We are so sorry 😽. There's not enough content to post once a week. So we're diluting our posts with this cool meme. See you in a week!

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Why is the HOLD HODL! strategy so hard to follow?

You've probably heard your crypto friend complaining about not buying Bitcoin at $10-100-1000, and now it's worth $20,000...$50,000 or even more. Why aren't there any people among your friends who bought Bitcoin at $1 and are still holding it? There is a good answer in a humorous style: "If you bought bitcoin for $50, you would sell it for $100".

Money has a tendency to get spent. You probably, if you bought bitcoin for $1, also would not wait for the end of mining in 2140 (although there mathematical models show the price of $23,415,647,039.29 for 1 BTC in 2140!)

Today we want to recommend you the movie Dumb Money. We hope it will help you to think a little bit about the HODL strategy. And for us, a small but steadily increasing profit over a distance is better than getting a large sum at once.

Everything is similar with numbers. If you bought 1,000 dollars worth of numbers in December 2022 at 9 ton (~$18) (55 numbers), you would now have 55*769=42,295 TON (85x increase) or 55*$2,600=$143,000 (144x increase).

It's like a long game of chess where you have 4 years for each move (cycles in cryptocurrency). Patience and hard work will overcome everything. Patience to everyone! HODL!

#roadto10k #info

These are Nikolay and Pavel Durov. Fortunately, nothing happened to them today. It's not their birthday. It's just that people need to be remembered not only when something happens to them.

TON + Telegram are probably in the Top 20 most ambitious technological developments of the 21st century, so let's wish these people only good luck!

#roadto10k

Numbers have broken through a new ATH!

The previous ATH was 380 TON on August 10, 2023. After that, the numbers went into correction at 265 TON, and with the strong growth of the TON price, they fell even lower (150 TON in November 2023, 90 TON in March 2024).

This time, the price returned to the previous maximum, overcame its previous ATH, consolidated above and was at the peak of 997 TON on June 8, 2025. Now we expect the Floor Price to fall to 200-300 TON with the next strong growth of the TON price (up to $12-15+).

On long-term timeframes, we observe the following picture: cheap TON — numbers break through their ATH, expensive TON — numbers roll back in price in TON, then gradually recover and update their historical maximum with the next fall of the TON price. This once again proves the huge potential of numbers as a hedge asset.

With each cycle, the price of the numbers returns to the initial level in TON, but due to the fact that the TON price in $ is higher this time, we get a multiplicative increase in the price of numbers in $.

For example: May 12, 2023: Floor Price 100 TON, TON $1.95 = $195;
March 25, 2024: Floor Price 100 TON, TON $5 = $500

Now imagine, Oct...Dec 2025, Floor Price 250 TON, TON $10 = $2,500

Such cycles as cheap TON in $—expensive numbers in TON, expensive TON in $—cheap numbers in TON are the market maker's strategy to gradually increase the price of numbers in $, shake out weak hands and create successful stories of earnings by advanced investors, which only fuel the feeling of FOMO and create excellent opportunities for marketing.

We have already described one of this mechanics in this post. We will write more about this strategy in general in the following posts.

Also, another breakthrough of the Numbers ATH in TON may be one of the indicators of the best time to buy TON.

#roadto10k

Collectible Numbers are 1,000 days old! 🎉

Today, the first NFT collection of numbers celebrates its anniversary. Exactly 1000 days ago, on December 6, 2022, the Numbers section appeared on the Fragment.com website.

The starting price was 9 TON ($18)

Then the historical milestones were as follows:
February 26, 2023: 47 TON ($100);
August 11, 2023: 380 TON ($475);
August 14, 2024: 139 TON ($1,000).
June 8, 2025: 997 TON ($3,121)

The current floor price is 706 TON ($2,200).

There's the Lindy effect: if something exists for example, for 5 years, then it will exist for the next 5 years. Bitcoin has been around for over 16 years since 2008, and there is no doubt that it will still be around 16 years from now, in 2041. The same can be said about this collection in 1,000 days: until May 28, 2028, it will definitely exist as it is now, with no new additional features and no new numbers.

Image source: JpegMillionaire

#roadto10k #info #link

From today onwards, all advertising posts in @number_chat must be approved by @kate_smith. Any unapproved posts will be removed and repeated violations will result in a mute/ban.

#attention

Anonymous numbers are Telegram shares. How about this twist?

Imagine that there are 136,566 shares (even if some are more expensive than others). The shares are issued by the official Telegram team and are its assets. Each share in its final value is 1 unit (you can only create 1 account using the number +888, no matter how much you bought it for).

