๐—Ÿ๐—ผ๐—ป๐—ด ๐—ง๐—ฒ๐—ฟ๐—บ ยฎโ„ข
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In this Long term call monthly 1-3 call given holding period 1-3yrs
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I am not SEBI registered analyst All the stocks are educational purpose,consulting your financial advisor before buying
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Learning:

๐๐ซ๐ข๐ง๐œ๐ข๐ฉ๐ฅ๐ž๐ฌ ๐จ๐Ÿ ๐“๐ž๐œ๐ก๐ง๐ข๐œ๐š๐ฅ ๐€๐ง๐š๐ฅ๐ฒ๐ฌ๐ข๐ฌ ๐š๐ง๐ ๐‡๐จ๐ฐ ๐ˆ๐ญ ๐–๐จ๐ซ๐ค๐ฌ

Technical analysis is a method of evaluating securities by analyzing statistical trends about price movements and trading volume, rather than focusing on a company's fundamentals. It's the belief that market history tends to repeat itself, and by studying past price movements, traders can predict future price movements.

๐Š๐ž๐ฒ ๐๐ซ๐ข๐ง๐œ๐ข๐ฉ๐ฅ๐ž๐ฌ ๐จ๐Ÿ ๐“๐ž๐œ๐ก๐ง๐ข๐œ๐š๐ฅ ๐€๐ง๐š๐ฅ๐ฒ๐ฌ๐ข๐ฌ
๐Œ๐š๐ซ๐ค๐ž๐ญ ๐„๐Ÿ๐Ÿ๐ข๐œ๐ข๐ž๐ง๐œ๐ฒ:The market price of a security reflects all available information.

๐๐ซ๐ข๐œ๐ž ๐ƒ๐ข๐ฌ๐œ๐จ๐ฎ๐ง๐ญ๐ฌ ๐„๐ฏ๐ž๐ซ๐ฒ๐ญ๐ก๐ข๐ง๐ :All relevant information, both fundamental and psychological, is already reflected in the price.

๐‡๐ข๐ฌ๐ญ๐จ๐ซ๐ฒ ๐‘๐ž๐ฉ๐ž๐š๐ญ๐ฌ ๐ˆ๐ญ๐ฌ๐ž๐ฅ๐Ÿ:Past price movements and patterns tend to repeat themselves.

๐‡๐จ๐ฐ ๐“๐ž๐œ๐ก๐ง๐ข๐œ๐š๐ฅ ๐€๐ง๐š๐ฅ๐ฒ๐ฌ๐ข๐ฌ ๐–๐จ๐ซ๐ค๐ฌ
Technical analysts use various tools and techniques to analyze price charts and identify patterns that could indicate future price movements. ๐“๐ก๐ž๐ฌ๐ž ๐ญ๐จ๐จ๐ฅ๐ฌ ๐ข๐ง๐œ๐ฅ๐ฎ๐๐ž:

๐‚๐ก๐š๐ซ๐ญ ๐๐š๐ญ๐ญ๐ž๐ซ๐ง๐ฌ:These are recognizable shapes formed by price movements, such as head and shoulders, triangles, and double tops/bottoms.

๐“๐ซ๐ž๐ง๐ ๐‹๐ข๐ง๐ž๐ฌ:These are lines drawn to connect a series of price lows or highs to identify the direction of the market.

๐’๐ฎ๐ฉ๐ฉ๐จ๐ซ๐ญ ๐š๐ง๐ ๐‘๐ž๐ฌ๐ข๐ฌ๐ญ๐š๐ง๐œ๐ž ๐‹๐ž๐ฏ๐ž๐ฅ๐ฌ:These are price levels where buying or selling pressure is expected to be strong.

๐ˆ๐ง๐๐ข๐œ๐š๐ญ๐จ๐ซ๐ฌ:These are mathematical calculations based on price and volume data, such as moving averages, Relative Strength Index (RSI), and Stochastic Oscillator.


๐“๐ก๐ž ๐ฉ๐ซ๐จ๐œ๐ž๐ฌ๐ฌ ๐ญ๐ฒ๐ฉ๐ข๐œ๐š๐ฅ๐ฅ๐ฒ ๐ข๐ง๐ฏ๐จ๐ฅ๐ฏ๐ž๐ฌ:

๐ƒ๐š๐ญ๐š ๐‚๐จ๐ฅ๐ฅ๐ž๐œ๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง:Gathering historical price and volume data for a specific security or market.

๐‚๐ก๐š๐ซ๐ญ ๐‚๐ซ๐ž๐š๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง:Plotting the data on a chart to visualize price movements and patterns.

๐๐š๐ญ๐ญ๐ž๐ซ๐ง ๐ˆ๐๐ž๐ง๐ญ๐ข๐Ÿ๐ข๐œ๐š๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง:Recognizing chart patterns, trend lines, and support/resistance levels.

๐ˆ๐ง๐๐ข๐œ๐š๐ญ๐จ๐ซ ๐€๐ง๐š๐ฅ๐ฒ๐ฌ๐ข๐ฌ:Calculating and interpreting various technical indicators.

