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$BTC has slipped back to $62.6K, unwinding much of Julyβs rebound and returning to the lower end of its range. Yet options positioning is rebuilding while implied volatility remains subdued, signalling continued market complacency.
Short-dated ATM volatility has fallen sharply, with 1-week IV near 34% versus ~42% at six months. The steepening term structure signals muted near-term risk, but persistent uncertainty further out.
https://glassno.de/4pLcTOQ
Call OI has rebounded to ~$23B while put OI sits near ~$11B, pulling the put/call ratio towards 0.5. Positioning remains call-heavy, signalling stronger upside participation than demand for protection.
https://glassno.de/4fxt3bd
Bitcoin options open interest has rebuilt to ~$34B from Juneβs ~$25B low as BTC recovered towards $65K. Positioning is returning, but remains below 2025 peaks, signalling renewed engagement without excessive leverage.
https://glassno.de/4pQvcCt
Wrap-up:
Positioning has rebuilt, but volatility markets remain notably relaxed despite renewed price weakness. Call-side OI dominates, while low DVOL suggests traders are still pricing limited near-term movement.
Short-dated ATM volatility has fallen sharply, with 1-week IV near 34% versus ~42% at six months. The steepening term structure signals muted near-term risk, but persistent uncertainty further out.
https://glassno.de/4pLcTOQ
Call OI has rebounded to ~$23B while put OI sits near ~$11B, pulling the put/call ratio towards 0.5. Positioning remains call-heavy, signalling stronger upside participation than demand for protection.
https://glassno.de/4fxt3bd
Bitcoin options open interest has rebuilt to ~$34B from Juneβs ~$25B low as BTC recovered towards $65K. Positioning is returning, but remains below 2025 peaks, signalling renewed engagement without excessive leverage.
https://glassno.de/4pQvcCt
Wrap-up:
Positioning has rebuilt, but volatility markets remain notably relaxed despite renewed price weakness. Call-side OI dominates, while low DVOL suggests traders are still pricing limited near-term movement.
Glassnode Studio
BTC Options ATM Implied Volatility (All) Deribit - Glassnode
**Definition.** The at-the-money (ATM) implied volatility for options contracts expiring 1 week, 1 month, 3 months, and 6 months from today. Implied volatility is the market's expectation of future volatility, derived by solving the option-pricing equationβ¦
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The dollar has been rallying since May, and $BTC is taking it worse than almost any dollar rally on record.
Across every dollar rally since 2015, $BTC showed significantly more relative strength.
A flip of this relationship would be a positive signal
https://glassno.de/4c8YqXl
Across every dollar rally since 2015, $BTC showed significantly more relative strength.
A flip of this relationship would be a positive signal
https://glassno.de/4c8YqXl
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Three-month futures basis has paid less than a 2-year Treasury since February.
Only one other stretch on record has run this long: August 2022 into January 2023. It ended at the cycle low.
This also directly impacts depth and volumes across the market.
https://glassno.de/3REiIkJ
Only one other stretch on record has run this long: August 2022 into January 2023. It ended at the cycle low.
This also directly impacts depth and volumes across the market.
https://glassno.de/3REiIkJ
β€12π5π₯1π1
An extreme day for $BTC: As the Coldcard hack news broke on Friday, eight on-chain metrics printed values well above their two-year median.
The data indicates holders are migrating their coins to new wallets rather than sending to exchanges
https://glassno.de/4g6zy54
The data indicates holders are migrating their coins to new wallets rather than sending to exchanges
https://glassno.de/4g6zy54
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$BTC has slipped to $62.6k as spot demand remains weak and derivatives stay defensive. Stronger on-chain activity, resilient holders and ETF inflows offer support, but conviction remains muted.
Read this weekβs Market Pulseπ
Read this weekβs Market Pulseπ
π14β€5π₯2π1
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Your AI agent can now buy Glassnode data.
x402 pays per call: from your Coinbase balance via Coinbase for Agents (live today), or any USDC wallet via Base MCP.
Try: "Pull Glassnode's MVRV and NUPL for BTC and tell me if the market is overheated"
https://glassno.de/451fVoR
Watch on X
x402 pays per call: from your Coinbase balance via Coinbase for Agents (live today), or any USDC wallet via Base MCP.
Try: "Pull Glassnode's MVRV and NUPL for BTC and tell me if the market is overheated"
https://glassno.de/451fVoR
Watch on X
π₯10β€8π5π2π€1
Global markets broke to records while Bitcoin stood still. This edition traces that stillness: a theft the market slept through, bottom signals arriving through boredom and an options market priced for nothing while sentiment reacts to everything.
π5
OKX moved its trading infrastructure from Hong Kong to Tokyo this week.
Our latency probes caught the switch live:
Hong Kong: ~5ms β ~63ms
Tokyo: ~52ms β ~4ms
A clean swap. If youβre co-located in Hong Kong for @okx, itβs time to move to Tokyo.
π http://latency.glassnode.com/cex
Our latency probes caught the switch live:
Hong Kong: ~5ms β ~63ms
Tokyo: ~52ms β ~4ms
A clean swap. If youβre co-located in Hong Kong for @okx, itβs time to move to Tokyo.
π http://latency.glassnode.com/cex
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