I have been looking for important values in a bunch of data in different topics. (geography , demographics , growth rate , vaccination rate , GDP , future , etc.)
i somehow could link all of those data and reached to a conclusion 😅
[By GDP i mean Nominal GDP]
China will surpass USA before 2030 (based on data from IMF , in 2026 its GDP will be equal to the GDP of USA [in 2021]).
but India is a great threat to the hegemony of China in South China sea and Indian Ocean. the growth rate of India is high (it is predicted that it will be 6-6.5 % annually). it would be higher if there were no Covid-19 virus and its variants at all. it had a high impact on India's GDP growth rate (+4 % —> -8 %).
India's GDP growth rate for 2021 is predicted to be 8.5 % (it was 12.5 % , but the 2nd wave of Covid-19 in India had a high impact on this factor).
[in fact Covid-19 was beneficial to China , the GDP growth of China was 2.5 % in 2019 , but it was 8.5 % for 2020. based on the data from IMF it will be 5.5 % annually (average)]
India's strategy against the China's String of Pearl [and Belt & Road Initiative (BRI)] is the Necklace of Diamonds Strategy (NDS) .
In comparison , China's BRI is wider than NDS but NDS seemed more promising before the invasion Afghanistan by Taliban (Because China would not have any arrangements for BRI if they can't deal with Taiwan).
The same thing in BRI and NDS is (Central Asia-Afghanistan-Iran) route [take a look at the map of both of them] , but after the invasion of Afghanistan , India lost her opportunity in Afghanistan. This makes Russia and China happy [Russia also have more control on Central Asia] because the gate to the Central Asia is Afghanistan.
On the other hand the invasion of Afghanistan is bad for China , Russia and Iran :
China —> Taliban are like Uyghurs , and what Uyghurs seek is independency !
Russia —> The rise of Terrorist organizations is bad for the dominance of Russia over Central Asia. Also in the era of cold war USA , Pakistan and Saudi Arabia funded Taliban and fucked Soviet Union 😂
Iran —> Taliban make the borders of Iran insecure , which makes Iran to increase the budget on military , also some Members of Taliban can immigrant to Iran (as an ordinary Afghan refugee) and make Iran insecure !
But if they could cope with this situation (making a deal with Taliban , etc.) then that wont be a problem !
Also after the Sino-Iranian Agreement , Indians exited Chabahar port [which was a part of NDS].
it would be more beneficial to Iran if they had deal with both India and China (negotiation for the best choice) 😅
but the weakness of ideological governments (like Iran) is the lack of logic in their decisions. The government officials care about their own benefits and ideologies. Also ideological governments are easily predictable.
on the other hand Russia is worse than Israel for Iran. Russia is angry with China. So Russia is going to replace Iran with its own alternative [Central Asia is a choice for Russia which is under her control] (anyways Fuck Russia ! 😂)
everything is fine for China , except its demographics [Demographics of China sucks in long term (20-30 years)].
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Demographics_of_China#/media/File:China_sex_by_age_20201101.png
CCP should find a solution to this problem , otherwise it will be surpassed by India in the future 😢 (they should liberalize child policy instead of 3 Child policy)
Also they have done something bad which will increase unemployment rate :
https://www.cnbc.com/2021/08/05/chinas-harsh-education-crackdown-sends-parents-businesses-scrambling.html
Best Demographics belongs to Pakistan [1st] and India [2nd] :
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Demographics_of_Pakistan#/media/File:Pakistan_single_age_population_pyramid_2020.png
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Demographics_of_India#/media/File:India_single_age_population_pyramid_2020.png
The worst Demographic belongs to Singapore , South Korea , Taiwan and Hong Kong 😢
i somehow could link all of those data and reached to a conclusion 😅
[By GDP i mean Nominal GDP]
China will surpass USA before 2030 (based on data from IMF , in 2026 its GDP will be equal to the GDP of USA [in 2021]).
but India is a great threat to the hegemony of China in South China sea and Indian Ocean. the growth rate of India is high (it is predicted that it will be 6-6.5 % annually). it would be higher if there were no Covid-19 virus and its variants at all. it had a high impact on India's GDP growth rate (+4 % —> -8 %).
India's GDP growth rate for 2021 is predicted to be 8.5 % (it was 12.5 % , but the 2nd wave of Covid-19 in India had a high impact on this factor).
[in fact Covid-19 was beneficial to China , the GDP growth of China was 2.5 % in 2019 , but it was 8.5 % for 2020. based on the data from IMF it will be 5.5 % annually (average)]
India's strategy against the China's String of Pearl [and Belt & Road Initiative (BRI)] is the Necklace of Diamonds Strategy (NDS) .
