: MARKET_EXPANSION/extreme
Main checked range:
±1.00% / 120m: predicted no-touch 1.1%, observed: held
Largest move from signal price: +0.97% / -0.74%
Closed at +0.86% (1578.94)
Price held inside the checked range over the horizon — the extreme move prediction did NOT materialise.
ETHUSDC | 2026-06-25 22:02 UTC | cal_sigma13
Original signal: MARKET_EXPANSION/extreme
Main checked range:
±1.00% / 120m: predicted no-touch 1.1%, observed: held
Largest move from signal price: +0.97% / -0.74%
Closed at +0.86% (1578.94)
Price held inside the checked range over the horizon — the extreme move prediction did NOT materialise.
RM Check: Extreme Move Confirmed [TEST]
ETHUSDC | 2026-06-25 22:06 UTC | cal_sigma13
Original signal: MARKET_EXPANSION/extreme
Main checked range:
±1.00% / 120m: predicted no-touch 1.0%, observed: touched
Range broke after 111m
Largest move from signal price: +1.05% / -0.69%
Closed at +0.78% (1576.94)
Price broke out of the checked range over the horizon — the extreme move prediction was confirmed.
ETHUSDC | 2026-06-25 22:06 UTC | cal_sigma13
Original signal: MARKET_EXPANSION/extreme
Main checked range:
±1.00% / 120m: predicted no-touch 1.0%, observed: touched
Range broke after 111m
Largest move from signal price: +1.05% / -0.69%
Closed at +0.78% (1576.94)
Price broke out of the checked range over the horizon — the extreme move prediction was confirmed.
RM Check (240m): Extreme Move Confirmed [TEST]
ETHUSDC | 2026-06-26 00:02 UTC | cal_sigma13
Original signal: MARKET_EXPANSION/extreme
Main checked range:
±1.00% / 120m: predicted no-touch 1.1%, observed: touched
Within first 120m: held. By 240m: broke.
Range broke after 120m
Largest move from signal price: +1.00% / -0.74%
Closed at -0.01% (1565.21)
Price broke out of the checked range over the horizon — the extreme move prediction was confirmed.
ETHUSDC | 2026-06-26 00:02 UTC | cal_sigma13
Original signal: MARKET_EXPANSION/extreme
Main checked range:
±1.00% / 120m: predicted no-touch 1.1%, observed: touched
Within first 120m: held. By 240m: broke.
Range broke after 120m
Largest move from signal price: +1.00% / -0.74%
Closed at -0.01% (1565.21)
Price broke out of the checked range over the horizon — the extreme move prediction was confirmed.
RM Check (240m): Extreme Move Confirmed [TEST]
ETHUSDC | 2026-06-26 00:06 UTC | cal_sigma13
Original signal: MARKET_EXPANSION/extreme
Main checked range:
±1.00% / 120m: predicted no-touch 1.0%, observed: touched
Within first 120m: broke. By 240m: broke.
Range broke after 111m
Largest move from signal price: +1.05% / -0.69%
Closed at +0.18% (1567.56)
Price broke out of the checked range over the horizon — the extreme move prediction was confirmed.
ETHUSDC | 2026-06-26 00:06 UTC | cal_sigma13
Original signal: MARKET_EXPANSION/extreme
Main checked range:
±1.00% / 120m: predicted no-touch 1.0%, observed: touched
Within first 120m: broke. By 240m: broke.
Range broke after 111m
Largest move from signal price: +1.05% / -0.69%
Closed at +0.18% (1567.56)
Price broke out of the checked range over the horizon — the extreme move prediction was confirmed.
◇ RM Update: Expansion Easing [TEST]
ETHUSDC | 2026-06-26 02:03 UTC | cal_sigma13
Price now: 1557.87
Main range: ±1.00% / 120m
No-touch recovered to 29.0%, back near 1y normal 38.0% · ratio 0.76
Range pressure easing. Monitoring continues.
RM does not predict direction. Exit = touching either boundary.
ETHUSDC | 2026-06-26 02:03 UTC | cal_sigma13
Price now: 1557.87
Main range: ±1.00% / 120m
No-touch recovered to 29.0%, back near 1y normal 38.0% · ratio 0.76
Range pressure easing. Monitoring continues.
RM does not predict direction. Exit = touching either boundary.
🟣 RM Signal: Range Breakout Risk [TEST]
ETHUSDC | 2026-06-26 02:04 UTC | cal_sigma13
Working ranges are weakening. The model sees a higher-than-usual chance that ETHUSDC leaves its normal range over the monitored horizons.
