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$BTC has slipped back to $62.6K, unwinding much of Julyβs rebound and returning to the lower end of its range. Yet options positioning is rebuilding while implied volatility remains subdued, signalling continued market complacency.
Short-dated ATM volatility has fallen sharply, with 1-week IV near 34% versus ~42% at six months. The steepening term structure signals muted near-term risk, but persistent uncertainty further out.
https://glassno.de/4pLcTOQ
Call OI has rebounded to ~$23B while put OI sits near ~$11B, pulling the put/call ratio towards 0.5. Positioning remains call-heavy, signalling stronger upside participation than demand for protection.
https://glassno.de/4fxt3bd
Bitcoin options open interest has rebuilt to ~$34B from Juneβs ~$25B low as BTC recovered towards $65K. Positioning is returning, but remains below 2025 peaks, signalling renewed engagement without excessive leverage.
https://glassno.de/4pQvcCt
Wrap-up:
Positioning has rebuilt, but volatility markets remain notably relaxed despite renewed price weakness. Call-side OI dominates, while low DVOL suggests traders are still pricing limited near-term movement.
Short-dated ATM volatility has fallen sharply, with 1-week IV near 34% versus ~42% at six months. The steepening term structure signals muted near-term risk, but persistent uncertainty further out.
https://glassno.de/4pLcTOQ
Call OI has rebounded to ~$23B while put OI sits near ~$11B, pulling the put/call ratio towards 0.5. Positioning remains call-heavy, signalling stronger upside participation than demand for protection.
https://glassno.de/4fxt3bd
Bitcoin options open interest has rebuilt to ~$34B from Juneβs ~$25B low as BTC recovered towards $65K. Positioning is returning, but remains below 2025 peaks, signalling renewed engagement without excessive leverage.
https://glassno.de/4pQvcCt
Wrap-up:
Positioning has rebuilt, but volatility markets remain notably relaxed despite renewed price weakness. Call-side OI dominates, while low DVOL suggests traders are still pricing limited near-term movement.
Glassnode Studio
BTC Options ATM Implied Volatility (All) Deribit - Glassnode
**Definition.** The at-the-money (ATM) implied volatility for options contracts expiring 1 week, 1 month, 3 months, and 6 months from today. Implied volatility is the market's expectation of future volatility, derived by solving the option-pricing equationβ¦
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The dollar has been rallying since May, and $BTC is taking it worse than almost any dollar rally on record.
Across every dollar rally since 2015, $BTC showed significantly more relative strength.
A flip of this relationship would be a positive signal
https://glassno.de/4c8YqXl
Across every dollar rally since 2015, $BTC showed significantly more relative strength.
A flip of this relationship would be a positive signal
https://glassno.de/4c8YqXl
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Three-month futures basis has paid less than a 2-year Treasury since February.
Only one other stretch on record has run this long: August 2022 into January 2023. It ended at the cycle low.
This also directly impacts depth and volumes across the market.
https://glassno.de/3REiIkJ
Only one other stretch on record has run this long: August 2022 into January 2023. It ended at the cycle low.
This also directly impacts depth and volumes across the market.
https://glassno.de/3REiIkJ
β€12π5π₯1π1
An extreme day for $BTC: As the Coldcard hack news broke on Friday, eight on-chain metrics printed values well above their two-year median.
The data indicates holders are migrating their coins to new wallets rather than sending to exchanges
https://glassno.de/4g6zy54
The data indicates holders are migrating their coins to new wallets rather than sending to exchanges
https://glassno.de/4g6zy54
π16β€11π₯1
$BTC has slipped to $62.6k as spot demand remains weak and derivatives stay defensive. Stronger on-chain activity, resilient holders and ETF inflows offer support, but conviction remains muted.
Read this weekβs Market Pulseπ
Read this weekβs Market Pulseπ
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Your AI agent can now buy Glassnode data.
x402 pays per call: from your Coinbase balance via Coinbase for Agents (live today), or any USDC wallet via Base MCP.
Try: "Pull Glassnode's MVRV and NUPL for BTC and tell me if the market is overheated"
https://glassno.de/451fVoR
Watch on X
x402 pays per call: from your Coinbase balance via Coinbase for Agents (live today), or any USDC wallet via Base MCP.
Try: "Pull Glassnode's MVRV and NUPL for BTC and tell me if the market is overheated"
https://glassno.de/451fVoR
Watch on X
π₯10β€8π5π2π€1
Global markets broke to records while Bitcoin stood still. This edition traces that stillness: a theft the market slept through, bottom signals arriving through boredom and an options market priced for nothing while sentiment reacts to everything.
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OKX moved its trading infrastructure from Hong Kong to Tokyo this week.
Our latency probes caught the switch live:
Hong Kong: ~5ms β ~63ms
Tokyo: ~52ms β ~4ms
A clean swap. If youβre co-located in Hong Kong for @okx, itβs time to move to Tokyo.
π http://latency.glassnode.com/cex
Our latency probes caught the switch live:
Hong Kong: ~5ms β ~63ms
Tokyo: ~52ms β ~4ms
A clean swap. If youβre co-located in Hong Kong for @okx, itβs time to move to Tokyo.
π http://latency.glassnode.com/cex
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