JAY ALPHA
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my trades and shit. i yap a lot.
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This is me trying to shake the crypto pvp mindset in a crypto bear market while stocks are in extreme bull market
JAY ALPHA
Now that I’m thinking about it, I’m probably selling $ORCL too soon here after such a strong 200d sma reclaim. I’ll look to rebuy it again if it pulls back to test $208-210 may have to frontrun idk
I bet it’ll get tested again. It’s software pushing against the negative correlation with semis so this trend flip prob battles out UNLESS IN THIS NEW PARADIGM EVERYTHING GOES UP UP AND UP AND I NEVER GET RE-ENTRY BECAUSE IM A DIRTY PAPERHANDED JEET
Blue and Devin my stock goats have slapped some sense into me. I am buying orcl, now, msft early next week likely monday
“In crypto, it's just news catalysts with no real inherent value. Whereas with confirmation in tradfi, it's a go signal to blast size and hold for years to decades”
I cannot stress how much more difficult it is to stay long term successful in crypto than stocks lol tradfi is infinitely easier you can be dumb as rocks and still make hella
Imagine this macro situation develops:

Iran clearly hasnt agreed to shit post ceasefire, and all these headlines are some type of financial, geopolitical warfare.

So, US/Israel will continue posturing themselves as trying to make a deal but time is ticking down against them as they are expending every last card to prop up markets. Iran still won’t budge and many experts say they won’t either.

So how can US/Israel manufacture a win?

I think at this point they’ve jawboned oil down at all costs and pulled all strings with currency manipulation to protect financial markets, giving them new highs on markets = enough room for them to pull some geopolitical moves again.

Remember they keep posturing themselves now as the ones to make a deal and drag everyone else into making this deal, so… if serious conflict was somehow to break out again “because Iran made the first move ;);)” then even more global pressure is stacked against Iran to concede and a real deal gets made shortly after. I think this scenario would create the positioning washout for healthy bull market continuation up until midterms
I don’t think June inflation data / fomc is the trigger for a pullback
^^ this is me looking out for catalysts that may fit my bias and then i look for setups around these if they occur. I like outlining them beforehand so I feel prepared for anything. Idk if this makes sense to people lol i rarely write these yap thoughts down
JAY ALPHA
Blue and Devin my stock goats have slapped some sense into me. I am buying orcl, now, msft early next week likely monday
I’m gonna buy premarket on these names

$orcl
$now
$pltr
$msft

In order of size top down. Structurally orcl looks best, so I will size it more but not sure. Maybe I just blast equal size in all and walk away
^^ these + $nok $lpth $amzn $mrvl $crcl

$hype long
$btc shorts (big hedge)
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Prob holding longs up until spacex ipo so ~week
JAY ALPHA
I’m gonna buy premarket on these names $orcl $now $pltr $msft In order of size top down. Structurally orcl looks best, so I will size it more but not sure. Maybe I just blast equal size in all and walk away
I think the “leader” for this software trade to look at is $IGV and it reclaimed 200d sma friday. This is the “bitcoin” to trade your “alts” off of.
I think btc continues weakness while igv gains strength

Ik its been correlated as of late but ye trend breaks imo
Fairly contrarian, but some traders have put me on longing China pretty hard H2
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Eyeing $BIDU and $BABA to express this trade^
I will slam it pretty hard in June sometime. Charts all look reallllllllllly good. Great setups and r/r
JAY ALPHA
USOIL looking like a good hedge long here
I didn’t take this but it was free $88->$93
Keep $GLXY in your watchlist. As neocloud stocks are rallying hard, the market continues to misprice Glxy as mostly crypto company instead of mostly AI revenue company very soon.