#ROE

Net profit has increased by ~41%, while net worth was ~₹2,912 cr, up by 36%. Higher profits have led to an increase in ROE at ~33% during FY25. Net profit stood ar ~₹599 cr, while net worth was ₹2,145.9 cr, which increased due to higher retained earnings. The ratio stood at 32% in FY24.

#COMPANY #POTENTIAL

• The global Mobility Industry continues to undergo a transformational change. Vehicle makers across passenger to commercial vehicles are investing in CASE (Connected, Autonomous, Shared and Electric) technologies to deliver and cater to the demands of the end consumers and policymakers. • Software Defined Vehicles (SDVs) are gradually becoming the primary driver of the emerging future of mobility. Consequently, the core capabilities of OEMs, Tier 1 players and Mobility providers are rapidly shifting from mechanical hardware to electronic hardware and software. • With the rising confluence of technology and automobiles, the vehicle software market is predicted to reach $35 billion (growing at a CAGR of 9%) by 2025. Software applications, operating systems and middleware are growing at an even faster rate, at a CAGR of 11%. Overall, the vehicle software market is expected to nearly double by 2030, fueled by the digital push among top OEMs. (Source: Automotive software and electronics 2030 by McKinsey & Company, S&P Global Mobility Report). • In 2021, the automotive industry witnessed massive changes sparked by supply chain problems and the effects of the pandemic. In 2024, the global EV (electric vehicle) sales grew by 25% YoY to 17 million units. • By 2030, the global automotive software and electrical and electronic components market is expected to reach $462 billion, growing at a rate of 5.5% annually.
• The global automotive ER&D spend stood at $198 billion as of 2024 (Source: Maximize Market Research). It is expected to grow by 2032 to reach $392 billion. The top 20 ER&D spenders like Volkswagen, General Motors, Toyota, etc account for ~73% of the overall spend. In terms of geography for the automotive ER&D spend, Europe has the highest market share (~49%), followed by APAC (38%) and North America (13%). • According to Grand View Research, the global EV market stood at $1,328 billion as of 2024 and is projected to grow at a CAGR of 32.5% from 2025 to 2030. Government policies and incentives worldwide are accelerating the adoption of Electric Vehicles. • The SDV (software defined vehicle) market was $147 billion as of 2024 and is estimated to grow by a CAGR of ~41% by 2030. Enhanced safety & sustainability are driving the SDV industry growth by offering real-time monitoring, predictive analytics & autonomous driving capabilities. (Source: MarketsandMarkets) • As per Gartner, by CY28, ~70% of the vehicles sold will have android automotive operating system which presently stands at less than 1%. As per McKinsey, the automotive revenue will further increase & diversify towards data driven services and on demand mobility service thus adding almost $1.5 trillion, or 30% additional revenue by CY30.

#COMPANY #OUTLOOK

• The elevated interest from clients in the areas of CASE (Connected, Autonomous, Shared, Electric), architectural changes, and SDVs (software define vehicle) is due to market trends and the acknowledgment of the potential value emanating from the transformation that the industry is undergoing. All of this points to robust demand over the next five-plus years. As a result of this, the company is positive about continuing the growth momentum well beyond. • The management has avoided to provide any revenue guidance in lieu of the ongoing challenges & uncertainties. Once the picture is clearer in 1-2 quarters, they would come up with their guidance. Growth is anticipated to be broad-based in FY26, given a stable macro situation with meaningful growth to be seen in the commercial vehicle space. Additionally, growth in Asia would be driven by India, China and slightly by Japan, while South Korea would remain flattish. expansion could have an impact on these levers. • The company intends to either maintain or increase margins and would provide guidance in the coming quarters. Positive levers like automation and AI could lead to some operating leverage while continuing investments for AI, tech, talent and market • They believe that the uncertainty regarding tariffs would hover mostly around H1 FY26, post which the growth would accelerate as usual as they had conversed with many industry players and its clients to better gauge the sentiments. However, some of the deals won are already in transition phase thereby growth getting sustained in H1 FY26 despite uncertainty. • Some large deals are anticipated to accelerate in the coming quarters, especially in the commercial vehicle space. Additionally, they could expect to add certain clients in the coming time. • In terms of wage hikes, the payments would be more incentive based rather than fixed increases.

