https://www.tradingview.com/x/AEz0a9m3/
Bitcoin : The next big moves, break out strategy.
Hello all, welcome back to our analysis of bitcoin. let's do the chart work.
Looking at the image applied about the technical analysis of bitcoin, we can see that the price is now retesting the strong support around $8000 - $7763 region (white region). I hope that this white region is having a lot of confluence factors that will give a tremendous effect of bitcoin potential bounce in the future.
If we see through the perspective of the break out strategy, current wave down to the down side could be the action of the phase 2 which is retesting the previous broken resistance as a support. Just like what we've seen, since the broken out of the upper line of the down trend channel (which potentially could be a flag in the bullish flag structure in higher time frame), we haven't seen any sign of retesting the previous broken resistance as a support. Usually, whenever the price has touched this level, we will see a consolidation on micro level, where we're hunting for break out of the consolidation in micro level to enter long position.
For now, This is my current bias and as long as the price doesn't break below the current strong support or to close below the upper line of the channel, I'll still expect a potential bounce ahead as the potential touch to the $12900 in the future. My entry point for long position only when I see a break out of the potential micro structure consolidation.
Bitcoin : The next big moves, break out strategy.
Hello all, welcome back to our analysis of bitcoin. let's do the chart work.
Looking at the image applied about the technical analysis of bitcoin, we can see that the price is now retesting the strong support around $8000 - $7763 region (white region). I hope that this white region is having a lot of confluence factors that will give a tremendous effect of bitcoin potential bounce in the future.
If we see through the perspective of the break out strategy, current wave down to the down side could be the action of the phase 2 which is retesting the previous broken resistance as a support. Just like what we've seen, since the broken out of the upper line of the down trend channel (which potentially could be a flag in the bullish flag structure in higher time frame), we haven't seen any sign of retesting the previous broken resistance as a support. Usually, whenever the price has touched this level, we will see a consolidation on micro level, where we're hunting for break out of the consolidation in micro level to enter long position.
For now, This is my current bias and as long as the price doesn't break below the current strong support or to close below the upper line of the channel, I'll still expect a potential bounce ahead as the potential touch to the $12900 in the future. My entry point for long position only when I see a break out of the potential micro structure consolidation.
The comparation between bitcoin's price behavior and the Fear and Greed index. Based on the historical value, whenever the price touched the 13 level of fear (below 0) which is classified as the extreme fear, the price is likely to have relief rally in intraday level with the fear index ticked up comparing the previous low. On yesterday's candle that the price closed at $7900 level, the fear index has touched the 16 level of fear. it's just 3 more level to touch based on this indicator. A bounce could be imminent if we can see any sign of bounce.
https://www.tradingview.com/x/tKEdnpon/
Logarithmic view : Testing the unbreakable support
Hello all, welcome back to the technical analysis of bitcoin. Here I want to share my technical analysis based on the logarithmic view and the weekly chart time frame for the long run projection purpose.
Looking a the price which is moving inside the ascending channel which has held the price since 2013, This is however the specific channel that drive the price to form a bullish momentum since 4 years ago. Beside those the upper line and the lower line of the channel which moved as the resistance trend line and the support trend line, I also provide the median line of the channel which has also been the support trend line for the price. We have seen the broke down of this median line of the channel back at 2018 which led to the huge bearish run at that time, right after touching the lower line of the channel which became the support trend line, the price tried to tested the previous broken median support as a resistance with a parabolic moves that occured between February 2019 - June 2019. But, when the price touched the median line, it got rejected and make the bears took over control again.
For now, the price is testing the lower line of the channel, we will see whether the price can breaks this down or another bounce to test again the median line as a resistance. Green lines are the huge support if the price breaks down of current channel. On the other hand, red line is the level of huge resistance when the price can bounces from current level.
Logarithmic view : Testing the unbreakable support
Hello all, welcome back to the technical analysis of bitcoin. Here I want to share my technical analysis based on the logarithmic view and the weekly chart time frame for the long run projection purpose.
