• US sanctions on Iran remain a key geopolitical risk for global markets.
• Crude oil is falling as hopes rise for progress on the Strait of Hormuz.
• Nvidia earnings are the biggest global trigger, with investors watching the strength of the AI boom.
• US inflation data + Fed signals remain crucial for global rate expectations.
• Asian markets are cautious ahead of Nvidia’s results and ongoing Middle East developments.
🔥 KEY FOCUS: Iran | Crude | Nvidia | US Inflation | Fed
• Crude oil is falling as hopes rise for progress on the Strait of Hormuz.
• Nvidia earnings are the biggest global trigger, with investors watching the strength of the AI boom.
• US inflation data + Fed signals remain crucial for global rate expectations.
• Asian markets are cautious ahead of Nvidia’s results and ongoing Middle East developments.
🔥 KEY FOCUS: Iran | Crude | Nvidia | US Inflation | Fed
Have you noticed one thing? Whenever I sense risk, I tell you to trail the SL.
Today, I had confidence in the trade, so I told you to hold even at 90, and at 70, I told you to buy a good quantity. I just want your capital to stay protected while you earn good profits.
• 🛢️ Crude oil around $90 amid rising US–Iran tensions, keeping inflation concerns high.
• 🇺🇸 Fed rate-hike expectations have risen to around 57%, pressuring global markets.
• 💵 US Dollar remains strong, keeping pressure on the Indian Rupee.
• 🌏 Asian markets are weak amid geopolitical tensions and higher bond yields.
• 🇮🇳 India Q1 FY27 GDP data is due today — one of the biggest domestic market triggers.
• 💰 FPIs invested ₹30,919 crore in Indian equities in August, following ₹20,200 crore of buying in July.
• 🔄 MSCI rebalancing takes effect at today’s close, expected to create significant stock-specific fund flows.
• 🏦 HDFC Bank remains in focus after CEO Sashidhar Jagdishan decided not to seek reappointment after October.
• 📈 US jobs data (Non-Farm Payrolls) later this week will be an important global market trigger.
• 🇺🇸 Fed rate-hike expectations have risen to around 57%, pressuring global markets.
• 💵 US Dollar remains strong, keeping pressure on the Indian Rupee.
• 🌏 Asian markets are weak amid geopolitical tensions and higher bond yields.
• 🇮🇳 India Q1 FY27 GDP data is due today — one of the biggest domestic market triggers.
• 💰 FPIs invested ₹30,919 crore in Indian equities in August, following ₹20,200 crore of buying in July.
• 🔄 MSCI rebalancing takes effect at today’s close, expected to create significant stock-specific fund flows.
• 🏦 HDFC Bank remains in focus after CEO Sashidhar Jagdishan decided not to seek reappointment after October.
• 📈 US jobs data (Non-Farm Payrolls) later this week will be an important global market trigger.
* 🇮🇳 India GDP: Q1 FY27 GDP growth came at 7.8% YoY, much stronger than expected.
* 🇮🇳 India Forex Reserves: Around $729.3 billion, providing a strong external buffer.
* 🇮🇳 GST Collection: August GST revenue rose 14.8% YoY to ₹1.99 lakh crore — strong domestic activity.
* 🇺🇸 US Fed: Markets are watching September rate signals; current pricing implies roughly 66% probability of a 25-bp hike.
* 🇺🇸 US Jobs: Upcoming Nonfarm Payrolls data is a major trigger for Fed expectations.
* 🇺🇸 US 10Y Yield: Recently touched 4.818%, keeping pressure on global equity valuations.
* 🌏 Asia: Asian stocks are recovering as bond yields ease and investors await US economic data.
* 🇮🇳 India Forex Reserves: Around $729.3 billion, providing a strong external buffer.
* 🇮🇳 GST Collection: August GST revenue rose 14.8% YoY to ₹1.99 lakh crore — strong domestic activity.
* 🇺🇸 US Fed: Markets are watching September rate signals; current pricing implies roughly 66% probability of a 25-bp hike.
* 🇺🇸 US Jobs: Upcoming Nonfarm Payrolls data is a major trigger for Fed expectations.
* 🇺🇸 US 10Y Yield: Recently touched 4.818%, keeping pressure on global equity valuations.
* 🌏 Asia: Asian stocks are recovering as bond yields ease and investors await US economic data.
