๐—Ÿ๐—ผ๐—ป๐—ด ๐—ง๐—ฒ๐—ฟ๐—บ ยฎโ„ข
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In this Long term call monthly 1-3 call given holding period 1-3yrs
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I am not SEBI registered analyst All the stocks are educational purpose,consulting your financial advisor before buying
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#ROCE

In FY25, ROCE witnessed a decline as compared to FY24. This decline was on the back of lower profitability. In FY24, ROCE witnessed a decrease to 40% as compared to FY23.
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#SECTORIAL #POTENTIAL

โ€ข The size of the retail apparel industry in India as on FY24 stood at ~โ‚น5,74,000 cr out of which the ethnic wear comprises of ~30%. The total of Indian wedding and celebration wear about ~57% of the total ethnic business. (Source : Crisil Report) โ€ข The ethnic wear industry is expected grow strongly in the future, on account of the increasing trend of multi-day weddings, wider acceptance of traditional outfits during festival celebrations and the emergence of brands in the Indian wedding and celebration wear market. This industry has been highly unorganized. โ€ข Womenโ€™s ethnic wear is the largest segment of the overall market as it has found acceptance in both daily wear and office-wear categories, apart from the Indian wedding and celebration wear category. It includes lehengas, kurtis, sarees and salwar kameez. Menโ€™s ethnic wear is the second-largest category and has a share of ~10% of the overall ethnic market. โ€ข The celebration wear industry in India is competitive, with several regional brands and unorganized retailers present in local markets across the country. The Indian celebration wear industry has also been a highly unorganized market. โ€ข The penetration into the unorganized markets with increasing retail footprint will lead to better performance in this segment. โ€ข Transition to indo-western and fusion wear, shift from tailored ethnic wear to ready-to-wear apparels, increasing trends of wearing ethnic in festivals and migration towards branded ethnic wear would be the key drivers of this industry.
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#COMPANY #OUTLOOK

โ€ข In Q2 FY25, the company launched its new brand Diwas (menโ€™s wear) which witnessed good traction. It is designed for the young generation and is available across leading marketplaces. It is available on the companyโ€™s own D2C (direct to customer) website and MBOs. It is a new approach taken towards the brand Manthan. The company will be focusing on scaling up Diwas instead of Manthan for next 2-3 years. โ€ข In FY25, the company will be taking orders for both Manthan and Diwas. โ€ข Diwas brand is operating in โ‚น1,000-โ‚น2,000 per kurta price point and the same for Manyavar is โ‚น2,000-โ‚น6,000. โ€ข Looking ahead, growth shall be boosted by relevant inventory & designs, robust store network, multi-dimensional marketing initiatives and strong back-end infrastructure. โ€ข In Q4 FY25, the company rolled out 1 EBO of Twamev and Mohey, each. โ€ข They have also launched perfumes under Manyavar brand (Essence by Manyavar) in October 2024 and witnessed decent traction. These were available in the top 50-60 stores of the company.
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Vedant Fashions Limited 680-780
Expected level 1000
Support 600
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Good morning
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Juniper Hotel Company Details Report

Juniper Hotels stands at the forefront of the hospitality industry as a leading luxury hotel development and ownership company. The companyโ€™s portfolio comprises seven hotels with 1836 keys (including 245 serviced apartments) across strategic locations in India. All the properties in the portfolio are branded and managed by the global hotel operator, Hyatt.

Juniper Hotels is a strategic partnership between the Saraf group, a hotel developer with a strong and well-established track record of over 40 years, and Hyatt, a premier international hospitality company listed on the NYSE. The Saraf group, led by Arun Kumar Saraf, has had a pioneering role in hotel development in India โ€“ it was part of the consortium that developed the largest private sector hotel in Delhi and brought Hyatt to India in 1982. The group has developed over eleven hotels across nine cities in India and Nepal. Their first hotel, Yak and Yeti, was established in Kathmandu, Nepal in 1977 by Arunโ€™s father, late Mr. Radhe Shyam Saraf.

The Saraf group joined hands with Hyatt in 1998 in the form of Juniper Hotels to launch its first and flagship property, Grand Hyatt Mumbai Hotel and Residences (Opened in 2004). This partnership between a developer and an international chain operator is a unique combination of in-depth market understanding, development experience, long-standing brand heritage and operational expertise. It signifies not only a commitment to excellence but also a dedication to owning and managing remarkable assets.
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Strong visibility to double the portfolio:

Under the Juniper 2.0 strategy, the management is targeting to double the portfolio room count to c. 4,000 keys over the next few years. The ROFO transaction is already underway, which will add c. 737 keys across two assets and is expected to be closed in 8-10 months. The recently acquired 220-keys asset near Bengaluru Airport will be commissioned by end-FY26 and the company will soon commence the work on Phase 2 of the project, a new hotel block comprising 250 keys. The Kaziranga hotel with 115 keys will become operational by FY28 under the โ€œALILAโ€ brand by Hyatt. The company owns 74k sqft of land adjacent to the Secretariat in Guwahati and the management has unveiled plans to develop a 250-room luxury property at the site. Additionally, the company is also pursuing two new greenfield opportunities, which could add c. 500 keys to the portfolio. Given the low leverage of 1.4x net debt to EBITDA, the management is confident of funding the capex without straining the balance sheet.
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Strong acquisition pipeline:

The recent acquisition of a big box hotel in Bengaluru is a significant milestone given that the international traffic at Bengaluru airport is expected to double in 3-5 years and there is no meaningful supply coming up in this micro-market. Hence, the operating hotels even in the upper upscale segment are currently commanding INR 10k+ ARR. The company is evaluating assets with similar dynamics in NCR, Hyderabad and Navi Mumbai and is targeting to close a few brownfield transactions within 3-4 months.
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Value unlocking opportunity in Mumbai land:

Company owns two land parcels adjacent to GHM and it intends to develop a commercial tower on the 45k sft land. The development plans for the larger land parcel spanning 97k sft are not yet finalised. Given the insignificant acquisition cost and prime location (proximity to BKC and airport), these land parcels presents a significant value unlocking opportunity.
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Company highlights:

- India has always been under-served in terms of hotel capacity. Given the healthy economic growth and formalisation of multiple sectors, the demand tailwinds are expected to stay for a couple of years - The management intends to remain focused on its core expertise of developing the assets and doesnโ€™t prefer the asset light route for expansion - The GHM has potential to add 300 keys atop the existing structure and the company has already paid INR 420mn to get the approvals. However, the management prefers to sweat out the operating asset and the expansion will only be taken up after 2 years - While Hyatt will remain the key management partner, all the upcoming assets may not necessarily be tied up with Hyatt - The company will generate INR 30bn of OCF over the next 5 years and the total outlay towards capex during same period will be INR 18bn-19bn
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Portfolio overview
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Valuation
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Revenue & EBITDA
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Financial performance
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Juniper Hotel 260-312
Expected level 400
Support 220
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Galaxy surfactants company details

A decade of strong foundations and profitable growth ๏ฎ Over the past 10 years, GALSURF has demonstrated its ability to scale profitably while navigating cyclical and regional challenges. During FY15-25, the company doubled its total volumes, supported by deeper market penetration and category expansion, particularly in rinse-off personal care and home care products. During this same period, EBITDA tripled, driven by operational efficiencies, product mix enhancement, and innovation. PAT grew 5x, reflecting sharp execution and cost control. ๏ฎ GALSURF achieved an average RoCE of 22%, a testament to disciplined capital allocation and return-oriented investment. EBITDA/kg also doubled, highlighting the companyโ€™s ability to extract more value per unit of product. Despite macroeconomic headwinds in the early part of this decade, including inflation and demand volatility, the company maintained strong profitability, setting a firm base for future expansion.
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Vision 2030

๏ฎ Looking ahead to 2030, GALSURF has outlined an ambitious but well-structured growth roadmap. Over the next five years, the company plans to double its volumes and grow EBITDA by 2.5x, while sustaining a RoCE greater than 22%. Its key internal goal is to achieve an EBITDA/kg of INR25 by FY30. This growth will be driven by a mix of organic, portfolio-led, and ecosystem-driven initiatives. ๏ฎ The company expects 50% of incremental EBITDA to come from organic growth in rinse-off categories such as hair care, oral care, and body washโ€” segments where GALSURF already has a strong presence. Around 30% of EBITDA growth is projected to come from new product portfolios, particularly in high-value, leave-on categories like moisturizers, sunscreens, and serums. The remaining 20% will be driven by new avenues, including strategic partnerships, collaborations, and expansion into wellness and beauty-focused solutions. ๏ฎ GALSURF's 2030 vision is centered on defending and deepening its leadership in India and AMET markets, winning new customers and applications in the Americas, and making focused inroads into specialties in the European Union. This will be enabled through what the management calls the โ€˜3Dโ€™ approachโ€” Development, Digitalization, and Distributionโ€”backed by investments in innovation, technology, and talent.
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Riding on global trends:

A shifting industry landscape ๏ฎ GALSURF operates in an ingredients market with a total addressable value of USD42b, of which USD30b is directly relevant to its surfactants and specialty chemicals portfolio. The total global ingredient volume stands at 15mmt, with GALSURFโ€™s focus market comprising 10mmt, of which 9mmt is surfactants and 1mmt includes preservatives, UV protection, and emollients. ๏ฎ The global home care ingredients market is estimated at USD26b, dominated by surfactants (72% share). Evolving consumer preferences in developed markets are driving demand for unit dose detergents (pods), eco-friendly formats, and low-residue formulations due to stricter regulatory norms (e.g., 1,4-Dioxane limits). Meanwhile, in developing regions, there is a shift from bar and powder-based formats to liquids and premium detergents, opening new avenues for GALSURF. ๏ฎ In the personal and beauty care segment, which is a USD475b market globally, GALSURF sees immense opportunities, especially in skincare, sun care, and clean beauty. The ingredients market within this segment is USD16b in value and 4mmt in volume. With a 5.7% CAGR, it is expected to outpace other segments, led by consumer shifts towards natural, multifunctional, and sustainable solutions.
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AMET and RoW:

From stabilization to acceleration ๏ฎ Between FY21 and FY25, GALSURF faced significant challenges in the Africa, Middle East, and Turkey (AMET) region due to inflation, geopolitical disruptions, and strong local competitors. Despite these hurdles, the company gained market share by leveraging its strong MNC relationships, local manufacturing capabilities, and innovative product offerings. Going forward, improving macroeconomic conditions and a shift in consumer behavior towards premium and clean products are expected to result in a 10-12% volume CAGR in the AMET region during the second half of the decade. ๏ฎ In the Rest of the World (RoW) markets, including Europe and parts of Asia Pacific, GALSURF experienced demand softness due to destocking cycles and delayed product launches. In response, the company established a subsidiary in Europe to build a regional ecosystem, enabling faster and more efficient service to local demand. Going forward, growth in these markets is expected to be driven by private labels, D2C brands, and expansion into specialty categories, supported by an emphasis on sustainability, bio-based ingredients, and regulatory compliance.
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