KPIT Technologies Limited 400-550
Expected level 680
Support 272

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Blue Star Limited company details report

Blue Star Limited, incorporated in 1943, headquartered in Mumbai, is a leading heating, ventilation, air conditioning and commercial refrigeration (HVAC&R) company, and a major player in the mechanical, electrical, plumbing, and fire-fighting (MEP) space with a network of 31 offices, 7 modern manufacturing facilities – 2 at Himachal Pradesh and one each at Dadra, Ahmedabad and 2 in Wada and one at Sri City. It has 4,120 channel partners. The Company has 7,500 stores for room ACs, packaged air conditioners, chillers, cold rooms as well as refrigeration products and systems, along with 1,172 service associates reaching out to customers in over 900 towns. The Wada plant has an installed production capacity of 3L deep freezers and 1L water coolers, while the Ahmedabad plant has a dedicated capacity for deep freezers of 1L units. The Wada plant also manufactures cold room panels, evaporating units, and condensing units. The Company’s integrated business model of a Manufacturer; Engineering, Procurement and Construction (EPC) services provider; and an after-sales service provider; not only enables the company to offer end-to-end solutions to its customers across building, industrial, and infrastructure segments, but also facilitates delivery of these offerings in an agile manner. It exports AC&R (air conditioning & refrigeration) products and Original Equipment Manufacturing (OEM)/Original Design Manufacturing (ODM) businesses for globally recognized brands such as Danfoss and Rheem and solutions to 19 countries across the Middle East, Africa, SAARC and ASEAN regions. Through its joint ventures in Qatar and Malaysia, the company also undertakes MEP projects for residential, commercial and infrastructure in those markets. The company is a market leader in the product categories of modular cold rooms, deep freezers and storage water coolers and estimates their market share, both the residential segment and institutional segment put together, to be 14%. In volume terms they are marginally higher than 10%. It crossed ~15.7 lakh units during FY25 in RAC segment.

Electro - Mechanical Projects and commercial air conditioning system – This business segment covers the design,manufacturing, installation, commissioning and maintenance of central air conditioning plants, packaged/ducted systems and Variable Refrigerant Flow (VRF) systems, as well as contracting services in mechanical works, electrification, plumbing and fire-fighting, and water distribution. It also comprises after-sales services such as revamp, retrofit and upgrades, which covers a wide repertoire of operation and maintenance services for efficient functioning of electro-mechanical utilities. Unitary Products – The company offers a wide variety of contemporary and highly energy-efficient room air conditioners for both residential as well as commercial applications. It also manufactures and markets a comprehensive range of commercial refrigeration products and cold chain equipment. Besides, the company has water purifiers, air purifiers and air coolers in its product portfolio. This segment is seasonal in nature. Professional Electronics and Industrial Systems – Exclusive distributor in India for many internationally renowned manufacturers of professional electronic equipment & services, as well as industrial products and systems. This business is managed by the company’s wholly owned subsidiary, Blue Star Engineering & Electronics Limited.

#SALES #GROWTH 5 Year CAGR 13.1%

In FY24 the revenue registered were ₹9,685 cr up by 21% YoY. The company sold over 1 mn units during the year. The order book for FY24 was at ₹5,477 cr. In 9M FY25, the company’s revenue grew by 25% YoY to ₹7,949 cr. The carried forward order book as of 31st December 2024 increased by 12.8% YoY to ₹6,810 cr. The RAC market share stood at 14%. Segment-wise, UCP (Unitary products and commercial refrigeration) grew by 27%, while PEIS (Professional electronics and industrial systems) declined by 3%. Room AC growth was driven by a strong festive season, and the commercial refrigeration business resolved regulatory challenges in water coolers and deep freezers. The EMP (Electro-Mechanical Projects and commercial air conditioning systems) business saw 26% YoY growth, with progress in factory and data center orders, although demand from commercial real estate and infrastructure was subdued.

#EBITDA #GROWTH 5 Year CAGR 13.9%

In FY24, the EBITDA was ₹665 cr v/s ₹493 cr in FY23. In 9M FY25, the EBITDA grew by 41% to ₹597 cr. The major cost components are cost of material consumed, advertising and legal costs (other operating expense). Key components for manufacture of the company’s products such as compressors, copper tubes, electronic parts, indoor units for split air conditioners and inverter drives are sourced from vendors in China and some other countries. This is mitigated by diversifying procurement sources along with backward integration at plant.

#PAT #GROWTH 5 Year CAGR 16.8%

In FY24, PAT was ₹414 cr and effective tax rate 26%. In 9M FY25, the PAT registered were ₹398 cr registering a growth of 56% YoY.

#EBITDA #MARGIN

In FY24, EBITDA margin was 6.9% whereas segmental EBIT margin for Electro-Mechanical Projects and commercial air conditioning systems was 7%, Unitary products was 7.8% and for Professional electronics and industrial systems it was 14%. In 9M FY25 EBITDA margin was 7.5% but segmental EBIT margin for Electro-Mechanical Projects and commercial air conditioning systems was 8.5%, Unitary products and commercial refrigeration at 8.4% Professional electronics and industrial systems at 8.1%.

#PAT #MARGIN

In FY24, the PAT margin was 4.3%. In 9M FY25, the PAT margin was at 5%.

#ROCE

In FY24, capital employed during the year was ₹2,731 cr and PBIT ₹615 cr and the ratio was ~26%. ₹665 cr was employed in the electromechanical projects and commercial air conditioning systems and ~ ₹1,251 cr in unitary products segment whereas remaining amount was in others.