Looking a the price which is moving inside the ascending channel which has held the price since 2013, This is however the specific channel that drive the price to form a bullish momentum since 4 years ago. Beside those the upper line and the lower line of the channel which moved as the resistance trend line and the support trend line, I also provide the median line of the channel which has also been the support trend line for the price. We have seen the broke down of this median line of the channel back at 2018 which led to the huge bearish run at that time, right after touching the lower line of the channel which became the support trend line, the price tried to tested the previous broken median support as a resistance with a parabolic moves that occured between February 2019 - June 2019. But, when the price touched the median line, it got rejected and make the bears took over control again.
For now, the price is testing the lower line of the channel, we will see whether the price can breaks this down or another bounce to test again the median line as a resistance. Green lines are the huge support if the price breaks down of current channel. On the other hand, red line is the level of huge resistance when the price can bounces from current level.
https://www.tradingview.com/x/k43x3GRN/
Bitcoin : Rejection toward the upper line of the channel
At the time I'm writing this, the price has shown a rejection toward the upper line of the channel which is now acting as a strong support because of potential phase 2 of our break out strategy. With a long wick toward this support, making me once again believe that even the bears were respecting this area as a crucial zone. But, even if we see any rejection toward this support at the lower time frame, the daily chart is still showing a huge bearish pressure to the down side.
I will expect a little pullback of the price toward the lower level of $7600 or lower of $7300 before the bulls start to enter the market. This action could be an action for the whales to liquidate the bulls before they start pushing again the market as a false break down.
Waiting patiently for the entry for long position. I don't care if this is just a dead cat bounce or something else, As long as we can make profit, I'm more than fine!
Bitcoin : Rejection toward the upper line of the channel
At the time I'm writing this, the price has shown a rejection toward the upper line of the channel which is now acting as a strong support because of potential phase 2 of our break out strategy. With a long wick toward this support, making me once again believe that even the bears were respecting this area as a crucial zone. But, even if we see any rejection toward this support at the lower time frame, the daily chart is still showing a huge bearish pressure to the down side.
I will expect a little pullback of the price toward the lower level of $7600 or lower of $7300 before the bulls start to enter the market. This action could be an action for the whales to liquidate the bulls before they start pushing again the market as a false break down.
Waiting patiently for the entry for long position. I don't care if this is just a dead cat bounce or something else, As long as we can make profit, I'm more than fine!
https://www.tradingview.com/x/Q8KaoSr4
Looking at current drop. if we see from the weekly based and the logarithmic view, the price has already broken down of the lower line of the channel. If we see the weekly candle close like this and below this support trend line, we might see further drop to around the $3000 region which is the next horizontal level of support. Watch out and SAFU
Looking at current drop. if we see from the weekly based and the logarithmic view, the price has already broken down of the lower line of the channel. If we see the weekly candle close like this and below this support trend line, we might see further drop to around the $3000 region which is the next horizontal level of support. Watch out and SAFU
Do I seriously need to dig the graves again?
You be the judge.
This is the hourly chart of bitcoin and boom, that massive drop. The little secret here is our PXI called it before any major action started. We are now 25% clear on spot and over 200% on bitmex with 10x from the SHORT.
You don't wanna miss the sweet deal on this baby, head over to hashedplutus.com to grab yours.
https://www.tradingview.com/x/868qe2PL/
You be the judge.
This is the hourly chart of bitcoin and boom, that massive drop. The little secret here is our PXI called it before any major action started. We are now 25% clear on spot and over 200% on bitmex with 10x from the SHORT.
You don't wanna miss the sweet deal on this baby, head over to hashedplutus.com to grab yours.
https://www.tradingview.com/x/868qe2PL/
https://www.tradingview.com/x/ZXEIwgMi/
Bitcoin and the 100 MA
Hello all, welcome to the technical analysis of bitcoin especially after the huge drop on 1 day trade session. let's enjoy this!
Today is a very difficult day for bitcoin, which we can see that the price has dropped nearly 30% comparing to the open price. With this drop, it has invalidated every long bias even for short term or longer term. In this technical analysis of bitcoin, I want to use the extra indicator that I usually uses whenever the price has a huge drop like this which is the 1000 MA on the daily chart. We can see that this 1000 MA has acted as a strong dynamic support since the first time it occured. The last time the price of bitcoin breached this dynamic support was at November 2018 - March 2019 , when we know that there was a consolidation moves at that time. And today, officially the price has breached again this dynamic support after a long time ago.