* US–Iran tensions: Escalation around the Strait of Hormuz has pushed Brent crude close to $97, raising global inflation and supply-disruption concerns.
* US inflation: This week’s US inflation data will be a key trigger for Fed rate expectations, bond yields and global equities.
* FII/DII flows: FIIs remained sellers, while strong DII buying provided support to Indian equities.
* Rupee: The rupee remains around ₹94.5/$, with high crude creating additional pressure.
* TCS: ₹70,000 crore AI data-centre investment in Telangana is a positive development for the IT/AI theme.
* OPEC+: Oil producers kept their output policy unchanged, meaning there is no immediate major supply relief for the crude market.
* India market rules: NSE’s revised pre-open session rules become effective from today.
* US markets: US markets are closed today for the holiday, so global cues will mainly come from Asia, commodities and currency markets.
* US inflation: This week’s US inflation data will be a key trigger for Fed rate expectations, bond yields and global equities.
* FII/DII flows: FIIs remained sellers, while strong DII buying provided support to Indian equities.
* Rupee: The rupee remains around ₹94.5/$, with high crude creating additional pressure.
* TCS: ₹70,000 crore AI data-centre investment in Telangana is a positive development for the IT/AI theme.
* OPEC+: Oil producers kept their output policy unchanged, meaning there is no immediate major supply relief for the crude market.
* India market rules: NSE’s revised pre-open session rules become effective from today.
* US markets: US markets are closed today for the holiday, so global cues will mainly come from Asia, commodities and currency markets.
I mentioned “SL Trail,” which means moving the Stop Loss above the cost price. However, many people didn’t exit
* Iran has threatened retaliation against U.S. energy infrastructure, keeping Middle East supply risks elevated.
* Oil supply disruptions remain a major concern, with the Strait of Hormuz still under pressure.
* Strong U.S. jobs data has increased expectations of further Fed rate hikes; U.S. CPI this week is the key trigger.
* Japan’s stronger Q2 growth and rising real wages are increasing expectations of further BOJ tightening.
* Copper has hit a record high amid concerns over tight global supplies.
* NSE IPO has cleared a major regulatory hurdle and could raise around ₹30,000 crore.
* Oil supply disruptions remain a major concern, with the Strait of Hormuz still under pressure.
* Strong U.S. jobs data has increased expectations of further Fed rate hikes; U.S. CPI this week is the key trigger.
* Japan’s stronger Q2 growth and rising real wages are increasing expectations of further BOJ tightening.
* Copper has hit a record high amid concerns over tight global supplies.
* NSE IPO has cleared a major regulatory hurdle and could raise around ₹30,000 crore.
🇺🇸 US CPI – 11 Sep
US inflation data will be released, which could strongly impact Fed rate expectations and global markets.
🇮🇳 BRICS Summit – 12–13 Sep
Major leaders will meet in New Delhi. Trade, energy and geopolitical developments will remain in focus.
🇺🇸 US Fed Meeting – 15–16 Sep
The Fed’s rate decision and policy guidance could trigger major moves in global equities, Dollar and Gold.
🇮🇳 NSE IPO – September
NSE’s long-awaited IPO is moving toward launch and could become one of India’s biggest market events.
🛢️ Crude Oil & Middle East
Oil remains above $100 amid geopolitical tensions. Any further spike could impact the Rupee, inflation and Indian markets.
US inflation data will be released, which could strongly impact Fed rate expectations and global markets.
🇮🇳 BRICS Summit – 12–13 Sep
Major leaders will meet in New Delhi. Trade, energy and geopolitical developments will remain in focus.
🇺🇸 US Fed Meeting – 15–16 Sep
The Fed’s rate decision and policy guidance could trigger major moves in global equities, Dollar and Gold.
🇮🇳 NSE IPO – September
NSE’s long-awaited IPO is moving toward launch and could become one of India’s biggest market events.
🛢️ Crude Oil & Middle East
Oil remains above $100 amid geopolitical tensions. Any further spike could impact the Rupee, inflation and Indian markets.
* Crude Oil: Brent crude is near $110/barrel as Middle East tensions raise concerns over global supply disruptions.
* US Inflation: August wholesale inflation rose to 5.4% YoY, increasing concerns about persistent inflation.
* Fed Rate Outlook: Higher oil prices and inflation are reducing expectations of quick US rate cuts and increasing rate-hike concerns.
