HanJay Contemplates
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I vocalize my thoughts here. DM: @hanjasonn. Tweets x.com/hanjaycrypto. Casts warpcast.com/hanjay.eth

Disclaimer: I'm 80% builder and 20% investor, so it's not a trading channel. But you would find a lot of hidden opps if you read carefully.
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Happy Holiday!
Post mừng giáng sinh của AC về Fantom

Chỉ các chỉ số tăng & spammable được boasted

2 chỉ số đáng chú ý nhất:

1. Cơ cấu token $FTM: 88% circulating supply/total supply, lạm phát 1.87% 2023 nhưng total token staked/cir supply đang lên đến gần 71%

2. Số bài shill Fantom của AC trong 2 tháng gần đây tăng đột biến so với giữa năm 😂

Bullish ngắn hạn cho $FTM

https://andrecronje.medium.com/fantom-in-review-928baf1d3bb4
Some updates from me
Forwarded from SPACE - CHANNEL
Chắc anh em đi chơi lễ & bận ăn tất niên hết không ai trade. Cập nhật nhanh market một chút xong đi chơi tiếp

Về cơ bản là market không có vol, cả BTC, coin top lẫn altcoin. Do không có vol nên $BTC vẫn chưa vượt được vùng cản 16K8-16K9, nói chung chưa rõ xu hướng.

Đã 46 ngày $BTC giữ trên local bottom 15K 16K. Phía trước tạm thời chưa có khả năng có tin xấu nào làm vùng local bottom này bị vỡ ngoài CPI tháng 12 công bố vào 12/1 (khá xa)

Chúng ta đã trải qua hơn 1 năm bear. Ở cycle bear trước, thời điểm này trùng với 12/2018. Giai đoạn này $BTC tích luỹ để có nửa năm 2019 pump.

Vĩ mô, câu chuyện lạm phát đã lắng xuống. Năm 2023, nỗi sợ vĩ mô sẽ là kinh tế suy thoái

Về alt narratives, builders vẫn build và câu chuyện thị trường vẫn có. Điển hình như một số L2 chuẩn bị báo tin airdrop (arbi, starknet), một số DeFi protocol chuẩn bị deploy Arbitrum (joe, lyra, gns…), một số protocol công bố cơ chế real yield (perp)… Tuy nhiên BTC.D đang nhăm nhe vượt 42%, alt tốt cỡ nào cũng phải chờ.

Happy Holiday!
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Remitano should reward me some RENEC as a gift for a loyal user who has used the product for half of the decade. Many churned but i've been staying

Reason: Remintano is good for micro crypto-to-fiat conversions. Good UX, fast CS. Most importantly, Remitano was the #1 go-to place for buying crypto for many small investors including me back in 2017.
Số liệu lấy từ 2020. Đen là washtrade xám là organic

Một cái chart thể hiện đầy đủ NFT đang đứng ở đâu. Digital assets as on-chain identities còn cấn cố gắng!

Nguồn từ: Xóm NFT mình đang build https://www.facebook.com/xomnft & @xomNFT
Cảm xúc lẫn lộn với tin này.

It’s a (+) for crypto vì Pi Network = community - một trong số những crypto nature mà Web 2 không có. One of the most important crypto natures is applauded.

It’s a (-) for crypto adoption giữa thời điểm cuối năm 2022 khi chúng ta có rất nhiều builders và use case của blockchain đã khá rõ ràng. Blockchain & crypto không cần thêm memecoin/chain

3 con đường tiếp theo của Pi:

- Trở thành 1 memechain tiếp theo, comparable với Doge & Shiba. ĐK cần là phải có whale vào làm game makers (Sun?). Community toàn plebs là early minters như hiện tại thì không có exit liquidity

- Trở thành 1 chain nghiêm túc. Với cộng đồng hiện tại, nếu Pi trở thành chain nghiêm túc thì community power phải leo lên top 5 ngay lập tức. Bài toán là phải có true builders. Xác suất cho trường hợp này là 0.01%

- Biggest scam ever. Sun & Huobi đào Pi & có nhiều Pi đẩy tin để bán OTC. Nên nhớ mới là review để listing. Quay xe anytime.

(Đăng lại do lỡ tay xóa)
Khoảng thời gian này 5 năm trước

$BTC hardfork cuối năm 2017

$BTC đang từ $20K đi xuống nhưng newbie vẫn rất say đòn (who said $ETH will reach $2K by Q1 2018?). Không ai dám ngờ 1 năm sau thấy $BTC đón ở $3K
Welcome Trader Joe to join Arbitrum. Their v2’s liquidity book is cool!

