infinityhedge
*US FEB. CONSUMER PRICES RISE 0.2% M/M; EST. +0.3% FEB. CORE CPI RISES 3.1% Y/Y, EST. +3.2% *US FEB. CORE CPI RISES 0.2% M/M, EST. +0.3% *US FEB. CONSUMER PRICES RISE 2.8% Y/Y; EST. +2.9%
US CPI MOM ACTUAL -0.1% (FORECAST 0.1%, PREVIOUS 0.2%)
US CPI YOY ACTUAL 2.4% (FORECAST 2.5%, PREVIOUS 2.8%)
US CORE CPI YOY ACTUAL 2.8% (FORECAST 3%, PREVIOUS 3.1%)
US CORE CPI MOM ACTUAL 0.1% (FORECAST 0.3%, PREVIOUS 0.2%)
US INITIAL JOBLESS CLAIMS ACTUAL 223K (FORECAST 223K, PREVIOUS 219K)
US CONTINUED JOBLESS CLAIMS ACTUAL 1.850M (FORECAST 1.884M, PREVIOUS 1.903M)
*Atlanta Fed Barkin doesnβt see the impact of tariffs showing up until June as firms first run down existing inventories.
*Amazon CEO on Tariffs: We have done some strategic forward inventory buys; Thinks sellers will pass cost on to customers.
*Apple chartered cargo flights to ferry 600 tons of iPhones/1.5M iphones to US from India to beat tariffs.
US CPI YOY ACTUAL 2.4% (FORECAST 2.5%, PREVIOUS 2.8%)
US CORE CPI YOY ACTUAL 2.8% (FORECAST 3%, PREVIOUS 3.1%)
US CORE CPI MOM ACTUAL 0.1% (FORECAST 0.3%, PREVIOUS 0.2%)
US INITIAL JOBLESS CLAIMS ACTUAL 223K (FORECAST 223K, PREVIOUS 219K)
US CONTINUED JOBLESS CLAIMS ACTUAL 1.850M (FORECAST 1.884M, PREVIOUS 1.903M)
*Atlanta Fed Barkin doesnβt see the impact of tariffs showing up until June as firms first run down existing inventories.
*Amazon CEO on Tariffs: We have done some strategic forward inventory buys; Thinks sellers will pass cost on to customers.
*Apple chartered cargo flights to ferry 600 tons of iPhones/1.5M iphones to US from India to beat tariffs.
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infinityhedge
*TRUMP RAISES TARIFFS ON CHINA TO 125% EFFECTIVE IMMEDIATELY
US TARIFFS ON CHINA NOW AT LEAST 145% AFTER LATEST HIKE
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NASDAQ 100 SELLOFF DEEPENS TO 6.3%; S&P 500 FALLS 5.5%
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TRUMP THREATENS ADDITIONAL TARIFFS, SANCTIONS ON MEXICO OVER WATER RIGHTS
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CHINA TO INCREASE TARIFFS ON US GOODS TO 125% FROM 84% EFFECTIVE APRIL 12
CHINA: WILL IGNORE US IF IT KEEPS IMPOSING TARIFFS FURTHER (Earlier Trump said "I Can't Imagine Further Increase of Tariffs on China")
*CHINA: IT NO LONGER MAKES ECONOMIC SENSE IF US IMPOSES MORE TARIFFS; IF US INSISTS ON CONTINUING TO SUBSTANTIALLY INFRINGE UPON CHINA'S RIGHTS, INTERESTS, CHINA WILL RESOLUTELY COUNTERATTACK AND FIGHT TO THE END
CHINA: WILL IGNORE US IF IT KEEPS IMPOSING TARIFFS FURTHER (Earlier Trump said "I Can't Imagine Further Increase of Tariffs on China")
*CHINA: IT NO LONGER MAKES ECONOMIC SENSE IF US IMPOSES MORE TARIFFS; IF US INSISTS ON CONTINUING TO SUBSTANTIALLY INFRINGE UPON CHINA'S RIGHTS, INTERESTS, CHINA WILL RESOLUTELY COUNTERATTACK AND FIGHT TO THE END
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infinityhedge
The Week Ahead: Mon/31: *AI: Midjourney V7 release Tue/01: April Foolβs Day *GameStopβs $1.3B convertible notes sale expected to close Wed/02: *Trumpβs Tariff βLiberation Dayβ (reciprocal tariffs); Canada, China, EU is set to impose retaliatory tariffs;β¦
The Week Ahead | @infinityhedge
Mon/14:
β’Trump to provide details on Semiconductor tariffs
β’Saylor expected to announce BTC purchase
β’FTC vs Meta Trial: It could force meta to unwind its acquisition of WhatsApp & Instagram
β’Katy Perry & five other women incl. Bezos's fiancΓ©e are set to blast into space on Blue Origin rocket at 14:30 BST
Tue/15: Tax Day
Wed/16:
β’Fed Chair Powell Speaks at 13:30 ET
β’WTO to release global trade forecasts
Fri/18: Good Friday: markets closed
Sat/19: Protests against Trump and his policies all over the U.S.