๐’๐ข๐ ๐ง๐š๐ฅ ๐†๐ž๐ง๐ž๐ซ๐š๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง:Identifying potential buying or selling opportunities based on the analysis.

๐‘๐ข๐ฌ๐ค ๐Œ๐š๐ง๐š๐ ๐ž๐ฆ๐ž๐ง๐ญ:Implementing stop-loss and take-profit orders to manage risk.

๐‹๐ข๐ฆ๐ข๐ญ๐š๐ญ๐ข๐จ๐ง๐ฌ ๐จ๐Ÿ ๐“๐ž๐œ๐ก๐ง๐ข๐œ๐š๐ฅ ๐€๐ง๐š๐ฅ๐ฒ๐ฌ๐ข๐ฌ

๐‹๐š๐ ๐ ๐ข๐ง๐  ๐ˆ๐ง๐๐ข๐œ๐š๐ญ๐จ๐ซ๐ฌ:Many technical indicators are based on historical data, which can lead to delayed signals.

๐’๐ฎ๐›๐ฃ๐ž๐œ๐ญ๐ข๐ฏ๐ข๐ญ๐ฒ:Interpreting chart patterns and indicators can be subjective and vary among analysts.

๐Œ๐š๐ซ๐ค๐ž๐ญ ๐„๐Ÿ๐Ÿ๐ข๐œ๐ข๐ž๐ง๐œ๐ฒ:In highly efficient markets, technical analysis may be less effective.

It's important to note that technical analysis is a tool, not a crystal ball. It should be used in conjunction with other analysis methods, such as fundamental analysis, to make informed investment decisions.
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Top 5 Fastest Growing Stocks in India


1๏ธโƒฃ LTI Mindtree

2๏ธโƒฃ Varun Beverages

3๏ธโƒฃ Titan

4๏ธโƒฃ Polycab India

5๏ธโƒฃ Bharat Electronics
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Indian Railway Catering and Tourism Corporation Ltd IRCTC Company details

Indian Railway Catering and Tourism Corporation Ltd. (IRCTC) is a central public sector enterprise wholly owned by the Government of India and under the administrative control of the Ministry of Railways. The company is the only entity authorized by Indian railways to provide catering services to railways, online railway tickets and packaged drinking water at railway stations and trains in India. It was incorporated with the objective to upgrade, modernize and professionalize catering and hospitality services, managing hospitality services at railway stations, on trains and other locations and to promote international and domestic tourism in India through publicprivate participation. IRCTCโ€™s business is divided into 4 main segments: (i) Internet ticketing (ii) Catering and hospitality (iii) Tourism & Train operations and (iv) Packaged drinking water (Rail Neer). They also diversified into other businesses such as e-catering, executive lounges and budget hotels, which are in line with its objective to build a โ€˜one stop solutionโ€™ for its customers. Pertaining to their catering business, the company has presence in 120 prepaid trains, 440 mail and express trains equipped with pantry cars and 702 trains under Train side vending (TSV), as on 31st March 2024. In the Rail Neer, they have a total production capacity of 17.68 lakh bottles per day as on 31st March 2024.
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#SALES #GROWTH 5 Year CAGR: 18.0% 

In FY24, the sales grew by 21% YoY to โ‚น4,270 cr mainly led by growth in all the segments except state teereth. Catering business grew by 32% YoY to โ‚น1,947 cr led by an increase in number of catering trains. As on 31st March 2024, the company is providing its catering services in 1,262 trains (v/s 1,187 trains as on 31st March 2023). The tourism business grew by 33% YoY to โ‚น549 cr, internet ticketing by 8% YoY to โ‚น1,295 cr and rail neer by 8% YoY to โ‚น341 cr. The companyโ€™s sales grew from โ‚น1,523 cr in FY17 to โ‚น2,264 cr in FY20 mainly driven by strong growth in the catering segment. The Ministry of Finance ordered to remove the convenience fees from 23rd Nov 2016 to 31st Aug 2019 with an intent to promote digital transaction which had impacted the revenue of internet ticketing business in FY18 and FY19. In FY23, the company witnessed sales growth mainly due to revival in the catering and tourism.
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#EBITDA #GROWTH 5 Year CAGR: 30.8%

In FY24, the EBITDA grew by 15% YoY to โ‚น1,466 cr. The catering and internet ticketing business segment reported operating profit growth. Tourism business reported operating loss due to the exceptional item of โ‚น51.9 cr towards provisioning of revised haulage charges of the previous years for the Tejas trains. Rail neer business declined due to exceptional item of โ‚น14.5 cr related to sharing of additional revenue from the PPP rail neer plant for previous year. The companyโ€™s EBITDA grew from โ‚น297 cr in FY17 to โ‚น698 cr in FY20 mainly driven by operating profit growth in the ticketing and catering segment. On 1st September 2019, IRCTC restarted collection of convenience fee on ticket booking. In FY23, the EBITDA grew to โ‚น1,276 cr from โ‚น881 cr in FY22, driven by increase in the top-line.
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#PAT #GROWTH 5 Year CAGR: 29.2%