DEX war on Arbitrum seems to be heaten up. Caling out some names

Orbital - (to be launched) - from Dopex & Pluton gang

Camelot - impressive TVL for a newly-launched DEX, interesting mechanism which involves project to join, $GRAIL keeps being burnt everyday

3xcalibur - Founder from Dopex & JonesDAO. Love the vibe hes created on twitter

Trader Joe with its liquidity book that can become a beast

https://twitter.com/hanjaycrypto/status/1608014172390055939
Tztokchad has just called out the new term “OpFi”

According to him, it’s not a single option protocol but a whole DeFi infrastructure powered by Options

An example is Dopex, the product hes been building with the support from the OG Tetra. Starting as a protocol where you can buy put or call positions, dopex now has and will have a suite of products powered by its option- based mechanism:

Atlantic Straddles
Atlantic Insured Perps
Put based Lending
Synthetic Option Perps
Stablecoin Option Vaults (TBL)

I’ll elaborate the sophistication of dopex system in the next posts

Have a dive:

https://medium.com/@tztokchad/options-options-options-8adfe1eecb8c
In case you need a good source briefly aggregating what’s happening on L2s. Check out Paradigm Daily
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Forwarded from Paradigm
L2 report vol. 12📚
A biweekly update on Layer 2 protocols, 12th December — 26th December

TL;DR
—The sum of all funds locked on Ethereum converted to USD is $4.22 B at the time of writing.
—Arbitrum: Solutions to delay attacks on rollups.
—The Graph — Arbitrum billing goes live.
—The Optimism Bedrock upgrade is coming in the first quarter of 2023. OP Labs announced the migration of the Optimism Goerli testnet to Bedrock on January 12th.
—MetaMask announced in-wallet swaps are now available for users on Optimism.
—Synthetix Perps v2 live on Optimism.
—Metis Community Highlights of 2022 are out. Aave v3 on Metis “Temp Check” vote has passed. Chainlink price feeds are now live on Metis.
—Boba Network now being available on a non-custodial cryptocurrency swap platform ChangeNOW & NOWTracker. Boba Voyage is here.
—Aztec raises $100 million to build encrypted Ethereum.
—Loopring introduced a new Contribute + Earn program into the Loopring L2 ecosystem.
—PolygonZK launches final testnet. Upgrades include 4 min proof-generation & EIP-155 support.
—Scroll: bottlenecks in proof generation with options to accelerate.
—Visa is proposing an automatic payments system on Ethereum using StarkNet. StarkWare and Outlier Ventures collaborate to launch Base Camp program for STARK-based validity proof builders. The second batch of tickets for StarkWare Sessions 23 is now open.
—zkSync v2 alpha delayed until Q2 2023. The team created an LLVM-based set of compilers for Solidity and Vyper that pass the L1 conformance tests.
—Curve Finance to deploy on zkSync’s mainnet next year.
—ZKSpace Recap of 2022 will happen on December 29th.
—Immutable partnered with Gauntlet to improve efficient token spend, onboard mainstream users, and maximize trading volume. IMX rewards introduces new and improved Trading Rewards design.
—Rhino. fi just hit $1M in TVL within the Yearn finance USDT yVault strategy.
—Get ready for the new year with dYdX’s official merchandise store. Launching January 3rd, 2023, featuring exclusive products for Hedgies NFT holders.
—MoonPay and OpenSea partner to enable the direct buying of NFTs on Arbitrum, Optimism, Avalanche and BNB Chain via credit card.
—Intmax (zk-rollup) testnet, command line only.
—Batch posting strategy on mainnet by Akaki Mamageishvili, Edward W. Felten.
—Justin Drake: SGX as pragmatic hedge against zk-rollup SNARK vulnerabilities.
—Taiko: rollup decentralization, definitions & high-level ideas.
—Consensys Vortex zk prover: 30 million gas block in 5 minutes on AWS hpc6a.48xlarge.
—L2 stats. Check out how much it costs to use Layer 2.
—And more!

Read the full report on our blog, on Paradigm Platform.