And looking at the historical performance of the price when it consolidated when it had breached this dynamic line, I'll expect a similar consolidation pattern too, beside the price is still trending around the strong support zone of the golden pocket region. However, breaching the 1000 moving average as a long period of dynamic support level is not looking good at all, I will look for further confirmation of the price to identify my bias later when the price has less volatility in the future. Jumping in the market is not a wise decision for now.
Bitcoin and the 100 MA
Hello all, welcome to the technical analysis of bitcoin especially after the huge drop on 1 day trade session. let's enjoy this!
Today is a very difficult day for bitcoin, which we can see that the price has dropped nearly 30% comparing to the open price. With this drop, it has invalidated every long bias even for short term or longer term. In this technical analysis of bitcoin, I want to use the extra indicator that I usually uses whenever the price has a huge drop like this which is the 1000 MA on the daily chart. We can see that this 1000 MA has acted as a strong dynamic support since the first time it occured. The last time the price of bitcoin breached this dynamic support was at November 2018 - March 2019 , when we know that there was a consolidation moves at that time. And today, officially the price has breached again this dynamic support after a long time ago.
And looking at the historical performance of the price when it consolidated when it had breached this dynamic line, I'll expect a similar consolidation pattern too, beside the price is still trending around the strong support zone of the golden pocket region. However, breaching the 1000 moving average as a long period of dynamic support level is not looking good at all, I will look for further confirmation of the price to identify my bias later when the price has less volatility in the future. Jumping in the market is not a wise decision for now.
Here is the 2D chart, clear as water. 63% drop and yep, PXI called it. If you cared to Leverage trade that, you would be 6x your investment.
DM @cryptopotatoes or head to hashedplutus.com to save the rest of your investments
https://www.tradingview.com/x/j2cMDLWv/
DM @cryptopotatoes or head to hashedplutus.com to save the rest of your investments
https://www.tradingview.com/x/j2cMDLWv/
https://www.tradingview.com/x/2qjvSkQc/
Bitcoin : Don't ever follow the majority
Happy Saturday to all of you! In this current analysis, I will cover about the bitcoin's possible moves from the weekly time frame.
Before we start, let's take a look at the historical moment of the bitcoin between April 2019 - June 2019. There was a huge parabolic movement to the upside and most of the crypto people said that they might not see the $5000 region again. But, guess what? Now the price is trending right around the $5000 - $6000 region which once again invalidate bias of all the majority. Now, at the support, I see a lot of people who think that they're an expert is telling us to open short position! This doesn't make sense, that's why I suggest you to not gaining any trust to the majority. Make your own strategy and identify your own risk limit.
Talking about current bitcoin technical chart, I do believe that currently the price has formed my 3 favorite of break out strategy phases. Assuming the bullish falling wedges that has been broken previously, we've never seen the upper line of this wedges to be tested again. And with this current huge down side moves, it's officially being tested again. Look at the price action when price touched this region which has an alignment with the lower line of the yellow support trend line, which has formed since 2017. The weekly candle rejected very hard when the price touched this area. Assuming the strong support zone, I'll expecting a pull back and the weekly candle to close slightly above the white region which indicating that once again the price is respecting this zone. If the price can sustain above the white region, we might see the price to test the upper yellow resistance trend line which is in confluence with the 78.6 fib retracement ($8000 - $9100). At first, I'll wait for the micro level to form any sign of reversal to enter long.
Bitcoin : Don't ever follow the majority
Happy Saturday to all of you! In this current analysis, I will cover about the bitcoin's possible moves from the weekly time frame.
Before we start, let's take a look at the historical moment of the bitcoin between April 2019 - June 2019. There was a huge parabolic movement to the upside and most of the crypto people said that they might not see the $5000 region again. But, guess what? Now the price is trending right around the $5000 - $6000 region which once again invalidate bias of all the majority. Now, at the support, I see a lot of people who think that they're an expert is telling us to open short position! This doesn't make sense, that's why I suggest you to not gaining any trust to the majority. Make your own strategy and identify your own risk limit.