Main range:
Price now: 1558.00
Checked range: 1526.84 - 1589.16
Range: ±2.00% / 240m
Key deviations:
±2.00% / 240m: now 33.5%, 1y normal 67.7%
Meaning:
Range-bound conditions are deteriorating. Be careful with fresh
range entries and review risk on existing range/grid/LP-style
positions. RM does not predict direction.
Cooldown: 60m
ETHUSDC | 2026-06-26 02:04 UTC | cal_sigma13
Working ranges are weakening. The model sees a higher-than-usual chance that ETHUSDC leaves its normal range over the monitored horizons.
Main range:
Price now: 1558.00
Checked range: 1526.84 - 1589.16
Range: ±2.00% / 240m
Key deviations:
±2.00% / 240m: now 33.5%, 1y normal 67.7%
Meaning:
Range-bound conditions are deteriorating. Be careful with fresh
range entries and review risk on existing range/grid/LP-style
positions. RM does not predict direction.
Cooldown: 60m
RM Check: Expansion Confirmed [TEST]
ETHUSDC | 2026-06-26 06:04 UTC | cal_sigma13
Original signal: MARKET_EXPANSION/strong
Main checked range:
±2.00% / 240m: predicted no-touch 33.5%, observed: touched
Range broke after 8m
Largest move from signal price: +0.21% / -3.13%
Closed at -0.79% (1545.62)
Price broke out of the checked range over the horizon — the expansion prediction was confirmed.
ETHUSDC | 2026-06-26 06:04 UTC | cal_sigma13
Original signal: MARKET_EXPANSION/strong
Main checked range:
±2.00% / 240m: predicted no-touch 33.5%, observed: touched
Range broke after 8m
Largest move from signal price: +0.21% / -3.13%
Closed at -0.79% (1545.62)
Price broke out of the checked range over the horizon — the expansion prediction was confirmed.
⚡ RM Signal: Extreme Market Move [TEST]
ETHUSDC | 2026-06-26 06:48 UTC | cal_sigma13
Move is outside the 1-year historical extreme band for at least one monitored cell.
Main range:
Price now: 1567.68
Checked range: 1552.00 - 1583.36
Range: ±1.00% / 120m
Key deviations:
±1.00% / 120m: now 9.4%, 1y normal 38.0%
Meaning:
Range-bound conditions are deteriorating. Be careful with fresh
range entries and review risk on existing range/grid/LP-style
positions. RM does not predict direction.
Cooldown: 60m
ETHUSDC | 2026-06-26 06:48 UTC | cal_sigma13
Move is outside the 1-year historical extreme band for at least one monitored cell.
Main range:
Price now: 1567.68
Checked range: 1552.00 - 1583.36
Range: ±1.00% / 120m
Key deviations:
±1.00% / 120m: now 9.4%, 1y normal 38.0%
Meaning:
Range-bound conditions are deteriorating. Be careful with fresh
range entries and review risk on existing range/grid/LP-style
positions. RM does not predict direction.
Cooldown: 60m
RM Check: Extreme Move Confirmed [TEST]
ETHUSDC | 2026-06-26 08:48 UTC | cal_sigma13
Original signal: MARKET_EXPANSION/extreme
Main checked range:
±1.00% / 120m: predicted no-touch 9.4%, observed: touched
Range broke after 50m
Largest move from signal price: +1.02% / -0.24%
Closed at -0.19% (1564.73)
Price broke out of the checked range over the horizon — the extreme move prediction was confirmed.
ETHUSDC | 2026-06-26 08:48 UTC | cal_sigma13
Original signal: MARKET_EXPANSION/extreme
Main checked range:
±1.00% / 120m: predicted no-touch 9.4%, observed: touched
Range broke after 50m
Largest move from signal price: +1.02% / -0.24%
Closed at -0.19% (1564.73)
Price broke out of the checked range over the horizon — the extreme move prediction was confirmed.
RM Check (240m): Extreme Move Confirmed [TEST]
ETHUSDC | 2026-06-26 10:48 UTC | cal_sigma13
Original signal: MARKET_EXPANSION/extreme
Main checked range:
±1.00% / 120m: predicted no-touch 9.4%, observed: touched
Within first 120m: broke. By 240m: broke.
Range broke after 50m
Largest move from signal price: +1.02% / -1.62%
Closed at -1.44% (1545.18)
Price broke out of the checked range over the horizon — the extreme move prediction was confirmed.
ETHUSDC | 2026-06-26 10:48 UTC | cal_sigma13
Original signal: MARKET_EXPANSION/extreme
Main checked range:
±1.00% / 120m: predicted no-touch 9.4%, observed: touched
Within first 120m: broke. By 240m: broke.
Range broke after 50m
Largest move from signal price: +1.02% / -1.62%
Closed at -1.44% (1545.18)
Price broke out of the checked range over the horizon — the extreme move prediction was confirmed.