• Owning 1 number, you are the owner of 1/136,566 * 100% = 0.00073% of shares;
• 10 numbers are 0.0073% of shares;
• 100 numbers are 0.073% of shares;
• 1000 numbers are 0.73% of shares;

Now imagine that these shares grow in TON, TON grows in $, and these shares can be rented out, receiving passive income while you wait for Telegram + TON to grow. This growth is multiplicative.

#roadto10k

Have you ever ridden a swing? And taken a swing at cryptocurrency?

Remember the situation when in August 2023 the numbers were 380 ​​TON at TON $1.25. Or maybe you remember April 2024, the numbers were already 100 TON and TON $7.2? Does it remind you of a swing?

We'd even call it a double swing. Why? Because hamsters manage to get shaved as many as 2 times!

We already wrote about how hamsters were driven to buy numbers at the peak of 380 TON in August 2023 ($475). What did the many weak hands do who bought at the peak? They sold the numbers in Spring 2024 for 100 TON ($720) on panic. Do you think they sold with a profit of $245? No, they lost 280 TON ($2,016) at that time! And what did the person who bought TON at $1.25 in August 2023 and waited patiently for Spring 2024 do? Bought numbers for $245 more? No, 280 TON ($2,016) cheaper!

Also, recall the situation where many people sold numbers in Autumn 2023 for 200+ TON to then buy them back in Spring 2024 for 100 TON. It can be assumed that those who dumped numbers, had an insider and knew that TON will be pumped, and led the floor price. Some think that they have earned Xs and dumped a number for 1000$ in Spring 2024, and those who led the price and sold in advance earning 2000$, buy for profit from one number two from those who think that sells on ATH in Spring 2024. And as long as such an insider exists, the pyramid can grow.

We expect a similar situation this time. After ATH at 997 TON, the price is likely to drop to a range of 200-400 TON.

Now look at the attached picture. This picture is taken from a physics textbook, but it describes this situation perfectly. The X axis shows time, the Y axis shows the price of assets at the peak in TON. At the "crest of the wave" of Phase 1, people were buying numbers for 380 TON, and then the correction came (black chart). People hoped for growth and held it. Phase 2 shows the next asset on the "crest of the wave" (e.g. Tokenomania in Spring 2024) (red chart). People feeling FOMO and wanting to "win back" for numbers are forced to sell the asset from Phase 1 (numbers) at the "bottom of the wave" to buy a new asset (e.g. tokens) on the "crest of the wave" from Phase 2. And so the situation repeats. In Phase 3, people will be forced to sell assets from the previous phase (tokens) at the "bottom of the wave" to buy a new asset on the "crest of the wave" (blue chart) (e.g. Telegram Gifts (already done), Stickers, GameFi, Metaverses, another token hype or TON DNS).

It turns out to be a double swing: people lose funds twice, both on the "crest of the wave" and on its "bottom". How many such phases are there? Your beloved Kate Smith does not know. What to do to avoid losing and earn twice on such swings? Subscribe to our channel, read us and be friends with Kate Smith.

Remember the change in TON DNS mint prices. Remember that all the channels were happy about the price reduction? So it turned out that minting domains for 300 TON at the price of $1.25 was more profitable than for 100 TON at the price of $7.2! So we think that TON DNS hype falls into our conditional 3 Phase. This may happen at the end of 2025 or the beginning of 2026.

Alas, miracles do not happen. Crypto is not about mountains of gold from the sky. It is about the earnings of some at the expense of the losses of others (PvP). This is about 0.5% of smart/lucky/patient people with beautiful success stories that fuel FOMO at the next stages of the swing. This is business. Only the strongest most adaptable will survive. We wish you to be in that coveted 0.5% of the most adaptable ones!

#roadto10k

Market Maker on the Collectible Numbers market

We have already mentioned the correlation TON Price in $—Floor Price in TON. Also, in another posts (1,2), the Market Maker was mentioned. Today, we would like to describe in more detail what goals the market maker pursues in this market.

Why is this necessary? Understanding the basic fundamentals of the market, you can maneuver like a surfer on the waves, earning not only in bull markets, but also in bear markets, thereby multiplying your profit.

What goals does the market maker pursue:

1. Providing liquidity.
Numbers are one of the most liquid NFT collections on the TON blockchain.
Here you can see the volume of trading numbers for all time. As you can see, the number of purchases and sales remains approximately at the same level, which indicates that the market maker is actively participating in daily trading volumes. Only the average price and, accordingly, the trading volume increase, which results in point 2.

2. Gradual increase in the price of numbers in $.
For example: May 12, 2023 Floor Price 100 TON, TON $1.95 = $195;
March 25, 2024 Floor Price 100 TON, TON $5 = $500.
But no growth happens without healthy corrections, which results in point 3.