Talking about current bitcoin technical chart, I do believe that currently the price has formed my 3 favorite of break out strategy phases. Assuming the bullish falling wedges that has been broken previously, we've never seen the upper line of this wedges to be tested again. And with this current huge down side moves, it's officially being tested again. Look at the price action when price touched this region which has an alignment with the lower line of the yellow support trend line, which has formed since 2017. The weekly candle rejected very hard when the price touched this area. Assuming the strong support zone, I'll expecting a pull back and the weekly candle to close slightly above the white region which indicating that once again the price is respecting this zone. If the price can sustain above the white region, we might see the price to test the upper yellow resistance trend line which is in confluence with the 78.6 fib retracement ($8000 - $9100). At first, I'll wait for the micro level to form any sign of reversal to enter long.
🎓Market Update🎓
Greetings Traders! It has been intense in the markets over the past two weeks. Its safe to say that Bitcoin has not performed like a security in the midst of a global crisis. In truth there are not many assets commodities or stocks that are able to withstand this kind of turmoil these days. The USD remains the king of security. As they say - "Cash Is King" 💰
With this volatility, there are massive opportunities to profit as a trader. Bitcoin price action seems to be governing the chart patterns on a great deal of the crypto assets, especially on the USD pairs. There is also no doubt a visible correlation between traditional markets and the way they have been crashing. This leads to crypto traders to being cautious over the weekend in anticipation of the Monday open. The lower timeframes crypto charts demonstrate this behaviors on the charts with the drawn out symmetrical wedge formations.
The big question remains, long or short on crypto assets going into the new week.
Greetings Traders! It has been intense in the markets over the past two weeks. Its safe to say that Bitcoin has not performed like a security in the midst of a global crisis. In truth there are not many assets commodities or stocks that are able to withstand this kind of turmoil these days. The USD remains the king of security. As they say - "Cash Is King" 💰
With this volatility, there are massive opportunities to profit as a trader. Bitcoin price action seems to be governing the chart patterns on a great deal of the crypto assets, especially on the USD pairs. There is also no doubt a visible correlation between traditional markets and the way they have been crashing. This leads to crypto traders to being cautious over the weekend in anticipation of the Monday open. The lower timeframes crypto charts demonstrate this behaviors on the charts with the drawn out symmetrical wedge formations.
The big question remains, long or short on crypto assets going into the new week.
🎓Mashed Market Map🎓 View HQ PDF
🎓Mashed Market Commentary🎓
Dominance - This chart shows us the low down on the market activity over the past few weeks, The Altcoin Rally from earlier this year is marked out in green. This helped establish a new range for this indicator. The rally eventually relented and bitcoin took over with dominance again. Then comes the first signs of the crash in early March. The wild volitility shows this perfectly, with neither Bitcoin or Altcoins coming out on top.
BTC USD - Wild sell off on BTC cleared the entire 4 bar pitchfork channel in one sweep. This is frightening but it must also bring conference to buy into this range. Contact with the bottom line on this setup should be profitable. The impulse sell has made contact once already, and the price bounced. BTC currently trapped in the lower band and the upped band here has presented some resistance so far.
ETH USD - Just as bloody as BTC, or even more so considering where Ethereum lies low. Unfortunately, It looks as if the asset still has room to fall based on a similar falling pitchfork channel. Steady interaction has been seen with this channel to date. Much contact trapped inside this lower channel throughout the run up to 2020, and then fair contact with resistance on the Alt coin run at the start of the year. If all that is true, we could expect to buy Ethereum at $90!
Fear Greed - The remarkable fear green index tells us just how we all feel right now. The index hit is all time low a few days ago, giving a reading of 2%! Its hard to make sense of a number like that on this indicator, but I guess that means it can't get much worse, and the market could be rounding for a bottom. The numbers are indeed up today, and they are on the up and up. 8 points yesterday, 12% today.