#Layer2 #L2 https://medium.com/paradigm-research/l2-report-vol-12-e473d863b98f
Gear up to learn DuneSQL
HanJay Contemplates
Welcome Trader Joe to join Arbitrum. Their v2’s liquidity book is cool! DEX war on Arbitrum seems to be heaten up. Caling out some names Orbital - (to be launched) - from Dopex & Pluton gang Camelot - impressive TVL for a newly-launched DEX, interesting…
Some accumulation activity is happening at $GRAIL. An OG Arbitrum wallt has been accumulating ~300 token in the last 2 days, spending ~$60K, which is significant given the daily trading volume of $GRAIL is only around ~$50K. He turned his token into $xGRAIL right after buying

I wrote about Arbitrum DEX war in the post above

https://twitter.com/hanjaycrypto/status/1608463183475359744
1959-2022 là cả một đời người. Trong đó có 2 năm đặc biệt mà chúng ta đã may mắn được trải qua

2020: Cung tiền M2 tăng 25% cao kỷ lục

2022: Lần đầu cung tiền M2 giảm sau 63 năm

Sau này có chuyện kể cho con cháu rằng ông/bà đã ăn to rồi sml như thế nào chỉ 2 năm sau đó :))
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NFT Highligts năm 2022 vừa qua

Trong tương lai, NFT term sẽ phổ phát có thể ngang ngửa term crypto với người dùng chưa tham gia vào thế giới này và chuẩn bị tham gia

‘NFT’ = onboarding term bên cạnh ‘crypto’ & ‘Bitcoin’ & ‘Ethereum’ (maybe)

Đó cũng là tầm nhìn của XomNFT
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Just how the last month candle of 2022 closed

Quick juxtaposition of the 2022 bear and 2018-2019 bear (the most recent bear)

2022 bear

1️⃣$BTC has been down from the top: -77%

2️⃣$BTC Dominance has increased by: +7.5%, now stays at 42%

3️⃣Time from hitting the top to hitting the local/temporary bottom: 54 weeks

2018-2019 bear

1️⃣$BTC down from the top: -84%

2️⃣$BTC Dominance increased by: 108% (35% to 73%)

3️⃣Time from hitting the top to hitting the final bottom: 52 weeks
HanJay Contemplates
Just how the last month candle of 2022 closed Quick juxtaposition of the 2022 bear and 2018-2019 bear (the most recent bear) 2022 bear 1️⃣$BTC has been down from the top: -77% 2️⃣$BTC Dominance has increased by: +7.5%, now stays at 42% 3️⃣Time from hitting…
Using history data to point out where we are in the current bear sounds not very meaningful as we’ve been gone through only a few bears and we have many different external macro factors as of now, but here’s some quick observations

- It looks like we’ve hit the bottom or at least we’re very close to the bottom (I personally think $15K4 is our bottom in this bear cycle) . It doesn’t mean that bull will start right away. There’s an accumulation period of time before everything takes off. In 2018-2019 bear, there’s ~15 sideway weeks since $BTC hit the bottom & 65 weeks in total of accumulating ’till the moment we can be confident to say that ‘oh okay bull, here it is’. I’m seeing no signs of accumulation in the present chart of $BTC. Just stubborn fluctuations without any confirmed trends

- Dominance can’t scare us anymore. Let’s imagine the scene is scripted: C’mon Dominance, it’s been a year of bear. Bust a move, you haven’t been spiked at all. How do you like them apples? ETH Dominance, stay the course!!!

It’s persuaded that the big trend is $BTC is in the way of losing its dominance. 2022 bear started with 39% of $BTC Dominance (same level as which of the starting of 2018-2019 Bear) and highest number weve seen now is 48% (reached in June 22). Now we see it’s increasing to 42%. I don’t think Dominance can reach 70% range in this bear. I even don’t think Dominance can be > 50% given that alts are not shits as they were in 18-19. If the index hits around 48% - 50%, I’ll buy fucking anything I can, that’ll be the beginning of the bull.

https://twitter.com/hanjaycrypto/status/1609396835273117696
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Channel name was changed to «Han Jay Crypto | Layer 2 (Arbitrum, Optimism, ZK)»
Channel name was changed to «Han Jay Crypto»
Những tiêu đề báo ‘hot’ nhất trong từng tháng của crypto 2022

Đó cũng là con đường tổng vốn hoá chạy từ $3T về $755B

Quá nhiều kiện tụng, bắt bớ, sụp đổ, từ chức, điều tra….

Nguồn: https://www.bloomberg.com/graphics/2022-crypto-contagion-from-bitcoin-to-FTX/
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