#COMPANY #POTENTIAL

• Indian appliances and consumer electronics industry stood at US $9.84 billion in 2021 and is expected to more than double to reach ₹1.48 lakh cr (US $21.18 billion) by FY25. (Source : IBEF) • The Room Air Conditioner Market (RAC) grew 45% over FY22 in value terms. As a result, the overall market size grew to ₹22,750 cr in FY23, of which the market for central air conditioning, including central plants, packaged and ducted systems, and VRF systems was around ₹4,250 cr, while the market for room air conditioners comprised the balance ₹18,500 cr. • The overall AC industry (both residential and commercial), currently valued at around ₹27,500 cr in FY24, is likely to double in the next four years. In FY24, of which the market for central air conditioning, including central plants, packaged and ducted systems, and VRF systems was around ₹4,500 cr, while the market for room air conditioners comprised the balance ₹23,000 cr. • In FY23, the Indian RAC has grown to 8.4 million units and 10 million units in FY24. • The demand growth in the segment is expected on the back of rising urbanization, increasing disposable income of the middleclass population, easy consumer credit, wide usability of online sales and decreasing replacement cycle. • As a part of the Atmanirbhar Bharat Program, the Government has announced Production Linked Incentive (PLI) Schemes for many product categories, the ecosystem for air conditioning components is developing fast in the country. In pursuit to secure their supply chain, European and American players are looking at reliable and capable manufacturers outside China. • E-commerce, as a distribution channel, has been witnessing phenomenal growth owing to the impetus provided by the Pandemic, thereby advancing its penetration in the country by 12-18 months. The Indian E-commerce market is expected to grow 21% to ₹58,580 cr (US $75 Billion) in 2022 and is likely to reach ₹1,01,547 cr (US $130 Billion) by 2025 growing at a CAGR of over 20%. The number of internet connections in 2021 increased significantly to 830 million, driven by the ‘Digital India’ programme.

#COMPANY #OUTLOOK

• The company aims to grow faster than the market in its core businesses of air conditioning and commercial refrigeration. The company is also planning to grow revenue from adjacencies such as Air Coolers, MEP services for Water Supply projects, and Railway Electrification. It will consolidate its position in the Middle East, Africa and South Asia regions with deeper market penetration and the introduction of innovative products and solutions. • It aims to expand the global footprint by entering North America and Europe as Original design and manufacturing (ODM) solutions provider. • It aims to strengthen its R&D and innovation capabilities and deploy total cost management programme across various businesses and functions. • The company targets to achieve 15% market share in FY25 in the RAC segment. • There is enhanced focus on increasing penetration in Tier 3/4/5 cities and developing more executive dealers there. • They have guided for a margin of ~7%-7.5% for electro-mechanical projects & commercial air conditioning systems segment and ~8%-8.5% for unitary products and commercial refrigeration products segment. • Capex for the upcoming 3 years will be in the range of ~₹750-₹800 crore per year. • The Sri City Plant produced more than 300,000 air conditioners in FY24 and is on course to double that production in the current fiscal year. • It plans to invest over ₹50 cr in advertising during the upcoming summer season.

Blue Star Limited 1550-1715
Expected level 2000
Support 1362

213🚀long term level hit

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Vishal Mega Mart Company Details Report

Vishal Mega Mart (VMM) is one of India’s largest offline-first value retailers, catering to a population of ~1b across the middle- and lowincome segmentsVishal Mega Mart .  VMM is a unique Indian retailer with: 1) a strong presence in tier 2+ cities (696 stores in 458 cities); 2) well-diversified exposure to key consumption baskets—Apparel (44%), General Merchandise (GM) & Fast-Moving Consumer Goods (FMCG; both ~28%); 3) a strong and affordable private brands portfolio (73% revenue share); and 4) one of the lowest cost structures in the industry.  We believe VMM’s uniqueness provides it with a strong moat against intense competition from both offline and online value retailers.  Expect VMM to clock a revenue/EBITDA CAGR of 19%/20%, driven by: 1) ~13% CAGR in store additions, 2) consistent double-digit SSSG, and 3) modest operating leverage benefits.  Given VMM’s debt-free balance sheet and robust cost controls, we expect ~24% PAT CAGR and cumulative pre-IND-AS OCF/FCF generation of ~INR32b/INR23b over FY25-28.  Initiate coverage on VMM with a BUY rating and a TP of INR165, premised on DCF-implied ~45x Sep’27E pre-INDAS 116 EV/EBITDA (implying ~31x Sep’27E reported EBITDA and ~69x Sep’27E P/E). 09 Page # 42 Initiate coverage with a BUY rating and a TP of INR165 10 Page # 44 Shift from unorganized to organized retail a multi-decadal growth story 11 Page # 51 Company overview 12 Page # 53 Key risks and concerns 13 Page # 55 Management background 14 Page # 56 ESG initiatives 15 Page # 57 B