Total Damages - Total damage on the market has been rather low considering the obliteration we saw during the crash of last week. The volatility is still there through and the numbers are indeed above average. 26 million USD on the perpetual BTC contract on Bitmex alone. Trading has been a bit slower as we wait for larger markets to go live on Monday.
RSI Heatmap - Altcoin heatmap is quite something to look at right now. The volume on these top assets are quite extraordinary with the top 5 assets raking in over 100k BTC in volume over the last 7 days. The RSI reading are rather high across the board, and this is largely thanks to the fact that BTC, the underlying asset has also been under performing. The RSI reading on the USD pairs are flashing off buy signals much more vigorously with many assets indicating over sold conditions bellow 30 on the 4h time frame.
To conclude - The symmetrical wedge formations appear to represent tremendous risk. With so many of them building up and looking the same, Id rather wait for a break on the structure before hedging my bets on a coin flip. This type of consolidation can easily continue downhill. Seeing how the rest of the markets respond in the new week will give indications to the crypto markets. With that said, there are assets which have appeared to break out of these structures. See LOOM, GNT, BTS, FTT. These are also early signs that the rest of the patterns might play out well.
Dominance - This chart shows us the low down on the market activity over the past few weeks, The Altcoin Rally from earlier this year is marked out in green. This helped establish a new range for this indicator. The rally eventually relented and bitcoin took over with dominance again. Then comes the first signs of the crash in early March. The wild volitility shows this perfectly, with neither Bitcoin or Altcoins coming out on top.
BTC USD - Wild sell off on BTC cleared the entire 4 bar pitchfork channel in one sweep. This is frightening but it must also bring conference to buy into this range. Contact with the bottom line on this setup should be profitable. The impulse sell has made contact once already, and the price bounced. BTC currently trapped in the lower band and the upped band here has presented some resistance so far.
ETH USD - Just as bloody as BTC, or even more so considering where Ethereum lies low. Unfortunately, It looks as if the asset still has room to fall based on a similar falling pitchfork channel. Steady interaction has been seen with this channel to date. Much contact trapped inside this lower channel throughout the run up to 2020, and then fair contact with resistance on the Alt coin run at the start of the year. If all that is true, we could expect to buy Ethereum at $90!
Fear Greed - The remarkable fear green index tells us just how we all feel right now. The index hit is all time low a few days ago, giving a reading of 2%! Its hard to make sense of a number like that on this indicator, but I guess that means it can't get much worse, and the market could be rounding for a bottom. The numbers are indeed up today, and they are on the up and up. 8 points yesterday, 12% today.
Total Damages - Total damage on the market has been rather low considering the obliteration we saw during the crash of last week. The volatility is still there through and the numbers are indeed above average. 26 million USD on the perpetual BTC contract on Bitmex alone. Trading has been a bit slower as we wait for larger markets to go live on Monday.
RSI Heatmap - Altcoin heatmap is quite something to look at right now. The volume on these top assets are quite extraordinary with the top 5 assets raking in over 100k BTC in volume over the last 7 days. The RSI reading are rather high across the board, and this is largely thanks to the fact that BTC, the underlying asset has also been under performing. The RSI reading on the USD pairs are flashing off buy signals much more vigorously with many assets indicating over sold conditions bellow 30 on the 4h time frame.
To conclude - The symmetrical wedge formations appear to represent tremendous risk. With so many of them building up and looking the same, Id rather wait for a break on the structure before hedging my bets on a coin flip. This type of consolidation can easily continue downhill. Seeing how the rest of the markets respond in the new week will give indications to the crypto markets. With that said, there are assets which have appeared to break out of these structures. See LOOM, GNT, BTS, FTT. These are also early signs that the rest of the patterns might play out well.
https://www.tradingview.com/x/xUUeJEcw/
Bitcoin : Weekly candle close is the key
From the 1 week time frame, we can see that the price is trying very hard to close above the red dynamic level which is the 200 moving average as a strong support level line. If we see a close above this level, there will be a short term bounce to challenge the price above the white region of $6500. But, if the price can't close above it, we will see the potential retest toward the yellow support trend line. Currently, the patience is everything.
