๐ท๐บ๐บ๐ฆ๐บ๐ฒ Soldiers from the 71st Motorized Rifle Regiment shared with us gorgeous photos of the destroyed American M2 Bradley infantry fighting vehicles.
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๐ท๐บ๐บ๐ฆ A strike by an FPV kamikaze operator from the 1st Slavyansk Brigade of the 1st Donetsk Army Corps on a tank of the Armed Forces of Ukraine in the Avdiivka direction.
๐บ๐ฒ๐บ๐ฆโก Security guarantees for Ukraine to be announced today - White House
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๐ท๐บ๐บ๐ฆ๐บ๐ฒ Soldiers of the RF Armed Forces and the BMP M2 Bradley ODA-SA of the Armed Forces of Ukraine abandoned by the enemy in the Zaporozhye direction.
๐บ๐ฆ๐ถ Ella Libanova, Director of the Institute for Demography and Social Studies of the National Academy of Sciences of Ukraine has a piece on the demographic situation there.
โช๏ธ Ms. Libanova predicts Ukrainian TFR was only 0.90 in 2022 & may be as low as 0.70 in 2023.She also predicts that TFR will return to the level of 1.3โ1.4 only in the 2030s. However, she states TFR was 1.2 in 2021 when it was possibly higher as the population may have been inflated.
โช๏ธ She also predicts that Ukraines population (within 1991 borders) will only be just north of 30M by 2035. That is down from ~52M in 1989. So Ukraine will have lost more than 20M people in under five decades (larger than the current population of Romania!).
โช๏ธ If the postwar TFR recovery is as modest as Ms. Libanova fears+TFR stays stuck ~1.4 instead of more healthy territory like 1.6-1.7 then Ukraineโs catastrophic demographic decline is basically assured to continue.
- Aaronal16
โช๏ธ Ms. Libanova predicts Ukrainian TFR was only 0.90 in 2022 & may be as low as 0.70 in 2023.She also predicts that TFR will return to the level of 1.3โ1.4 only in the 2030s. However, she states TFR was 1.2 in 2021 when it was possibly higher as the population may have been inflated.
โช๏ธ She also predicts that Ukraines population (within 1991 borders) will only be just north of 30M by 2035. That is down from ~52M in 1989. So Ukraine will have lost more than 20M people in under five decades (larger than the current population of Romania!).
โช๏ธ If the postwar TFR recovery is as modest as Ms. Libanova fears+TFR stays stuck ~1.4 instead of more healthy territory like 1.6-1.7 then Ukraineโs catastrophic demographic decline is basically assured to continue.
- Aaronal16
Intel Slava Z
๐บ๐ฆ๐ถ Ella Libanova, Director of the Institute for Demography and Social Studies of the National Academy of Sciences of Ukraine has a piece on the demographic situation there. โช๏ธ Ms. Libanova predicts Ukrainian TFR was only 0.90 in 2022 & may be as low as 0.70โฆ
Admin Comment: To the last Ukrainian, indeed...
๐บ๐ธ๐ฆ Interesting comment from a BoA analyst. If the full implications of interest rare hikes get baked into financial markets interest payments would rise by the equivalent of Japanese and German GDP combined. Post-QE global economy is way over-leveraged!
- Philip Pilkington
- Philip Pilkington
Intel Slava Z
๐บ๐ธ๐ฆ Interesting comment from a BoA analyst. If the full implications of interest rare hikes get baked into financial markets interest payments would rise by the equivalent of Japanese and German GDP combined. Post-QE global economy is way over-leveraged! โฆ
UnHerd
Is a 2008-style credit crisis imminent?
As a slew of banks wither from the Federal Reserveโs tight money policies, the noose is finally tightening in credit markets. Monetary policy impacts the economy in two ways. First, it makes the cost of credit โ the interest rate โ more expensive, which discouragesโฆ
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๐ท๐บ๐บ๐ฆ The defeat of the Ukrainian armored personnel carrier YPR-765 by an FPV drone.
๐ท๐บ๐บ๐ฆ FPV drone strikes of the 1st Slavyansk brigade on a tank and infantry fighting vehicles of the Armed Forces of Ukraine in the Avdeevka direction.
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๐ท๐บ๐บ๐ฆ Accurate work of a sniper pair of DPR on the Ukrainian military.