* US Bond Yields: The 10-year Treasury yield is around 5%, keeping pressure on global equity valuations.
* Indian Rupee: The rupee remains under pressure as higher crude prices increase India’s import-cost concerns.
* Indian IT: Proposed changes to US H-1B visa rules remain a key concern for Indian IT companies.
* US Inflation: August wholesale inflation rose to 5.4% YoY, increasing concerns about persistent inflation.
* Fed Rate Outlook: Higher oil prices and inflation are reducing expectations of quick US rate cuts and increasing rate-hike concerns.
* US Bond Yields: The 10-year Treasury yield is around 5%, keeping pressure on global equity valuations.
* Indian Rupee: The rupee remains under pressure as higher crude prices increase India’s import-cost concerns.
* Indian IT: Proposed changes to US H-1B visa rules remain a key concern for Indian IT companies.
Monday is a holiday for Ganesh Chaturthi, so the market will open directly on Tuesday. Because of this, the premium may decay, so I will avoid this today as well. Sometimes, avoiding something is also a good decision.
The US Fed rate decision on Wednesday will be the key event to watch. Whether the Fed cuts rates or holds them could set the direction for global markets, inflation expectations and the dollar.
Meanwhile, rising crude oil prices and Middle East tensions remain major concerns. Fed policy, crude and geopolitical tensions will be the key drivers for markets next week.
Meanwhile, rising crude oil prices and Middle East tensions remain major concerns. Fed policy, crude and geopolitical tensions will be the key drivers for markets next week.
Hello Good Morning 🌄
* Middle East Tensions: Rising tensions involving Iran and the US are increasing risks to regional stability and global energy markets.
* Red Sea Shipping Risk: Continued pressure around the Red Sea and Bab el-Mandeb is raising concerns over shipping costs and supply disruptions.
* Oil Prices: Crude oil remains elevated, keeping global inflation risks high and putting pressure on markets.
* US Inflation & Fed: Higher-than-expected inflation is making the outlook for US interest-rate cuts more uncertain, affecting global equities, bonds and the dollar.
* BRICS: BRICS countries are pushing for greater cooperation on trade and global economic stability amid geopolitical tensions.
* Middle East Tensions: Rising tensions involving Iran and the US are increasing risks to regional stability and global energy markets.
* Red Sea Shipping Risk: Continued pressure around the Red Sea and Bab el-Mandeb is raising concerns over shipping costs and supply disruptions.
* Oil Prices: Crude oil remains elevated, keeping global inflation risks high and putting pressure on markets.
* US Inflation & Fed: Higher-than-expected inflation is making the outlook for US interest-rate cuts more uncertain, affecting global equities, bonds and the dollar.
* BRICS: BRICS countries are pushing for greater cooperation on trade and global economic stability amid geopolitical tensions.
🛢️ CRUDE OIL SURGES: Brent crude has moved above $107/barrel after fresh supply disruptions and rising Middle East tensions, increasing global inflation concerns.
📈 US BOND YIELDS: US 10-Year Treasury yield is hovering close to 5%, keeping pressure on global equities and increasing borrowing-cost concerns.
🤖 AI STOCKS UNDER PRESSURE: Global technology and semiconductor stocks are facing selling pressure after concerns emerged over the pace and risks of advanced AI development.
🌏 ASIAN MARKETS WEAK: Asian equities are under pressure, with technology and semiconductor stocks among the major losers.
🇮🇳 INDIA IMPACT: Higher crude, elevated US yields and a stronger dollar remain negative factors for Indian equities, while IT and other rate-sensitive sectors could remain volatile.
💵 DOLLAR STRENGTH: The US dollar remains firm as investors position ahead of major central-bank decisions.
📈 US BOND YIELDS: US 10-Year Treasury yield is hovering close to 5%, keeping pressure on global equities and increasing borrowing-cost concerns.
🤖 AI STOCKS UNDER PRESSURE: Global technology and semiconductor stocks are facing selling pressure after concerns emerged over the pace and risks of advanced AI development.
🌏 ASIAN MARKETS WEAK: Asian equities are under pressure, with technology and semiconductor stocks among the major losers.
🇮🇳 INDIA IMPACT: Higher crude, elevated US yields and a stronger dollar remain negative factors for Indian equities, while IT and other rate-sensitive sectors could remain volatile.
💵 DOLLAR STRENGTH: The US dollar remains firm as investors position ahead of major central-bank decisions.