Senior U.S. military officials warned a key Middle East ally that Trump could authorize strikes on Iran as early as this weekend, potentially starting Sunday.

#Iran #US #Conflict

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U.S. government began a partial shutdown early Saturday after the House failed to pass a funding deal before the midnight deadline.

#US #Shutdown

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China is helping Russia expand their production of Oreshnik ballistic missiles by supplying specialized equipment and machine tools.

#China #Russia #Insight

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Ali Larijani, Secretary of the Supreme National Security Council of Iran, states that despite media reports structural arrangements for negotiations are progressing between Iran and the United States.

#Iran #US #Conflict

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Trump has not made a final decision on Iran and remains open to diplomacy, though U.S. officials say a deal is unlikely due to Iran’s refusal to accept U.S. terms - Axios

#Iran #US #Conflict

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Israel has laid out a set of strict conditions for the U.S. regarding any potential agreement with Iran - Channel 12
 
They call for ending Iran’s nuclear program, dismantling its missiles, and halting support for proxy groups.

#Iran #US #Israel

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Secretary of State Marco Rubio: The United States is encouraged by the recent Panamanian Supreme Court’s decision to rule port concessions to China unconstitutional.

#Panama #US #China

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Founder of Ethereum Vitalik Buterin: The situation in Iran is continuing to get much worse. Much respect for everyone going through extreme danger to try to increase the chance that Iranian people can be free.

#Iran #Freedom #Vitalik

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NOTHING EVER HAPPENS INDEX

This index tracks high-impact geopolitical risk markets on Polymarket—the world's largest prediction market.
When traders start betting serious money that nuclear war, territorial invasions, or major conflicts are imminent, the meter moves. When the odds cool off, we return to our regularly scheduled programming of pretending everything is fine.

#NEHI #Risks #Geopolitics #Polymarket

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US Special Envoy Steve Witkoff and Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi could meet in Turkey in the coming days, a senior Iranian official and a Western diplomat told Reuters.

#Iran #US #Negotiations

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"It was an Honor to speak with Prime Minister Modi, of India, this morning. He agreed to stop buying Russian Oil, and to buy much more from the United States and, potentially, Venezuela. This will help END THE WAR in Ukraine. We agreed to a Trade Deal between the United States and India, whereby the United States will charge a reduced Reciprocal Tariff, lowering it from 25% to 18%. They will likewise move forward to reduce their Tariffs and Non Tariff Barriers against the United States, to ZERO." - Donald J. Trump

#India #US #Tariffs

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The United States Director of National Intelligence, Tulsi Gabbard, has been accused of wrongdoing in a whistleblower complaint that was filed last May by an intelligence official that is so highly classified it has sparked months of wrangling over how to share it with Congress, according to U.S. officials and others familiar with the matter who spoke to the Wall Street Journal.
 
The filing of the complaint has prompted a continuing, behind-the-scenes struggle about how to assess and handle it, with the whistleblower’s lawyer accusing Gabbard of stonewalling the complaint and the disclosure of its contents potentially causing “grave damage to national security,” one official said. It also implicates another federal agency beyond Gabbard’s, and raises potential claims of executive privilege that may involve the White House.

#US #TulsiGabbard #Intelligence

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Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth on Iran:
"They can either negotiate on that front, or we have other options. That’s why the War Department exists."

#Iran #US #Negotiations

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Reuters says that as the U.S. prepares talks with Iran, confidence in negotiations is fading and military options are being considered.

#Iran #US #Negotiations

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Iranian President Pezeshkian announces he has "instructed the Foreign Minister to prepare the grounds for fair and just negotiations" with the United States.

#Iran #US #Negotiations

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At the same time Israeli military sources told Maariv:

"Our assessment is that the US will launch an attack on Iran".

#Iran #US #Israel

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Trump: Mexico will 'cease' sending oil to Cuba.

#Iran #Cuba #Trump

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NOTHING EVER HAPPENS INDEX

This index tracks high-impact geopolitical risk markets on Polymarket—the world's largest prediction market.
When traders start betting serious money that nuclear war, territorial invasions, or major conflicts are imminent, the meter moves. When the odds cool off, we return to our regularly scheduled programming of pretending everything is fine.

Status: 🟢 Nothing Ever Happens

#NEHI #Risks #Geopolitics #Polymarket

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NATO's SG Rutte at Ukraine Parliament:
“We are ready to provide support to Ukraine quickly. We are learning from you. As soon as peace is achieved, aircraft, the fleet, and troops will help protect Ukraine.”

#NATO #Ukraine #Rutte #Security

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Reports in Iran:
'A knowledgeable source in the field of military intelligence reported that the "Abraham Lincoln" carrier group of the US Navy, along with some accompanying destroyers and submarines, is currently stationed near the Gulf of Aden and east of Socotra Island in southern Yemen.'

#Iran #US #Yemen #Geopolitics

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Kremlin: We have heard no statements from India regarding halting oil purchases from Russia.

#Russia #India #Oil

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