WHOLE WEEK:
β’Trump Tariffs, More Details
β’Bank Earnings
β’OpenAIβs Announcement Week: New Models, Might Open Source some Model
Reads and charts are in group
Mon/14:
β’Trump to provide details on Semiconductor tariffs
β’Saylor expected to announce BTC purchase
β’FTC vs Meta Trial: It could force meta to unwind its acquisition of WhatsApp & Instagram
β’Katy Perry & five other women incl. Bezos's fiancΓ©e are set to blast into space on Blue Origin rocket at 14:30 BST
Tue/15: Tax Day
Wed/16:
β’Fed Chair Powell Speaks at 13:30 ET
β’WTO to release global trade forecasts
Fri/18: Good Friday: markets closed
Sat/19: Protests against Trump and his policies all over the U.S.
WHOLE WEEK:
β’Trump Tariffs, More Details
β’Bank Earnings
β’OpenAIβs Announcement Week: New Models, Might Open Source some Model
Reads and charts are in group
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Earlier Today:
TRUMP: MARKETS VERY STRONG ONCE THEY GOT USED TO TARIFFS
TRUMP: NVIDIA'S ANNOUNCEMENT TO MANUFACTURE AMERICAN MADE AI SUPERCOMPUTERS IN US FOR FIRST TIME CAME BECAUSE OF THE ELECTION AND TARIFFS
TRUMP ON EXEMPTIONS: LOOKING AT HELPING CAR COMPANIES WITH TARIFFS, COMPANIES NEED A LITTLE BIT OF TIME; I'M A VERY FLEXIBLE PERSON. I DON'T CHANGE MY MIND, BUT I'M FLEXIBLE
TRUMP: CHINA, VIETNAM MEETING TO FIGURE OUT HOW TO HURT US
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*US STARTS CHIPS, PHARMA PROBE AHEAD OF PLEDGED TRUMP TARIFFS
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Latest:
BESSENT: TARIFFS ON CHINA ARE 'FAR FROM A JOKE'; TARIFFS ON CHINA ARE BIG NUMBERS, NO ONE THINKS THEY'RE SUSTAINABLE AND WANTS THEM TO REMAIN
US TREASURY SECRETARY BESSENT: THINKING ABOUT SUCCESSOR FOR FED'S POWELL, WILL START INTERVIEWING CANDIDATES IN THE FALL
BESSENT: THE VIX SPIKED, AND HAS LIKELY PEAKED
TRUMP: MARKETS VERY STRONG ONCE THEY GOT USED TO TARIFFS
TRUMP: NVIDIA'S ANNOUNCEMENT TO MANUFACTURE AMERICAN MADE AI SUPERCOMPUTERS IN US FOR FIRST TIME CAME BECAUSE OF THE ELECTION AND TARIFFS
TRUMP ON EXEMPTIONS: LOOKING AT HELPING CAR COMPANIES WITH TARIFFS, COMPANIES NEED A LITTLE BIT OF TIME; I'M A VERY FLEXIBLE PERSON. I DON'T CHANGE MY MIND, BUT I'M FLEXIBLE
TRUMP: CHINA, VIETNAM MEETING TO FIGURE OUT HOW TO HURT US
------------------
*US STARTS CHIPS, PHARMA PROBE AHEAD OF PLEDGED TRUMP TARIFFS
------------------
Latest:
BESSENT: TARIFFS ON CHINA ARE 'FAR FROM A JOKE'; TARIFFS ON CHINA ARE BIG NUMBERS, NO ONE THINKS THEY'RE SUSTAINABLE AND WANTS THEM TO REMAIN
US TREASURY SECRETARY BESSENT: THINKING ABOUT SUCCESSOR FOR FED'S POWELL, WILL START INTERVIEWING CANDIDATES IN THE FALL
BESSENT: THE VIX SPIKED, AND HAS LIKELY PEAKED
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US TO IMPOSE 21% DUTY ON MEXICO TOMATOES STARTING JULY 14
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CHINA ORDERS HALT TO BOEING JET DELIVERIES AS TRADE WAR EXPANDS
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BINANCE CRYPTO EXCHANGE DOWN DUE TO A TEMPORARY NETWORK INTERRUPTION IN THE AWS DATA CENTER
BINANCE: TO KEEP SAFE WE SUSPEND THE WITHDRAW SERVICE
MEXC EXCHANGE DOWN
KUCOIN EXCHANGE DOWN
RABBY WALLET DOWN
