Weekly Market Overview – May 20–24, 2025
Key Themes: Inflation Data, Central Bank Signals, and Geopolitics
Key Economic Events
United States
Tuesday – Speech from Richmond Fed President Tom Barkin, offering clues on future monetary policy.
Thursday – Existing Home Sales data for April; an important housing sector indicator.
Friday – New Home Sales figures; closely watched for consumer demand trends in real estate.
Eurozone & UK
Tuesday – Eurozone Current Account for March: reflects the region’s external balance and trade flows.
Wednesday – UK CPI (Consumer Price Index) for April: a major inflation reading.
Friday – UK Retail Sales: important insight into consumer spending and economic momentum.
Asia-Pacific
Wednesday – Japan Machinery Orders (March): a leading indicator of capital spending.
Thursday – Japan Machine Tool Orders (final April data).
Friday – Japan CPI (April): key to understanding inflationary pressure in Japan
EURUSD – Testing Resistance Amid Dollar Weakness
Technical analysis indicates that the pair is approaching a significant resistance level at 1.15. A breakout above this level could signal further bullish momentum, while failure to breach it may lead to a pullback.
Key Levels:
Resistance: 1.15
Support: 1.12
Gold prices have recently experienced a short-term correction, currently trading between $3,050 and $3,250 per ounce. This range-bound movement is attributed to profit-taking and a temporary easing of geopolitical tensions.
Despite the consolidation, the long-term outlook remains bullish. Goldman Sachs projects gold prices to reach $3,700 per ounce by the end of 2025, driven by central bank purchases and investor demand amid economic uncertainties.
Key Levels:
Resistance: $3,250
Support: $3,050
Bitcoin is trading above $105,000, maintaining its upward trajectory. Analysts predict that Bitcoin could reach between $110,000 and $115,000 by the end of May, supported by institutional adoption and favorable market conditions.
Long-term forecasts remain optimistic, with projections suggesting Bitcoin could attain $200,000 by the end of 2025, fueled by increasing demand and limited supply.
Key Levels:
Resistance: $110,000
Support: $100,000
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Gold (XAUUSD) cleared the $3,300 mark in Wednesday’s Asian session, extending its bullish momentum as markets price in Fed rate cuts and shift toward safe-haven assets.
What’s driving gold?
• Easing U.S. inflation (CPI at 3.4%)
• Increased expectations of Fed rate cuts
• Moody’s downgrade of U.S. credit rating
• Geopolitical and fiscal uncertainty (Middle East, U.S.–China tensions)
Technical picture:
Price bounced off the $3,204 low and broke above key resistance at $3,298, now turned support. Both the 50 EMA ($3,258) and 200 EMA ($3,250) are sloping upward — supporting the bullish trend.
Levels to watch:
• Resistance: $3,347
• Support: $3,298 → $3,271 if broken
What to follow next:
• FOMC member speeches
• U.S. inflation and labor market data
• Any trade/geopolitical developments
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Bitcoin just broke another record — flying past $111,000 for the first time ever. The crypto rally is powered by two key forces:
The U.S. Senate is advancing the GENIUS Act, a bill to regulate stablecoins and support crypto innovation. If passed, it could bring more legal clarity and attract institutional players.
Wall Street is warming up — spot Bitcoin ETFs are booming, Fidelity, BlackRock, and even JPMorgan are getting deeper into crypto.
Meanwhile, Coinbase just made it into the S&P 500 — a big win for the entire industry.
🔥 Trading insight:
Bitcoin is now testing price discovery levels. Watch for key resistance at $113K–115K. If bulls hold above $111K, the next leg higher could form fast.
👇 Your turn:
Where do you think BTC is headed next?
🔺 120K soon
🔻 Or due for a cooldown?
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NASDAQ 100 – The tech-heavy index
NASDAQ 100 is a stock market index that tracks the 100 largest non-financial companies listed on the Nasdaq exchange. It is heavily weighted toward the technology sector, including major players like Apple (AAPL), Microsoft (MSFT), Amazon (AMZN), and Nvidia (NVDA). Due to its strong tech focus, NASDAQ 100 is considered a high-growth index, often outperforming traditional indices during bull markets.
Key features
🔸 Tech dominance: The index is heavily skewed towards technology and innovation-driven companies.
🔸 Growth-oriented: Composed mainly of high-growth stocks, the index tends to outperform in low-interest-rate environments.
🔸 Volatility: More volatile than traditional indices like the S&P 500 due to its concentration in high-beta stocks.
🔸 Fundamental drivers: Higher interest rates typically pressure tech stocks, while lower rates boost valuations. The earnings reports of the major companies componing the index are key to gauging the overall market sentiment – rising on outperforming reports, falling on underperforming ones. Macroeconomics and U.S. politics also play an important role in determining the index’s direction.
Trading strategies
🔸 Manual position management: Capitalizing on price surges above key resistance levels can be rewarding, but mind the big gaps the price leaves behind! You should trade with a very conservative Stop-Loss, or manually follow and close positions as the trend is about to reverse.
🔸 Buy the dip: Riding long-term bullish trends during favorable economic conditions has been one of the preferred market strategies since the 2008 Global Financial Crisis. Until the day the next great economic catastrophe hits the U.S., buying during sharp corrections when tech stocks become oversold has proven to be a profitable strategy.
