Hashed Plutus (Crypto Signals, Technical Analysis, Education and News)
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Analysing the past to capitalize the future.
Not financial advice
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Forwarded from Plutus Capital
LTC is telling us the other majors may be poised for some further up moves. Have to be setting stops in profit.

https://www.tradingview.com/x/jj7CyNFx/
Forwarded from Plutus Capital
Everything still bearish and fortunately we didn't see BTC move significantly higher so our shorts still active.

Daily close is approaching and we may have another daily bearish retest of $10687 if price closes daily above $10540. If we do close below $10540 then we continue lower.

Remember, bears will milk as much bulls as possible for power to dump lower quickly. We're almost there.

https://www.tradingview.com/x/hFIlN51W/
Forwarded from Plutus Capital
We achieved 1st target ($8.67) on our LINK short and almost hit 2nd target. We don't think LINK is done dropping yet.

As we're expecting one last small push higher for BTC and ETH, we may expect LINK to also move higher, probably testing the new 2H resistance zone at $9.1 - $9.26.

If price does get there, it'll be another shorting opportunity for those who couldn't short at $9.5.

https://www.tradingview.com/x/9IN5J5Sv/
Forwarded from Plutus Capital
Our DOT short is also down -16% from entry. This keeps looking bearish and bearish and on top of it all, we finally dropped below the first green support, which should now serve as strong resistance.

DOT is on its way to our 2nd green support between $2.74 and $3.18. Price could move a bit up to $3.9 - $4 before finally falling.

https://www.tradingview.com/x/GtFhKes2/
Macro view from OnePoint

https://www.tradingview.com/x/vOkMzt2f/

Here I show you about the comparison between the Gold, Bitcoin and the DXY which is the US Dollar Index price. What seem so interesting based on this chart comparison is that the price of the Bitcoin is having a positive correlation toward the Gold's price in the last 3 months. On the other hand, the price of the DXY which is becoming the US Dollar index is having a negative correlation toward the Gold price.

US Dollar vs Gold
It's normal if we see the negative correlation between this 2 commodity index because the reputation of the gold which always be a safe haven asset and the DXY will represents the favor of the investors in USA market. If they see any good potential of the USA and the global market (as we know that the US Dollar is becoming the world's leading currency), people will accumulate the Dollar to invest in any type of work and business line which will increase the economic growth. Money inflow will occur during this condition and the price of the gold will have a reasonable decrease as an effect from money outflow which most of the investors sell their gold saving to open new business. And also the opposite, the money outflow from the US dollar will cause money inflow toward gold as the investors believe the gold's reputation as the safe haven.

Gold vs Bitcoin
The positive correlation however is totally different aspect between the gold and the DXY. The investors currently look at the bitcoin with the same perspective as they look in the gold, as the safe haven. People certainly believe that the price of the bitcoin could be the hedge comparing to the traditional currency. But, what makes it different with the gold is that the crypto adoption and blockchain technology which becomes an important part inside the industrial revolution 4.0 . The Bitcoin could be another safe haven asset, but of course becoming different with the gold as the traditional safe haven. I do believe that the bitcoin will have more future value comparing to the gold and cryptocurrency is here to stay.
Forwarded from RJ
Did some digging into the FCA's reports and there are a few notes to make on the "UK bans crypto derivatives" headline.

The currently standing prohibition on selling crypto referenced products to retail dates back to July 2019 and the commitment itself was published all the way back in October 2018. The newly announced ban just holds a set of rules to aid the prohibition which will come into force in January 2021. (PS20/10)

According to PS20/10 1.24 the new rules will apply to firms operating in or from the UK which is a little vague because pretty much all large cryptocurrency firms offering derivatives to retail customers don't have UK offices but they do accept UK clients. Therefore we need to take a look at the CP on International Firms which states in CP20/20 3.3 and further that firms who do not pass minimal requirement, like an office in the UK, do not subject to the term "Authorized International Firm".

Bottom line is that the scary headline really doesn't change much. UK retail customers can still use crypto derivative platforms such as Binance and Bybit like before, the current rules don't take effect on firms not located in the UK. The FCA operates different from the US entities in the way that they will not go after overseas firms. It's possible that firms will choose to deny access to UK clients by themselves but we don't have any indications for that yet. The efforts to ban crypto services do set the tone for further developments and also give a lead to other countries which smells like the beginning of more active regulations. Possibly because governments are planning on getting more involved into the digital asset environment.

The next likely step for the FCA is to state that firms are avoiding the rules by moving retail customers to non-UK entities (PS20/10 1.26) which could lead to further actions and eventually cause UK customers to use another country's VPN to get access to derivatives platforms. That's not here yet, though. No worries.

https://www.fca.org.uk/publication/policy/ps20-10.pdf
https://www.fca.org.uk/publication/consultation/cp-20-20.pdf
DOT/USDT Short

Polkadot is a very promising project. The market just isn't on its side. Bearish momentum growing. Failure to hold key support level solidifies the bearish scenario.
I strongly recommend buying into DOT in the higher $2.xx or just around $3 if the market stabilises by Halloween.

Thank you @crypto_zombiee for the idea.
The daily does of OnePoint

https://www.tradingview.com/x/bm4ju1GI/

Bitcoin : Strong consolidation is still in play. What's next?