UPDATE: BINANCE: ALL SERVICES ARE STARTING TO RECOVER AND RESUME. WITHDRAWALS HAVE ALSO REOPENED
BINANCE: TO KEEP SAFE WE SUSPEND THE WITHDRAW SERVICE
MEXC EXCHANGE DOWN
KUCOIN EXCHANGE DOWN
RABBY WALLET DOWN
UPDATE: BINANCE: ALL SERVICES ARE STARTING TO RECOVER AND RESUME. WITHDRAWALS HAVE ALSO REOPENED
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EU EXPECTS US TARIFFS TO REMAIN AS TALKS MAKE LITTLE PROGRESS
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WHITE HOUSE: BALL IS IN CHINA'S COURT; CHINA NEEDS TO MAKE A DEAL WITH US; WE DON'T HAVE TO MAKE A DEAL WITH THEM
WH: "Thereβs no difference between China and any other country except they are much larger, and China wants what we have, what every country wants, what we have β the American consumer β or to put another way, they need our money"
WH: "Thereβs no difference between China and any other country except they are much larger, and China wants what we have, what every country wants, what we have β the American consumer β or to put another way, they need our money"
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infinityhedge
GOLD HITS RECORD HIGH, RISES TO $3,100
GOLD HITS RECORD HIGH, RISES TO $3,300
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POWELL: ECONOMIC IMPACT OF TARIFFS LIKELY LARGER THAN EXPECTED
POWELL: INFLATIONARY EFFECTS OF TARIFFS MAY BE MORE PERSISTENT
POWELL: INFLATIONARY EFFECTS OF TARIFFS MAY BE MORE PERSISTENT
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POWELL: MAY FIND OURSELVES IN SCENARIO WITH MANDATES IN TENSION
POWELL: WELL POSITIONED TO WAIT FOR MORE CLARITY FOR TIME BEING
POWELL: CANβT HAVE STRONG LABOR MARKET WITHOUT PRICE STABILITY
POWELL: EFFECTS OF POLICY WILL LIKELY MOVE THE FED AWAY FROM ITS GOALS
POWELL: WILL BE MOVING AWAY FROM GOALS FOR THE BALANCE OF THIS YEAR, PERHAPS CAN RESUME NEXT YEAR
POWELL: TARIFFS LARGER THAN WE EXPECTED EVEN IN OUR UPSIDE CASE
POWELL: WELL POSITIONED TO WAIT FOR MORE CLARITY FOR TIME BEING
POWELL: CANβT HAVE STRONG LABOR MARKET WITHOUT PRICE STABILITY
POWELL: EFFECTS OF POLICY WILL LIKELY MOVE THE FED AWAY FROM ITS GOALS
POWELL: WILL BE MOVING AWAY FROM GOALS FOR THE BALANCE OF THIS YEAR, PERHAPS CAN RESUME NEXT YEAR
POWELL: TARIFFS LARGER THAN WE EXPECTED EVEN IN OUR UPSIDE CASE
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CHINA PIVOTS FROM US TO CANADA FOR MORE OIL AMID TRADE WAR
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Q: Is there a Fed put for the stock market?
Powell: "I'm going to say no, with an explanation..."
POWELL: THE TARIFF SHOCK PUSHES TOWARD HIGHER UNEMPLOYMENT, HIGHER INLFATION
POWELL: COULD WELL BE IN SITUATION WHERE NEED TO MAKE A DIFFICULT DECISION
POWELL: IT WILL BE A DIFFICULT JUDGEMENT IF THE FED'S MANDATES DO COME INTO CONFLICT
POWELL: IF RISKS WERE STRUCTURALLY HIGHER, THAT WOULD MAKE US LESS ATTRACTIVE
POWELL: RESERVES ARE STILL ABUNDANT; NOT CLOSE TO THE POINT WHERE THE FED WOULD STOP BALANCE SHEET RUNOFF ALTOGETHER
POWELL: THE SLOWER THE FED GOES THE SMALLER THE BALANCE SHEET CAN GET WITHOUT DISRUPTION
POWELL: THE FED IS NOT GOING TO BE INFLUENCED BY POLITICAL PRESSURE
*S&P 500 EXTENDS DECLINE TO 2.5%, NASDAQ 100 DOWN 3.5%
Powell: "I'm going to say no, with an explanation..."