In comparison , China's BRI is wider than NDS but NDS seemed more promising before the invasion Afghanistan by Taliban (Because China would not have any arrangements for BRI if they can't deal with Taiwan).
The same thing in BRI and NDS is (Central Asia-Afghanistan-Iran) route [take a look at the map of both of them] , but after the invasion of Afghanistan , India lost her opportunity in Afghanistan. This makes Russia and China happy [Russia also have more control on Central Asia] because the gate to the Central Asia is Afghanistan.
On the other hand the invasion of Afghanistan is bad for China , Russia and Iran :
China —> Taliban are like Uyghurs , and what Uyghurs seek is independency !
Russia —> The rise of Terrorist organizations is bad for the dominance of Russia over Central Asia. Also in the era of cold war USA , Pakistan and Saudi Arabia funded Taliban and fucked Soviet Union 😂
Iran —> Taliban make the borders of Iran insecure , which makes Iran to increase the budget on military , also some Members of Taliban can immigrant to Iran (as an ordinary Afghan refugee) and make Iran insecure !
But if they could cope with this situation (making a deal with Taliban , etc.) then that wont be a problem !
Also after the Sino-Iranian Agreement , Indians exited Chabahar port [which was a part of NDS].
it would be more beneficial to Iran if they had deal with both India and China (negotiation for the best choice) 😅
but the weakness of ideological governments (like Iran) is the lack of logic in their decisions. The government officials care about their own benefits and ideologies. Also ideological governments are easily predictable.
on the other hand Russia is worse than Israel for Iran. Russia is angry with China. So Russia is going to replace Iran with its own alternative [Central Asia is a choice for Russia which is under her control] (anyways Fuck Russia ! 😂)
everything is fine for China , except its demographics [Demographics of China sucks in long term (20-30 years)].
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Demographics_of_China#/media/File:China_sex_by_age_20201101.png
CCP should find a solution to this problem , otherwise it will be surpassed by India in the future 😢 (they should liberalize child policy instead of 3 Child policy)
Also they have done something bad which will increase unemployment rate :
https://www.cnbc.com/2021/08/05/chinas-harsh-education-crackdown-sends-parents-businesses-scrambling.html
Best Demographics belongs to Pakistan [1st] and India [2nd] :
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Demographics_of_Pakistan#/media/File:Pakistan_single_age_population_pyramid_2020.png
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Demographics_of_India#/media/File:India_single_age_population_pyramid_2020.png
The worst Demographic belongs to Singapore , South Korea , Taiwan and Hong Kong 😢
Wikipedia
Demographics of China
The People's Republic of China is the second most-populous country in the world with a population exceeding 1.4 billion, only surpassed by India. Historically, China has always been one of the most populated regions of the world.[citation needed]
Our Demographics would be great if Iran had been a great country in a special industry (like Indonesia in railroad or Taiwan in semiconductors). most of the Iranians are young (26-35 years old) , and they all will become old after 20-30 years.
But stupid government officials are going to shutdown the Internet (increase censorship and this makes Iranians more angry with them)
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Demographics_of_Iran#/media/File:Iran_single_age_population_pyramid_2020.png
USA have already wasted 10 years of Iranians lives. (negative GDP growth rate for 5 years because of the huge shock from more sanctions of USA from 2011 [+ sanctions in the era of 1979-2011])
https://data.worldbank.org/indicator/NY.GDP.MKTP.KD.ZG?end=2020&locations=IR&start=2010
"$1 trillion damage" , our prime minister said.
https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2021/2/21/us-sanctions-inflicted-1-trillion-damage-on-irans-economy-fm
But stupid government officials are going to shutdown the Internet (increase censorship and this makes Iranians more angry with them)
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Demographics_of_Iran#/media/File:Iran_single_age_population_pyramid_2020.png
USA have already wasted 10 years of Iranians lives. (negative GDP growth rate for 5 years because of the huge shock from more sanctions of USA from 2011 [+ sanctions in the era of 1979-2011])
https://data.worldbank.org/indicator/NY.GDP.MKTP.KD.ZG?end=2020&locations=IR&start=2010
"$1 trillion damage" , our prime minister said.
https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2021/2/21/us-sanctions-inflicted-1-trillion-damage-on-irans-economy-fm
Wikipedia
Demographics of Iran
Iran's population increased dramatically during the later half of the 20th century, reaching about 80 million by 2016. As of November 2024[update], Iran's population is around 91.5 million. In recent years, however, Iran's birth rate has dropped significantly.…
the population of Saudi Arabian men is higher but polygamy is allowed !
Also almost 10 % of Saudi Arabian women married foreigners (Yemen , Kuwait , Pakistan , etc.)
Also almost 10 % of Saudi Arabian women married foreigners (Yemen , Kuwait , Pakistan , etc.)