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NASDAQ 100 is a stock market index that tracks the 100 largest non-financial companies listed on the Nasdaq exchange. It is heavily weighted toward the technology sector, including major players like Apple (AAPL), Microsoft (MSFT), Amazon (AMZN), and Nvidia (NVDA). Due to its strong tech focus, NASDAQ 100 is considered a high-growth index, often outperforming traditional indices during bull markets.
Key features
Trading strategies
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Do you trade the NASDAQ 100?
Anonymous Poll
34%
Yes, regularly
21%
Occasionally
21%
Not yet, but planning to
25%
No, I prefer other assets
Due to upcoming holidays, the trading schedule of some instruments will be affected on May 26–30.
Please plan your trading activities according to the updated timetable 🕘
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Please plan your trading activities according to the updated timetable 🕘
Trade your way with Headway
Trade now!
Trading signals, while expertly curated, aren't fail-safe; proceed with caution.
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Type: short term
Timeframe: 1H
Entry price: 3335.00
Sell limit: 3342.00
Take profit: 3328.00
Stop loss: 3348.00
Trade now!
Trading signals, while expertly curated, aren't fail-safe; proceed with caution.
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Gold is currently trading around $3,335, consolidating below the key resistance zone of $3,345–$3,350. The market is awaiting clarity on U.S.–EU tariff negotiations, which could influence gold's direction.
🟢 Bullish Scenario:
Entry: Buy on a confirmed breakout above $3,350
Targets:
Target 1: $3,365
Target 2: $3,388
Stop-Loss: Below $3,325
🔴 Bearish Scenario:
Entry: Sell if price breaks below $3,325
Targets:
Target 1: $3,310
Target 2: $3,295
Stop-Loss: Above $3,350
Key Levels to Watch:
Resistance: $3,345–$3,350
Support: $3,325
Monitor upcoming economic data and geopolitical developments, as they may impact gold's volatility and direction.
Note: Always ensure proper risk management and consult with a financial advisor before making trading decisions.
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EURUSD Trade idea – May 26, 2025
EURUSD is currently trading around 1.1417, having surpassed the resistance level at 1.1480 in recent intraday trading. The pair has cleared a key bearish trend line with resistance at 1.1280 on the 4-hour chart, indicating a potential for further gains.
🟢 Bullish Scenario:
Entry: Buy on a confirmed breakout above 1.1480
Targets:
Target 1: 1.1550
Target 2: 1.1620
Stop-Loss: Below 1.1350
🔴 Bearish Scenario:
Entry: Sell if price drops below 1.1350
Targets:
Target 1: 1.1280
Target 2: 1.1200
Stop-Loss: Above 1.1480
Key Technical Levels:
Resistance: 1.1480 – 1.1550
Support: 1.1350 – 1.1280
Traders should monitor upcoming economic data and geopolitical developments, as they may impact EUR/USD volatility and direction.
Note: Always ensure proper risk management and consult with a financial advisor before making trading decisions.
Trade your way with Headway
EURUSD is currently trading around 1.1417, having surpassed the resistance level at 1.1480 in recent intraday trading. The pair has cleared a key bearish trend line with resistance at 1.1280 on the 4-hour chart, indicating a potential for further gains.
🟢 Bullish Scenario:
Entry: Buy on a confirmed breakout above 1.1480
Targets:
Target 1: 1.1550
Target 2: 1.1620
Stop-Loss: Below 1.1350
🔴 Bearish Scenario:
Entry: Sell if price drops below 1.1350
Targets:
Target 1: 1.1280
Target 2: 1.1200
Stop-Loss: Above 1.1480
Key Technical Levels:
Resistance: 1.1480 – 1.1550
Support: 1.1350 – 1.1280
Traders should monitor upcoming economic data and geopolitical developments, as they may impact EUR/USD volatility and direction.
Note: Always ensure proper risk management and consult with a financial advisor before making trading decisions.
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Pound keeps climbing — and it’s not just luck. The pair is riding strong above 1.3560 in a bullish channel, fueled by USD weakness and steady UK data.
But here’s the real setup:
🔹 Buyers stay in charge if 1.3465 holds.
🔹 Break above 1.3593? That’s your go signal — targets at 1.3735 and even 1.3874.
🔹 RSI is hot, though — short-term correction possible.
Below 1.3465? Sit tight — 1.3395 and 1.3320 are next stop zones.
Watch 1.3593 like a hawk. A daily close above could unlock serious upside potential.
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Yen fights back!
USDJPY is stuck in a downward channel, now hovering near 142.42. Pressure is mounting as:
🇺🇸 USD struggles with fiscal worries
🇯🇵 JPY gets a boost from stronger inflation and BoJ tightening hopes
🌍 Geopolitics add fuel to the safe-haven demand
Key level: 142.40
🔻 Break below? Next stops: 141.65 ➡️ 140.45
📈 Bounce above 143.35? Then eyes on 144.45 and 146.35
Watch price action closely – the bears are steering, but bulls may fight back soon.
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Trading signals, while expertly curated, aren't fail-safe; proceed with caution.
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