POWELL: THE TARIFF SHOCK PUSHES TOWARD HIGHER UNEMPLOYMENT, HIGHER INLFATION
POWELL: COULD WELL BE IN SITUATION WHERE NEED TO MAKE A DIFFICULT DECISION
POWELL: IT WILL BE A DIFFICULT JUDGEMENT IF THE FED'S MANDATES DO COME INTO CONFLICT
POWELL: IF RISKS WERE STRUCTURALLY HIGHER, THAT WOULD MAKE US LESS ATTRACTIVE
POWELL: RESERVES ARE STILL ABUNDANT; NOT CLOSE TO THE POINT WHERE THE FED WOULD STOP BALANCE SHEET RUNOFF ALTOGETHER
POWELL: THE SLOWER THE FED GOES THE SMALLER THE BALANCE SHEET CAN GET WITHOUT DISRUPTION
POWELL: THE FED IS NOT GOING TO BE INFLUENCED BY POLITICAL PRESSURE
*S&P 500 EXTENDS DECLINE TO 2.5%, NASDAQ 100 DOWN 3.5%
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TRUMP: POWELLβS TERMINATION CANNOT COME FAST ENOUGH!
TRUMP: FED SHOULD HAVE LOWERED INTEREST RATES LONG AGO; POWELL IS ALWAYS TOO LATE AND WRONG
TRUMP: FED SHOULD HAVE LOWERED INTEREST RATES LONG AGO; POWELL IS ALWAYS TOO LATE AND WRONG
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TRUMP: NO RUSH TO ANNOUNCE TRADE DEAL
TRUMP: WILL END UP WITH SUBSTANTIAL NUMBER FOR BASELINE TARIFF
TRUMP: WE WILL HAVE A DEAL WITH CHINA
TRUMP: WILL MAKE GOOD DEAL WITH CHINA
TRUMP: WE'LL HAVE VERY LITTLE PROBLEM MAKING DEAL WITH EUROPE
TRUMP: WILL END UP WITH SUBSTANTIAL NUMBER FOR BASELINE TARIFF
TRUMP: WE WILL HAVE A DEAL WITH CHINA
TRUMP: WILL MAKE GOOD DEAL WITH CHINA
TRUMP: WE'LL HAVE VERY LITTLE PROBLEM MAKING DEAL WITH EUROPE
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TRUMP ON POWELL: IF I WANT HIM OUT, HE'LL BE OUT OF THERE REAL FAST, BELIEVE ME
TRUMP: IF COUNTRIES DON'T WANT TO MAKE A DEAL, WE'LL MAKE IT FOR THEM; WE SET THE DEAL
TRUMP, ASKED IF HIS MIND WAS CHANGED ON TARIFFS: NO
TRUMP: IF COUNTRIES DON'T WANT TO MAKE A DEAL, WE'LL MAKE IT FOR THEM; WE SET THE DEAL
TRUMP, ASKED IF HIS MIND WAS CHANGED ON TARIFFS: NO
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*TRUMP HAS PRIVATELY DISCUSSED FIRING FED CHAIR POWELL: WSJ
*TRUMP HAS SPOKEN WITH KEVIN WARSH, A FORMER FED GOVERNOR, ABOUT POTENTIALLY FIRING POWELL BEFORE HIS TERM ENDS AND POSSIBLY SELECTING WARSH TO BE HIS REPLACEMENT
*WARSH HAS ADVISED TRUMP AGAINST FIRING POWELL AND HAS ARGUED THAT HE SHOULD LET THE FED CHAIR COMPLETE HIS TERM WITHOUT INTERFERENCE
*TRUMP HAS SPOKEN WITH KEVIN WARSH, A FORMER FED GOVERNOR, ABOUT POTENTIALLY FIRING POWELL BEFORE HIS TERM ENDS AND POSSIBLY SELECTING WARSH TO BE HIS REPLACEMENT
*WARSH HAS ADVISED TRUMP AGAINST FIRING POWELL AND HAS ARGUED THAT HE SHOULD LET THE FED CHAIR COMPLETE HIS TERM WITHOUT INTERFERENCE
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