In FY24, the PAT grew by 10% YoY to โ‚น1,111 cr. During the period, the company reported an exceptional loss of โ‚น58.5 cr due to provisioning of revised haulage charges as mandated by the ministry of railways for the Tejas trains for the previous years and sharing of additional 25% revenue from the PPP (public private partnership) rail neer plant for previous year in the rail neer business. The PAT excluding exceptional item stood at โ‚น1,170 cr in FY24 as compared to โ‚น979 cr in FY23, i.e., a growth of 20% YoY. The companyโ€™s PAT grew from โ‚น215 cr in FY17 to โ‚น513 cr in FY20 supported by increase in EBITDA, lower depreciation cost due to asset light business model and decline in effective tax rate in FY20. In FY20, the effective tax rate declined to 29.7% from 35.5% in FY19.
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#EBITDA #MARGIN

In FY24, the EBITDA margin contracted by 171 bps YoY to 34.3% due to increase of lower margin catering and other vertical in the overall mix. Segment wise, internet ticketing EBIT margin stood at 82.4%, state teereth 19.4%, catering 13.8% and rail neer 8.6%. The companyโ€™s EBITDA margin expanded from 19.5% in FY17 to 30.9% in FY20 supported by expansion of operating profit margin in internet ticketing business from 41% to 79% along with improvement of margins in rail neer, catering and tourism segment during the period. In FY23, the EBITDA margin stood at 36% (v/s 47% in FY22). The overall margin contraction was due to increase of lower margin catering business in the total sales mix.
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#PAT #MARGIN

In FY24, the PAT margin contracted by 238 bps YoY to 26%. Excluding the exceptional loss, the PAT margin stood at 27.4%, i.e., a contraction of 25 bps YoY. The PAT margin expanded from 14% in FY17 to 35.3% in FY22 supported by improvement in operating profit margin and decline in effective tax rate.
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#ROE

In FY24, the return on equity stood at 39%. The net worth stood at โ‚น3,230 cr as on 31st March 2024, which increased on a YoY basis on account of retained earnings.
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#SECTOR #GROWTH

In 2020, the travel & tourism industryโ€™s contribution to the GDP was $121.9 billion; this is expected to reach $512 billion by 2028. In India, the industryโ€™s direct contribution to the GDP is expected to record an annual growth rate of 10.35% between 2019 and 2028. โ€ข According to World Travel and Tourism Council, travel and tourism in India is expected to grow by 7.4% in 2022 with increase in leisure travel post Covid ease out. Additionally, the Extensive promotion of tourism in the country, upgradation of railway stations & trains, increased private sector investment & job creation in tours & travel in the country, increasing religious & pilgrimage tourism, rapid internet penetration & rising mobile users surge in digital payments and growing acceptance towards services through online/application mode would further augment growth in this sector. โ€ข Indian rail network continues to grow, expanding its presence and new trains being added. To realize the vision of Atmanirbhar Bharat, 2,000 km of railway network will be brought under KAVACH for safety and capacity augmentation in FY23. โ€ข The Government has allocated a capital outlay of โ‚น2.40 lac cr for the Indian Railways in the Union Budget FY23-24. This is ~51% higher than the revised capital outlay for FY23. Presently, there are a lot of projects going on across the country. 400 new generation Vande Bharat Express trains will be developed and manufactured during the next three years.
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#FUTURE #PLANNING

Under Rail Neer segment, the company has 19 plants out of which 4 are owned and 15 are under the PPP (public private partnership) model. . โ€ข The current installed capacity is 17.68 lakh litres per day and capacity utilization was ~61%. The company expects the total installed capacity to increase to ~18.4 lakh litres per day by FY25. โ€ข During the year, the company booked 12.38 lakh tickets per day as compared to 11.82 lakh tickets in FY23 โ€ข With increase in overall growth and demand of food & beverages and hospitality business in the country, the company may expand its business verticals outside railways. In order to achieve the same, they may identify land parcels for development of hotels in addition to establishing food outlets to tap the future potential of growth. ~โ‚น1.5 crore per day and margin is ~15%. โ€ข Under catering business, the tie-up with Swiggy and Zomato is progressing well. The company had started this year with ~60,000 orders booking per day. This has crossed 1,00,000 orders booking per day during this month. The company is booking revenue of โ€ข Recently, the Ministry of Railways permitted the IRCTC to go for long-term tenders through clustering of trains. The tenders will be for 5+2 years. The recent tenders are of short term, i.e., for 6 months. โ€ข The management expects EBIT margin of ~8%-9% in tourism business and ~15% in catering business in FY25. โ€ข In catering business, the company envisages to add more Vande Bharat trains in its portfolio. โ€ข Additions of Vande Bharat Trains will drive the internet ticketing, catering, and rail neer segment
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IRCTC 850-940
Expected level 1150
Support 780
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Govt Electronics component manufacturing scheme
Beneficial company

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KIMS breakout
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KIMS 2200-2460
Expected level 2770
Support 2000
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