3. Shaking out weak hands.
The gradual increase in the price of numbers in $ occurs in cycles of cheap TON — expensive numbers in TON, expensive TON — cheap numbers in TON. Crypto is a zero-sum game, when your win is someone else's loss and vice versa.
For example: August 11, 2023: Floor Price 380 TON, TON $1.3 = $494;
26 March 2024: Floor Price 90 TON, TON $5.39 = $485.

4. Reduction of the free supply of TON (deflationary mechanism).
For example, you bought a number for $400 (300 TON) in August 2023 and sold it for $500 (100 TON) in March 2024. You rejoice in the $100 you earned (+25%), forgetting that you reduced your TON amount by 3 times (-67%) compared to if you had simply held TON during this time. You lost 200 TON, thereby potentially reducing the pressure on the order book and making it easier for the Market Maker to pump up the TON price.

5. Protection from Pump&Dump schemes.
Protection against sudden growth (building walls) was described in this post.
Protection against a sharp fall (automatic buyback and therefore maintaining the price at the minimum required level) was described in this post.

6. Marketing: creating successful stories of earnings by advanced investors, which only fuel the feeling of FOMO and create excellent opportunities for marketing. Imagine that you have 100 numbers and you can increase your collection by 2-3 times without investing a penny. This is possible if you understand how the market works.

A good or a bad market maker? This is a full-fledged market participant. Is the dealer in the casino good? — "Yes, only after his hands do I win" — you say. But, having entered the casino, you accepted its terms, including the fact that you can lose everything here.

Therefore, think with your own head. Understand the basic rules of the game, and then you will be able to analyze your mistakes. Invest only free money that you will not mind losing. Take moderate risks. And your favorite Kate Smith will help you at least not to lose.

#roadto10k

New ATH!

On October 11th, due to the unprecedented situation in the cryptocurrency market, TON briefly fell to $0.6 🤯

Some people asked me why TON was falling. Unlocks, probably 😂 Just kidding, it was just cascading liquidations, and the work of our beloved market maker, of course.

The floor price for numbers, accordingly, rose sharply, breaking an important psychological level of 1,000 TON and reaching a new ATH of 1,289 TON ($3,177).

As we explained earlier, the short-term dollar correlation worked perfectly in numbers. In dollar pair, the price recovered very quickly and, at the time of writing of this post, equals 1,050 TON ($2,388). We have no doubt that the TON price will return to $3 in the near future. Therefore, the floor price will likely fall below 1,000 TON (level that will have to be overcome again in 2026-2027).

Your favorite Kate Smith tried to trade numbers during this panic, but suffered a 704 TON ($2,190) loss 🙈. But she got a dopamine rush!
You have to try everything in life. Now it's clear that trading is definitely not my forte.

The moral of this story is: the holder outperforms the trader 99% of the time.

#roadto10k

We expect it to be TON DNS.

Why are we so confident?

1. This collection was created over three years ago, in August 2022. Gifts were created in late 2024, and six months later, their price was already 100-400x the initial price. TON DNS has many times more utilities than numbers, gifts, and usernames combined, so over three years of development, 100-400x is nothing to them. They will make thousands and tens of thousands of X's in the near future.

2. TON unlocks are ongoing. The ability to "freeze" TON from retailers and reduce potential pressure on the order book using NFTs is an excellent strategy. This is evidenced by Telegram unlocking many usernames and putting them up for auction (e.g., @devil).

3. The opportunity to sell a huge amount of TON on the hype. Imagine a situation where you can mint a 4L domain (0520.ton) for 100 TON ($220) now, but no one is interested. But when TON is $10, everyone will be interested in minting 100 TON ($1,000). Because that's human psychology 🤷‍♀️

4. Pavel Durov's post about a free internet, as well as the TON Foundation's coverage of the topic, clearly show that Web 3.0 has not been forgotten.

5. Domains must be renewed annually by sending a symbolic sum to the domain's smart contract address. Over the past three years, many domains have changed owners, some even several times. These assets have been redistributed from weak to strong hands, indicating that this market is ready to grow and move to the next level of maturity.

6. Marketing. TON DNS is similar to ENS Domains, with the difference being the ability to create products (TON wallet short name, Web 3.0 Website, TON Storage) for a billion-strong audience.

7. Regulators continue to block WEB 2.0 resources. In this regard, TON Browser should be a lifesaver.

UPD: This post was written before Pavel Durov's announcement of Cocoon. To avoid editing the information post-factum, we will stick to our thoughts and not deviate from them, even though AI was likely chosen as the next hype. Perhaps this is the essence of the lead-up to free Web 3.0 and TON DNS in particular. Only time will tell whether we are right or wrong.
#roadto10k