Bottom Building in Progress
Bitcoin remains in deep value after five months below key investor cost bases. LTH capitulation has peaked at $280M/day while ETF flows stay net negative. Derivatives lean cautiously long, but the options surface still prices downside. The bottoming process is advancing, not yet complete.
Read the full Week On-Chainπ
Bitcoin remains in deep value after five months below key investor cost bases. LTH capitulation has peaked at $280M/day while ETF flows stay net negative. Derivatives lean cautiously long, but the options surface still prices downside. The bottoming process is advancing, not yet complete.
Read the full Week On-Chainπ
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$BTC recovered toward $64K, but weak spot participation and subdued on-chain activity suggest the move lacks broad conviction. Institutions are returning, while options remain defensive.
Read this weekβs Market Pulseπ
Read this weekβs Market Pulseπ
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Robinhood Chain produces a block every 100 ms.
We measure transaction-submission latency from probes around the world.
Ohio: 3 ms
Virginia: 18 ms
Chicago: 27 ms
London: 91 ms
Tokyo: 140 ms
Sydney: 200 ms
Proximity provides up to 2 blocks worth of edge. Traders in the US could be frontrunning those across the world with ease.
Live map for all chains β
We measure transaction-submission latency from probes around the world.
Ohio: 3 ms
Virginia: 18 ms
Chicago: 27 ms
London: 91 ms
Tokyo: 140 ms
Sydney: 200 ms
Proximity provides up to 2 blocks worth of edge. Traders in the US could be frontrunning those across the world with ease.
Live map for all chains β
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Trading activity in US spot ETFs sits in a quiet regime. Volumes are down 78% from the peak and below 2024 levels. A sustained recovery in $BTC price momentum would likely require attention and market participation to return from other asset classes.
πhttps://glassno.de/4pDBa9P
πhttps://glassno.de/4pDBa9P
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Top traders on Hyperliquid are aggressively long $BTC, showing some of the highest sustained long positioning weβve recorded. This exposure exceeds what was seen during the last run to around $83k, pointing to strong speculative demand at these levels.
πhttps://glassno.de/4wGsPnV
πhttps://glassno.de/4wGsPnV
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Green Shoots
Bitcoin's bottom is still building, but its character is shifting. Long-term holder capitulation is cooling, buyers absorbed the June lows, and price is climbing back toward the levels that capped it
Read the full Week On-Chainπ
Bitcoin's bottom is still building, but its character is shifting. Long-term holder capitulation is cooling, buyers absorbed the June lows, and price is climbing back toward the levels that capped it
Read the full Week On-Chainπ
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Adding to the sell-side pressure from LTH loss realization, short-term holders who bought near the recent lows are now taking profit at volumes last seen close to the peak in May.
Two forces anchoring the rally simultaneously:
1- Cycle-top buyers reducing losses into strength
2- Local-low buyers locking in gains.
Both are selling into the same price recovery.
π http://glassno.de/btc-sth-realized-profit
Quoting cryptovizart:
As price rallies toward $66k, LTH realized loss volume is spiking!
Cycle-top buyers are using the relief rally as an exit opportunity, locking in losses at a smaller margin than the sub-60k lows allowed. Selling into strength rather than waiting for recovery is a pattern consistent with exhausted conviction among underwater long-term holders.
π http://glassno.de/btc-lth-realized-loss
Two forces anchoring the rally simultaneously:
1- Cycle-top buyers reducing losses into strength
2- Local-low buyers locking in gains.
Both are selling into the same price recovery.
π http://glassno.de/btc-sth-realized-profit
Quoting cryptovizart:
As price rallies toward $66k, LTH realized loss volume is spiking!
Cycle-top buyers are using the relief rally as an exit opportunity, locking in losses at a smaller margin than the sub-60k lows allowed. Selling into strength rather than waiting for recovery is a pattern consistent with exhausted conviction among underwater long-term holders.
π http://glassno.de/btc-lth-realized-loss
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Glassnode
Photo
To size how intensely long-term holders are anchoring the sell side, we can zoom into exchange flows directly.
The Relative LTH/STH Realized P&L to Exchanges breaks down what share of coins flowing into exchanges carry a profit or loss, and which cohort is driving it. Currently, more than 65% of exchange inflows are attributable to long-term holders realizing losses, a reading consistent with prior bear market phases where this cohort dominated the sell side before eventually exhausting.
Until this share begins to compress, the structural sell pressure from cycle-top buyers remains the dominant force in exchange flow.
π http://glassno.de/btc-lth-sth-exchange-rpnl
Quoting cryptovizart:
One of the metrics I watch most closely when trying to gauge a bear market's end is, Realized Loss volume (in USD) by the 1-2 year holders.
This age bracket captures coins last moved roughly 12 to 24 months ago, placing them closest to cycle-peak buyers. As frustration builds with sustained price underperformance, this cohort tends to progressively increase loss realization.
Historically, bear markets have not found durable footing until this specific group exhausts its sell pressure. When the 30D-SMA of their realized loss cools and rolls over, it has often been among the clearest early signals that the heaviest distribution phase is behind the market.
Worth watching closely.
π http://glassno.de/btc-realized-loss-1y2y
The Relative LTH/STH Realized P&L to Exchanges breaks down what share of coins flowing into exchanges carry a profit or loss, and which cohort is driving it. Currently, more than 65% of exchange inflows are attributable to long-term holders realizing losses, a reading consistent with prior bear market phases where this cohort dominated the sell side before eventually exhausting.
Until this share begins to compress, the structural sell pressure from cycle-top buyers remains the dominant force in exchange flow.
π http://glassno.de/btc-lth-sth-exchange-rpnl
Quoting cryptovizart:
One of the metrics I watch most closely when trying to gauge a bear market's end is, Realized Loss volume (in USD) by the 1-2 year holders.
This age bracket captures coins last moved roughly 12 to 24 months ago, placing them closest to cycle-peak buyers. As frustration builds with sustained price underperformance, this cohort tends to progressively increase loss realization.
Historically, bear markets have not found durable footing until this specific group exhausts its sell pressure. When the 30D-SMA of their realized loss cools and rolls over, it has often been among the clearest early signals that the heaviest distribution phase is behind the market.
Worth watching closely.
π http://glassno.de/btc-realized-loss-1y2y
Glassnode Studio
Bitcoin Relative LTH/STH Realized Profit/Loss to Exchanges All Exchanges - Glassnode
**Definition.** Relative Long/Short-Term Holder Realized Profit/Loss to Exchanges is the relative distribution of the total profit and loss (USD value) of all coins moved by [long- and short-term holders](https://insights.glassnode.com/quantifying-bitcoinβ¦
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