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❕ UAE stock markets to remain closed till March 3 amid regional tensions

Capital Market Authority said it would continue to monitor developments in the region and assess the situation on an ongoing basis.

πŸ”œ Key oil price forecasts:
β€’ Short-term. Brent could surge to $80-100+ on open, if no de-escalation.

β€’ 2026 average. Brent projected to average $63.85 per barrel.


πŸ”œ Stocks, S&P 500:
β€’ Short-term. Risk-off expected on Monday open; equities could drop 1-2% initially (or more if escalation), shift to safe havens (treasuries, gold). Volatility high due to oil spike fears.

β€’ 2026 average. S&P 500 projected to end 7,500-7,700, driven by earnings growth and AI/economic resilience.


πŸ”œ Crypto (Bitcoin):
β€’ Short-term. Further downside risk to $60k if broader equities tank; potential quick recovery if contained.

β€’ 2026 outlook. No major 2026-specific forecasts updated post-conflict, so check out the recent post.


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πŸ’Ž Pavel Durov left Dubai a week ago

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⭐ The Most Important Only.

β€”
US and Israel launch strikes on Iran

β€” Russia opens criminal case against Durov

β€” UAE stock markets to remain closed till March 3

β€” $2T Barclays is exploring blockchain

β€” US macro data (January PPI)

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⚑️ Brent oil surges 13% to $82 per barrel at open after Iran strikes, gold rises 1.6% at open

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πŸ“£ Arthur Hayes argues that a prolonged US-Iran conflict could push the Fed to print money, sending BTC higher

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πŸ” Tron tops stablecoin supply growth with a $1.6B net increase in February, while Ethereum sees the largest decline

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πŸͺ™ Around 9.09M BTC are currently sitting at a loss, per CryptoQuant analyst

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❕ S&P 500 falls to $6,878, gold rises to $5,404

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Media is too big
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❕ Trump says Iranian bombing campaign could last a week or as long as β€˜necessary’

William Jackson, chief emerging markets economist at Capital Economics, said that prolonged conflict affecting supply could cause oil prices to jump to around $100, potentially adding 0.6-0.7 percentage points to global inflation.

The conflict could also add to demand for US Treasuries whose yields have been falling in the past few weeks.

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πŸ” European natural gas futures surged more than 20% to €39/MWh, hitting a one-month high

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πŸͺ™ While equities and oil plunged, Bitcoin held its ground near $66,000

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⚑️ 𝕏 removes crypto AD ban, allowing paid promotions

Influencers must use Paid Partnership labels and disclosures, while the crypto community debates enforcement and the risks of a future ban.

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πŸ” Aluminum rise to $3,247/Tonne

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πŸ”₯ Digital asset investment products recorded $1B in inflows last week, ending a five-week $4B outflow streak

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πŸͺ™ Strategy has acquired 3,015 BTC for ~$204.1 million

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πŸ”–πŸ”–β¬œοΈπŸ”– > $67,000

UPD: Current price is $70,000

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❕ Trump on the situation in Iran:

β€’ β€œThey would soon have missiles capable of reaching America.”

β€’ β€œThe Iranian regime had missiles capable of striking Europe.”

β€’ β€œIran refused to stop developing nuclear weapons.”

β€’ β€œWe projected 4–5 weeks, but it may take longer.”

β€’ β€œWe are ahead of schedule.”

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πŸ”₯ The UAE and Qatar are reportedly urging President Trump to move toward a quicker end to the conflict with Iran, seeking de-escalation and a diplomatic resolution

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πŸ” Around $90,000,000,000 added to the total crypto market cap in the past 10 hours

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πŸͺ™ Bitcoin positive sentiment hits its highest level since February 6th as BTC rallies 7% and nearly breaches $70K

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