The fact that there is a huge triangle in the higher degree of this current structure is once again show us that current consolidation will last longer than what we've thought. In the last 1 month, the volatility for the bitcoin has been ranging between 11100 - 9800 region which is around 14% and considered as a low volatility on the bitcoin's market. During this consolidation and accumulation zone, there will be a lot of uncertainty occurring and the crypto market in general has lost a lot of market capitalization too.

However, the previous pattern which I've anticipated and covered is still in play and is still valid as well. The huge triangle is still forming here with the price comes closer to the APEX of this huge triangle. This action could be the action of waiting the uncertainty to become certain. The significant factor from fundamental side is the US president election that will take place later near the end of the year and the COVID 19 vaccine development which so far giving a huge effect on the global market, not just the crypto market.

Price is currently trending slightly above the .236 fibonacci retracement level which is becoming the first strong support based on the guideline on the fibonacci itself. Beside that, since the break out point from the yellow resistance trend line, we haven't seen any sign of retesting this broken resistance trend line as a support which is the phase 2 of break out strategy to confirm the bigger upside cycle in the future. I still see a potential downside moves to test the blue region which is moving in alignment with the yellow resistance trend line. However, I'll respect current triangle as the major pattern that is becoming most significant pattern at this condition. Breaks below this lower line of the triangle will become another correction toward the blue region and I'll anticipate the .5 fib level as the end of liquidation zone. Still staying neutral as long as there isn't any confirmation yet.
Founders Arthur Hayes and Samuel Reed have stepped back from all executive management responsibilities for their respective CEO and CTO roles with immediate effect.
https://blog.bitmex.com/leadership-changes-at-100x-group/
Audio update in 10. You're wouldn't want to miss this. Pin the channel and turn on notifications.
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Thoughts on Mt. God refunds, gems to pick in crashes
Some OnePoint TA to start the day

https://www.tradingview.com/x/0a8RQQyO/

Biden's stimulus news giving positive sentiment to the bitcoin

Price has already broken out from this huge triangle in the higher degree. This action once again giving a huge momentum for the bulls to bring the price to higher zone. All the stimulus news from Biden has already brought a new favor from the market's stakeholder to expect a changes in policy that can cause a higher price claim of bitcoin and cryptocurrency.

Now, we're back to the technical analysis. There won't be much changing structure in this market condition. But, the most important thing is that the price has already broken out from this long awaiting consolidation structure. Not just that, the price is now forming a huge green candle temporarily. On the other hand, we must anticipate the golden pocket zone which is the area where the bitcoin is trending right now. No matter on what structure, the golden pocket zone must be the huge resistance zone for the price and price must respect this zone as a strong and major resistance. We might see potential of the price retesting previous broken resistance as support ($11189) to complete the phase 2 of break out strategy before claiming higher to test the .786 and the interim swing high as the next possible resistance.

With the bulls come in this condition, we know that a huge movement will occur later in the future. We might see potential bull rally in the short, medium and long term. I'd like to look at the potential of the next mark up phase that could occur in the most of coins.
Relaxing the weekend, don't over trade, let the holds build sats. There is a possibility of a sharp drop to 10900s over the next two days. Keep the SL tight.
Forwarded from Plutus Capital
Looks like everything is going according to our analysis. It's either the blue path or the red path and so far we seem to be following the red path.

BTC is still under heavy resistance and it climbed up in a rising channel which is a bearish pattern.

This isn't the time to be heavily going into longs. We closed our long scalped and started adding to shorts again. Always aim for low risk trades.

Invalidation is a daily candle close above $11400 resistance.

https://www.tradingview.com/x/WS3z3OrL/
Gas fees are dirty low. Get done with your ethereum work
Forwarded from Plutus Capital
Let's talk about Bitcoin, why we're bearish in the mid-term, why we're bullish in the long term and CME gaps.

As many of you know by now, we've been bearish on BTC for a while now and we're still bearish, not until at least we see BTC above $12400. There are a couple solid reasons why we're still bearish and we'll discuss them briefly.

We started officially loading up shorts between $12000 - $12400 and price followed with a dump to high $9800. We recently scalp longed from $10500 to $10900 thereabout. Now we've started adding to our shorts again.

As much as we're bullish on BTC in the long term (expecting about $100,000 in the next 6 years), the technicals and behind the scene plays favor a drop first.

Not only is price still in our 3-Day chart rising channel, we're now at a fairly strong resistance area ($11400 - $11600), and we also have CME gaps at $10,985 to $11,025.

Statistically, 95% of CME gaps on the BTC charts get filled. We now have two additional zones with CME gaps to the one mentioned above which we'll post about soon.

We will be having a weekly close in the next few hours and once again we're at weekly resistance. The resistance can be found between $11,523 and $11715. If weekly closes above these regions, then we may assume this is one of those times we leave all CME gaps behind for a long while.

However, this is a strong resistance zone starting from the 4H all the way up to the weekly time frame. And with bearish divergence found on the monthly, 8H, 4H, and 1H time frame with oversold RSI conditions, we shouldn't bet on a further move up just yet.

As a trader, the idea is to take low risk trades and shorting at resistance with stop loss just above the resistance is surely a good move rather than longing right at resistance.

https://www.tradingview.com/x/fPulDBiy/
Forwarded from Plutus Capital
In this chart we have the famous CME gap in the $9000 area. Price seem to have gone there but didn't fill it up entirely so we're still left with a gap there.

This CME gap can be found between $9,660 to $9850. This area is also a very strong support on the weekly and daily time frame.

https://www.tradingview.com/x/2gCcfSY6/