🇺🇦🇷🇺 63% of Ukrainians now say they know at least one close relative or friend who have died in the war, with the average number being three.

This is a huge increase from the last survey in February, which found only 17% of Ukrainians reported a loss, while the figure in September of 2022 was just 9%. This firmly suggests the Bakhmut Meat Grinder did its job and that the Ukrainian counter-offensive is going as poorly as previously thought.

Also of note is that deaths are concentrated regionally: 69% in the West, and just 52% in the East. This implies heavier losses from the main bastions of Ukrainian Nationalists. The implications of that are pretty obvious.

- Link to the original survey data by KIIS

📝 This post was made back on June 29th. The official arrival of the Ukrainian manpower shortage was something this channel had been predicting for months, just like many of our colleagues in the rest of the infospace.

We even called the munitions crisis all the way back in January. Now both of these critical defects in the Ukrainian war effort are mainstream takes in Western Press.

What a pity it took hundreds of thousands of casualties before they admitted the need for peace talks. The end result that is now coming into view was always predictable.

🇷🇺🇺🇦 The Russians are preparing a new massive assault on Avdeevka, the American Institute for the Study of War believes.

This will be the third series of major assault operations, writes ISW, citing Ukrainian and Russian expert statements.

One of the Russian military commanders noted that Russian troops near Avdeevka are conducting a tactical regrouping. In his opinion, the target of potential offensive operations will be the Avdiivka coke plant.

The head of Avdeevka, Vitaly Barabash, said that Russian troops would resume assaults when the soil dries out after the recent worsening of the weather.

🇬🇳 ❗️Shooting can be heard near the presidential headquarters in Guinea's capital - Reuters

🇷🇺🇺🇦🐷 There is mourning on the far-right channels - the administrator of the TG channel of the Nazi group Misanthropic division, Maxim Bodyak, died in the Zaporozhye direction.

🇵🇱 ❗️Former Polish President Lech Walesa said that, according to his information, terrorist attacks are being prepared in Poland after the elections

“Not everything in Poland ended with elections. I have information that a number of events are planned, including those of a terrorist nature. The party that lost the elections is capable of anything not to give up power,” Walesa wrote on Facebook.

🇷🇺🇵🇸❗️There is progress in negotiations on the return of Russians from Hamas captivity, Peskov said

🇮🇱🇵🇸 Footage of the combat work of IDF engineering units in the Gaza Strip.

Sappers clear the area and ensure the safe movement of armored vehicles in the offensive zone.

🇵🇸🇮🇱 Footage of battles between Hamas and the IDF in urban areas.

Multiple defeats of Merkava and heavy armored personnel carriers by grenade launchers from shelters, as well as the destruction of an abandoned engineering bulldozer.

🇮🇱🇹🇷❗️Turkey's decision to recall its ambassador from Tel Aviv puts Ankara one step closer to supporting Hamas - Israeli Foreign Ministry.

🇵🇸🇮🇱 Footage of another Palestinian ambush on an Israeli Merkava Mk.3.