Bitcoin : Weekly candle close is the key
From the 1 week time frame, we can see that the price is trying very hard to close above the red dynamic level which is the 200 moving average as a strong support level line. If we see a close above this level, there will be a short term bounce to challenge the price above the white region of $6500. But, if the price can't close above it, we will see the potential retest toward the yellow support trend line. Currently, the patience is everything.
https://www.tradingview.com/x/XUlHESW0/
ETHBEAR March16th, 2020
Here is one of the requested instrument from our members. ETHBEAR is currently below the resistance level of yellow based on the price action. we might see several taps toward this yellow zone in the near future before we break it. But, if it losses the 10 level, we might see further drop.
ETHBEAR March16th, 2020
Here is one of the requested instrument from our members. ETHBEAR is currently below the resistance level of yellow based on the price action. we might see several taps toward this yellow zone in the near future before we break it. But, if it losses the 10 level, we might see further drop.
https://www.tradingview.com/x/lsQAMxO0/
ETHBULL March 16th, 2020
Based on the price action, there is still a room of going down. But we must remember that the prior broken support is at the 492 level which is likely to be tested in near future as resistance. I still see a possibility of claiming back this prior broken support that could indicate a bounce in ETH price.
ETHBULL March 16th, 2020
Based on the price action, there is still a room of going down. But we must remember that the prior broken support is at the 492 level which is likely to be tested in near future as resistance. I still see a possibility of claiming back this prior broken support that could indicate a bounce in ETH price.
https://www.tradingview.com/x/ucfJE024/
Bitcoin : After the weekly candle closed
Hello all, here is the bitcoin technical analysis right after the weekly candle has closed. Let's make it quick and to the point.
The weekly candle has closed below the white support zone with a huge net volume in negativity. It has dropped for more than 50% comparing to its opening price at the beginning of the last week. This will be a hard time for bitcoin and current crypto market because this is the most biggest drop for bitcoin in 1 week session of trading since the first time this market exist.
Currently the price has broken down the white support but it's still just slightly above the yellow support trend line. We must prepare for the worst time to come with the major support below. Red line is the major support below. The
yellow support trend line has held the price since 2017 and simply this is the 3 years trend line. breaking below it, could be serious.
Bitcoin : After the weekly candle closed
Hello all, here is the bitcoin technical analysis right after the weekly candle has closed. Let's make it quick and to the point.
The weekly candle has closed below the white support zone with a huge net volume in negativity. It has dropped for more than 50% comparing to its opening price at the beginning of the last week. This will be a hard time for bitcoin and current crypto market because this is the most biggest drop for bitcoin in 1 week session of trading since the first time this market exist.
Currently the price has broken down the white support but it's still just slightly above the yellow support trend line. We must prepare for the worst time to come with the major support below. Red line is the major support below. The
yellow support trend line has held the price since 2017 and simply this is the 3 years trend line. breaking below it, could be serious.
▪️ ETH USD - View Chart
The extreme level ($90 entry) has not yet been tagged on Ethereum, price just just touched the green box buy level, but the three digit $100 appears to be representing significant support for now.
The extreme level ($90 entry) has not yet been tagged on Ethereum, price just just touched the green box buy level, but the three digit $100 appears to be representing significant support for now.
▪️ BTC USD - View Chart
Levels buy levels on the Mashed Market Map have been effective. The channel has indeed held up as support up until now, and the Bitcoin price is testing resistance on the upper level of the lower inner band of the pitchfork. Price is trading +8% from the entry call at $4950
Levels buy levels on the Mashed Market Map have been effective. The channel has indeed held up as support up until now, and the Bitcoin price is testing resistance on the upper level of the lower inner band of the pitchfork. Price is trading +8% from the entry call at $4950
🎓 Market Commentary 🎓
With these levels on crypto considered, and the conventional markets open. It appears as though we might see a little relief this week. We are going to post a few signals on altcoins and try to make some extra cash in these uncertain times. Lets see what the market has to offer.
With these levels on crypto considered, and the conventional markets open. It appears as though we might see a little relief this week. We are going to post a few signals on altcoins and try to make some extra cash in these uncertain times. Lets see what the market has to offer.